What I am looking to see for NASDAQ, Wed 5/11/2022We had a both way stop hunt yesterday and the price is actually ranging between the 2 lines.
I am more likely looking to BUY when I see this on chart :
will buy in case of a 4H candle close above the line, making a HH and will add with the retrace ( not risking more than I should, for sure )
SL : will be updated
TP : next zone ( 12721 )
II) I will SELL in this case
I will sell in case of a clear break below the zone with enough volume (*) and a clean retrace and break below the line making a LL.
SL : will be updated
TP : will be updated
* : Only a strong bullish or bearish candle is accepted.
CAUTION :
Trading is a game of Patience. I don't trade in ranging days and only execute when market has already decided where to go.
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If you have any questions let me know in comments bellow
Thanks for the support
DISCLAIMER
I am not a registered investment, legal or tax advisor or a broker/ dealer. All investment/
financial opinions expressed by me are from the personal research and my own experience
and are intended as educational material.Although best efforts are made to ensure that all
information is accurate and up to date, occasionally unintended errors and misprints may occur.
Long-short
Expected Key Points Amazon 11 May 2022Amazon 11 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 54.27%/year
So that converted into daily is 3.42%
The yesterday close price was on 2177
So based on that our
TOP 2250
BOT 2100
This channel has a 80.5% change to sustain based on the last 3006 candles
At the same time with 89% we can affirm that the price is going to be above
TOP 2185
BOT 2170
From fundamental point, today we have CPI release and this marks a huge volatility moment
From volume point, current POC is around 2170
We can expect now with close to 70% that the market is going to end up between
TOP 2185 - 2250
BOT 2100 - 2170
Expected Key Points Apple 11 May 2022Apple 11 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 40.54%/year
So that converted into daily is 2.55%
The yesterday close price was on 154.5
So based on that our
TOP 158,5
BOT 150,5
This channel has a 79% change to sustain based on the last 3006 candles
At the same time with 89% we can affirm that the price is going to be above
TOP 154.9
BOT 154.1
From fundamental point, today we have CPI release and this marks a huge volatility moment
From volume point, current POC is around 154.37
We can expect now with close to 70% that the market is going to end up between
TOP 154.9 - 158.5
BOT 150.5 - 154.1
Expected Key Points NDX/NQ 11 May 2022NQ/ NDX 11 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 41.43%/year
So that converted into daily is 2.62%
The opening price was on 12320
So based on that our
TOP 12650
BOT 12000
This channel has a 80% change to sustain based on the last 5394 candles
At the same time with 88% we can affirm that the price is going to be above
TOP 12360
BOT 12300
From fundamental point, today we have CPI release and this marks a huge volatility moment
From volume point, current POC is around 12410
We can expect now with close to 70% that the market is going to end up between
TOP 12350 - 12650
BOT 12000 - 12300
Expected Key Points SPX/ES 11 May 2022SPX/ES 11 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 32.11%/year
So that converted into daily is 2.02%
The opening price was on 3991
So based on that our
TOP 4070
BOT 3910
This channel has a 87% change to sustain based on the last 1048 candles
At the same time with 85% we can affirm that the price is going to be above
TOP 4000
BOT 3980
From fundamental point, today we have CPI release and this marks a huge volatility moment
From volume point, current POC is around 4000
We can expect now with close to 74% that the market is going to end up between
TOP 4000 - 4071
BOT 3910 - 3982
BTC GOING TO 20k???BTC came to 29.2k and bounced very well from it as expected. Homever when some coin is reaching support or resistance it should be loosing momentum,but btc is gainging momentume and thats what scares the most.
BTC depends on multiple thing, one of most important things is annoucment that will take place tomorrow and its update on how goverment is fighting inflation.
If inflation is decreasing or slowing down, then btc might be at lowest point now.
But if not, all markets(stocks,crypto..) will drop fast.
If we break current support ( about 29k), I will be shorting some altcoins or maybe even bitcoin first to 20k and then if it gets broken to 12k area.
So basically tomorrows update matters much. Btc is currently in demand zone and if it gets broken we will see dump.
This is not financial advice, I am just sharing my opinion.
AUDUSD Key HTF Levels|Single Print|.618 Fibonacci|Price ActionEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – AUDUSD – trading at a key location with bearish price action,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Sing Print Fill
- Weekly S/R Support
- Low Volume
Price Action is currently correction, trading at a key location where an impulsive break will lead to a the single print fill.
The weekly support is has strong confluence with the .618 Fibonacci, respecting this region will lead to an intraday price action bounce.
The current volume has climaxed, an increase in volume is needed at lower levels to indicative demand.
Overall, AUDUSD is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/management.
Hope this analysis helps
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“All statistics have outliers. Money management, therefore, is key to the process of good trading.”
― Yvan Byeajee
BTCUSDT High Time Frame Oder Block In this section we will discuss what a price action order block is and how it is currently relevant to Bitcoin’s price action.
An Order Block is a trade location that has a cluster of price action, creating a liquidity pool. Once price action expands from the region, it automatically becomes support or resistance – hence a block,
This area once penetrated will act as a range, causing a period of price action oscillation. The Order Block can be dissected into three sections, the high (resistance), the low (support) and the middle (equilibrium). Whichever region price action breaks from will lead to a continuation or a reversal in the overall trend.
In essence, Bitcoin can remain trading in the Order Block before until decisive bottoming or continuation structures are developed.
Hope this educational peace helps!
LUNA/USDT Next Move?Hey Traders,
Brief update about our analysis
Today we are monitoring LUNA/USDT . Yesterday was very active day on the market where price fell 23%. For now LUNA is heading towards the key support level of $52. Once it's there we will get better understanding of what will be happening after that but for now this is our vision of the LUNA
If you like ideas provided by our team you can show us your support by liking and commenting.
Yours Sincerely,
Swallow Team
Disclamer:
We are not financial advisors. The content that we share on this website are for educational purposes and are our own personal opinions.
Trading Idea - #ComcastMy trading idea for Comcast Corporation - Sell / Short
Target: 34.00 USD (+15%)
Stop: 43.00 USD
Comcast with the breakout below the descending trend channel. Double confirmation for a negative trend continuation!
Comcast Corp. is a modern communications and media company. The company is one of the largest video, high-speed Internet and telecommunications providers to residential and business customers in the United States.
Comcast delivers strong quarterly results (Q1 2022), but customer growth continues to be lacking.
GOLD: Possible cup and handleThe situation with Gold is complicated.
It looks like a cup and handle, which does not mean that you throw you money at it going long.
This is a very wild market.
Check it out.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
BTCUSDT Buy or Sell, Up or Down?Guys/girls, What are we waiting for?
We are waiting for the orange color falling wedge to be broken.
It doesn't matter which direction it is. However there is more chance to continue this within the wedge for another couple of days till it comes to 35,000 -36,000.
Then it might break the wedge (Hopefully upwards but who knows?)
Anyway, I will wait till it pass 42,000 before enter. GL.
Is this a suckers rally or will there be follow through?I'm neutral on the sidelines watching this recent rally. I'm trying to decide if this is a suckers rally or will it break through resistance and test all time highs.
Notice that this entire correction was inside of a bullish wedge pattern and what we are seeing is the breakout. Generally breakouts lead to retraces, so price should come back down and test that broken trend line.
What do you think?
APEUSDT WeeklyS/R| Range POC| PA| Trend Evening Traders,
Today's analysis = APEUSDT - trading in a strong downtrend where a reversal is probable at the local trade location.
Points to consider,
- Price Action Correction
- Bullish OB Support
- POC Support
- Low Volume
- RSI Extended
APEUSDT's immediate price action is trading towards a key trade location that has technical confluence with a Bullish OB and a POC, allpowing for a bullish bias.
The immediate objective will be a reclaim of the Weekly S/R, this will signify strenght.
The current volume profile is on a decline, an influx is highly imminent on the next expansion.
overall, in my opinion, APEUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/management.
hope this analysis helps
Thank you for following my work
Sidemarket SPX 2 May 2022With the daily close of 1 May, with 80% confidence, we can assume that
SPX TOP is going to be around 4200
SPX BOTTOM is going to be around 4065
From Volume point, we can see that the POC is around 4150 area
From volatility point, we are in the 75th Percentile of HV, with an aprox daily movement of 1.46%, while current VIX is around 33 / sqrt(252) an aprox 2% implied daily movement.
So currently IV > HV, good moment to be a seller to benefit from overvalued option selling.
From the fundamental POV, news that can affect it
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) , where the current forecast is bullish.
From the intraday mode, we can see as well we are in the middle ground(sidemarket)
I believe currently since is the beginning of the month, the overall sentiment that I have is sidemarket So an IC 4200/4050 can be a very safe bet with a very positive R:R
Btcusd 02 May 2022With the daily close of 1 May, with 90% confidence, we can assume that:
BTC TOP is going to be around 40k
BTC BOTTOM is going to be around 37k
Since the opening of the candle we can see that slowly the market moved in the long direction, approaching the 39k area
Our moving average rating, gaves us a LONG entry on 15 min at the beginning of the daily candle.(38300), and on 30min, at 38600
From Volume point, we can see that the POC is around 39k area, so if you dont want to enter now, you can until 39k is being broken and start the scalp position
From the fundamental POV, news that can affect $/BTC ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) , where the current forecast is bullish.
I believe currently we can scalp a long position, before we test the 40k area which we can use it as a take profit point and enter a potential scalp short entry .