EU - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)I am still long-term bearish on EURUSD until proven otherwise. With the current global climate, unprecedented events can occur at anytime and change everything on a dime.
My initial target for a reversal back to the downside is a 3-Week Sibi residing just above the current Monthly Sibi. It is salient that the 3-Week candle does not close in the upper quadrant of it's range. It would be reasonable for price to reach all the way to the Bearish Weekly Breaker before reversing, but a strong close above the Weekly iFVG above would make me reconsider my bias.
Narrative-wise, I am anticipating price to return into a 2-Week BPR before continuing higher into my short POIS. I'll post an analysis on the Daily timeframe for more specific scenarios.
Long-short
USDCHF 29/10/23UC really clean trend from last week following our ranges as we thought it would, we now have another range to the upside as it stands we are looking for our swing high to be taken, if we break down we will track price as we should, this would also line up with our other bias setups for GU EU N1.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
Cryptocurrency Precision Analysis: Bitcoin Target Projections
Latest analysis of Bitcoin's price trajectory, we're setting our sights on a potential moonshot to the $37,000 range, with wicks that could aim even higher, possibly reaching beyond $40,000. Like rockets fueled by Fibonacci-based technical levels, our outlook aligns with the prevailing bullish sentiment that's been rocketing through the crypto-verse.
Yet, fellow traders, don't get caught up in the moonboy hype or the temptation of "getting rekt" in the throes of an unbridled bull market. In this financial cosmos, where bulls and bears dance like celestial bodies, we've identified what we cheekily call "targets for failure." But let's be clear, they're not so much about making you fail as they are about steering you clear of the treacherous asteroid fields.
Just like you'd look both ways before crossing the street, in the wild, wild world of crypto trading, these "failure targets" should serve as your trusty rearview mirrors, reminding you to navigate the markets with precision and caution. So, keep your rockets grounded until you've crunched the numbers, because this spacewalk is more about careful risk management and strategic planning than shooting for the moon.
With that said, let's keep our eyes on the stars and our portfolios on solid ground. Happy trading, fellow astronauts! 🚀🌕💰
""look both ways, when crossing the street.""
"Targets for failure. Not really failure though....
"Just making you fail"
INDEX:BTCUSD
EUR USD IdeaAt this moment, it's crucial to recognize that the highest buy and sell levels for extreme moves in the month of October are positioned beneath us. In light of this, a word of caution is in order. Employing stop-loss orders is not just recommended but paramount.
There may be instances where your stops get hit a few times, but this is an integral part of risk management. It's worth noting that such experiences often precede significant market moves. In trading, it's more than acceptable for your stops to temporarily take you out of the game because the potential rewards, in the end, can be substantial.
Stay prudent, and remember that successful trading is about managing risk as much as it is about capturing opportunities.
23/10/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30629.8
Last weeks low: $28832.6
Midpoint: $27035.3
Bitcoin finished the week with a massive 11.1% increase and a weekly high of 13.28% greater than weekly open.
The way in which BTC had that huge initial gain at the beginning of the week was due to Cointelegraph issuing a false report that the Blackrock ETF had been approved when in in fact it's still under consideration with the decision deadline in March '24.
This false news created a large wick, and the majority of the time wicks get filled, in this case price slowly and consistently filled the wick over the remainder of the week.
We are now looking at a possible SFP of this local high given at 30600 from that early week wick. Price has broken out above and is now back under. For this mini rally to sustain itself price can not be accepted under the red trendline in my opinion. Maintaining bullish price structure going into the heavy resistance area of 32k is key if this rally is to continue. I still think there is one last crash just to truly crush the impatient and for smart money to load up for the bullrun ahead which is almost in site now.
GBPUSD 22/10/23Starting our week off with GU, from last week we had a very bullish out to our week and overall we stay within out bearish higher time frame moves, as it stands we would like to see our high tapped into for the bullish swing range we are on to be fulfilled, keeping in mind we are mainly running major lows, coming into our first session of this week iam looking to our liquid high (21700) i may look for an early short from here to run the EQ lows just under market close.
due to news from the weekend i wouldn't be surprised if we see gap open on our USD pairs.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
Gold To Push Higher?We can see golds holding above this 45 zone, which is a good indication of price to push higher. Possibly back to 1960. A lot of wicks at the moment so I wont be entering as of yet. London is about to open soon, I will hold off until then, then look to enter in longs as its still in an overall bullish trend.
EURAUD possible forecastPrice has just recently had a MSS to the upside. It is now currently approaching a previously established supply zone that it could use to retrace into the deeper 4h structure to take out liquidity and mitigate a demand zone it left during the expansion. It is this very same demand zone that price could use to expand further up to take out the external daily swing high.
euraud sellprice rejected daily high level 1.67000 creating a double top pattern. price just closed below 1hr order block zone (white box) and is should do some order fills for the 4hr order block (grey boxes). im expecting price to head the the gold box which is the 0.5 0.618 retracement of the daily zone.
US30 - Daily Timeframe Analysis (ICT)(Refer to my Weekly analysis for US30 and DXY)
On lower timeframes I have 3 areas I want to anticipate a long to go to the short POI. Ideally, we don't see a daily close out of that thin yellow box (Daily Bisi).
There are 3 lines of defense for price to reach to and find support.
1st line of defense is a Breaker with CE of a wick and a gap, which looks very nice. This is my first choice.
2nd line of defense is the 4h bisi (dark blue is a bottom prediction if it gets there)
3rd and last line of defense is the 4h Orderblock MT.
The more price declines, I believe the faster the move up would be back above the yellow zone.
Relative equal highs reside above, so that gives me some confidence that we are likely moving higher.
The short POI is a 4h Sibi inside the weekly Sibi has my eye. A high RR trade could be possible.
Neutral on SPY.
As you can see here on the hourly timeframe we have formed some trend lines. I feel like we will open up tomorrow red and then if we can close above the top trend line above vwap and with good volume on the 5 minute chart I feel as though we can get a nice pop. Be careful tomorrow is a FED meeting!
USDJPY 9/10/23US dollar to the Japanese yen showing us the same as most of our other US dollar correlated pairs which is a major gap at market open in this case we open low and we have stayed low since we have technically fulfilled the gap and fulfilled the low of the open itself so overall we should be set for some more true directional price action of course it is AUS bank holiday so we're not expecting anything huge as stated in our other markups we are going to be looking more towards Tuesday rather than Monday session, Collectively we are going to have a swing range high if we break this 5 minute range down if that happens we can then confirm a bullish bias for this pair but at the moment I am thinking that we may break lower and make internal price action which will eventually overrule the bullish swing narrative that we have until that happens we'll follow what price action shows us and we'll continue to read what price is telling us.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
The Euro Dollar**Welcome, first I want to personally thank you for taking you time to read what I am about to share with you. These ideas I am publishing come from my view of the market as any other trade influencer out there. It's important to understand that as humans, we possess the possibility of sharing information, and are known to adapt to correct feedbacks of information and disregard what we perceive as being false/wrong information. I want to begin with this fact. The market is designed for neither of you or me to be right or wrong. The market is designed to move money from one source to another. That's all. There is nothing more to that fact. Understand this fact at it is vital for this publication.**
The Euro Dollar has been on a downtrend, 4H chart, since July 13. Although many attempts have been seen throughout the last couple of weeks of bullish pressure entering the market in an attempt to rebound prices. They, unfortunately, have failed. This is obvious. Without looking at indicators, take a shot at the 4H chart on the EUR USD. What do you see? The correct answer is what I just have mentioned. Now, this is nothing I have made up or predicted, however, everyone in the whole wide world who has access to a 4H chart can clear as day see this downtrend (As suppose you are right now). But this downtrend is subject to reversal! I know some of you may be thinking just that, however, and hear me out. How certain are you that the price will reverse just because an indicator is advising you it will? Are you sure you are using the indicator in a correctness. Well, for starts, an indicator can only provide you information on what others are doing, and not where the market is actually going.
Yeah I know, it sucks. Well its the truth. I'm not saying use or don't use them, I'm just advising you of the fact, just like you can see the downtrend on the 4H. And the fact is that INDICATORS CAN NOT show you where the market is going. If they did, well... they'd all work. Period.
What I can tell you is, is that the market itself is telling you what its doing. The market is going down, bottom, low, whatever you want to call it but its doing this ( \ ) not ( / ). Those are suppose to be trend lines, I know terrible. Anyhow, the MARKET is telling you what to do. Its telling you hey bud I'm going down, whether you like it or not, its going DOWN! Now it may choose to go up tomorrow, or in the next couple of weeks, and that's cool and all because good traders would at that point cut their losses and follow the trend upwards, assuming they haven't opened a YOLO 100X margin trade on a $300 account.
See. Its really that simple. Market tells you its going down, you go with it, obviously protecting yourself from when it decides to go back up and vice versa. I hope you found this simple idea with meaning, because honestly, the markets are that simple. You can only BUY or SELL, don't over complicate that fact as a retail trader.
Good Luck
HAPPY HUNTING
MATiC: Long Short PLAYBOOK
Indians love to churn businesses
so do projects with EXCELLENT marketing
as evident in MATiC price action anchored to series of camaigns
from Name Change POLYGON to recent zkEVM March rollout
Gang of 8 Whales control the Price
and looks like it loves to hunt stops in between the cost of HANDLER
Asian Market handler in control
Euro Market free for all organic market decides
US new york .. handler decides on news event driven anchored to BTC and DXY
Body Clock of Handler is it hunts liquidity at obvious floor ceiling beyond it
notice the TRUMPET formation
size you entry and Churn Milk this with the King of Japipur
NOTE:
do not use Logarithmic scale as it fools or tricks your eyes
stick to normal chart
that harami circled doji in Yello is an indecision or unfinished business of TRADE
to be revisited