Get started

Community ideas

Lingrid | GOLD resistance Swap Zone Shorting OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching a critical retest of the broken upward trendline and swap zone near 3342 after failing to maintain resistance above the 3400 area. The prior double top pattern and bearish divergence signal weakening momentum. If the price is rejected at the retest level, a move toward 3300 becomes likely. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: rejection from 3340-3350 with lower high Buy zone: 3295–3300 Target: 3300 and potentially 3245 Buy trigger: reclaim of 3342 with strong bullish candle 💡 Risks Breakout above 3342 could reverse structure Support at 3300 may hold firm on the first test Weak volume could lead to fake moves in tight consolidation Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lingrid
17
Bitcoin - Pump will continue! Sell here, thank me later.Bitcoin has been pumping in the past few days pretty massively. Why? There are 2 main reasons - the first reason is that Bitcoin has finished a major WXY corrective wave, and the second is that Bitcoin swept liquidity below a triangle (see my previous post for details). That was a very good opportunity to buy/long Bitcoin at that specific level I described in the previous analysis. But let's focus on the present and future! We always want to find strong levels on the charts so we have a great entry point/take profit target. The next strong level is definitely the 0.618 FIB, which Bitcoin can hit in the very short term. Also, below the 0.618 FIB, we have a strong horizontal zone, which can also act as a strong resistance. Bitcoin should definitely go there and retest this zone. We want to see how Bitcoin is going to react in the zone and FIB, but you can create a new limit order to short Bitcoin there so you don't miss anything. So currently I am temporarily bullish on Bitcoin, and in the next update I will make a big analysis on Bitcoin and a very likely scenario for the next months. What will the price of Bitcoin be in December? Please like/boost my idea right now. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
99
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Quick update following on from yesterday’s post. As expected, we got the push up after the EMA5 cross and lock above 3318, but price just fell short of our bullish target at 3352, leaving it open. This level now acts as a magnet, with price currently playing between 3318 and 3352, creating a tight range. We're watching closely for tests on both 3318 and 3352, with direction confirmed only by EMA5 cross and lock. The gap to 3352 still remains, so any bullish momentum should aim to fill this cleanly. Until one of these levels breaks with confirmation, we’ll likely continue seeing choppy movement in this range. We’ll keep using dips into support for intraday buys, targeting our usual 20–40 pip bounce trades as structure allows. Once again, thank you all for your ongoing support and engagement, we’ll continue to keep you updated throughout the week, as price unfolds and setups confirm. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
EURUSD - Waiting for the Breakdown After 4H SweepEURUSD has just completed a sweep of the 4H highs, tagging liquidity resting above the consolidation range. That move looks like a classic inducement, with price now reacting lower and showing signs of weakness. This type of sweep, especially when it happens inside a range, often leads to a reversal back through the range, provided the internal low breaks cleanly. Right now, price is still hovering above that key point, but we can see signs of slowing momentum already. Liquidity Context and Sweep Logic This recent push above the highs fits well within ICT-style logic: a sweep of internal range liquidity that serves to fuel the opposite move. The chart shows a textbook example of a consolidation phase being manipulated to the upside first, where buy stops get triggered and liquidity is taken. The real move tends to unfold after that, once we get confirmation through structure breaks and displacement to the downside. Structure Break and Bearish Confirmation The internal low within the range is acting as a key trigger level. A clean break below that would serve as confirmation of a bearish market structure shift. That’s the point where the market goes from internal liquidity hunt to actual displacement. If that low gives way, the probability of continuation lower increases significantly, and that’s where I’ll be expecting price to seek the next pocket of liquidity. Support and Key Area of Interest There’s also a well-respected support level not too far below, one that price has bounced from several times. That area could either act as a temporary reaction zone or, if broken impulsively, could open the path toward deeper inefficiencies. Ideally, I want to see price break below both the internal low and this support area, then continue toward my next level of interest where I expect either a reaction or a higher probability setup to form. Conclusion For now, this setup is a waiting game. The liquidity has been swept on the upside, and now it’s all about whether the structure confirms to the downside. I’m not interested in chasing the first move. What I want to see is displacement below the internal low and support level, followed by continuation or a clean reaction from the next zone of interest. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
37
Tesla Crashed 57% — Here’s What History Says Happens AfterThose who knows me you know Im Tesla Bull. I got a longterm vision for Robotics and AI. Which I think Tesla will be big part of it. Whether you like Elon Musk or not Tesla will participate. Can. his behavior and politics acitivities affect Tesla stocks? Absolutely, Im aware that this is risky long term investment. I got numbers which I follow, shared in my previous Tesla ideas. Here is a just price action and historical perspective - History doesnt repeat but it definitely rhymes and I can see this pattern repeating. Here is a key points. 5 years accumulation Few big dumps followed by rejections Break out and new ATH ATH imidiatelly followed by 60% dump After Dump price expanded 1000% Currently we are at point 4..... Will the history repeat ?? I dont know and Im not shilling anything, its my view which Im betting on based on the data from the expert analysts which I shared in this posts. PS: Every of mine Tesla idea gets too emotional comments. I get it, you hate Elon, or you have different opinions. Fine I respect that, but please stay civil, it's not necessary to attack person on the internet for having different opinion. Have a gret day !! Called and bought $200 bottom Long term vision
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by David_Perk
10
ETH/USD.1D CHART PATTERN.I'm looking at a long trade idea on ETH/USD with the following structure: Buy Entry: $2,740 Target 1: $3,320 Target 2: $4,000 Here's a breakdown of the trade setup and key considerations: --- 📈 Trade Summary Parameter Value Entry $2,740 Target 1 $3,320 Target 2 $4,000 Potential Upside (to T1) ~21.2% Potential Upside (to T2) ~46% --- 🔍 Technical Considerations Before entering, consider: 1. Support at $2,740: Check if this level aligns with major moving averages (e.g., 100/200-day) or prior demand zones. 2. Resistance Zones: Around $3,320: Watch for profit-taking pressure or horizontal resistance. $4,000: Likely a strong psychological and technical barrier. 3. Volume Confirmation: Look for rising volume or breakout candles to confirm momentum. --- ⚠ Risk Management Stop Loss: Consider placing it below recent support (e.g., ~$2,600 or tighter, depending on strategy). Position Sizing: Use a % of your portfolio that fits your risk tolerance (e.g., risking 1–2% per trade). --- ✅ Example Risk/Reward (R:R) To Target 1: Risking $140 (Stop at $2,600), Gain of $580 → R:R ~4.1:1 To Target 2: Gain of $1,260 → R:R ~9:1 --- Would you like a chart with technical indicators or help automating alerts on TradingView?
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Money_Magnet5
13
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Not a bad day on the markets but the ranging only allowed us to scalp and take short trades from the bias level published and the extension level which did give an extremely decent move downside. We now have support at the 3320 level with resistance 3330 which should be attacked if support holds. There is a level below 3310-12 which needs to be kept an eye on for the Asian session, but for now we'll stick with the plan. Tomorrow we have a lot of news and after the accumulation over the last two days we're expecting some aggressive price action. Take it easy, play the game and remember, large lots on small accounts blow accounts. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306✅, 3299✅, 3297✅, 3285 and 3275 Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345✅, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376 Red boxes: Break above 3310 for 3320✅, 3332✅, if held above 3335✅, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move Break below 3306 for 3299✅, 3295✅, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
Gold’s back on track, paying attention to momentum and hintsXAUUSD is still climbing steadily within its upward parallel channel, respecting structure beautifully as we’re now seeing early signs of bullish interest returning, right after we got a nice rejection from the support zone. Currently I’m watching this bounce to have a target near 3,380 , somewhere around the middle line of the ascending channel. If this bullish push continues with strong volume and momentum, I’ll be locking in that bias and planning my entry accordingly. Patience first, I always wait for price to prove itself before getting involved. This could be a beautiful continuation… Or just one more fakeout before a deeper drop.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
92
Bitcoin At Resistance: OMG! Not Another 20X SHORT!Sell at resistance; buy at support. Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. Being able to adapt to changing market conditions is one of the signs of being a great trader. Being able to spot changes on a chart is also indicative of someone that can produce great results in this and other markets. How are you feeling today? It is no secret, we let everyone know; We sell when prices are high, we buy a lot when prices are low. Bitcoin is now trading below its 20-Jan 2025 peak price. And it is also producing a lower high. Both bearish signals that are pointing to a lower low. If the first drop settled around 100K, the second one should settle in the low 90s or right below 90K. It can go lower of course but we go step by step. I am not saying GO SHORT 20X again. This would only be possible for people who are smart, experienced traders and those that can take advantage of a changing situation without breaking their portfolio or long-term plans. Those can definitely SHORT this setup and profit short-term. A trader trades, it is what he/she does. You sell when prices are high if a drop is incoming, you buy when prices are low if a rise is next. This is a friendly reminder and it carries great entry prices and timing. Follow the chart. Trading volume is super low as Bitcoin trades near resistance and this is one of the biggest exchanges in the world. Low volume at this point reveals a pattern of distribution, distribution means lower of course. Both the MACD & RSI move on the bullish zone but trending lower, bearish at this point. What will it be: Will Bitcoin move down next? Will Bitcoin move up? My money is on down. Leave a comment if you agree. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
24
XAG/USD - Channel Breakout (11.06.2025) The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a CHannel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3587 2nd Support – 3555 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
NZD/USD..1h chart pattern..NZD/USD 1H chart appears to show a bullish breakout pattern, supported by: An ascending trendline. Price holding above the Ichimoku cloud. A clear breakout projection drawn with an arrow to a higher level. --- 🔍 Estimated Target Based on Chart Structure Based on visual estimation and the pattern: Current breakout level: ~0.6050 Projected target (based on prior swing and consolidation height): ~0.6150 – 0.6170 This suggests a target zone of 100–120 pips from the breakout area. --- 🧮 How This Target Is Likely Derived Looks like a bullish flag or ascending triangle setup. The vertical height of the pattern (approx. 100–120 pips) is added to the breakout point (~0.6050), giving: Target ≈ 0.6050 + 0.0100 to 0.0120 = 0.6150 to 0.6170 --- 📌 Key Levels to Watch Support: 0.6025–0.6040 (cloud + trendline confluence) Breakout confirmation: Strong 1H candle close above 0.6050–0.6060 Target: 0.6150–0.6170 Would you like help setting this up in TradingView with alerts or position size based on your risk?
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
10
Bitcoin - Bulls in Control: Aiming For $110kBitcoin has just confirmed a strong bullish breakout after consolidating beneath a prior fair value gap. The market not only broke out of that zone cleanly but did so with conviction, creating a new inversion fair value gap (IFVG) along the way. This type of structure often indicates a shift in sentiment, especially when paired with increasing volume and impulsive candles. Fair Value Gap Break and Continuation Context Following the breakout, price surged straight through another 4H FVG overhead, flipping it with strength and no hesitation. That kind of move shows clear intent. The market didn't pause or stall at resistance, which increases the probability that the same pattern could play out again, clean break, shallow pullback, and continuation. The breakout level now holds as short-term support. Near-Term Expectations – FVG Fill Before Higher With this latest 4H candle close, I’m now expecting a short pullback to fill the newly created 4H FVG below. This would provide the market with the fuel it needs to continue higher without leaving inefficient price action behind. The structure is setting up a classic breakout-fill-continue sequence, and the next key objective sits just below a clear resistance zone overhead. Conclusion Bitcoin broke out of a compression zone, formed an IFVG, and followed up with a strong push through the next fair value gap. I’m expecting a controlled retracement to fill the new 4H imbalance, after which price could continue pushing toward the major resistance area. The momentum is clean and structured—until that changes, continuation remains the more likely path. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
50
Euro may reach seller zone and then continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, the price started to grow, bouncing from the support line, and soon reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then it declined to support line, making the correction and then made an impulse up from this line to the resistance level, breaking the 1.1070 level. After this movement, the Euro made a correction and then continued to grow and broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and even rose higher than the seller zone. But soon Euro turned around and started to decline and broke the 1.1455 level again, after which it declined to the support line inside the range. Price little grew near this line, but later broke the support line and continued to decline. It fell to the support level, which is the bottom part of the range, and then started to grow. Euro later reached the top part of the range, which is the resistance level, and not long time ago turned around and started to decline. So, after looking for this chart, I think that the Euro may enter to seller zone and then continue to decline inside the range. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1250 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
12
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(09-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (09-06-2025) Current price- 3328 "if Price stays below 3336-38, then next target is 3318, 3308, 3290 and 3270 and above that 3348 and 3360 ". -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
60
GOLD → Hunt for liquidity ahead of continued correctionFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to uncertainty while the dollar consolidates. Amid heightened volatility, a retest of the 3340 liquidity zone may form, and if buyers fail to keep the price above this zone, gold may form a correction Demand for the dollar is supported by the rise in USD/JPY after soft comments on interest rates by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. Gold is responding with a correction. Traders remain cautious ahead of the outcome of the second day of trade talks between the US and China in London. Donald Trump confirmed that dialogue with Beijing is continuing, but key differences remain. Investors are also awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which could determine the further dynamics of the dollar and gold. Meanwhile, inflation expectations in the US fell from 3.6% to 3.2% in May. Technically, gold broke the structure and confirmed key resistance during the correction. A hunt for liquidity is possible before the decline continues towards the key target of 3275. Resistance levels: 3340, 3361 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is forming a new trading range of 3340 - 3301 (3294). Before declining, especially if the fundamental background changes to positive as negotiations progress, gold may test the liquidity zone of 3340 and form a false breakout, which will trigger a continuation of the correction to 3275. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
Position Sizing 101: How Not to Blow Up Your Account OvernightWelcome to the trading equivalent of wearing a seatbelt. Not really exciting but entirely recommended for its lifesaving properties. When the market crashes into your stop-loss at 3:47 a.m., you’ll wish you’d taken this lesson seriously. Let’s talk position sizing — the least flashy but most essential tool in your trading kit. This is your friendly reminder that no matter how perfect your chart setup looks, if you’re risking 50% of your capital on a single trade, you’re not trading. You’re gambling. And also — if you lose 50% of your account, you have to gain 100% to get even. ✋ “Sir, This Isn’t a Casino” Let’s start with a story. New trader. Fresh demo account turned real. He sees a clean breakout. He YOLOs half his account into Tesla ( TSLA ). "This is it," he thinks, "the trade that changes everything." News flash: it did change everything — his $10,000 account turned into $2,147 in 48 hours. The lesson? Position sizing isn’t just about managing capital. It’s about managing ego. Because the market doesn’t care how convinced you are. 🌊 Risk of Ruin: The More You Know There’s a lovely concept in trading called “risk of ruin.” Sounds dramatic — and it is. It refers to the likelihood of your account going to zero if you keep trading the way you do. If you risk 10% of your account on every trade, you only need to be wrong a few times in a row to go from “pro trader” to “Hey, ChatGPT, is trading a scam?” Risking 1–2% per trade, however? Now we’re talking sustainability. Now you can be wrong ten times in a row and still live to click another chart. 🎯 The Math That Saves You Let’s illustrate the equation: Position size = Account size × % risk / (Entry – Stop Loss) Example: $10,000 account, risking 1%, with a 50-point stop loss on a futures trade. $10,000 × 0.01 = $100 $100 / 50 = 2 contracts That’s it. No Fibonacci razzle-dazzle or astrology needed. Just basic arithmetic and a willingness to not be a hero. 🤔 The Myth of Conviction Every trader has a moment where they say: “I know this is going to work.” Spoiler alert: You don’t. And the moment you convince yourself otherwise, you start increasing position size based on emotion, not logic. That’s where accounts go to die. Even the greats keep it tight. Paul Tudor Jones, the legend himself, once said: “Don't focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.” Translation: size down, cowboy. 🔔 Position Size ≠ Trade Size A common mistake: confusing position size with trade size. Trade size is how big your order is. Position size is how much of your total capital is being risked. You could be trading 10 lots — but if your stop loss is tight, your position size might still be conservative. So yes, trade big. But only if your risk is small. You’ll do better at this once you figure out how asymmetric risk reward works. 🌦️ Losses Happen. Don’t Let Them Compound Let’s say you lose 5% on a trade. No big deal, right? Until you try to “make it back” by doubling down on the next one. And then again. And suddenly, you’re caught in a death spiral of revenge trading . This is not theoretical. It’s Tuesday morning for many traders. Proper position sizing cushions the blow. It turns what would be a catastrophe into a lesson — maybe even a mildly annoying Tuesday. 🌳 It’s Not Just About Risk — It’s About Freedom Smart sizing gives you flexibility (and a good night’s sleep). Want to hold through some noise? You can. Want to scale in? You’re allowed. Want to sleep at night without hugging your laptop? Welcome to emotional freedom. Jesse Livermore, arguably the most successful trader of all time, said it best: “If you can’t sleep at night because of your stock market position, then you have gone too far. If this is the case, then sell your position down to the sleeping level.” ⛳ What the Pros Actually Do Here’s a dirty little secret: pros rarely go all-in without handling the risk part first (that is, calibrating the position size). If they’re not allocating small portions of capital across uncorrelated trades, they’ll go big on a trade that has an insanely-well controlled risk level. That way, if the trade turns against them, they’ll only lose what they can afford to lose and stay in the game. Another great one, Stanley Druckenmiller, who operated one of the best-returning hedge funds (now a family office) said: “I believe the best way to manage risk is to be bullish when you have a compelling risk/reward.” 🏖️ The Summer of FOMO Let’s address the seasonal vibes. Summer’s here. Volume’s thin. Liquidity’s weird. Breakouts don’t follow through. Every false move looks like the real deal until it isn’t. And every poolside Instagram story from your trader friend makes you want to hit that buy button harder. This is where position sizing saves you from yourself. Small trades, wide stops, chill mindset. Or big trades, tight stops, a bit of excitement in your day. No matter what you choose, make sure to get your dose of daily news every morning, keep your eye on the economic calendar , and stay sharp on any upcoming earnings reports (GameStop NYSE:GME is right around the corner, delivering Tuesday). ☝️ Final Thoughts: The Indicator You Control In a world of lagging indicators, misleading news headlines, and “experts” selling you dreams, position sizing is one of the few things you have total control over. And that makes it powerful. So next time you feel the rush — the urge to go big — take a breath. Remember the math. Remember the odds. And remember: the fastest way to blow up isn’t a bad trade — it’s a good trade sized wrong. Off to you: How are you handling your trading positions? Are you the type to go all-in and then think about the downside? Or you’re the one to think about the risk first and then the reward? Let us know in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
21
USD/CAD - Channel Breakout (10.06.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3757 2nd Resistance – 1.3792 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
32
ETH Bullish Setup: Pullback to 200_SMA(D) May Launch Next Rally Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) seems to have finally managed to break the Resistance lines and the 200_SMA(Daily) in the fifth attack . However, the number of Resistance lines inside the Heavy Resistance zone($2,929_$2,652) is high, and Ethereum will find it difficult to break through them. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Ethereum is completing microwave 4 , and we should wait for this wave to complete. Microwave 4 could act as a pullback to the resistance lines and 200_SMA(Daily) . I expect Ethereum to start rising from the Support zone($2,745_$2,650) again and rise to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If Ethereum touches $2,537 , we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
13
USD/JPY – Short-term bullish structure within a larger downtrendThe USD/JPY pair has been in a well-established downtrend on the daily timeframe, showing consistent weakness over recent weeks. Daily timeframe The pair recently bounced from a significant and well-respected support zone around the $140.00 level. This area has historically provided a strong base for price, and once again, it appears to be holding as reliable support. Although the overall daily trend remains bearish, this bounce introduces the potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation phase. Clear Rising Trendline on the 4H Chart Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, the price action shows a notable shift in momentum. A clear rising trendline has formed, acting as a dynamic support level and guiding the pair higher in the short term. As long as this trendline remains intact and unbroken, the bullish bias on the 4H remains valid. This upward move suggests a corrective phase within the broader daily downtrend, supported by increasing demand at higher lows. Approaching Key Resistance — FVG and 0.786 Fibonacci Level The pair is currently approaching a key resistance area near the $145.50 level. This zone aligns with the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the previous strong downward move and coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, measured from the most recent swing high to swing low. A few days ago, price action briefly tested the lower boundary of this FVG but failed to fully fill the imbalance. Given the current momentum, another attempt to fill the entire FVG and test the 0.786 Fibonacci level is likely. This confluence of technical factors creates a strong resistance zone that could trigger significant price reactions, potentially resuming the broader downtrend. Target Levels — Where to Look for Reversal or Profit-Taking A sensible short-term target would be the previous lower high around the $144.00 level. This zone may serve as an initial resistance or take-profit area before price challenges the $145.50 resistance region. Additionally, if the pair breaks below the rising trendline on the 4H, this $144.00 zone could become a support level from which the pair might attempt another move higher. Conclusion To summarize, the USD/JPY pair remains in a broader daily downtrend but has shown signs of short-term strength after bouncing from the $140.00 support zone. On the 4-hour timeframe, bullish momentum is evident, supported by a rising trendline and upward movement toward a significant resistance area. Traders should closely watch the $145.50 zone, as it represents a confluence of the FVG and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement — both of which could act as a strong ceiling for price. Until the rising trendline breaks, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bullish, but the medium-term bias leans bearish if resistance holds and selling pressure resumes. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
19