HelenP. I After strong impulse up, Ethereum can start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Ethereum analytics. A not long time ago price started to trades in consolidation, where it at once declined to the support zone, which coincided with support 2. After this, ETH rebounded from this zone and tried to rise more, but failed and fell back to this zone. Price some time traded in this zone and later ETH bounced from this zone again and rose to 2340 points. Then price made a correction to the top part of the support zone and then rebounded up to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. After this price made little correction, rose back to this level and at once declined to support 2. Later price bounced from this level and soon made a strong impulse up to 2670 points, thereby breaking support 1 and exiting from consolidation. Now, I expect that Ethereum will make a correction, after a strong impulse up. For this case, I set my target at the 2530 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long-short
Bitcoin(BTC): ETF Is Live...Will We Dump Or Pump?ETF is live, and billions of dollars have been going into the crypto trading markets!!
Although this is a huge milestone for Bitcoin, we are not so optimistic for bullish markets to start yet! - Yes, we now have big institutions that can buy in on Rypto, but would they buy in on such a high price?
With that being said, we are still seeing that downward possible movement to happen, which would go towards at least $34K zone (where majority of liquidity is currently at)
Currently, fighting over the FWB:48K zone price is not seeing any strength to actually pursue that FWB:48K zone as of now. Let's see...
Greed and Fear Index: Extremely Greedy / 76
BITCOIN - After downward impulse, price can rise back to $45000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
When price bounced from resistance level, which is located in resistance area, it started to trades in falling channel.
In channel, BTC declined to support level, which coincided with support area and even soon made fake breakout of this level.
After this, price made strong upward impulse from $42000 support level to $45900 points, breaking $44000 level and exiting of channel.
Later, BTC started to decline and fell to $41000 points quickly, breaking the $44000 level again.
Recently, price rose higher than support level and soon bounced from this level to resistance line, where it trades near now.
Possibly, Bitcoin can continue to move up to $45000, breaking resistance line and level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
What will be next for gold?This week i adviced to keep selling under 2070 big resistance after confirmation. Although we got some rejections bulls manage to push back to the resistance zone. I told everyone the moment 2070 breaks with confirmation we need to add buys. SO eventually gold broke 2070 and i instantly change strategy to adding buys. WE took great profits from here.
In the bigger picture we had 2085 wich is resistance in smaller timeframe(M30 and H1) Went short but missed our TP by 20 pips. For know 2085 up to 2090 is resistance. If we break above there is only 2100(Psycological resistance) and 2150(Last known high. So that said there isnt much resisance for gold.
Either expecting a pullback from here back to 2070 support. We can buy from here again. Or wait for the drop to 1 of the support trendlines.
I am not willing to sell gold yet. We need proper confirmations, because were trading against the trend...
Resistance: 2085-2090, 2100, 2150
Support: 2070, 2050
BTC TO 100K ?? NOT HAPPENING !!Price is in premium BPR (balanced price range) and breaker block .
If it closes below the marked recent bullish FVG (fair value gap) , its going to go to equilibrium of the range at TP1 , put the trade on BE if your on a short here .
If it takes support here , you can buy here as its the equlibrium . Then price is most likely to make all time highs .
if it doesnt doesnt take support at the marked area , there you go farewell btc ...
18/12/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $43813.15
Last weeks low: $42006.79
Midpoint: $40200.42
BTC spent the previous week chopping sideways for the majority after failing to continue its bullish structure on the 1h timeframe. For now we're seeing a pullback of ~10% which has allowed profits to rotate into other areas of the market, predominantly smaller cap L1's and other narrative plays such as AI, RWA & gaming coins.
The market has needed a pullback/correction after near relentless run. As we near the ETF approvals and the halving volatility will only increase from here. Buying double digit drawdowns on these projects and holding long term is a good way to DCA in for this Bullrun. see my last post for the big picture Bullrun setup.
If we see price drop before weekly low and print a new lower low the next support is 38K and 32.5k lower than that for great long term entries.
Sell Target at 43k & Buy Target at 13kLet’s see how this long position unfolds!
Only 4.2% of my time is spent on taking action, the rest of 95.8% are spent on waiting, planning, testing, reviewing, assessing, studying, etc...
So now ask yourself a few questions:
1. How much of a portion of your time is spent on taking action?
2. How often do you over-trade OR revenge-trade?
3. How does impulsive trades affect your consistency?
I believe the best Traders have the highest ability to sit with their hands.
The ability to look at a high volatility market environment and say "no", and yet only focus on your plan should be the end goal of us as a day trader.
There are countless of market opportunities everyday, but how many of them are meant for you?
DXY Analysis - Monthly & Weekly Timeframe (ICT Concepts)Reacted BEARISH off of PREMIUM with hard displacement.
Now looking BEARISH at DISCOUNT zones.
3W candle closed below a Bisi 3W, but reacted off of lower Bisi 3W. Based on this timeframe, I want to see if price wants to move towards the higher disrespected Bisi 3W and then react bearish. That disrespected Bisi 3W is almost a 1M Bisi. It would make the most sense that if price were bearish is for it to come to a PREMIUM zone for that swing range into the Bisi 1M (BPR) before heading lower.
The bias is not concreate at the moment, so be wary of any change in narrative during high-impact news drivers and the general structure on lower timeframes.
Lower timeframe may present long opportunities to this shorting POI, but price may create a Sibi first.
- R2F
EURUSD 3/12/23Euro to the US dollar being one of the only pairs that looks like it may be difficult this week the reason for this is we are still within a strong bearish range when overall the narrative we believe is going to shift bullish we'll monitor this over Monday session to see how it shapes up in comparison to its correlated pairs overall I believe the swing high is going to be taken and we will align with the other US dollar secretary pairs everywhere.
Montly candle closure! In a couple hours we will have montly candle closure. GOld is forming new grounds. If we look at the montly timeframe, notice that al the previous montly candles closed below 1993. This will be the first time a montly candle closes above! This indicates strong support will create around that level
SO what does this mean, what is next for gold?
Today 2050 was the zone i adviced to short the market. Sellers will try bring the market down before montly candle closes. From 2050 gold fell as low as 2030(200pips) My view is 100% bullish. After a correction the next bull wave will start. I am aiming around 2022 zone to go long or 2005 zone. With targets 2048 and 2067(around ATH). We can expect a good rejection around ATH like 3 times in the past, but this time i think it will be different rejection. Not as powerfull as before. In the long run 2070 will break and gold will move in a complete new area wich has never been seen before.
In the past we had 3 times testing the ATH zone off approx 2070(tripple top) In the near future we will see new ath 2100+
*The given long posititions are indications not signals.
Resistance: 2050, 2070(ATH)
Support: 2030, 2022, 2005, 1992
NAS100 19/11/23Nas100 we are within a bullish range looking for longs overall expecting price to go to the h We have highlighted as SWH Looking for a pullback because we have no poi within this range I wouldn't be surprised if we liquidate our low giving us an entry model for long from the swing low.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPUSD 12/11/23Starting this up week off with British pounds of the US dollar we were bearish into the last session of last week pushing up at the end of the session leaving us with a non valid BEARISH range, Ending our week with a break of structure higher giving us a bullish range also lining up with our hourly structural sweep and continuation now looking for price to run back down to the highlighted point of interest for higher prices following into this week.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
BTCUSDT: Update from the previous Trendline we made.Big shout out to the commenter on my previous post, thank you for helping me adjust my trendlines to form the correct (subjective) chart pattern.
If we think of the market's enthusiasm as a balloon, the Average Sentiment Oscillator is our gauge. When it's too high, it means excitement might be peaking, which can sometimes lead to a downturn, as not everyone can win in this game. The Stochastic RSI, another tool, helps us spot when the market's energy is fading. If it shows a 'reset' below a certain level without a positive signal, it's like our gauge is warning us that the balloon is losing air.
Analysis of Bearish Potential:
- Trend Lines and Patterns: Rising wedge pattern indicating potential breakdown.
- Average Sentiment Oscillator: High position suggesting overbought conditions.
- Stochastic RSI Div: 'Reset' below 25 without green 'R' signal, indicating potential move lower.
Now, imagine the market is a ship in open waters. Certain news events are like storms on the horizon.
3 Bearish News Potentials:
1. Regulatory Crackdown: Possible stricter regulations or bans on crypto transactions.
2. Security Breaches: Reports of major security breaches within cryptocurrency platforms.
3. Economic Policies: Unfavorable economic policies affecting crypto liquidity or attractiveness.
Thesis for Bullish Continuation:
- Support Levels: Strong buying interest above the 37k support level.
- Elliot Wave Analysis: Potential for another leg up to complete the Elliot Wave pattern towards 42,000.
- Sentiment and Momentum: Upward trend in Average Sentiment Oscillator and Stochastic RSI 'green R' signal.
Pivot Areas for Trade Reversal:
- Below Support: Decisive drop below 37k indicating a bearish trend pivot.
- Top of the Wedge: Failure to break the wedge upper line as a bearish reversal point.
- Stochastic RSI Div Crossing: Watch for cross above 25 with 'green R' for bullish reversal if in short.
Confirmation for Going Long:
- Breakout Confirmation: Strong close above the wedge on significant volume.
- Stochastic RSI Div 'Green R': Signal coinciding with upward price action.
- Sentiment Oscillator Trend Change: Reversal indicating reduced selling pressure.
Confirmation for Going Short:
- Wedge Breakdown: Price breakdown from wedge on high volume.
- Stochastic RSI Div Continuation: Stays low without 'green R' while price falls.
- Sentiment Oscillator Decline: Sharp downturn at overbought levels signaling short entry.
Note: Use stop losses and consider risk-reward ratio fitting your trading strategy and risk management. NAFA, do not be part of the dumb money.
E-mini S&P - Weekly Timeframe Analysis Price had a relatively convincing reversal back to the upside.
In my opinion the highest yielding position would be a long from the weekly Bisi annotated on the chart. A short could be identified from the weekly Sibi, but I would be wary that the Sibi could be used as a point of support of there are Discount PD Arrays on lower timeframes within.
A possible target would be the relative equal highs residing near the top of the highest weekly swing.
EU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)I am still long-term bearish on EURUSD until proven otherwise. With the current global climate, unprecedented events can occur at anytime and change everything on a dime.
My initial target for a reversal back to the downside is a 3-Week Sibi residing just above the current Monthly Sibi. It is salient that the 3-Week candle does not close in the upper quadrant of it's range. It would be reasonable for price to reach all the way to the Bearish Weekly Breaker before reversing, but a strong close above the Weekly iFVG above would make me reconsider my bias.
Narrative-wise, I am anticipating price to return into a 2-Week BPR before continuing higher into my short POIS. I'll post an analysis on the Daily timeframe for more specific scenarios.
06/11/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $36088.7
Last weeks low: $35064.8
Midpoint: $34040.8
Last week price consolidated after it's considerable rally the week before, we have a mini range between 34k as support and 36k as resistance. As price has stagnated profits have trickled down the crypto ladder towards strong altcoins such as SOLANA, and more recently lower cap plays which is usually a sign that the cycle is coming to an end and that money will return to BTC, however it is difficult to say at this current moment in time if price will continue to push upwards or will we get a correction.
General market sentiment seems to point towards the bull market has returned and it's up only from here. I am not so sure that is the case but the fact that we have been consolidating at this level for quite some time now without a pullback does give further evidence for that.
For now I think it would be very risky, the time to be HTF bearish was all of last year. To enter shorts at this stage without solid confirmation of weakness, instead taking profits going into HTF resistance levels would make the most sense. As for the side-lined traders this is were FOMO is your biggest enemy, yes the market looks strong right now and there hasn't been any pullbacks to jump on. I'm keeping a close eye over the week for BTC dominance against altcoins, and news on the ETF's.
EU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)I am still long-term bearish on EURUSD until proven otherwise. With the current global climate, unprecedented events can occur at anytime and change everything on a dime.
My initial target for a reversal back to the downside is a 3-Week Sibi residing just above the current Monthly Sibi. It is salient that the 3-Week candle does not close in the upper quadrant of it's range. It would be reasonable for price to reach all the way to the Bearish Weekly Breaker before reversing, but a strong close above the Weekly iFVG above would make me reconsider my bias.
Narrative-wise, I am anticipating price to return into a 2-Week BPR before continuing higher into my short POIS. I'll post an analysis on the Daily timeframe for more specific scenarios.