Q&As: order bookThere are people who trade based in order book exclusively & promote these so called orderflow trading platforms, even these days. Surely, it's a great deed to learn this interesting, exotic & unusual skill, but the thing is it's completely unnecessary.
The real use cases for DOM aka LOB aka order book aka Level 2 data are mitigating adverse selection, reducing market impact & spotting potential counter agents.
If you think deeper, all these issues are really all about position sizing and nothing else, you can operate as big as it's possible (depending how much diminishing returns you can let go), and the only thing that can help you figure it all out is order book.
The one & only principle of orderbook analysis is to understand where's us (operators), and where's them (ones who just need to be filled), be nice with yours & be a nice counter agent for them.
It's very simple, clients place big orders that immediately stand out. Everything else is us, we're spreading our orders equally all around the book.
For some reason not many think about it, but as a maker it's good to not only provide liquidity aka make the market, but also to consume these huge limit orders if it lets you to offload some risk or to open a position if the prices are good. By doing so you always make the market better, the faster and in more clear fashion the market activity is unwinding - better for all of us.
If you look at order book histogram and imagine it turned horizontally, you'll see peaks & valleys. So being inside a loading range (past a level) or nearby risk offloading areas (predetermined exit areas), you spread your limit orders the way they kinda fill these valleys, and you can also use market orders to kinda smooth the sharp peaks in order book. That's how you reduce your market impact.Your impact will start being too high when by filling the valleys you'll be creating new peaks, and by smoothing peaks you'll be creating new valleys. Easy enough? All the wise-ass reinforced learning & stochastic control models will output the same behavior, just a bit worse because they'll never defeat your "feel". They way you can process a feedback loop, as an organic, is DOPE.
By monitoring your position in the queue you can decide to replace some limit orders that sit deep to somewhere where probabilities won't be your enemies. If you're not in the first 5% of the queue at these places, your're prone to adverse selection. Closer you are to the front of the level, the worse position in the queue is ok. Negligible but stable adverse selection has a huge negative long term impact, should be taken very srsly.
In theory, it makes sense to care about order book as soon as you start trading more than 1 lot or if 1 lot is already a serious size on a given instrument. In practice, when you notice a statistically significant drop in revenue per lot on a given instrument, minding all other factors are equal, it's time to open dem books.
LOB
Microstructural phenomenons: re-positioning 4 real, levels can't be re-positioned, but there's a lil detail.
As explained in "Real levels: positioning and clearing", positioned levels can't switch direction, ie once a level was positioned as support it can't become a resistance, once a level was positioned as resistance it can't become a support. A positioned level can only be cleared with time, price or volume.
However, there are things that do exist and not based on the ways of the system behavior, but rather on some lil details how the sub-systems and the super-system work.
Aye aye, easy, a level can switch directing for a very specific and short period of time, but not due to the principles of how things work, rather by a microstructural reasons. The reason is all of us & common sense. When we scale in near a positioned level, but shortly after it becomes obvious with evidence that a level was consumed/cleared (ie there's no more level anymore), in most occasions there's no reason to take a loss right away, it makes sense to try scaling out at around break-even.
1879 was positioned as support in the end of march 2022, the same time 1788 was discovered as a back level of 1879.
Point 1: we enter @ ~ the level;
Point 2: the level gets definitely proved as a cleared one;
Point 3: we leave at break-even, concentrating the liquidity around 1879 (~ when we've entered);
Point 4: we see the result, a pop.
If we would've dropped much deeper than 1788 (technically said, if we would've contacted another deeper level), that phenomenon would've never occurred (there would've been no1 to scale out at breakeven).
UAL - Recent Death Cross on DailyUAL daily chart presented showing Golden and Death Cross prints over the last few years.
UAL recently (late August) printed a death cross on the daily - in which the 50-day MA crossed down past the 200-day MA
A Death Cross print doesn't ALWAYS imply a significant sell-off (see chart), however, chart harmonics seem to be supportive of more down here/soon.
UAL Bulls BEWARE!
No active trades.
Not financial advice.