Live Cattle Elliott Wave Idea Live Cattle futures appear to be coming to and end of a multi year correction phase.
If WXY completed at $94.6 then the motive phase may already have begun, however, if the $130 highs seen during 2017/18 were just X2 of WXYXZ then price may fall further; in WXYXZ Z must be equal or longer than X2 which suggests a double bottom at $94.6.
Some details on the waves:
Wave 1; appears to be a leading diagonal >
An ending diagonal for wave 5 of 5 (of 1) >
The big WXYXZ; made up of multiple 3 wave (ABC) structures >
Livecattle
COW / Live cattle 2018yr setupBased on US-T as well as "cash cow" yield rising in 2017/18 current draw in live cattle could be continue.
Looking forward to buy the dip in COW, time horizon - early summer.
LIVE CATTLE futures . Long on retracementLive Cattle -0.04% prices tend to follow clear trends , as can be seen by the descending channel from 2015 to 2017 (almost 2 years)
Options expiration is February 28.
I will look for support on the current parallel or retracement to the lower parallel for a long entry. Stop below previous low and take profit at 25 centile. Depending on price action I may keep the trade open and move stop up to 25 centile.
Possible trades are outlined.
I would become bearish if price falls below the lower parallel
New advance in Live Cattle Futures?I´m bullish for Live Cattle. Although it seems that 120 marks a Double Top in the Futures, this can be only wave 1 of a further advance in wave C. The wave count would be invalid if wave 2 breaks to new lows. Otherwise a significant advance above 120 would support my bullish view. Next targets are 127 and then 134.55.
Live Cattle TopDecember Live Cattle has created a evening star Doji along with two other dojis in overbought market extending into a Cypher pattern extensions. Possible retracement to 109.400, then 108.525 to fill small gap left back a week ago. Cattle in uptrend so caution to extent of drop should be noted.
Live Cattle eyeing double topDecember Live Cattle is rose today off a retracement yesterday. Candle suggests a possible climb to double top at 110. Support is now 106.700. Have had an open bullish Cypher that is still possible. Cattle has seen some aggressive bullish trading for a long time now and it may not stop for a while. Double top will suggest how strong this bull market is.
Live Cattle Bearish FlagDecember Live Cattle tried to promote a bearish flag today. Some traders really want a double top for Cattle at 104.825, but there is more opposition to a downward movement than up. I am not counting out the bulls just yet. They are an ornery bunch. Suspect more up and down to follow. Bearish Flag still in the running though, but still in an uptrend.
Live Cattle bullish flagDecember Live Cattle produced a bullish flag today. This ones a little more questionable. Need to see if upward movement starts around middle of the flag to suggest a bullish flag. This is still an uptrend market. This market like Hogs is caught in a wedge. Until confirmation of direction won't know if this will continue bullish for a double top or bearish.
Live Cattle hit 103.500Live Cattle rose off the harami pattern to 103.500 target and traded back to 103. There is a wedge forming and predicted outcome unsure. The only thing that can be guessed at is cattle prices tend to go lower into spring. Since cattle prices came down after reaching target, this may suggest a turn around at some time. Looking for dojis or spinning tops at this point. RSI is still on the rise. Until this shows a break, we are still in an uptrend.
Live CattleDecember Live cattle has formed a tombstone today suggesting an end to upward movement. Struggled to make higher highs. Still watching for a double top at 104.800, which may not produce anything. Short term bearish butterfly forming. Market doesn't want to go down and doesn't want to go up. Initially did a double top at 103.625. This may be the turn down. Also could walk itself up to 104.800, then turn. A lot of sells were appearing near 104 today.
Live CattleLive Cattle broke trend a couple of weeks ago. Now in a congestion pattern. Live Cattle after January usually starts lowering. Not saying it will do this, it is just what previous years have shown. Open Interest is flat. Until next trend is achieved just watching. This is December contract, but all are doing similar things. Cattle may try to double top in the next week, or completely fall.
Live CattleTook several pushes to close the gap left on the 27 of January. After which we see a fall in price. Support of the fall is at 112.225. Live Cattle may continue to falter or make another drive for a double top. Cattle are moving out of the Gann Fan 1/1 and into the next level weekening this uptrend.
Live CattleApril Live Cattle continues inside the bullish flag and has hit the upward trend line. CCI has been breached. No clear sign of a continued uptrend, or a downtrend off of the completed Cypher pattern. Support is at 114.825 point X of the Cypher pattern.
Small body candle Friday may be indicating reversal as it has in the past, however, historically, Cattle moves lower in February to May. This flag may go sideways. In the long run, look for double top reversal, or continued downtrend.
Live CattleJune Live Cattle was a disappointment with only a little gain off the bullish flag. Now in overbought territory, we may see a fail here and lower prices. If bulls can push higher we may see 109.65 as next target for bulls. With a higher high and not a doji, it might be a little at a time for the upside