Turkish Lira gave a devaluation signal on the monthly chartTom Demark count gave a green 2 on the monthly chart. This is a clear buy signal. This happens very rare on a monthly level. Green 2 on a monthly chart means we will have up to 7 months of uptrend.
Weekly and daily charts confirms this as well.
Previous ATH was 3.94320, I expect this will be broken soon, as double tops near ATH are unicorns.
In the upcoming weeks or months a major devaluation of Turkish Lira is possible.
Lira
TRY/JPY 1H Chart: Rising WedgeTRY/JPY 1H Chart: Rising Wedge
The Turkish Lira is losing value against the Japanese Yen in an ascending channel that began to form one week ago. The pattern managed to gain four confirmation points before it started to transform into a rising wedge.
In this kind of figures the currency rate usually makes a breakout in the bottom direction. However, this time the southern side is reliable secured by a combination of the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs. In contrast, the opposite side does not have any obstacles up until the weekly R2 at 31.7523 that will be updated on Monday.
Therefore, the might shortly sneak to the bottom, but then make a rebound and continue the surge.
USD/TRY 1H Chart: Channel DownUSD/TRY 1H Chart: Channel Down
The American Dollar is losing value against the Turkish Lira simultaneously in short-term and medium-term descending channels.
Formation of the channel started after the currency exchange rate bounced off from a combined resistance level formed by the 55- and 200-hour SMAs.
At the moment, the pair is gradually slipping towards the weekly S1 at 3.5067, while path to the north is secured by the 55- and 100-hour SMAs.
In theory , the pattern should remain active at least until the rate reaches the above support level.
But in practice , it will be broken, most probably, already in the second half of the day amid announcement of information on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI.
If the released figures will justify analysts’ expectations, the pair might even fall below the weekly S1.
Rsi daily divergence target 3.6400Rsi daily divergence + overbough daily.H4,weekly,monthly target 3.6400
Turkish central bank (CBRT) cut the FX RRRS by 50 bp in order to boost liquidity.
The central bank has also cut the interbank borrowing limit to TRY22 billion, emphasizing that measures are aimed to tackle the unhealthy price formation.
TRYRUB @ -17.30% one of (1482) best performer (4th Quarter) !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron