Long-short
USD/ZAR PossibilitiesThe Rand ran it up the past few days, A few doji's before and during the rally are signs of it getting weaker. So Price can either nearly touch descending trend zone, or bounce down & continue. All in all I'll be watching diligently for some solid confirmation in candle play around these zones. What are your thoughts?
LINKUSDT Daily S/R| Local OB| Price Actin| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – LINKUSDT – trading at a key level where a respect can lead to a bounce,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Impulsive
- Daily S/R Support
- Local OB Resistance
- RSI Extended
- Low Volume
LINKUSDT’s immediate price action is trading towards a key Daily S/R level, holding this level allows for a bullish bias into the Local OB.
The RSI is currently overextended, a reversion to its mean is probable from region, epicially with price action finding support.
The current volume profile is below average, an influx is highly imminent on the next expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, LINKUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Sheer will and determination is no substitute for something that actually works.” – Jason Klatt
AAPL shortWith the US stock market appearing to be in a pullback, there are plenty of reasons to be bearish right now.
Based solely on TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, I remain bearish. AAPL is showing a clear head and shoulders bear pattern. Head and shoulders is, in my opinion, one of the most reliable price movement indicators.
Just speculation (:
GBPAUD Local OB Resistance| Swing Failure| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – GBPAUD – trading at a key trade location where a rejection is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Impulsive
- Local OB Resistance
- Price Action Swing Failure
- Low Volume
- Trend
GBPAUD’s immediate price action is trading at an order block resistance that is in confluence with a Swing Failure Pattern, allowing for a bearish bias.
The current volume profile is below average, an influx is imminent open an expansion.
The current trend is corrective, thus a rejection here will establish a technical lower high.
Overall, in my opinion, GBPAUD is a valid short with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.”
― Yvan Byeajee,
BITCOIN , BTCUSDT 1DBitcoin ♻️
Bitcoin jumped up after the support test of 32900 and was able to move up to 38500
But this does not seem to be the end of the downtrend, and the pullback to the lost level was probably $ 39000- 40000$ , According to the ABC model, which was analyzed 4 days ago, the level of 29000-30000$ not been tested yet and the cycle has not been completed⚠️
Bitcoin needs at least a few strong 4-hour candlesticks with a high volume, over 40000$ , to climb and end the correction and downtrend.
But tonight, after the Federal Reserve meeting and the release of economic statistics and a statement on digital currencies, we can better understand the market decision and trends ❗️
➖➖➖➖➖➖
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
👤 Saeid.Mahbob
📅 01.26.2022
RUNEUSDT Daily S/R| Price Action| Double Bottom| Volume Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – RUNEUSDT – trading at a key trade location that is likely to hold,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Daily S/R Support
(Double Bottom Confluence)
- Local OB Objective
- RSI Extended
RUNEUSDT’s immediate price action is trading at a key trade location that has technical confluence with the Daily S/R and an Order Block, allowing for a bullish bias.
The Local OB is the immediate objective, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
The current RSI is overextended, a reversion to its mean is probable on a bounce back.
Overall, in my opinion, RUNEUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Genuine acceptance that there will be losses on your way to market success will greatly decrease the hurt when they eventually come.” ― yvan Byeajee
BTCUSDT Update - First $43000 then $26000?Hello trader, today we will talk about bitcoin
Let's start with the fact that we warned about such a decline to 35000, we warned that there would be an impulse price decline
and also that only a few guys can and can short this market.
You can find these posts in our....
Now our team of analysts is disassembling this tool for one purpose
Having analyzed Bitcoin on all timeframes, we assume (this is not financial advice) to open positions against the current of the market (open long positions)
Why ?
The Internet began to discuss the price drop to 20,000
Yes, this is logical - uh, this is a very likely scenario.
But
We broke the level of the Head and Shoulders pattern - where the price DON'T returned to the level of 43000 (did not happen)
The second factor is that the cluster analysis indicates increased volumes in the delta. (buy)
The third is psychology (Most traders and small speculators are already accustomed to falling) and set short stop losses at 1-2% of the entry into their short positions.
Thus, the market can grow impulsively due to the same stop losses.
The fourth factor is that the price has covered one of the big gap formations (in short, the price gap has been filled)
The fifth factor is the narrow channel in which the price is located.
The sixth factor is the fear in the market to miss the bottom of the market, everyone wants to buy cheaper.
But lost profits will be bought at 43,000 - where the market will be lowered even lower.
Given the non-recoiling fall, we expect the release of one good news where the entire market will be raised by several hundred billion dollars
Also considering all target CMEs on the exchange
our team expects this outcome.
NZDJPY Local OB| Swing Low| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – NZDJPY- trading at a ley trade location where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Local OB Support
- Daily S/R Objective
- RSI Extended
- Declining Volume
NZDJPY’s immediate price action is trading at an area that is in confluence with an order block and a potential swing failure, allowing for a bullish bias.
The Daily S/R is the immediate objective, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
The current RSI is overextended, a reversion back to its mean will happen on the price action rise.
Overall, in my opinion, NZDJPY is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.”
― Yvan Byeajee
USDJPY @RESISTANCE of WEEKLY RANGE - REVERSAL? [240122]
Good Evening People...
Tonight, I will be providing Technical Analysis for the USDJPY
Reasons being - This particular currency pair looks have approached a major weekly level
So, Lets get stuck in...
As always, I will kick off with the ' Top-Down' Analysis
Looking at the Monthly Timeframe - We can see that back in April '21 there was a breakout of a 4 year Descending Channel
Following this, the market proceeded to print Higher Highs/Lows
With this in mind - Yes, we are looking for Long Opportunities
But, not before moving down to the Weekly Timeframe
On the Weekly - I have marked out a long term Range
What caught my attention is - Over the last month, Price has tested the Resistance of this Range and began to travel south
Furthermore, the market may be forming a Head & Shoulders Pattern
We have the Left Shoulder & The Head completed - With Price heading towards the partial formed Neckline
So, are we looking at the beginning of a Reversal in the market?
After studying the Daily Timeframe - An Ascending Channel was identified
At the Support of this Channel [Where it looks like the market is currently heading - We have Confluence with this Channel Support & Horizontal Support @112.72
Additionally, the neckline of the potential H&S on the Weekly coincides with this zone for further Confluence
For me, this is the zone where trade decisions can be made
Personally, I will be looking for Price Action in the form of a Candle Stick for Buys
Alternatively, a Daily close below the confluence @112.72 would have me considering Selling opportunities
Updates will follow - When the time is right
Well, that's all for this evening folks...
Thanks for tuning in & Stay Cool
FTMUSDT Daily S/R| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – FTMUSDT – trading towards a key trade location where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Impulsive
- .618 Fibonacci Support
- Daily S/R Objective
- Low Volume
- Trend
FTMUSDT’s immediate price action is impulsive and is trading towards a key location that has technical confluence with the .618 Fibonacci and the Local OB, allowing for a bullish bias.
The Daily S/R is the current objective, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
The current volume is below average, an influx is highly imminent on the next expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, FTMUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“You create your own game in your mind based on your beliefs, intents, perception and rules.”
― Mark Douglas
S&P 500 Correction Imminent ???I enjoy long term charts. It allows me to drown out the noise and find the signal. I find this chart interesting. What we're looking at is a monthly candle chart of the S&P 500 SP:SPX The moving averages used are 10 month MA and 24 month MA. Looking at a chart since 1995 the index has closed below the 10 month MA a total of 13 times. 10 of the 13 times the index preceded to test or close below the 24 month moving average.
It could be coincidental but I find that correlation interesting. If January closes below the 10 month MA then there's about a 77% chance of trading down to the 24 month MA. (Assuming the correlation is valid) Considering how far above the 24 month MA the index is currently trading the decline could be sizeable. That would represent another 14% drop from where the index currently sits and it would be about 20% from the high.
Coincidence?
ONEUSDT Daily S/R| Range High| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – ONEUSDT- trading at a key trade location where a reversal is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Daily S/R Resistance
- Single Print Fill
- Local OB
- .618 Fibonacci Support
ONEUSDT’s immediate price action is corrective and is trading at a key location that has technical confluence with the Daily S/R and Single Print, allowing for a bearish bias.
The immediate objective is the Local B, exceeding this level will lead to a bearish trend continuation.
Price action is currently range bunce, accumulation is imminent before the next expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, NEUSDT is a valid short with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“You’re going to learn a million things, then you need to forget them all and focus on one.” - SunriseTrader
$FANG Complex looking vulnerable This is a monthly candle chart of the FANG complex. The last time the group had a monthly close below it's 10 Month moving average it traded back down towards its trend line. The stocks traded down for about 5 months and consolidated for another 8 months, when looking at them as a group. If you have a 401K, IRA, and 529 plans consider how much exposure you have to this mix. The complex could fall quite a bit and not break the long term up trend. Considering the month isn't over quite yet this chart is premature. I figured it was an interesting look none the less.
Thoughts, feelings, ideas?
Here's the link to the watch list:
www.tradingview.com
The "Beast" still giving bull signals but must stop somewhereSo since the last idea, The "Beast" came to within 9 pips of 88 and gave us 3 very good shorts from 19th (Wed). 87.9 - 84.9 ($3 or 300 pips) on 190122, 87 - 83 ($4 or 400 pips) on 200122 (Thu) and 85.5 - 84 ($1.50 or 150 pips) on 210122.(Fri) We closed 80% of shorts at 83 and entered new longs from 83 but closed 70% of them gracefully at 85.5 for $2.50 in the other direction
We will hold the 30% until we get confirmation that the short is going to continue. If not we will hold these partial longs to the outrageous 88 + targets as there are plenty Red manipulation candles up there to be recovered.
The confluences leading us to think this thing can still be Bullish is that there has been a Blue Vector candle printed at the top. This normally means that the buying isn't done, even when price drops before the rise. ($5.20 or 520 pips was the drop overall from 14:00 UTC 4hour candle top wick to 22:00 UTC 4hour candle bottom wick)
The fact that we had a 4 hour close in the box above, a strong rejection back into the box from which we came but ultimately a failure to break down out of the box and further down could be a Bullish signal. The end of Friday saw a charge up and an attempt to get to the top of the box again. It ultimately rejected price back down for that last $1.50 (150 pips) short (in the form of a Red Vector candle), only to recover $1.30 (130 pips) of that short back up to 84.8 to close for the week.
Lastly the fact that all of that activity resulted in a close back above the 50 EMA in the 4 hour timeframe. It must be noted though that it has used the 50 EMA in the 4HR as a launch pad 5 times including this most recent ($2.70) move away from it. But the fact that it is here for the 5th time could spell the beginnings of the end of the recent uptrend. It has used the 50 EMA as a launch pad for more bullish movement 9 times at the most in the year of 2021 so that also needs to be bared in mind.
The Daily TF has been embedded on the RSI to the upside since 081221 and price has ultimately been on the up continuously overall since then (however it has just been lost ever so slightly)
NB THIS IDEA IS ONLY BULLISH UNTIL THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT BEARISH SIGNALS AND FAILURES TO CLOSE ABOVE CERTAIN LEVELS. BUT IS BULLISH UNTIL THEN
NOW BEARISH VIEW
Why was the last short on Friday only $1.50(150 pips)? This is suspect and has us a little scared to put our feet up on the shorts from 87.9
There was something we said on one of our previous ideas a few weeks back about when Oil gives you a good short, one of 2 things are happening. Either it is the beginnings of a juicy short or that it would be a Bear trap like the many before and we would see a rally up that would rise more than the fall and make a new high.
When that happened, we had just had a $2.60 short and went on to rally up $10 as of wed 190122. We have had a $5.20 fall followed by a $2.70 rise so far. If this wants to double the distance of the fall in the form of a rise, we could be looking at new Bull targets right up to $93.8
For the Bearish view, We need to see a FAILURE TO GET OUT OF THE BOX (clear break and close above 85.7) that it was beaten back into in the 4hr timeframe maybe coupled with some Purple Vector candles at the high to indicate a more substantial drop coming.
If we also see the Daily timeframe lose it's embedded officially, then this really will spell the beginning of a big drop.
If we see what we need to see for Bearish confirmations we are aiming at the following levels to visit before any rising continues as this is where Green Vector candles are:
82.17
80.47
79.47
77.8
75.7
75.25
74.8
If anyone is holding from 87.9 and even hold a small position to any of these Green Vector candle levels you are in for a small fortune by the time it gets where you are going.
All Bullish and Bearish targets are pretty much labelled on the chart.
Good luck guys!
This is not financial advice and should be taken with a pinch of salt
EURJPY Local OB| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURJPY- trading at a key trade location where an impulse is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Local OB Support
- .618 Fibonacci Support
- RSI Over-Extended
- Trend
EURJPY’s immediate price action is trading at a key location that has technical confluence with a Local OB and the .618 Fiboancci, allowing for a bullish bias.
The current RSI is over-extended, a reversion to its mean is probable on a bounce.
The current volume profile is on a decline, an influx in volume will be an indication of the next impulse.
Overall, in my opinion, EURJPY is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work,
And remember, that only costs you money.” – Jim Cramer
ONEUSDT Daily S/R | .618 Fibonacci| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – NEUSDT – trading towards a technical trade location where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price action corrective
- Daily S/R Support
- Swing High Objective
- Low Volume
- Trend
ONEUSDT’s immediate price action is trading towards a trade location that has technical confluence with the .618 Fibonacci and Two Daily S/R Supports, allowing for a bullish bias.
The swing high is the immediate objective, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
The current volume profile is below average, an influx is highly imminent before the next expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, ONEUSDT is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps,
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” – John Maynard Keynes
EURNZD Local OB| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action| Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURNZD – trading towards a technical trade location where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- .618 Fibonacci Support
- POC S/R Support
- VWAP S/R Support
- Swing High Objective
EURNZD’s immediate price action is corrective and is trading towards a technical trade location that has confluence with a Local OB| POC S/R and a VWAP S/R, allowing for a bullish bias.
The Swing High is the immediate objective, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation.
The current volume is below average, an influx is highly imminent on the next expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, EURNZD is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Stocks are bought not in fear but in hope. They are typically sold out of fear.” – Justin Mamis