LONDON: USD/JPY B&R - MOMENTUMLondon has lined up some interesting break and retest setups. Decided to go with UJ because we already have a trade depending on USD weakness, now we can try to capitalize on JPY strength as well. 'Break and Retest' setup right out the playbook is active using momentum based entry. Lets see how it plays out
London
LONDON: AUD/USD BREAK & RETEST - MOMENTUMDXY is still showing weakness across the board and while we trended all ASIA and may get a pullback if they go after stop losses, we must remain disciplined and trade in line with the market. In this case, AU has broken above 4h range and in our trading timeframe has shown us our classic playbook setup "B&R" using momentum for confirmation entry. Lets see if market can push a little more to help us reach at least 1:2RR
LONDON: GBPUSD ABCD/EXT LIMIT ATRPrice has pumped to a very strong key level and neckline of higher timeframe double top. Now we may see the dump play out and have entered using our ABCD/EXT setup which calls for a SL using our ATR on our trading timeframe. Big potential for downside if price does fall
US30 SELL TRADE/PREDICTIONI am currently in a sell for US30
Reasons:
Price is in supply zone
-Market is respecting 4 hour, 15 min, 30 min resistance.
-5 min support has just been broken.
-Market is overbought and needs to balance itself out.
-20 & 50 ema has crossed on 1min timeframe
-Next strong level of support is 33880 (4hr)
-My brain recognizes this pattern/behaviour
use proper risk
I am not a financial advisor, trade at your own risk
LONDON UJ ABCD/EXT LIMIT ATRComing in for a London session we see UJ has continued its bullish run and while its not the intention to continually find setups against the trend, we must trade what we see.
ABCD/EXT sell limit using our ATR for stop loss to capitalize on what could be a quick 1:2RR corrective wave
Probability of success 75%
LONDON UJ LONG 618 ON IB IMOMENTUMUsing half of our profit from last trade, we will go for another 2R on this last setup of London. Price has yet made another playbook setup and we must heed by our trading plan and take it.
We have taken far more entries during ASIA/LONDON than we anticipated and although they were all profitable, taking these many entries is NOT what we recommend. Psychology studies suggest that the human mind can typically only make 1-2 rational emotional decisions per day and as we all know when risking capital, we are also risking our psychological capital which opens up risk of trading emotionally and going on TILT, resulting in giving our gains back to the market, or even ending up in a worse position than when we started!
The only reason we are taking this trade is because it is going to be a 'set it and forget it' type of setup, using 1R which is technically "house money" at this point.
PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS: 25%
LONDON UJ LONG 618 LIMIT ATRAfter dropping more than 100 pips in such a short time, USDJPY is destined to fall to its death right?.. well, not exactly..
HIGHER TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS SUGGEST THE BREAK OF A DOWNTREND WITH PRICE FALLING SHARPLY TO THE 618 RETRACEMENT LEVEL OF THE HUGE IMPULSE MOVE MADE LAST WEEK.
I KNOW, I KNOW.. BASED ON LAST SETUP, WE ARE SUPPOSED TO BE DONE FOR THE NIGHT, AND POSSIBLY FOR THE WEEK. HOWEVER, USDJPY HAS MADE AN OFFER WE JUST CANNOT REFUSE AND BECAUSE OF THAT, HAVE DECIDED TO ACT QUICKLY AND TAKE ONE OF OUR PLAYBOOK SETUPS USING OUR PROPRIETARY ATR FOR SL PLACEMENT ( in this case 30 PIPS).
Even if we are wrong, our prior gains allow us to spend 1R to be part of this potential opportunity to at least double our risk.
now we wait, and see probability in action, in real time...
PROBABILITY for success: 50%
US30 BUYI'm currently in a us30 Buy
Reasons:
- Market price is respecting 5min and 15min support level.
-A trend of higher highs and higher lows have started on 1min and 5 min time frame.
-20 ema has crossed above 50 ema.
- The next strong level of resistance is at 34145 area
I am not a financial advisor, trade at your own risk. Use proper risk management. Good luck guys
US30 SELLI'm currently in a us30 Sell
Reasons:
-There is huge gap that needs to be filled in the 33900s area (market exhales and inhales to balance itself out)
-I've noticed buying pressure has lost momentum for about 7.5 hours since the rise that took place new york session
-1min has broken price structure along with 20, 50 and 200 ema crossing paths (usually happens we are about to change direction)
-Price is rejecting the current 4hr, 1hr, 30min Resistance
US30 SELLI am currently in a us30 sell
Reasons:
-I see a failed W
-Market already filled gap on febuary 3rd at 23:03
-Market broke current 5 min and 15 min support levels
-Market is respecting 5 and 15 min resistance
-We are in supply zone on 15min, 30min and 1 hour time fame
-My brain subconsciously recognizes a high probability pattern
Trade at your own risk.
Use low risk