04/09/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $28152.7
Last weeks low: $26737.6
Midpoint: $25322.5
When compared to last weeks outlook, we had what basically looked like a heartbeat monitor in price action. A flatline with a big pulse in the middle of the week from the midpoint then to weekly low, then high then straight back to the midpoint.
Now when looking at the previous weeks price action it's very similar only the price action is hugging the 0.25 line before a huge pump on the news of the Greyscale win against the SEC, we fully retraced and some to print the low of the week.
From a macro perspective, I am still bearish for the time being until proven otherwise, that would be if we finally take out 32.5k convincingly. On the higher time frames we have a lower high and lower low structure, textbook bearish. Not only that, what worries me is how quickly we are retracing good news pumps. Big money seems to lack conviction at this point so for now pumps are for fading. I still think we see 19K again by the end of the year.
September follows a similar historical return as August, generally negative when not in a bullrun year. For now I'm just monitoring, If I'm looking to go short I would do so on a swing fail pattern of the midpoint.
Long-short
NFP PredictionXAUUSD has had a nice pump recently, looking at previous data, I can see that +12K is forecast for this months NFP. This should boost the Dollar. While dropping gold and other pairs. Ive entered Sells around NY opening, will hold through NFP with a bigger than usual SL. Time will tell, always use risk management, and extra caution when trading news. Its unpredictable and can be risky.
xauusd gold daily analysisHello everyone, looking at the daily timeframe we can see gold has picked up volatility below 1890 with a strong rejection back into the 1900's
Should we see price hold and not reject key levels of resistance, expectation will be for gold to return to the range we have previous seen gold stuck within, with a push to 2000 creating a top wick for the monthly candle and then a move down.
21/08/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $29678.9
Last weeks low: $26943.6
Midpoint: $24208.4
August so far has been living up to it's history of being a red month. Last week we saw price fall ~18.45% from weekly high to low, filling in the fair value gaps from the previous HTF rally and printing a new 1W lower high for the first time this year.
Now that the FVG has been filled and a bit of volatility reintroduced into the market the next move is very important. For BTC to stand a chance in the near term I think the bulls need to reclaim the 1D 200EMA very quickly. Last weeks midpoint at 26942.4 is also approximately at the 1D 200EMA. However, If price rejects off that level when retesting it then I do think price will slowly find itself tending towards the yearly open of around 19k.
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CHFJPY Short setup with entry point!Good morning traders, I was analyzing CHF/JPY, one of the few pairs I'll be observing today, given the expected data on the Canadian and American dollars. This asset currently presents a bullish setup with good potential for a bearish reversal. Currently, it's at the level of 165.65, supported by demand + thirty levels. Personally, before entering long positions, I'll wait for a significant retracement to the level of 163.80, where we have a Breaker Block on the M15 timeframe. If the price reaches this level with an M15 candle showing no pin, no doji, and with volatility lower than 10 pips, we could consider a long entry. Of course, as the initial confirmation of a descent towards our entry zone, the market will need to confirm with breaks on the M15-H1-H4 of the Swing Low on the H4 timeframe at the level of 164.86. Let me know what you think, comment, and leave a like to support the hard work. Happy trading to everyone.
EURNZD 13/8/23EN giving us an untradeable range here for a bullish move higher, not for what we have we will simply wait for a break as our overall bias is unclear, we did have a signal on Friday for possible downside so we will keep this in mind coming into this week, if our London open gives us a sort bias again we will look to follow that for our first entry of the week. until then we need a clear break out of our range.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
1 MILLION DOLLARSHello Everyone, MrBanker is here. This is a stock-to-flow analysis for Bitcoin. This model incorporates the relationship between the circulationg supply and the total number of mined bitcoin on that particular year.
This theory has been proved to be true during the life span of bitcoin. Accordingly, It is expected for the price to reach 1 Million $ starting from early 2024.
However, the possibility for this outcome might be seen in the late 2028 as well.
If you want to become a millionere without a doubt, just but 1 BTC.
Trade Safe,
MrBanker
XAUUSD Gold 1 hour breakdownLooking at the 1 hour time frame, we are right at a support level. Sells were taken all day today, 3 in total, 2 being in profit with 1 in breakeven. Bias remains somewhat bearish however we must pay attention to what price can do at these levels of interest where price in the past has been finding it challenging to get through.
short term bias is bullish, long term bearish.
USDJPY 24th july US dollar to the Japanese yen gave us a pretty similar scenario to the British pounds of the Japanese yen we broke bullish providing a huge range powered by news and fundamentals we now have located the lowest half of the range with our unmitigated order block we are looking for price to run back to this order block and continue pushing higher. Based off of the price action we have seen in Monday's session I am not expecting this to pull back to our poi I am expecting this to run the high though and continue moving higher.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
USD/CHF LONG TRADE SETUP H1 BEFORE FEDIn the USD/CHF currency pair, we have a long setup after the price has broken the high at the level of 0.8680. From here, the price could move towards 0.88 since this upward movement has little resistance and is full of inefficiencies. In other words, the market has dropped too quickly, and usually, within 10-20 days, it tends to fill this gap. This is also in view of the Fed's potential interest rate increase of 0.25%. Let me know what you think. Share and like this post. Greetings from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
XAUUSD Daily timeframe breakdownWith London now closed and New York slowing down after PMI news it's always good to get a broader view of how the day will end, and what the key levels are to keep an eye on going forward.
The 1938 level remains the most critical level as it could act as a support level for price to retest before continuing up towards 2000. However, should this support fail to hold then 1902 would be the next target with potential of moving further down.
On the bullside; should we have a daily close above 1962 we can expect another run up towards 2000.
EUR/AUD BULLISH AND BEARISH SETUPSOn EUR/AUD, we have a bearish setup following the overnight Australian Dollar data. Currently, there are two setups:
Break of demand zone with a retest of the same before continuing short towards 1.63.
Retracement in the 1.6540 area, where we have a Fibonacci Vertical Grid (FVG) and a Forex48 block. The latter represents a potential zone for a short entry.
Let me know what you think. Happy trading to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
EUR/USD DOUBLE SETUPS BEFORE US RATESOn EURUSD, we have a bearish setup that is approaching the 1.1150 area, where a price reversal could occur as we have a FVG (Failed Vertical Gains). However, the price could retrace first to the 1.1217 area, where we have a Forex48 block, indicating a potential zone for a short entry. In both situations, we need the appropriate confirmation before entering the market. Let me know your thoughts in the comments. Greetings from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
17/07/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $ 31843.6
Last weeks low: $30858.7
Midpoint: $29873.8
Post CPI week and BTC finds itself back within the same local range despite some very positive news coming from the SEC VS Ripple case. Alts rallied upon the news but BTC was capped at 31.8K, still short of the 32.5k target.
I do believe that was bitcoins best chance to break above the range, the daily close on Friday 14th was a bearish engulfing and that is a worry for the bulls as all the progress from the SEC news got retraced and some...
This could be the start of bitcoin unwinding should we lose the range bottom around 29.5k, the target would be to fill the inefficiency FVG around 27k before another attempt at that local high.
GBPUSD LONG SETUP IN H1 - BIG US NEWSOn GBP/USD, we have a bullish setup in the weekly timeframe, with a very weak dollar and a strong pound following the economic news. Currently, we can observe a small price correction heading towards the 1.30 zone, which is rich in potential reaction points. In fact, we have a demand zone with a value gap and a Forex48 Block. At that point, upon confirmation, I will look for a long entry. It would be fantastic if you could share your opinion and leave a like to support our work. Greetings from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
A GPTUSDT SCALP!BYBIT:GPTUSDT.P
I absolutely love seeing candles, pressure, and shapes like this... to me (NOT CERTAIN) this is a nice crater on the lower timeframe to start a brand-new bottom. Now! I obviously done my research heavily! I had tons of other ideas to pick from but today this chart is most clean on that 15M timeframe. so, I picked this up off of a reaction of a higher timeframe and to me this reaction is exactly what I look for in a trade look it may not pick me up but at least im prepared and ready to move on ALREADY.
Thanks guys.
GBPAUD I Move up and more downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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10/07/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $ 31542.8
Last weeks low: $30610.1
Midpoint: $29677.4
Previous weeks price action tells an interesting tale. Beginning the week precisely on the midpoint of the week and ending on the 0.25 line.
The choppiness from last week follows a similar pattern to weeks previous, the target for the bulls of 32.5k and above is still in sight. Last weeks new local high of 31.5k took out the previous local high but has now printed a swing fail pattern (SFP).
With CPI on Wednesday this could be a high volatility event to get to that 32.5k wick and take liquidity in the supply zone. Just an idea.
As of now there is quite a large FVG at around 27k and this should be the bears target. I think this has an equal chance of happening as the 32.5k, however, losing 29.1k and acceptance below that level will increase the possibility of that happening and the added confluence would prompt me to look to go long around that 27k level. We will see once we get there.
Good luck to everyone this week!
DAY TRADING 004BYBIT:MINAUSDT.P
Hey guys my day trade for today is with MINAUSDT I feel a good reaction coming off of this small DBL BTTM on the 1HR and 15MIN timeframes and will come to form a large DBL BTTM on the larger timeframes. All in all, put the trades on and make some money with your ideas! Not much to touch on today I will be back tomorrow with a brand new BTC ANALYSIS.
Thanks guys.
BTC ANALYSIS 11/7/23BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Although we are sitting at quite a large order block on the bearish side of things BTC has given us the impression to NEVER count it out. In the last 4HR candle we came to the upside which them confirms a double bottom sitting right on that 100EMA line. I'm no Psychic but I like what I see for some long trades with some nice added amount of leverage to execute over the lower timeframes as I keep saying over and over again. this is just a game about finding support.
PRACTICRS FOR 'ZEAL'
Zeal meaning: Zeal - The inner flame that burns brightly for all to see. A person without zeal is like an engine without steam.
*When you're feeling sick of being patient, be more patient.
*A bundle of losses doesn't matter if you keep consistent.
So, they ^ are my PRACTICES FOR 'ZEAL' for this idea which i will surely be doing on all of my posts from now on
Thanks guys.