im still bullishlast daily deviated from my trendline. to me that could be a swing fail and a shakeout to shake weak hands.
reasons to consider: there is CPI data today and on 10/10 theres the tesla robot event a big fail could prove to be a priced in scenerio and the start of the nuke today with the following nuke tomorrow.
for me i am a big believer of tesla so im bullish for me i may have another buy oprotunity on the vola vola today.
as for the pattern in question we have a 48% on the cup depth 32% on the handle depth 44% on the parallel channel that is still part of the handle.. make of it what you will.
i dont believe tesla will break out before the 10/10 but will swingfail the down level even (especially) on bullish cpi data (if anyone knows how hedge funds like to operate).
there are bad lows at our current level and at 226 (which is also previous resistance)
a sweep would be an amazing bullish retest that may or may not fail but the oprotunity is there and it all depends on how aggressive you'd like to trade or invest.
Trendlines are current value ranges
The upper teal drawings are potential double top that has formed and if we reject a potential double bottom (rsi will print an rsi div on 30 mins and may potentially swing up to the upper part of the channel causing an overbought on 4hours and daily)
Vwap will confluence with the 100 daily ema that could potentially be a good entry but there's also the potential of the 150 and 200 bullish retest even though in my opinion that would ruin the cup and handle entirely although the liquidity idea would stay the same i'd be sad to see the pattern go.
if we dont swing fail the bullish retest i will look to swing fail the lower trendline for another liquidity pool grab which is also the yearly value area poc.
if all fails and we go bearish on tesla i will trade the consolation prize from valow to vahigh (a lower high and on the higher timeframe and a full rotation play)
the bullish idea is if tesla preforms and the vah turns into the new poc/val and said new value range would be between current to 400-500
i hope i made enough sense and that my ideas are interesting for you. good luck to everyone.
Liquiditypools
Market Update - October 20th
False ETF news gives bitcoin a boost: Crypto markets were frenzied on Tuesday after Cointelegraph posted an unconfirmed tweet that the SEC had approved a spot bitcoin ETF. Bitcoin prices jumped over $2,000 USD in minutes before the news was deemed false.
GBTC discount to NAV continues to tighten: The discount between shares of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and the net asset value of the fund is at its lowest level in almost two years. After starting the year at a nearly 50% discount, GBTC’s discount has moved to ~13%, reflecting increased expectations that a bitcoin spot ETF will be approved in the near future.
Uniswap introduces 0.15$ swap fee: The move was described as an effort to “sustainably fund operations.” UNI is trading about even over the past seven days following the news.
The European Central Bank moves closer to a digital euro: The bloc’s central bank announced that it had moved from the investigation phase to the preparation phase of its digital euro project. ECB president Christine Lagarde tweeted that they “envisage a digital euro as a digital form of cash that can be used for all digital payments.”
Treasury yields continue upward trajectory, and Powell sees continued strength in the US economy: US treasury yields have continued to put pressure on equities, with the 10-year treasury touching 4.98% for the first time since 2007. Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the continued strength of the US economy may warrant further tightening, but didn’t foreshadow an immediate policy shift.
🏖️ Topic of the Week: Liquidity Pools
⏭️ Read more here
BTCUSDT time to retracement?Recently, the market has created equal highs in the 25k area, where there is also a daily supply level. This indicates that there is strong resistance in this area, and that buyers have struggled to push the price higher.
However, there is potential for the market to grab new liquidity from the 22-23k area, where there is a 0.786 Fibonacci level. This level is often seen as a strong level of support, and if buyers are able to push the price higher from this level, it could signal a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
It's important to note that this scenario would only be invalidated if the price were to create a breakout from the 25k area with confirmations. A breakout above this level could indicate that buyers are able to overcome the resistance in this area and push the price higher.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
GBP/USD SELL IDEAStoryline: GU is currently in a bearish condition and has been that way for a minute.
Basically the whole year so far.
Last week price action initiated a sell for the continuation of the trend.
Price is currently moving off a weekly OB and headed for 1.03720
which is the -sell side liquidity that lies below the previous range swing low.
Follow for more...
Thanks for reading :)
BTCUSDT wants liquidity from 23k
The price is testing the monthly support on the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
The Market has two demand zones.
The first one between 30k and 20k, and the price could grab the new liquidity around the 23k for the reverse trade.
The second one is between 16000$ and 12000$.
How approach on it?
If the price is going to grab the new liquidity from the 23k demand zone, we could see a new pullback after a new breakout of 30k. According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
–––––
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
BTC & BNB | Don't give up, Bitcoin...Yo guys, welcome to the channel Hawkeye Charting.
Todays altcoin: BNB
Enjoy watching the video :)
No BS like bullflags. No Asking: when moon?
Always referring to the current state of psychology and what the market maker aims to do next.
Pointing out the major trend on Elliott Waves.
Peace
Disclaimer:
No financial advice!
All content is for information and entertainment purposes only and only reflects our personal opinions or market steps. Viewers are expressly requested to form their own opinion on the content and the statements as well as, if necessary, to seek professional advice.
NAS100 Outlook and AnalysisThe Nasdaq has been full on bearish for January which is in line with it's seasonal tendency and as such I'm anticipating further downward movement this week into the imbalances below. Though there's also a possibility of a pull back to clear buyside liquidity before continuing down into the imbalalnces. Have to wait to see.
Potential 🦀USD/CHF - Potential Crab Pattern Forming on LTF, HTF we have a double bottom forming (Not confirmed until we get a neckline break so right now i'm analyzing price based on LTF price action/structure.
We have a lot of imbalance left over from the weekly pushes and the D point lands on a strong OB (Which will potentially make a nice sell too whilst also covering previous imbalances and will take out trapped liquidity)
I expect to drop towards the 1.23285 level before rising to then break the DH.
let me know your thoughts!
Gold, Bullish Reversal ImminentGood afternoon ladies and gents,
What a week it has been. Lots of beautiful setups all week on many dollar based pairs. Whilst all of that has been going on, I've been sniping entries on Gold in preparation for the reversal that will take place soon. The Monthly & Weekly Orderflow on this pair is Bullish. Despite the sharp drop after FOMC last week, the bias remains intact and as a matter of fact, I have even more conviction in this trade.
Technically speaking, Gold should rally as it's extremely undervalued and dropped directly into my Buy Zone where I'm looking for a solid reversal structure on the H4. Although it's not fully formed yet, I have a feeling that when Gold moves, it will be aggressive and it will not be moving in any other direction other than up and until those targets above are yet.
Fundamentally speaking, Gold may rally as Inflation is as its all time highs (catalysed by the incredibly high QE rate that took place last year) and CoT reports do point towards this commodity being bullish.
Here I give you a potential entry point and stop loss that provides an RR of 1:5/1:6; however, my entries on the lower timeframe provide a superior risk to reward.
Let's see what happens.
Trade at your own risk & manage your risk effectively should you trade this idea.
Until later
- AmplaFX
Price Action Study - Liquidity PoolsAs retail traders, we have the luxury of entering and exiting any position with ease - the size of our trades are not large enough to affect the market whatsoever.
Now put yourself in the shoes of a bank, a multi-billion dollar fund - any type of institutional trader. You want to go long $2 billion dollars on a stock, a forex pair, a cryptocurrency - in doing so you face some issues.
You're trading massive size. These types of orders are nearly impossible to hide - people reading the tape, watching level 2 or the DOM (Depth of market, footprint, etc) will see your order from a mile away and front-run you so they can get in on the coming volatility.
Remember - for every buyer (you) there needs to be a seller. How can you ensure you can receive $2bil in shares at the price you're looking for? Who's providing that liquidity?
Following up on point 1 - you can't just buy, buy, buy 100 lots at a time until you get the quantity you desire - price will have moved substantially by the time you're done.
So what are you to do? Take advantage of liquidity pools!
Here's the premise:
Short selling provides long liquidity - they sell the stock anticipating price will go down.
Longs provide short liquidity - they buy the stock anticipating price will go up.
As an institutional trader, what do you need in order to go long?
Many peoples selling short.
What do you need in order to go short?
Trapped buyers.
So this brings us to the next question - How do institutions create sellers if they want to go long, how do they create buyers if they want to go short?
Liquidity Pools
Liquidity pools are areas where we can assume clusters of limit orders and/or stops reside.
Pending limit orders are, by definition - liquidity! They are triggered as price trades through a particular area.
From an institutional perspective - if price trades through X:
Buy orders hit the market = potential short liquidity.
Sell orders hit the market = potential long liquidity.
This brings us to the next question: How do institutions identify liquidity pools?
The answer: Where does the average retail trader place their stop?
Below a swing low or a range low (think flags, channels, trends)
Above a swing high or a range high (think flags, channels, trends)
Above highs, retail traders wait to buy the breakout. They create short liquidity by buying from institutions who are selling short, with the intention of taking the price lower.
Retail traders who short tops tend to place stops right above them - their buy stops create short liquidity as well if price is to wick through a high before going lower.
Trading breakouts, breakdowns and ranges from this perspective gives much more context to "fake breakouts" as they were - the key takeaway is to avoid placing your stops in obvious areas - as these regions tend to get hunted for liquidity.
-Will, OptionsSwing Analyst
Navigating the Market : Simplified #EUR #GBPYou would argue this is "simple" to spot (liquidity pools) because it is a hindsight 20/20 type analysis. I tell you what : Just simple mark weekly high/low and monday high/low, see how many times price have broken it and only to bounce back.
I am not saying price moves like that always but with little context (i.e looking at liquidity pools, sentiment analysis, fundamental analysis: In this case the GBP move to the upside was backed by the news about UK Govt to be prorogued, institutionals very often use these kind of stuff as a "smoking screen risk events.. which institutionals took advantage of , economic risk events like scheduled economic numbers), you can appreciate how repetitive it is.
/** This is not an entry & exit based trading strategy