Bitcoin idea for long and shortHello everyone,
This is a continuation of the idea I posted yesterday which is linked as a related idea.
Yesterday I posted relevant FVG and NPOC levels to look at for now. It seems the FVG level was hit precisely, only for price to drop back to the channel which is now acting as support as was to be expected in case of a rejection at FVG level.
I have indicated two zones of interest I am looking at for possible longs or shorts at this point.
Whether or not I will decide to long or short is dependent upon whether or not support will hold, and I will wait for confirmation (retest).
At this point, I think support is more likely to break than to hold. But you never know. Just talking in probabilities.
If you get value from this idea, please leave a like.
Much success, and as always: just an idea - not financial advice.
Long-short
SENSOUSDT Price Action Range| POC| Range Low| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – SENSO – trading at a key order block where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Local OB Support
- POC Support
- Price Action Trading Range
SENSOUSDT’s immediate price action is trading at a key support where a bounce into resistance, the .618 Fibonacci is likely with the the lower regions of the range to be the main target.
The POC is a key level that needs to be respected was testing.
The current volume is below average, an influx is highly imminent on the next expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, SENSOUSDT is a valid long at the range lower with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Don’t blindly follow someone, follow market and try to hear what it is telling you.” ― Jaymin Shah’
MATIC ascending triangleMatic look like its coiling up for the move. If BTC cooperates could be nice one. Significant resistance but has been tested already. If BTC dumps and support under is lost we can take short position. So wherever it goes it could be nice trade... We just need to wait for that move... Good luck traders
ATOMUSDT Relief Bounce| Local OB| VWAP S/R| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – ATOMUSDT – trading towards a technical resistance location where a rejection is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Local OB Resistance
(.618 Fibonacci, VWAP S/R Confluence)
- Low Volume
- RSI Extended
ATOMUSDT’s immediate price action is corrective and is approaching a bearish retest zone that has confluence with the .618 Fibonacci and the VWAP S/R, allowing for a bearish bias.
The current volume is low, an influx will be imminent on the next expansion.
The current RSI is overextended, a reversion to its mean is imminent.
Overall, in my opinion, ATOMUSDT is a valid short with defined risk; price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Every trader has strengths and weakness. Some are good holders of winners, but may hold their losers a little too long. Others may cut their winners a little short, but are quick to take their losses. As long as you stick to your own style, you get the good and bad in your own approach.” Michael Marcus
BTC/USDT (4H) Could this be the DIp to buy ? - short term long Hi Traders,
You probably think what the hell is going on with entire market and BTC especially as it dictate trend for entire Crypto market.
In my opinion we need to finish One short subwave of wave (V) of C. C is Major Corrective wave of entire growth from 3 to 69K.
So if my Elliot wave count is correct, than we will see Bottom of the Dip around 30-32K USD.
BUT. Many traders alredy expect this zone and want to buy. So I expect some F@ckUp. So
1) Either we will dip only to area aroun 33K (and most BUY orders will not be filled)
2) We will fall below 30K where more Stop-losses will be triggered what could extend last wave to something like 29-27K Area.
Be ready for both scenarios and Ladder your entry.
Also consider your strategy and RRR ;)
$SPY WEEKLY CLOSEThe week closed on a positive note. Support in the $430 area has held up nicely. 25 Week SMA looks to be a new resistance area. As long as $430 area maintains support the chart suggests consolidation over further downside. A weekly close over the 25 Week SMA would be constructive. Volume is encouraging the last two weeks as well. Buyers stepped in when they had too. New longs that are at or above major support after all this volatility may look attractive here. Thoughts?
Take profits @0.92 or @1.05 or SL @0.81LRC has been confirmed as partner to GME, though this news has not caused any massive moves whatsoever. I sense a huge dump incoming, people being disappointed by the lack of a reaction to such an important event.
But what do I know? I'm nobody. Don't take this as advice because you can't sue me.
I hope it increases at least between TP1 and TP2, though I see no future past TP2.
EURJPY Local OB’s| Swing High| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURJPY – trading at a key resistance region where a rejection is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Impulsive
- Local OB Resistance
- Swing Failure
- Low Volume
EURJPY’s immediate price action is trading at an order block resistance with a potential swing failure, allowing for a bearish bias.
The current volume is below average, an influx is imminent on the next expansion.
The immediate objective is the swing high, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
Overall, in my opinion, EURJPY is a valid short with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“All statistics have outliers. Money management, therefore, is key to the process of good trading.”
― Yvan Byeajee
USDJPY intra day setups! (updates)Watching the area that price is in at the moment for a possible rejection and quick intra day shorts back down to major support area, or even better price makes another move higher and get a better entry for shorts at the start of next week. USDJPY I expect to travel sideways for a while on these lower time frames...
NAS1OO to 17 500 or 12 500?? 🤷♀️🤦♂️🤯❌🔥🔥🔥🔥 WOOWW!! What a day?! Who expected this?
Today nas100 just rejected the long-term support.📈 Does this mean we are going to see it go down to 12 500??
Or this rejection is just the market correcting before taking off to the moon, (17 500 😋.)
Please share your opinions in the comments below.
LETS GO!! Secure the bag!! 😜💰✨💰🔥🔥💰💰🤑🎉🕺🤣
USDJPY POC |.618 Fibonacci| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – USDJPY- trading towards a key level of support where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action corrective
- Local OB Support
(POC and .618 Fiboancci Confluence)
- Weekly S/R Objective
- Low Volume
USDJPY’s immediate price action is trading towards a technical trade location that has confluence with a Local OB, POC and the .618 Fibonacci, allowing for a bullish bias.
The objective is the swing high, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
The current volume profile is below average, an influx is highly imminent on the next expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, USDJPY is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis help,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“If you can learn to create a state of mind that is not affected by the market’s behaviour, the struggle will cease to exist.” – Mark Douglas
$SPY Penalty Box EnsuesI refer to the yellow highlighted area as the penalty box. This seems to be an area of indecision with pockets of support and resistance. A lot has been going on in this area. As of the close today we're back testing resistance at $453.19. The intra day high eclipsed that level briefly but resistance has not yet flipped to support. On the bullish front, the rally suggested by the follow through day seems to be intact and price is back over the VWAP of the penalty box. There's a lot of resistance still ahead though. Volume while still above average has been declining the last few days, the index is still below the 20 Day SMA and the 50 Day SMA and the price is still in the penalty box. If the indexes are going to see more selling this would be a logical area. A clear breakout of the penalty box would be bullish AF IMO. LOL.
LUNA/USDTTRADE 1: this trade was posted the other day and is still running: target of 55.05 from entry of 5.93
WITHIN this trade I have placed 2 more trades whilst it is still running, so before reaching 55.05 i expect a drop until 47.67 (entry was52.04)
This is called TRADE 2 shown on the chart.
once that trade has finished a reverse H&S should have formed and we technically should then continue up again towards our original target of 55.05 on TRADE 1 (still running) so i may place another trade on that for a re-entry.
GBPUSD| .618 Fibonacci| Local OB| Price Action| Trend Evening traders,
Today’s analysis – GBPUSD- trading at a key trade location where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- .618 Fibonacci Support
- Local OB Support
- RSI Extended
GBPUSD’s immediate price action is trading at a key location that has technical confluence with the .618 Fibonacci and a Local OB, allowing for a bullish bias.
The current RSI is overextended, a reversion to its mean it imminent on the next bullish expansion.
The objective is the Daily S/R, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
Overall, in my opinion, GBPUSD is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
If you can’t take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses.” – Ed Seykota
$SPY Is The Sell Off Over?The above chart is a daily candle chart of the S&P 500 represented by SPY. The red arcing area is a distribution phase. The yellow highlighted area seems to be an area of indecision with both pockets of support and resistance. With in this area there's a possible "follow through day". Which, as described by Famed Technician William O'Neill is:
"A follow-through day occurs during a market correction when a major index closes significantly higher than the previous day, and in greater volume. It happens Day 4 or later of an attempted rally. Leading up to a follow-through day, an attempted rally takes place during a downtrend when a major index closes with a gain. The rally attempt continues intact as long as the index doesn't make a new low. Follow-through day variables include: an index closing sufficiently above 1% on increased volume, positive behavior of leading stocks, and improved market action regarding support vs. resistance levels. The most powerful follow-through days often happen Day 4 through Day 7 of an attempted rally. In the wake of a follow-through day, the market should continue to add gains in strong volume, with breakouts by top stocks. This is further confirmation a new uptrend is underway."
Do we fit the criteria of a follow through day?
1) Did we have a market correction?
Peak-to-trough was a roughly 12% drop.
2) Was there an attempted rally?
January 24th saw a 4% plus drop only to close higher on the day. That low has proven to be the low of the sell off thus far.
3) Was there a higher close on strong volume on day 4 or later?
On the fourth day, the index closed 2.5% higher then the previous days close on stronger volume.
4) Did the rally continue on strong volume?
Today, the fifth day, saw the index rally back above the 200 Day Moving Average for a nearly 2% gain and on above average volume.
5) Did leading stocks breakout?
The rally was lead by tech stocks and with in the group semi's such as NVDA and AMD lead the way.
The argument for a follow through day seems pretty persuasive.
What does the community think? Too soon?
AMD GAMEPLAN - JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 4This AMD plan shows possible trade ideas for longs and shorts.
-Currently, AMD has had a double bottom of sorts, and passed the previous swing high with ease.
-The price still falls below the Anchored VWAPs and below the highest volume by price range (112)
-Strongest buying pressure in recent times
-Passed above the 50EMA with ease
-MACD looks strong on 1hr
Also hit a strong Fib support off of 99.00
Bitcoin 4h between MA 100 & Up the Weekly Pivot LineLooking at the MACD, we can see a hidden divergence pattern from 33800 to 38400 and the RSI hasn't reached it's critical overbought point over 70 yet and currently is at 59
the price has overcome Weekly PIV Line,though looking at the MA 100, it serves as a strong resistance line at 38700
if candle closes above 38700 we can expect the next resistance at 40900
if candle closes below 38700 then we can expect a support at 37200
FTMUSDT Price Action OB| Double Bottom| Low Volume| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – FTMUSDT – trading action trade a t a key trade location where a bounce is probable,
Points t consider,
- Price action corrective
- Local OB Support
(Double Bottom Confluence)
- Volume Low
- Trend Corrective
FTMUSDT’s immediate price action is trading inside an order block where a bounce will confirm a double bottom, allowing for a bullish bias.
The current volume profile is below average, an influx is highly imminent on the next expansion.
The current trend is corrective, thus any rallies are likely to be sold into.
Overall, in my opinion, FTMUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
Timing, perseverance, and ten years of trying will eventually make you look like an overnight success. – Biz Stone
KCS all 3 possible moves hello everybody
these are 3 possible moves
green : squeezing price below the trendline and breaking it. ( personally, I will wait for 18 $ resistance to break ) ( don't forget to wait for retest).
yellow : relow at 15 $ support line then break the trendline. ( I will buy after retesting the trend )
red : losing the 15 $ support and retesting it.
......
this is another trade for now and a little risky.
the first target is touching the trend
sec target losing the trend and it is 15 $
not financial advice.
goodluck