NAS100USD: Are We Witnessing the Start of a Bullish Takeover?Greetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the overall trend remains bearish; however, compelling signs suggest a potential shift toward bullish price action. Here are the key confluences supporting this outlook:
Key Observations:
1. Higher Highs Established:
Recent price action has formed higher highs, indicating a potential shift from breaking bearish structure to targeting bullish objectives.
2. Transition to Buy-Side Curve:
Significant structural breaks suggest a move away from the sell-side curve into the buy-side curve. This transition redefines key bullish order blocks created during the sell-side curve as reclaimed order blocks, now acting as strong institutional support zones.
Reclaimed Order Blocks Explained:
These occur when bullish order blocks, previously hedged during sell-side curve are reclaimed by institutions. The down candles within these zones signal areas where institutions are likely to initiate new buying opportunities.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Zones:
Look for buying opportunities within reclaimed order blocks, which now function as robust institutional support zones.
Targets:
Focus on liquidity pools located at key highs, double tops, or failure swings. These areas serve as institutional profit-taking zones where buy stops reside, offering favorable order pairing opportunities.
By aligning with institutional behavior and following the transition to the buy-side curve, we can strategically capitalize on potential bullish momentum. Stay vigilant and await confirmation before entering trades.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Liquiditypool
Daily Market Review and Analysis for BTC: January 13, 2025BTC (2h)
The price scenario from my review of January 8, 2025 was implemented. As expected, the #BTC price after several days of manipulation in the sideways channel ($91,160 - $95,800) eventually removed the sellers' liquidity at $90,500 and approached the next liquidity pool at $88,722. Thus, the almost 5% drop in price was also worked out.
Now, regarding the further price movement:
– #Bitcoin will most likely strive for the level of $96,258. This is the nearest point of interest (POI).
– Further, if the price consolidates at this level, it is possible to move up to the middle of the 4-hour gap ($ 99,443) and then roll back down to remove liquidity at the level of $ 88,722. In other words, we are now entering the phase of another manipulation of the tops, the end result of which will be another fall in the price.
An alternative to the above is a continuation of the downward movement with a highly probable withdrawal of liquidity to the $85,000 mark.
An important point - despite the fact that globally we are in a bull market, we should not forget that the price is currently undergoing a correction. Thus, the fundamental level at the bottom in the middle of the weekly gap ($ 85,000) after breaking through the level of $ 88,722 should also not be ignored.
I will confirm that in order to reach the next historical maximum (ATH), Bitcoin will need to clear the sellers' liquidity pool levels at $ 88,722 and $ 85,000 in the medium term.
In particular, there is an even more gloomy scenario for Bitcoin based on candlestick analysis. I'll write about this in tomorrow's review.
Possible 97,800 jumpDaily: Downtrend
4H: Downtrend to turn Uptrend
1H: Uptrend
30M: Uptrend to turn downtrend for entry.
Two decent big FAV gaps as you can see on screen, and 4 Liquidity spots for price to draw to.
I think we will see the bitcoin to go up before it can follow the daily downtrend, because it needs to fill in those FVG and claim the liquidity spots.
Entry: 93,0xx when price drops into an premium buy at the FAV on the lower side, entry when seeing MACD signal line getting crossed at the 3Min.
Take Profit:
1: 94,800
2: 95,800
3: 96,900
4: 97,800.
Dollar back to levels of 107.969 since 2022!!!Admittedly, last weeks prediction of the dollar for me was that I expected it to finally push down, However price action then clearly showed me otherwise by showing its clear intent to move further to the upside and refusal to break structure to the downside which I had tried to anticipate . Although price hasn't taken the last significant high that created the 1h supply we have seen CHOCH and BOS to the upside on the 1H time frame suggesting that price wants to push up further.
This is validated by the pairs against the dollar wanting to push down and the fact that there is not only liquidity in the form of Asian highs but a large weekly imbalance and weekly supply zone where I predict price will push up to before finally returning to it's usual bearish trend.
I can expect price to react from the 13min order block after the new Monday ASL is taken. If not we may see price pushing lower slightly simply in order to grab liquidity and find the correct zone to react from, potentially the 3H HTF demand I have marked out in order to push up. This also aligns with my pairs against the dollar that will push up and then come down.
POLKADOT - Strategic Patience for the Next MovePolkadot: Strategic Patience for the Next Move
I've been holding Polkadot since $5.82 and still have my trade open. While I haven’t taken profits yet, this time I plan to secure gains once it approaches $10 again, as I anticipate a correction around December 18th. This pullback could last until December 23rd, where I aim to significantly increase my position.
📈 Scalping Opportunities:
For now, patience is key. However, scalpers will find plenty of opportunities leading up to December 17–18. Be vigilant during those dates, as volatility may spike.
💡 Swing Trading Insight:
Any swing trades entered on December 23rd or the early hours of the 24th could offer exceptional returns.
⚠️ Key Advice:
Always stick to your plan.
Don’t let greed cloud your judgment—secure partial profits to maintain liquidity.
From January onward, the market's psychological and analytical demands will increase. Be prepared and don’t get distracted by noise.
🔑 Closing Thoughts:
This market rewards discipline and foresight. Stay sharp, stay humble, and remember: the best opportunities often come to those who are patient and prepared.
May your trades be fruitful.
God bless you.
—Jay
NAS100USD: Is a Reversal Brewing in Bearish Territory?Greetings Traders!
Today’s analysis highlights a fascinating setup on NAS100USD. While the market remains bearish overall, there are compelling signs suggesting a potential reversal. This could either lead to a minor retracement or evolve into a stronger, extended bullish trend. As always, we let the market confirm its intentions.
Current Market Outlook:
Price is sitting at heavy discount levels, having swept discount sell stops. This movement hints at the possibility of smart money entering buy orders against willing sellers. Remember, the narrative here is simple: buy in discount prices, sell in premium prices.
Key Confluences:
Rejection Block Support: Price is strongly rejecting a key rejection block, establishing a robust institutional support zone.
Discount Level Alignment: Current levels are ideal for buying opportunities, provided confirmation aligns with the broader market narrative.
Trading Strategy:
I am closely watching for confirmation entries at these levels, with the first target being the premium buy stops above the 50% Fibonacci level (fair value). This zone offers an excellent area for profit-taking and aligns with institutional order flow.
Let’s Collaborate!
Have insights, questions, or analysis? Share them in the comments below. Together, we can dissect the market and make informed decisions!
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Understanding ICT Classic Weekly Profile on BANKNIFTYICT weekly profiles are conceptual frameworks that describe typical patterns of price behavior during a trading week.
Each ICT weekly profile has unique characteristics that can hint the traders in anticipating potential market movements.
However, it is important to note that these profiles are not fixed predictions but rather frameworks to understand market tendencies and works with Higher Time Frame PD arrays confluences.
ICT weekly profile is explained below with BANKNIFTY Chart analysis
Classing Thursday High of Week (Bearish Setup)
Key element to focus :
Higher Time Frame Premium array (Weekly Buy Side Liquidity) for bearish setup
Time Frames alignment :
HTF --> W1 (PD Arrays)
LTF ---> H4 (Market Structure)
ETF --> M15 (Entry)
Process :
1. Market offers Liquidity from Monday to Wednesday
2. Market seeks Liquidity on Thursday
3. Market rebalances on Friday
Liquidity Engineering and Buying Opportunities on NAS100USDGreetings Traders!
Current Outlook📊:
Despite the bullish trend on NAS100USD, the market has been consolidating throughout the day. We need to analyze the price action carefully to make an informed decision moving forward.
Key Observations👀:
Consolidation Range: Price is holding above the 50% Fibonacci level and near the extreme high of 20,842.4.
Liquidity Engineering: The market is consolidating in a premium price zone, suggesting that liquidity is being engineered. Retail patterns like trendlines and support/resistance may mislead traders into expecting price to respect these levels. In reality, this is often a manipulation tactic by smart money to trigger stops and gather liquidity.
Trading Plan🎯:
Focus: Rather than selling at resistance, look for buying opportunities targeting liquidity pools above the current consolidation zone.
Target: Liquidity areas where smart money is likely to enter, above the identified resistance.
Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together!
Best Regards,
The_Architect
GOLD HIGHT PROBABILITY SETUP!!According to Candle Range Theory (CRT), GOLD price swept the previous week high (CRT LOW), and this daily candle (today's candle (22/11/2024)) must close below the previous week high (CRT HIGH). If this daily candlestick closes below, the whole week next week (25/11/2024) gold will be selling (bearish). The target will be Previous week low (CRT LOW).
Another thing, on weekly timeframe you will see gold has touched the bearish fair value gap (FVG) which was our internal range liquidity (IRL) but on Daily timeframe we still have to touch the bearish FVG with a rejection, then we can sell.
“I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime.” - Jim Rogers
$BTC Bull flag still holding strong.
My opinion on the market is that we are still in bull mode. This bull run is different from the past ones, and it is best to flow with the market. The bulls are holding strong. However, as there is still liquidity below, we "may" pick it before the trend continues upward. Activating dual position to dollar cost average for the bull run seem right.
The STIC indicator is giving a positive hedge.
For BTC, we should potentially retest 61-63k. Once 69k break and hold,the bull flag is completed, and we are a go for a new all-time high.
THE PLAN IS THE PLAN Like i said before and i will say again im bullish on tesla and after the event im MEGA bullish on tesla
As i managed to anticipate the scam dump since yesterday on premarket dont think the market is bearish dont be triggered to think it is, DONT BOTTOM SHORT.
We are at the 100 daily EMA and that is MEGA FAIR VALUE for WALLSTREET.
This whole dump is to grab retail traders money. BUY NOW while you can. CUP AND HANDLE TARGET IS 400!
We are right now on october lowest point and below the value area high and actually at the 3 months POC.
i've been covering tesla since around august dont say you didnt know!
TSLA MOONING
DreamAnalysis | What Is DeFi? EP01✨ Welcome to the first DeFi educational content!
📅 Today, we have prepared the first DeFi lesson for you, and we want to present this sweet topic completely and comprehensively in this channel. In this lesson, we want to cover the basic and fundamental concepts of DeFi, review DeFi in general, and assess the risks and how to generate income from this space.
🧩 To better understand DeFi, it is better to first become familiar with the concept of "Passive Income." The income we have in life is divided into two types: active and passive.
⚡️ Active Income
Active income means the income that a person must earn every day to receive a salary in exchange for the work they do. For example, an employee who earns $10 per hour has active income because they only earn money as long as they work, and if they don’t work for an hour, they won’t receive that hour's wage. In the crypto market, active income can be exemplified by futures trading. Although you don’t get paid hourly, the money you earn depends on market conditions. However, if you stay away from the market for a week and don’t make any trades, you won’t make any profit. Most jobs and most of the population have active income.
🔄 Passive income
Passive income means the income that a person doesn’t need to work every day and hour to receive in return. For example, if a person deposits $100,000 in the bank and the bank gives them a 5% annual interest, after a year, they will have $105,000, and they didn’t do anything for the $5,000 they earned. Of course, we must consider that this person took on a risk and put their money at risk because the bank might go bankrupt, and all their capital could be lost. In the crypto space, DeFi acts as a passive income where the individual earns profit not based on time spent but by taking on risks.
🌱 Now that we understand the difference between active and passive income, we will better understand the concept of DeFi.
🔑 What is DeFi?
DeFi (Decentralized Finance) in English means "decentralized finance." In fact, the DeFi space is a kind of decentralized bank where you can do things like lending, borrowing, creating liquidity, staking, etc., completely decentralized. Given its decentralized nature, all the money exchanged in between is moved by the platform's users, and the profit and loss of this process are also in the hands of the users.
💵 For example, you can create liquidity in decentralized exchanges and receive transaction fees when other users make trades, or you can lend the money you have and earn interest in return for lending it to another user. All your contracts and transactions are recorded on the blockchain and can be tracked. In future lessons, we will examine all DeFi income generation methods and cover all methods step by step and practically.
✅ So far, we have mentioned the good parts and advantages of DeFi, such as DeFi being a passive income that doesn’t require daily work and is completely decentralized. But there are also risks that may keep many people away from this space. Let’s go over the risks of the DeFi space.
❗️ DeFi Risks
Let’s move on to the risks you must accept when entering the DeFi space. First, let’s start with the market trend. In DeFi, we buy various coins based on their use cases, and it is possible that these coins may lose their value over time and be worth less than when they were purchased. So, if the market is bearish, the likelihood of losing money in the DeFi space increases significantly. Of course, in future lessons and when we reach advanced training, we will teach you how to profit in a bear market. However, if the market is bearish, the chances of losing money increase.
🔔 The next risk you must accept when entering DeFi is related to device and wallet security. There are always hackers trying to seize your assets in any way possible, and since DeFi is completely decentralized, there is no way to pursue it if your wallet gets hacked. So, by entering DeFi, you must also consider the possibility of being hacked, in which case all the capital you have invested will be lost.
📍 The last risk is the platforms and websites to which we connect our wallets. By connecting your wallet and signing digitally, which is stored on the blockchain, the platform in question will have limited access to your wallet. If you sign the wrong contract or the site gets hacked, the assets in your wallet may be lost.
📚 These three risks are the most important in DeFi. But how can we reduce and control these risks? First of all, you must manage your capital. Given the risks of DeFi, the maximum amount of capital that I think can be invested in DeFi is 10% of your crypto capital. For example, if you have $100,000 in the market, invest a maximum of $10,000 in DeFi so that if your investment is lost, only 10% of your total capital is destroyed. The second solution is that you can increase security by creating several wallets and distributing the 10% of the capital you want to enter the market between them so that if one of the wallets is hacked, only a small part of your capital is lost.
🤝 I hope this lesson has helped you. DeFi training will be provided every Saturday so you can learn this skill without any cost. Next week, we will have training on the initial steps and prerequisites for entering DeFi, so I recommend continuing with us.
❌ Disclaimer
The information provided in this lesson is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. DeFi is a highly volatile and risky market. It is essential to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The channel and its creators are not responsible for any financial losses incurred.
XAUUSD 4H timeframe analysisThe text "liquidity filled" near the top of the price spike suggests that this was an area where a large amount of buy or sell orders were executed, potentially completing transactions that had been waiting for the price to reach this level. Traders often anticipate such areas as potential turning points or areas of price stabilisation.
Points of Interest on BITCOIN before FOMCI'm watching the price action closely today as we approach the CME gap at $61.5k.
We have not yet taken the previous high on the CME chart. The gap is still open a little bit. We've also accumulated some liquidity at about $57.2k. It is also wednesday, which is know for it's trend reversal.
GBPUSD 1.30069 + 0.15% WEEKLY MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The CABLE from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GBPUSD WEEKLY TF
* With a bullish run last week, looking for continuation towards ERL.
* With this weeks Bullish run open, an last weeks bullish run we could see continuation wuth the 🐮.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a bullish move.
* Not sure of a reversal before continuation.
* But looking from the DAILY this might be possible.
DAILY TF
* Looking for the take of thatExternal range LQ.
* opening this week Bullish might be a confirmation of this bearish move.
* With PO3 looking to opening bullish this week to confirm a move higher into premium PD ARRAYS.
GBPUSD 4H TF
* Sentiment remains on the 4H a sweep of the highs and signs of reversal stands bearish.
* 4H lookin for a push into the ERL (po3) to sell intraday
.
GBPUSD 1H TF
* Still on that rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside ON the 1H.
* Looking at the 1H LQ, this is where I would look for shorts entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the GBPUSD intraday.
* BASED on the price action served this week...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders!
Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes.
If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts!
Refer to these videos as well:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery
Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements:
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Week of August 11 - NQ/VIX/CL/10yrWowza, what a week we just had!
Sunday night the Yen carry trade started to unwind in a magnificent fashion.
We came in on Monday morning with the NDX down 1k handles, and the VIX at 60. Most of this has corrected itself as NQ actually closed the week +60 handles - but there is something more sinister at play I fear.
This week is going to be a HUGE DEAL for the weekly charts - as I think we are setting up into the final parabolic move into the election.
The Nasdaq opened the week down 1k handles on Monday morning, and the dip was properly bought. The 17,340 area is a BIG deal as it marks a quarterly and weekly low.
Where we closed on Friday 8/2 had me REALLY bullish coming into last week - but the damage that was created on the charts from Sunday nights sell-off cant be ignored.
The REALLY SNEAKY part here- it that we now have bear flags on the daily and h4 charts for NQ - and they closed us up here just to fill the opening weekly gap and volume imbalance.
We could see them spike this another 400 handles from here - and it wouldn't invalidate the sell case. Bottom line - I can't buy until I see them run those HUGE equal lows on the quarterly/weekly charts down at 17,340. Once we do that, I will be looking to get VERY LARGE in longs to ~24k area for the final blow off move on NQ.
The VIX had quite the week - it was up ~ 60 when we came into the cash open on Monday morning - the highest weekly level since the pandemic panic spike.
That said, the weekly chart has completely broken out - and I want to view this as a backtest. There is a small weekly FVG that will form on Monday for the VIX to drop and fill - but I am viewing this as an area I want to see the VIX hold - as I believe they will drop the indexes from here for one more flush - just before the final long.
Crude Oil actually had a REALLY nice week last week.
The lows were set Monday morning, and oil never looked back. I am looking for oil to continue it march up to the 79 area for the backtest.
We need to reject 79 with vigor and star the march lower for oil as the global economy slips into recession - as oil and the bond market are already aware.
The 10yr bounced at a very predictable place and has now begun its backtest. I am looking for the 10yr to sweep last weeks highs, before resuming its march lower as we head towards autumn and into a global recession.
So here is the setup I am watching for this week;
I want to see NQ sweep the lows of last week - this is a MASSIVE level on the quarterly and weekly charts - there is TONS of liquidity down there that Market Makers can use to sweep and order pair long for the final parabolic leg higher.
I want to see the 10yr bounce to sweep last weeks highs - and then continue to make fresh lows. We took out December lows last week.
I want to see oil continue it march higher to the 79 level to complete the weekly structure backtest - then drop due to weakening global macro.
Until next week - We'll be watching.