theta long sell limit"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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Long-short
US INAUGURATION & BTCAs the second Trump era begins, this is how Bitcoin looks:
- BTC new ATH in the run up to inauguration and highest ever weekly close. I believe this was in anticipation for Trumps acceptance speech to mention Bitcoin and or the strategic reserve. That did not happen and so we've seen a selloff wick down to Midpoint with price settling at 0.75 in the range.
Typically, wicks get filled and so I would like to see price steadily reach the midpoint and then begin to show some strength before looking to go LONG. That all changes if we see a crypto specific executive order signed in the coming hours/days we should then see a move back to the highs.
- 4H 200 EMA is always an important level for the Bullrun, the vast majority of altcoins are under the 4H 200 EMA thanks to liquidity being drawn out into BTC and Solana memecoin craze.
- Bitcoin is still leading the greater market but I do expect rotation into strong US based altcoins within the next few weeks going into the later part of Q1. Some key alts that fit that category are SOL, SUI, LINK, ONDO, XRP, ENS, and many more.
It's important to remember this is a marathon not a sprint and I fully expect progress to be made but it may not be linear, until we have broken out of the range in the chart and move into a clear trend environment BTC should be treated as such by trading instead of buying and holding.
13/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $102,745.89
Last weeks low: $91,200.80
Midpoint: $96,973.35
A shaky week for BTC and the broader crypto market, mostly due to stronger than expected PMI and unemployment numbers decreasing the likelihood of rate cuts or at least a less aggressive rate cut cycle than previously expected due to a stronger economy. This is bad news for risk-on assets as borrowing capital stays expensive, with the next FOMC minutes coming less than 10 days after Trumps inauguration, last weeks bearish PA is a move to price in a no cut interest rate decision IMO.
The weekly low is once again ~$91-92K which is a key area of support on the higher timeframes crating a rangebound environment so it should be treated as such, if weekly low is lost and price is accepted below then $85,000 comes into play as next support. This would be a capitulation wick IMO to trap the fearful before a very pro crypto administration begins in the US in a weeks time.
At the same time price acceptance above ~$102,000 would be a bullish breakout of this rangebound environment and would signal the move to ATH at $108,000. I do believe we make new highs this quarter, I'm not sure how soon we will do that I think there is caution in the market going into January 20th and so unless there is critical news (maybe CPI on Wednesday) before then that changes this dynamic, a choppy week is expected.
This week I'm cautiously optimistic about getting some good altcoin entries at key levels in strong fundamental plays. If BTC does hold above weekly low for the week I can see some very good opportunities presenting themselves.
bch sell midterm buy limit"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
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Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
sol buy midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
BTC CME Short Model and Long ModelNow Bitcoin is in the Premium zone, where it is better to consider short positions for a short-term movement to the Discount zone. If the Market Maker goes for equal lows, which is a good exit point, or if the Market Maker goes long, then the exact entry will be better in the Discount zone, return to where the accumulation was, and see what candles will be formed at this level.
If we look at TOTAL 1 2 3, we will see that these assets are also in the Premium zone, which can also be good support for short positions.
SUI TRADE IDEA SUI has performed remarkably this Bullrun and it doesn't look to be slowing down. This is just some thoughts on the low timeframe:
Bullish scenario -
A retest of the green zone which is a clear bullish orderblock and the last local high would be an ideal place to get into a Long to then fill the wick up to local high. The general rule of thumb is that wicks get filled and this move would be a near 20% with good R:R. A poor reaction/ no reaction in the green zone would void the trade idea and the Daily support is the next area of interest.
Bearish scenario -
A SFP once the wick gets filled would be a potential bearish trigger with the midpoint and green zone providing areas for the bulls to fight back. SUI is very overbought on the higher timeframes so a larger cool down could be triggered by this pattern playing out. I do also think BTC would have to pullback in order to drag SUI down with it as SUI is just so strong at the moment.
So far a strong start from the US market with the first meaningful day back since the holidays providing strong volume and a bullish bias.
06/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,987.05
Last weeks low: $91,544.67
Midpoint: $95,265.86
2024 is over, 2025 has begun...
Bitcoin ending the year at its highest point since its creation after an impressive rally mainly at both ends of the year with a cool off in the middle.
Now that 2025 has started Bitcoin is looking to break $100,000 once more and begin what many believe to be the final year of the bullmarket. With the holidays now over and year open window dressing now done I would expect volume to return to the markets. Last week we saw a steady climb from the $92,000, whipsaw PA at year end and then a move up to just under $100,000. All that on very low volume which does make me a little worried, similar to weekend moves it's hard to know if they are true moves or just the result of a thin orderblock, this week will answer that question.
Some important data releases for this week include:
Tuesday - Euro CPI
Wednesday - US ADP Nonfarm employment, FOMC minutes
Thursday - CNY CPI & PPI, US Jobless claims
Friday - US Unemployment rate
As we get closer to president Trumps inauguration and the shift in the US from an anti crypto approach to a pro crypto approach, this week should be in preparation for that and could be reactive to news of Trumps administration choices and updates on the "Strategic bitcoin reserve" etc. These reactions could be positive or negative so getting a read on the market in the opening few days maybe wise.
The chart shows and early break above weekly high, this opens up the opportunity for a SFP if the weekly high is lost, if that is the case a drawdown towards Midpoint is on the cads, however if the weekly high is held as support a move towards $100,000 once again is the bullish target. Increased volume would cement either move as the weekly bias.
Good luck to all this year!
HBAR TRADE IDEA Hedera HBAR has held up better than the majority of alts have since the peak of the Trump pump in early December '24, sitting above the 4H 200 EMA were most alts have now lost its support.
The chart is a simple one, we have a clear range marked out between $0.395 - $0.235 with price currently at the 0.25 line. Just below that is the 4H 200 EMA which coincides with the bullish OB creating what should be a strong level of support. Naturally the invalidation for a trade at the level would be acceptance under these key supports.
There is a clear LTF downtrend, a breakout of that range could be a good trigger for a long position with the range quarters acting as take profit levels. With alts still very much tied to BTC and as it stands the price action is stagnant due to end of year window dressing and lack of volume, this should change next week and if the ETFs continue inflows this will help HBAR and alts increasing the positive probability of the long. If BTC starts the year poorly then the SL comes in as the bullish trend is lost.
$BTC 1W Largest Scale Playing with Long Term Ideas #LongThis idea i made today for long term idea just as it is an idea some basic lines and formations were made but it was pretty simple using same red lines the decline lines are same angle as it states. showing prices and times as estimates i will come look at this and progression when iI m older and know more of this trading and chart mechanics etc!
I am not a Financial advisor or any way good with number.. sorry that's a lie I am very good with math but I haven't had to make financial gains on markets not crypto at least.! I have crypto but earned it all freely over short time last 2 years have over a few band only a couple,, but free earned and mostly passive about 70% passive :) anyway and so that makes it all gains but i do swap stuff at lows and highs and various coin swaps using special maths and tools no one else does a lot and take advantage of the "virtual arbitrage" between trading oone coin for another and then another .... if you get it you get it!
WHAT YOU THINK OF IDEA its one for me to come back to in years and look and go wow we were at 100k moment JUST like the 10k moment. Only I don't remember It so well!
hope you enjoy! let me know your opinion and what could be wrong or different! lets learn from one another and take over the markets!!!!
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation.
Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed!
🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉
Why do I write about the Tulip Crash?
These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past?
Happy profits all.
With Major Liquidity Swept and RSI reset Bitcoin is now going UPIn the last few days, after achieving a new all-time high of $108,000, Bitcoin has experienced a massive dump, liquidating many retail traders using leverage. This market downturn was caused by several factors. First, Bitcoin was severely overbought and overdue for a correction. Second, Jerome Powell added to the market uncertainty by making strong anti-Bitcoin statements, dashing hopes of the U.S. adding BTC to its Federal Reserve reserves.
As a result, the market saw a steep fall, with major altcoins such as SOL and DOGE dropping over 30%.
The Main Question: What’s Next?
Bitcoin is unlikely to go up from here in the immediate term. Instead, it may be better to position for a short targeting the $90-91K range. The market might remain bearish over the Christmas holidays, giving “holiday discount” vibes. It’s not a good idea to buy Bitcoin with leverage at this moment. Waiting until next Monday to reevaluate might be a safer option.
Technical Analysis:
As highlighted, Bitcoin has broken out of an ascending channel and dropped significantly. One of the key technical reasons for this is the overbought RSI. Major resistance is currently around $99.7K , while key support lies between $89.5K and $87.5K . A break below these levels could indicate a strong move in either direction.
The most liquidity is around $92.2K , where Bitcoin is likely to gravitate before making an upward move. Additionally, RSI has hit a support level, which increases the possibility of a bounce from here.
Outlook:
After the holidays and once Bitcoin sweeps the lower liquidity levels, we could see an excellent buying opportunity . There is potential for BTC to reach $118K by the end of January . Moreover, Donald Trump’s inauguration could act as a catalyst to drive Bitcoin’s price higher once again.
BTC, correcting now into 2025It looks very likely that BTC has completed wave 5 of higher degree of trend of 1. Therefore, we'll see a chunky, sizeable correction that has the potential to go down all the way to the 50s. It may not go this low, but please be aware that it 'could' following the classic ABC pattern. Also, keep an eye on the Hurst cycles below - it has to do it quite quickly. If it does go down to 50k, then I'll be buying that up like Miss Pacman.
With big ups come big downs. Hi all thanks for looking this is a simple ML script that is showing a large dip following the current high price action. This is not advice nor correct it’s not “what’s going to happen” it’s simple a machine learning system that takes some info and then uses it for the future reference line. Which is going red in the 4H.
This isn’t gospel it’s just another idea that is from a script so enjoy and share whatever you think is if value here l! Let’s learn together and make crypto or bitcoin gains together!
$BTC 1 Hour again Update Possible ATH what if 99k was shoulder??Imagine that (I’m don’t make predictions for you to use on the market and it’s not advisable) the market we see on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the 99.8k pump was just the shoulder of this bigger picture?
This could be exactly what the bulls are waiting on but maybe it’s not also. What do you think??
Please add some comments that are constructive so we can all work together to make more gains!
$BTC about to top-out?Not exactly sure where we will turn around, but RSI looks almost identical to last cycle, just ~30% shorter cycle?
It kind of looks like the move is manipulated this time? Might be because billionaires buying off-market through Coinbase way more this time than last time.
Also the lower 30k's looks attractive even tho I hardly doubt we will go there, except we starting bear market early this time. If price retrace to 30k to 40k - chart would print Inverse Head&Shoulders, at around 28k there is 3 White Soldier pattern on weekly chart, that act as strong support, wouldn't be surprised if we dip to those levels for a day or two if we get black swan event.
If we still in bull market then price should't go below ~80k. And correction of this size would start altcoin season.
This is weekly chart so of course no actual telling will this happen this week or 10 weeks later, just an interesting look. And RSI might lose it's bearish div if we pump enough.
Everyone saying BTC will go to over 120k or even over 300k, this dump would be something beautiful for new entries.
Dollar index remains under 105.00The dollar index has been losing its previous bullish momentum for a couple of days now, encountering resistance in the 104.50-104.70 zone. This resistance coincides with the resistance from the end of July.
From this morning, we see a pullback to the 104.00 level and a hint of a turn to the bearish side. The first target is the EMA 200 daily at 103.40. If the support is not enough, the index could continue up to 102.00.
Maybe this pullback will be short-lived, and we will see a return to the bullish side again. We will be looking at a jump from 105.00 to a new four-month high.
BTC, can confirm we confim the breakout?Please check the previous idea to get the bigger picture - You find it in my profile
Hello everyone,
Bitcoin reached the top line of the flag pattern, that was built from the 74k top. We got a strong move up, but the breakout didn't even reached 70k.
Bearish Case
Currently we are in a correction of about 3000 Dollar and the correction could expand, if the current support from the 1H 200 EMA will be lost. The next support would come in between 64k and 65k.
Bullish Case
If the price can stay above 66500 and breaks the pattern to the upside, it will face resistance at 68k and needs to get over 68400 to continue the path to the upside. If that's the case, 73k should be the next target
Realio "RIO" Looks BULL on Daily but might dump to ~$0.85Looks kind of bullish on daily, but I would open short first to see where it will bottom or just wait for better entry.
We do have a bit bearish indicators on hourly timeframes.
Head & Shoulders Pattern.
Short:
Entry: 1.1825
SL : 1.25
TP: 0.85
Or just wait for Breakout confirmation and long it as it looks very Bullish.
Long:
Entry: 1.18 or any confirmation of breakout
SL: 1.13
TP: 2.23
30/09/24 Weekly outlookFollowing a very important week in the macro economic landscape, a round of rate cuts that signals a pivot in how governments are tackling their economies, bitcoin saw a surge from the start of the week right through until the end of the traditional trading week on Friday. Up +6.3%.
Last week Bitcoin spot ETFs had a net inflow of US$1.11 billion, and Ethereum spot ETFs had a net inflow of $84.51m. Bitcoin is clearly still favoured by the larger institutional investors, at least for now they are.
This week should be a semi-turbulent week given the forces at play, we've seen the larger economic environment flip to a more risk-on one with the event of a 50bps rate cut starting a period of QE, however, it is also the month end & quarter end. This is a time for "window dressing" the balance sheet and is negative to market liquidity. With banks making their balance sheet risk assessments at the very end of the quarter a shift from holding riskier assets to safer/high quality assets is made and therefor an assets like BTC will fall victim to this.
We are seeing the effects of that at time of writing, BTC has fallen -2.7% today and this window dressing is definitely a contributor to it, albeit a potentially temporary measure and on the 1st OCT that pressure should be relieved. Given the broader market environment, by the end of the week this loss should be recovered and some, IMO any dip is for buying in all of Q4, everything has set up nicely for a strong finish to the end of the year!
EURUSD 22/09/24This week, we continue to expect a bullish Euro to US Dollar movement, similar to last week. The price moved higher and remained above the previous high. Now, our focus is on the daily high and an hourly demand zone that could drive further upside price action. We are also aligning with the institutional trajectory, which points upward. If the price dips to this level and shows bullish signals, we expect a continuation toward the daily high. At this point, we anticipate the price to remain bullish, with a small pullback likely before resuming its upward movement.
Follow what price action is showing you. Remember that these areas are only to be tracked in terms of probability, not in terms of prediction of actual price action.
Stick your plan follow your risk. trade safe.