Here we look at a simple channel trend on VRCUSD for YTD. Looking for areas of consolidation naturally, and then once found, looking to try and time prior consolidation periods date ranging from a Local High, to a local low. To me, it appears we are in a 2nd longer time frame consolidation period of 50 days. (The two green highlighted areas on the YTD Chart) ...
Looks like we've an extended wave C. There is a ending diagonal triangle which suggest a trend reversal. Also you can see the bullish divergence de RSI is offering us.
Notice that the price has broken the strong resistance around 11.54 levels. I thing this is just a market move to clean all easy longs around that price before the next bullish rally starts.