Liquiditypool
USDJPY SHORTX marks the Spot.
For a Bullish Price Action, I expect a slight bounce to the 111.38 region. Another bounce at the 108.119 region. This will be short-lived.
For a Bearish Price Action, I expect the Bears to continue to drive this pair lower.
Look to SELL every rally.
1st Target at 109.8
2nd Target at 108.119
Worst case scenario, 3rd Target at 104.660
USDCAD SHORTX marks the Spot. The Loonie appears to be in an ascending trendline. I expect a break of that trendline this new week.
For a Bullish Price Action, I expect BULLS to challenge the Clean Highs at 1.33205 if we get enough steam.
For a Bearish Price Action, I expect a rejection at 1.32600 to tap into the Liquidity pools (Marked X). 1st Target at 1.30000. 2nd Target at 1.28000.
I am Bearish on this pair this week.
EURAUD LONGX marks the Spot. For a Bullish Price Action, I expect BULLS to challenge the Clean Highs on the 4hr at 1.57560 and tap into 1.58500. 1st Target at 1.58500. 2nd Target at 1.60000. 3rd Target at 1.64000
For a Bearish Price Action, I expect a rejection at 1.6000 back to 1.56350 Demand region.
I am Bullish on this pair this week and would be adding on any dips.
Dollar Index SHORTX marks the Spot. For a Bullish Price Action, I expect one more push to the 97.20 level before the move down.
For a Bearish Price Action, Dollar Index has a long way down. I expect the Liquidity pools (Marked X) to be hunted down to 93.10 region.
I am more Bearish than Bullish on the Dollar Index. 1st Target at 95.70. 2nd Target at 94.45. 3rd Target at 93.
GBPNZD LONGX marks the Spot. For a Bearish Price Action, I assume the Liquidity pools (Marked X) have been hunted, but I still expect one downward pull to the 1.89300 Demand region before the move UP. However, I am more Bullish than bearish on this pair.
For a Bullish Price Action, 1st Target at 1.96400, 2nd Target at 1.99850. 3rd Target at 2.0550.
Liquidity Pool / Stop Loss Explanation POE SignalA group member had a question about why the stop loss was "so low" being 23% under the buy price. The reasoning is you need to avoid the liquidity zone, where price could easily be pushed.
The purpose of our stop is to exit the trade if its no longer valid (not get stopped out only to see a pump happen afterwards). This could be another accumulation cycle, so we want to ride out the potential for a dip.
As normal traders we normally dont have to deal with extremely large positions. But the whales/institutions who do have to think about liquidity very differently than you or I. Order flow intersections are what they look for. They have to go TO the liquidity - which is many times where people end up placing their stops. They cannot simply accumulate or distribute a large position whenever and wherever they wish. Rather, they must look to those levels where liquidity is aggregating, and stops are helping them in an indirect way.
Without a Support/Resistance Finder (SRF) to help you, you can also/alternately use a volume profile as shown. SRF auto plots the S/R lines for the current range (all the horizontal dashed red and green lines are done by SRF). You want to place your stop BELOW where the liquidity is likely located - and also where your trade idea is invalidated.
In the opposite sense there is a liquidity zone above as well. Many times you will see price probe the same levels over a few days. This is testing the resistance and seller appetite. You can see this here in the 210+ area as price has been probing the upper resistance.