Litecoin (Cryptocurrency)
LTC Litecoin: Is the bottom in? Bottom in on LITECOIN? Are you bullish?
Long term im bullish on this coin as a side gig. Look how the ws are forming.. juicy?
Question is, have we bottomed or is more room to drop down to under 60EUR? It could drop even more, with the lunar eclipse coming on friday.. but we have hit the 78.6 already... RSI 44...
What do you think?
LTCUSD below previous support, now resistance at 940.00Litecoin (LTCUSD) remains in a neutral stance, as price action continues to trade within a longer-term sideways range. The key trading level at 940.00 will play a crucial role in determining the next directional move.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 1,120, 1,217, 1,320, 1,374
Support Levels: 859.00, 816.00
Bearish Scenario
If LTCUSD fails to bounce back from 940.00 and faces rejection, a downside move could emerge. A sustained decline below this level may trigger selling pressure, targeting 859, followed by a potential retest of the 816.00 psychological support over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario
A decisive bounce back from the 940.00 support level, confirmed by a daily close higher, would shift sentiment toward a bullish outlook. This could open the way for further gains, with upside targets at 1,120, followed by 1,217 and1,274 in an extended rally.
Conclusion
LTCUSD is currently consolidating within a neutral range, with 940.00 acting as a key pivot level. A rejection from this zone could reinforce bearish pressure, while a breakout above 1,120 could confirm bullish momentum. Traders should monitor these levels for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
LTCUSD The Week Ahead 10th March '25Litecoin (LTCUSD) remains in a neutral stance, as price action continues to trade within a longer-term sideways range. The key trading level at 960.00 will play a crucial role in determining the next directional move.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 1,120, 1,217, 1,320, 1,374
Support Levels: 859.00, 816.00
Bearish Scenario
If LTCUSD fails to bounce back from 960.00 and faces rejection, a downside move could emerge. A sustained decline below this level may trigger selling pressure, targeting 859, followed by a potential retest of the 816.00 psychological support over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario
A decisive bounce back from the 960.00 support level, confirmed by a daily close higher, would shift sentiment toward a bullish outlook. This could open the way for further gains, with upside targets at 1,120, followed by 1,217 and1,274 in an extended rally.
Conclusion
LTCUSD is currently consolidating within a neutral range, with 960.00 acting as a key pivot level. A rejection from this zone could reinforce bearish pressure, while a breakout above 1,120 could confirm bullish momentum. Traders should monitor these levels for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Short Term Could Drop Be Careful Here - Possible $100Some bad news came out. Bybit got hacked for a lot of Ethereum. How this happens I dont understand but more than likely an inside job. These run out a basement exchanges are dangerous never leave your crypto on an exchange, NONE OF THEM.
Anyways I dont like the break of this rising wedge or potential bear flag. If this deosnt break back into the wedge and close in it then we could se another drop to about 100 or so if the measured move plays out. Be cautious here.
Not Financial advice.
LTCN Litecoin Grayscale Trust Cup & Handle Target $500LTCN has created a giant cup and handle pattern. If this measured move plays out which i believe it will we could a prior all time high at least. This is all dependent on what Litecoin will do obviously and if you read my in depth analysis you see that I believe Litecoin will be worth more than 10k in the coming years.
Grayscale has also filed to convert its Litecoin Grayscale Trust to an ETF, which will almost certainly happen. This is also why the price of LTCN has lost most of its premium and is coming down to its NAV price. LTCN will follow Litecoin to its NAV price from here on out more than likely so dont expect wild swings unless Litecoin makes wild swings.
There is a bearish scenario I must tell you about as well. The chart pattern you see is a cup and handle but also the triangle price action has been in since the pump is a descending triangle. Descending triangles are normally bearish. A break below the support line and a closure below would mean LTCN comes down to probably 3 to 6 dollars. This is highly unlikely unless the entire crypto market tanks and Litecoin comes down to 30 dollars. I dont see that happening but I thought I would point that out. There are instances where the descending triangle is bullish. This is probably one of them, where the price continues to bounce off the lower support line but fails to break through finding support and eventually breaking out of the triangle to the upside. There could be a false breakdown trapping short traders before the move up as well so dont be fooled. BBWP is indicating a sizeable move coming it just doesnt tell us what direction. From my analysis I believe its a 90% chance we break up.
This is not financial advice this is just my opinion. Follow me for more updates. Thank you and good luck my friends.
LTCUSD Support retest Litecoin (LTCUSD) remains in a neutral stance, as price action continues to trade within a longer-term sideways range. The key trading level at 960.00 will play a crucial role in determining the next directional move.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 1,120, 1,217, 1,320, 1,374
Support Levels: 859.00, 816.00
Bearish Scenario
If LTCUSD fails to bounce back from 960.00 and faces rejection, a downside move could emerge. A sustained decline below this level may trigger selling pressure, targeting 859, followed by a potential retest of the 816.00 psychological support over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario
A decisive bounce back from the 960.00 support level, confirmed by a daily close higher, would shift sentiment toward a bullish outlook. This could open the way for further gains, with upside targets at 1,120, followed by 1,217 and1,274 in an extended rally.
Conclusion
LTCUSD is currently consolidating within a neutral range, with 960.00 acting as a key pivot level. A rejection from this zone could reinforce bearish pressure, while a breakout above 1,120 could confirm bullish momentum. Traders should monitor these levels for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
LTC Litecoin Could Do One More Round Of Bouncing Within WedgeThis is a possible scenario here. This is in line format not candles so wicks could be lower than than this. Lines remove all the wicks and are just on an open and close basis, kind of cleaning up the noise. This is not guaranteed to happen but it is a possible scenario before we break out again around the end of March. I'll post below a candle chart as well so you can see those levels. As long as we stay within this wedge on a closing basis and within the channel on the candle format then we should be fine. If we break down below the wedge or channel and close below it then thats not going to be very good. I don't see this happening thats just worst case scenario.
Follow me for more updates. Not financial advice. Thank you
LTCUSD Key Levels The Week Ahead 03rd March ‘25Litecoin (LTCUSD) remains in a neutral stance, as price action continues to trade within a longer-term sideways range. The key trading level at 1,140 will play a crucial role in determining the next directional move.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 1,140, 1,395, 1,523, 1,709
Support Levels: 1,082, 1,000
Bearish Scenario
If LTCUSD fails to break above 1,140 and faces rejection, a downside move could emerge. A sustained decline below this level may trigger selling pressure, targeting 1,082, followed by a potential retest of the 1,000 psychological support over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario
A decisive breakout above the 1,395 resistance level, confirmed by a daily close, would shift sentiment toward a bullish outlook. This could open the way for further gains, with upside targets at 1,523, followed by 1,709 in an extended rally.
Conclusion
LTCUSD is currently consolidating within a neutral range, with 1,140 acting as a key pivot level. A rejection from this zone could reinforce bearish pressure, while a breakout above 1,395 could confirm bullish momentum. Traders should monitor these levels for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The key is to rise near 134.91
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(LTCUSDT 1M chart)
The key is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and rise above 163.89.
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(1W chart)
Since the M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart has changed, if the price maintains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, it is expected to maintain an upward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the uptrend by receiving support near 95.73-102.34.
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(1D chart)
In order to maintain the uptrend, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.618 (133.53).
If not,
1st: 113.39-117.30
2nd: 95.73-102.34
We need to look at whether it receives support near the 1st and 2nd points above.
Based on the current price position, I think the start of a full-scale uptrend is likely to begin when it rises above the HA-High indicator point of 163.89 on the 1M chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market.
There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along.
I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation.
bitinfocharts.com
bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind.
Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there.
It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me.
The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going.
For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018:
Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally.
Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction.
HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops.
This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving.
-Victor Cobra
TradeCityPro | LTCUSDT Let's go for spot buying?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to analyze and review Litecoin analysis, one of the oldest coins in the market, and let's go to update the triggers of the previous analysis!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting today's altcoin analysis, let's look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714.
Yesterday's correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, it is one of the coins that is in a good position compared to the coins and has had the least correction in recent declines and is in this position due to the possibility of ETF approval
There is no need to complicate things in this time frame and after the break of 136.45, we will buy and be above 98.44. This trigger is valid and we do not have much of an exit trigger for the conditions of these days on this chart and for now it is better to continue holding
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily time frame, we are also in a good position and we had a good return after the recent market decline due to the Bybit hack and Trump's tariffs and this is a good thing!
After breaking the 75.01 level and exiting the daily box and breaking its ceiling, we moved up to the resistance of 136.45 and are now fluctuating between the 98.44 to 136.45 boxes.
We also had a curve line in this time frame that was a good support for this event and every time we hit it, we made a good move upwards, but after its failure, it can be said that the upward trend moved into the range and went to form a new structure.
To buy spot after the 136.45 trigger is broken, we can buy for spot with a stop loss of 98.44 and as long as we are above 114.38, the 136.45 trigger is very important for us and it shows us more the strength of buyers and in case of a 98.44 break, we will go for 89 and 80 and we will have a price correction.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
Litecoin Update Including 1,300% Target From Bottom-UpThis is Litecoin on the weekly timeframe and nothing changes; super, hyper bullish.
First, notice the volume, it continues to rise. The last two weeks produced the highest volume ever and this is the best signal you can find. Volume is the most important signal to confirm the validity of a move.
Second, notice the current weekly candle. There is a very long lower wick (shadow), and the action moves back above support. This is a very strong signal, why? There was much selling, really strong selling pressure but buyers showed up and bought everything. If the week closes at current price, we have a bullish signal in the form of a hammer. If it closes higher, even a stronger bullish signal. If it closes lower, the bullish bias remains intact because the action is very strong compared to the early February wick low.
The early February low hit $80. Litecoin is currently trading at $127.
I updated this chart to show more long-term, real and reasonable, targets. We have a target around $450 for 250% and another one at $707 for more than 450%. Now, this potential is because Litecoin is already pretty advanced in its bullish cycle since it has been growing since August 2024.
If we consider growth potential but starting from the market bottom, we are looking at 800% and 1,300% or more. It is likely that Litecoin will peak much higher, but we have time to adapt to how far high prices will go. Right now, the wise move is to buy and hold.
Buy and hold will take care of everything. Leverage can be used but it should be very low. It is better to earn a safe and secure 500%, than to go for a risky 5,000% and lose everything along the way. Don't get me wrong, leverage trading is an amazing tool but it should be used with caution. If you are buying Crypto to change your life, to live in abundance and be rich, you are better up buying and holding and increasing your money slowly but surely. In 2025 we will all win.
Thank you for coming back and for deciding to read.
It is my pleasure to write for you.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Finds Support, Relation 2 Altcoins Market & Bullish TalkBitcoin is trading right now between the 0.5 and 0.382 Fib. retracement levels relative to the last bullish wave. Let's dissect what this means.
The main levels are always 0.382 and 0.618 when it comes to Fibonacci retracements. The 0.5 level is also relevant and pairs tend to find support around this line.
Bitcoin broke the 0.382 Fib. level decisively but on very low volume.
Bitcoin failed to test 0.5 Fib. retracement level as support.
The fact that volume is low and 0.5 wasn't pierced works in favors of the bulls.
Notice that 0.618, the golden ratio, is not even in question. This is because the market is ultra-bullish. When the market is bullish, a reversal tends to happen at 0.382 or above 0.618. The fact that Bitcoin stopped its fall above this major support is good news for the bulls. This is good for those that are trading Bitcoin LONG. Just hold patiently because prices will recover and Bitcoin will grow. Not only grow but massive growth.
Signals continue to develop from the Altcoins market, today is not the same as yesterday, today we have a continuation on many, many big and small pairs.
At first, it would be doubtful to trust the signals that I am showing because the action was young in some cases, in other cases it was weak and small. But this isn't the case anymore.
Very big projects such as Aptos, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Polkadot, Zcash and Maker are only a few of the many examples I've been showing you. This is enough to know, confirm and trust that the bottom is already in, the Altcoins market is going up. The only way the Altcoins can grow is if Bitcoin is also going to grow. The Altcoins never move up while Bitcoin is bearish. Seeing an Altcoin growing 100%+ in a single day means that the bears are weak while the bulls are strong. We are experiencing the final-final flush before a major, massive, incredibly, hyper, uber-rich Cryptocurrency market bull-run.
So support is good and support is really strong. The 0.5 Fib. retracement level sits at $79,000 but this level wasn't hit. Bitcoin bottomed before hitting $82,000 but some people are saying lower and this is where confusion comes.
I understand that we have many great traders and market analysts. TradingView is truly the best place in the world (Internet) for trading, learning, growing and sharing about financial markets and charts. But these same markets and charts can't lie. We can interpret some signals in a way that is detached from reality but the market is never wrong. Whatever is about to happen, it is clearly revealed when we look at the charts.
FIOUSDT is another pair that is breaking up just too strong after a higher low. The low being 3-February and the higher low a few days ago (25-Feb). This is just another confirmation that the correction is over; we (Bitcoin) are going up next.
It is great to be part of this market and this community.
It is such a blessing to have access this kind of knowledge and information. Because I can read this now I can rest easy and be calm. I know that regardless of what happens, Bitcoin is going up.
Bitcoin isn't going up in years to come, nor in the future far away. Bitcoin is set to grow, together with the Altcoins market, in a matter of days.
Are you ready for the 2025 bull-market?
Thank you.
Your continued support is appreciated.
We are winners and will continue to win regardless of what is takes.
We will pour our hearts, our sweat and our blood into what we do and trust. If today I make the right decision, tomorrow I am taking a big bag of money home.
The Cryptocurrency market is changing (saving) the world.
The money monopoly is over.
Money used to mean bondage, now, money is freedom.
Namaste.
LITECOIN ($LTC)—$130 SPIKE FLAGS BIG TRADELITECOIN ( CRYPTOCAP:LTC )—$130 SPIKE FLAGS BIG TRADE
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! Litecoin ( CRYPTOCAP:LTC ) is buzzing, up 25% to $ 130 in 2 days 💰 ETF hype swirls, let’s unpack this crypto sleeper! 🌍
(2/9) – PRICE POP
• Surge: $ 106 to $ 130, 25% jolt 📈
• Avg: $ 114.98 since Dec ‘24 💡
• Rank: Top weekly gainer 🌟
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s flexing, dino coin roars!
(3/9) – TRADE SETUP
• Range: Bouncing at $ 114.98 🚗
• Gain: 25% in 48 hrs—swift climb 🌞
• Past: Steady over a decade 💪
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s brewing, short-term juice flows!
(4/9) – ETF BUZZ
• Odds: 80% for LTC ETF nod 📊
• Impact: Institutional cash looms 🌍
• Vs BTC: Digital silver shines 💎
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s gearing up, big bets ahead!
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• BTC Shade: King’s glare dims ⚠️
• Volatility: Swings sting quick 🐻
• ETF Wait: Regs lag, hope wobbles 🔒
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s hot, can it dodge the fade?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Stay: Decade strong, legit cred 💪
• Pop: $ 130 spike, 25% zip 🏋️
• Base: Steady $ 114.98—tough nut 🌱
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s gritty, silver’s got guts!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: BTC’s shadow looms 🙈
• Opportunities: ETF buzz, trader zing 🌏
Can CRYPTOCAP:LTC vault past the pack?
(8/9) – CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s $ 130 pop, what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 150+ stacks up 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Holds, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, $ 100 dip looms 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s $ 130 spike and ETF buzz spark zing, silver sleeper 🪙 Steady grit, risks lurk, gem or bust?
LTC/USD Secondary trend (part). 09 12 2023Logarithm. Time frame 1 day. Part of the secondary trend. Channel to work, price consolidation in its lower part. A high probability of an upward exit from it. Key levels are shown by arrows. Percentages for clarity and target orientation similarly.
This is how it looks like on a line chart without "market noise". .
Double bottom with a flat top in an accumulation channel. Post-halving time.
A local uptrending channel that has a double bottom with a flat top. This is a strong bullish pattern that says price is (this accumulation zone) at the lows of the trend initiation. The last cycle after the capitulation (end of the participation phase) of all liquid instruments (this is important) began with this structure, which is a display of the actions, first of all, of large market participants that have an impact on pricing (holding). For example, look at the bitcoin 2020 chart and this structure. Similar to what happened on LTC a few months after the halving.
Major trend. Cycles. Super profits.
LTC is a cryptocurrency that has survived many cycles and has not depreciated completely, although it can be seen that the capitalization and leadership positions are not able to compete with the new 2 cycle HYIP giants.
From the position of the cycle before last (distributions, i.e. highs) 2017, this cryptocurrency is on a big super profit. There are very few cryptocurrencies in the crypto market that are in their main trend in an uptrend and are on super profits relative to previous cycles. LTC is one of them. As a rule, the opposite is true. It is clear that the main major holders in most cases for such a long period of existence in the crypto market, LTC has already been repeatedly changed. But with this logic of the price chart, which is displayed on a long history and on a large time frame, should be considered and taken into account in its risk management.
Major trend. Time frame 1 month.
LTC/USD Main trend. Halving. Cycles The psychology of repetitionMain trend. The graph is logarithmic. The timeframe is 1 month. This idea is relevant both for understanding the secondary trend work and as a training in simple cyclic, logical manipulation processes. Note also the halving of the LTC and the designated time zones between cycles.
The primary trend is an uptrend in which a huge butterfly is forming (forming part 2)
Secondary trend is a downward channel.
Local trend in the secondary trend is a wedge.
Coin in the coin market : Litecoin
The chart is taken from the Bitfiniex exchange, I used it because of the long price history (the coin has been traded on this exchange for a long time). Of course, the chart is relevant for all exchanges with liquidity. The coin and the pair are liquid, it is acceptable to set large positions. The price behavior is predictable. Ups/Downs are similar. Let's consider them below.
Everything is unpredictable only for absolutely predictable people, it always was, is and will be.
Same time frame on a line chart (no market noise, pure trend direction)
A close-up of this area on the line chart.
And this area on the candlestick chart.
What matters is the average buy/sell. Approach the market regardless of the size of your deposit as a major market participant. Stop thinking like a "hamster". You don't need to guess, you need to know and be prepared for any outcome, even unlikely scenarios.
Psychology of behavior in the market.
Expectation. Reality. "Stop-loss resets. Cyclicality of predictable behavior. .
Predictable price behavior. "Knockouts" of obedient (acting by the rules) and naughty (acting on emotion) fools are as logical and predictable as anything else everywhere else. Increase your knowledge and experience, and it won't affect you.
Remember, theory without practice is nothing. Real trading is very different from theory, you should understand that. That's why all "programmed traders" lose money or their earnings are quite modest.
You should not ask anyone where to buy/sell this or that crypto-asset. You should initially know yourself under what conditions you will buy and under what conditions you will sell.
Past "stop-losses" before secondary trend reversals .
Secondary trend reversal zones and "takeout" before pullbacks in 2019 (+450 average) and 2021 (+900% average).
Candlestick chart. 3-day timeframe. Fear peak zones.
Line chart. Three-day timeframe. Fear peak zones. (without market noise).
As we can see, this "fear peak" on the line chart evaporates, all these local "super resets" have no effect on the trend. It's just the "death of hamsters." The capitulation of human stupidity and greed. You can add predictability and submissiveness to this. The train always leaves without such marketable characters.
Such always sell (fear) at the lowest prices, shortly before the trend reverses. It is worth adding that they buy at the highest prices "at the behest" of the pump to get fabulously "rich. This makes the cryptocurrency market super profitable. Such fuel is the basis of profit. "Market fuel flows" lend themselves to cycles.
Price management is the psychology and manipulation of people's minds through basic instincts through price values. All of this is real and as old as the world. A foolish person keeps stepping on the same rake, each time telling himself that this is the last time, or this is a special case.
This "last case" must be repeated systematically, but in different conditions that you create. Your effectiveness depends on how masterful you are at forming such obsessive thoughts in the mind of such market characters.
Fundamentals of Trading. Trading strategy. Capital management. Price forecasting.
It is your trading strategy and money management, based on your experience, that is the basis of trading, not guessing the price. But guessing is what most people want. Such people should have no money. As a rule, such people in real life are very poor, do not have their own business, go "to work" (do not want to take responsibility).
They think real life doesn't give them many resources, but market speculation will quickly make them fabulously rich. Rather the opposite is true. Total impoverishment regardless of the direction of the trend due to the reinforcement of destructive qualities of a person with financial instruments. The behavior of such people in the market is a projection of what they are like in real life.
The behavior of people in financial markets is a projection of what they are in real life. That is, their positive and negative psychological qualities. You can't run away from yourself. A stupid person will be overtaken by his own stupidity, a greedy person by greed, an intolerant person by intolerance, an indecisive person by indecision, an irresponsible person by irresponsibility.
Such will be punished by their own destructive qualities. The main thing is that the victim draws conclusions from this and it is an incentive to correct the root cause and basis of the failures, rather than looking for the culprit of his own stupidity in "random events" and other people.
You guessed once, second time, third time zeroed in and hit your own self-confidence with your own stupidity and predictability. Consequently, all your previous guesses at the distance equals zero.
Trading is a probability game. It is impossible to guess everything because of the many components of pricing. It is possible not to guess, but to know the more and less potentially realizable probabilities because of certain market conditions.
No one knows the exact future, there is only an assumed more likely future and the work that leads to it.
The basis of profit/loss is what you are in the here and now. Your knowledge and experience are projected onto the chart. The symbiosis of these two parameters makes or loses money in practice.
Read these 6 points carefully:
1) The first problem most marketers have is that everyone wants to get a lot of money in the moment and, most importantly, without effort. That's what most people want, so it's not rational or dangerous to satisfy their desires.
2) The second problem is that they can't be "out of the market" until they find a good entry point. "Fear of missing out" does its destructive work.
3) The third problem is, of course, the disease from "childhood," which manifests itself in adulthood. People begin to collect various crypto coins, endowing them with different values according to their beliefs and, above all, their desires.
4) The fourth problem is greed, insatiability combined with inexperience. People don't want to protect their profits, they want more and more and more and more and more, eventually from greed and inexperience they completely (more greedy) or partially (less greedy) nullify themselves.
5) Lack of knowledge and experience. Lack of desire to develop and learn. The less experienced a market participant is, the more confident he is in his competence and "screams text".
6) The sixth most serious problem - laziness. It manifests itself in the fact that few people want to work, everyone wants to have.
Under ideas are captured my trading ideas for this trading pair over the past 3 years. Most of them are previously closed trade ideas. There are 3 learning ideas that I have shown on this trading pair (based on publicly published simple trading ideas) .