$LCID - Short Into Lockup ExpiryI will be entering a $LCID 2/18 36P @ 3.1 as a technical and fundamental trade.
Share lockup expires on the 19th, meaning over one BILLION shares will be unlocked and have the ability to be sold on exchanges, adding immense downward pressure.
Furthermore, we're at the top of our rangebound channel, meaning a technical rejection is highly probable.
To top it all off, the market is incredibly weak and choppy at the moment, adding increased downward pressure on the stock.
Will look to add to my position if conditions are favorable come Tuesday. Setup is invalidated above 45.
Lockup
$LCID - Rangebound Trading Until Lockup Expiry$LCID has been rangebound within this channel for the past few weeks, forming a nice little volume shelf in the process.
You can consistently trade this range and scalp a couple of percentage points each swing.
This range may become invalidated as of the Lockup Period Expiration which occurs on January 19th.
Traders beware!
Clearing Up Info About the WISH IPO "Share-Lock-Up" Release DateIn an article published June 7th, entitled "ContextLogic Inc. 's (NASDAQ:WISH) Lock-Up Period Set To Expire on June 14th"
MarketBeat told readers incorrectly that "ContextLogic's (NASDAQ:WISH) lock-up period is set to expire on Monday, June 14th.
ContextLogic had issued 46,000,000 shares in its IPO on December 16th. The total size of the offering was $1,104,000,000
based on an initial share price of $24.00. Shares of the company owned by major shareholders and company insiders will
be eligible for trade following the expiration of the lock-up period.
According to the company's 10-K (Annual report) filed (2021-03-25). Those shares were actually released the opening of trading
on the second trading day immediately following our release of earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2021.
Since First Quarter Earnings were announced May 12, 2021 so shares were released May 25th, 2021.
On 06-09-2021 The stock became the focus of a "Short squeeze" campaign by Wall Street Bets and has continued to be the focus of
attention from investors and option call fans who showed an unusual amount of open interest in both $20 and $30 calls. While there
is some back and forth about whether the stock is actually a good short squeeze candidate, the non-Reddit suits have taken an
interest in the stock because it appears to be undervalued using a number of different value methods.
A "Buy" signal was triggered a few days ago by CryptoFundeManager's
Buy and Sell Perfect Entry V2 Indicator & Confirmation Entry Indicator and despite some heavy profit taking after the recent run-up,
bulls have not let the bears take share prices lower than the 10-Day Moving Average. In fact. the stock was the number one most
discussed stock on Wall Street Bets on Thursday and Social Media interest continues on Friday.
WallStreetBets' #Apes and Bulls are expecting the stock to begin ascending on Monday after there appeared to be a triple bottom indication reached during intraday trading the last two sessions.
Push-Posh-RepeatKey points
1. 3ple bottom with rsi divergence on 4h
2. Upcoming earnings with the stock already -60% from ATH
3. Low free float with high short ratio >30%
4. Insiders lock up period coming in July, i do not believe they would like to sell at these levels
5. If not inflate quarter results now! when???
XM Inverse H&S heading to lockup expirationMy key points:
1. Sap bought XM ( Qualtrics) back in 2018 for $8b with a P/S : 19.9 www.cnbc.com
2. Based on guidance for 2021 ($954m) current P/S stands at: 17.9 www.marketbeat.com
3. Descending Triangle Breakout with Apex time and possible retest on earnings date
4. Potential Inverse H&S
5. Rsi divergence & breakout
6. Insiders lock up expiration on 07/07/21 ( www.nasdaq.com )
*medium risk reward ratio
** Stop loss on latest low
*** Always think for yourself before trading/investing, the above are only my own thoughts on a possible scenario and nothing more.
I am upgrading my $NNOX Target from $115 to $200+I seen what happened at $95, the FDA response, and how people responded to lockup expiration + the secondary offering. People reacted quickly, things got tense, and now the storm will soon calm. The point is, it very recently hit a new high, and a new high will happen likely really soon. Once $115 passes, my new target is $200. I believe this is feasible if single source FDA approval is within a timely manner. They also have factories and deployments. I am looking constantly at institutional activity, and that is what excites me the most trend-wise. That said, please invest at your own risk and do your own due diligence. Everything I say is on an opinion based basis.
Fubo Long and QuestionsFubo has been an interesting look, I have been looking at it all day and it seems that 23 is rock bottom. It has had stable growth all throughout the day and looks like it could reach the first target of 32 and then 38. What do you guys think? I am aware that the lockup expired the 31st or around there but I have read news about a second lockup expiry on the 7th is that true?
UBER earnings/lockup tradePosition entry UBER Nov15 31.5/30 vertical put before earnings (Nov4) and lockup expiration (Nov6). UBER has now found buying support around the $27 range as it has moved around half a percent throughout the trading day following the lockup. The support may signal an end to the selling pressure of the lockup expiration with the increased float (80%) of shares on the market. For such reason, I closed my position. As the selling pressure has decreased, UBER may rise in the next few weeks as retail and institutional traders enter long positions at these lower prices near the support.
UBER - Don't buy the dip, yet...Analyst earnings review
UBER had third-quarter earning results above the top- and bottom-line S&P Capital IQ consensus expectations.
However, we still expect losses in Uber Eats, along with more aggressive investments in ATG, to delay Uber’s first full-year adjusted EBITDA until 2022.
Analyst target: $58
Uber's IPO lock-up period over!!
Tomorrow November 6th, 2019 . Investors who got in at the IPO, can now start selling their shares.
We could see a potential drop, as it has happened with other IPO's so far.
BITCOIN COULD REPLACE BANKSIn this video I show a key level of support for BTC. It coincides with a 3-day ATR trendline for the north. I'm not saying Bitcoin can't go south.
I deal with a far bigger issue, where in the heat of a financial crisis banks close. This has happened several times before (and Google is your friend on this point).
There is a lot of chatter out there from very reputable experts about a serious banking crisis approaching. Stop - I don't listen to sensationalist nonsense.
The 'big reset' is now a realistic probability for people in the know. I'm talking about people who understand the global financial system to the core. The reset will mean that not only stock markets meltdown but the money system globally is frozen. What are you gonna do when there is no money? Well, history has shown that people went back to bartering.
At the moment Bitcoin functions as a store of value - even if unstable. The banks can't lock down Bitcoin. When the banks freeze up people will exchange BTC value for goods and services. That's just common sense. Not everybody will have Gold to exchange and physical gold is not available to everybody. But BTC is available to everybody right now.
In the lead up to the banking crisis you will see BTC rocket north. How? Insiders always know and leak what's coming.
Get prepared. I'm not saying that 'you' should put all your money into BTC. I'm saying a reasonable store of BTC is a good back up plan if worse comes to the worst.
Disclaimers: This is not financial advice - even if so construed. It is opinion only. Your losses are your own. Sue yourself if you lose your money.
$PINS Worst Looks To Be OverThe news today that 4.68m shares of $PINS were sold at $25 removes an overhang on the stock. Yesterday's bull hammer further signals that the worst might be over for the stock.
Pinterest had been dropping as the lockup has expired. With just 4.68m shares sold, this could be a sign that more stock won't hit the market.
Pinterest, Inc. provides a visual discovery engine that helps users to discover ideas for various projects and interests worldwide. Its platform allows users to discover ideas for daily activities, remodeling a house or training for a marathon, ongoing passions, and planning a wedding or a dream vacation. The company’s platform show visual recommendations called Pins, based on user personal taste and interests. It also provides Product Pins that make items shoppable with up-to-date pricing; Recipe Pins to cook a meal by bringing the relevant information; Shop the Look, which enables pinners to shop for the individual products they see within fashion and home decor Pins; and Video Pins, which are short videos with topics, such as how-to content about cooking and beauty. The company was formerly known as Cold Brew Labs Inc. and changed its name to Pinterest, Inc. in November 2010. Pinterest, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
As always, trade with caution and use protective stops.
Good luck to all!
TWST Short Swing on Lockup Expiration TWST has doubled since IPO
($14). What seems to be some serious litigation risks. Was thinking insiders shares could hit the market as soon as lockup lifted. Also double top and trend snap. Couldn’t share this one before the trade because borrows were tight and I have to pay myself first. Thinking this can move significantly lowers low $20s likely in my opinion.
YETI Short Idea YETI has doubled since IPO offering insiders a good chance to cash in on their shares. Lockup expiration 4/23, if we see selling before earnings maybe an indicator to performance. Decent room on trend snap. Hitting new highs so stop above that decent risk reward as I have intrinsic value near $16 on my model. PE near 50 for this type of product is pretty high in my opinion.
YETI Short Idea YETI lock up expiration was 4/23. Stock has doubled since IPO and insider have a nice chance to cash out. More competition in the market. Intrinsic value near $16 being generous. If shares don’t snap the trend line before earning, possibly earnings will be better than expected? Will be hard to justify earnings with a PE of 50 for this type of product.
Initiate Panic Phase 1Price has tripled in 3 months despite negative earnings. Double top formation at the 15.7 level. IPO lockup period has expired. Bearish divergence on oscillators.
Qutoutiao Could Dip When IPO Lockup Expires
Potential Lockup Expiration PlayLockup expiration coming on 8/9. = possible overhead pressure. Net income -24 mil...worth trailing for a possible short if available. Currently a H&S formation. Do your own due diligence. This is just a heads up. Has a way to go to get to IPO price. It's good to trail these well ahead of the lockup expiration. Often the pop and drop is well ahead of the actual expiration. You can see where the selling began. Most of the execs in their 40's. I like to find runner ipo's w/ negative earnings and young insiders..I referred to this on in the EDIT idea posted 9 days ago. I'm trailing EDIT as well.
lockup expiration playIt might be worth trailing for a short at some point into lockup expiration next month ..EPS -85 mil..I'm interested in how this range resolves here.. IPO was at $!6 now around $24.50 so theres room..11% float short...could be a little better but I've seen worse....would prefer 5% but whatever-would of been sweet at $43..position don't predict..imagine different scenarios..take the one that confirms..price is right and observe-react-change-grow-evolve=survive..do your own due diligence..Lockup expiration plays are scarce in summer..no Co. really wants to expire in the summer...but with this bull market..ipo's should come back in and provide op's down the road Also take a look at PTI...similar in a lot of ways..I'll be trailing it as well
lockup expiration coming in JuneThis may be another "cool hype runner"...big lockup expiration coming in June ..Jack D runs this and TWTR and you know what happened to TWTR's stock price. Good product but Young insiders..negative earnings etc etc. If there's going to be selling into the lock up expiration it may have already begun. Worth trailing.
How the Hero Lock Itself Up Into A SELL SELL SELLGopro (NASDAQ: $GPRO) is down 28% since hitting a peak in the first week of October. A lock up withdrawal of 5.8M to start a charity was a signal that more "downside" was to come. On December 23, just about every share remaining in the lock up (borrowed money) will be made public, thus flooding the market with supply; driving the price down even further. Lean into the Puts two months out. Once Earnings is over, there might be a valuation adjustment to set a fair market value on the market. I'll close when I see a peak gain at 100% in profits. But til then I'm Bearish with a Full House Of Puts, so far in my favor. Read the article in the Business Insider for an explanation on borrowing for shares.