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The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe.The analysis focuses on the short-term to medium-term timeframe. Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears: At the current price of 157.04, the market is in a tug-of-war between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears). Bulls are defending key support levels near 152.48 (Fibonacci 100% retracement of Wave C) and 154.34 (Expanded Flat target). A hold above these levels could signal a potential reversal. Bears are attacking resistance levels at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100% projection of Wave C) and 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). A break below 152.48 could accelerate downward momentum. Recent Price History: The market has been in a downtrend recently, with the price dropping from 191.18 (July 10, 2024) to 157.04. Key Fibonacci levels (e.g., 161.8% retracement at 159.84) and Elliott Wave patterns (e.g., Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate) have guided this decline. Momentum indicators (e.g., RSI at 47.51) suggest the downtrend may be losing steam, but the MACD histogram turning positive hints at a potential short-term bounce. Current Sentiment (Technical & News): Technical Indicators: Mixed signals. RSI (47.51) is neutral, while MACD shows a bullish crossover (histogram turning positive). The price is below key moving averages (e.g., 200-day SMA at 167.35), indicating a bearish bias. News Sentiment: Mixed to slightly negative. Ad revenue pressures and regulatory risks weigh on sentiment, but long-term growth catalysts (AI, cloud) provide optimism. Analysts maintain a "Buy" rating despite near-term challenges. Synthesis: The technical picture aligns with the news—short-term bearishness (price below MAs, ad revenue concerns) but potential for a reversal if support holds (undervaluation, bullish MACD). Key Levels & Momentum: The price is currently below the 50-day SMA (161.89) and 200-day SMA (167.35), signaling bearish dominance. Momentum is fading (RSI neutral, Stochastic not oversold), but the MACD histogram suggests a possible short-term bounce. 2. Elliott Wave Analysis (Contextualized to Current Price) Relevant Elliott Wave Patterns: Diagonal Ending Downward Candidate (Valid): Suggests the downtrend may be nearing completion, with Wave 5 potentially ending near 152.48-154.34 (Fibonacci 100% projection). Expanded Flat Upward Candidate (Potentially Valid): If the price holds above 152.48, this pattern could signal a corrective rally toward 162.82. Wave Count vs. Indicators/Sentiment: The Diagonal Ending pattern contradicts the bearish news sentiment but aligns with oversold technicals (RSI, MACD). This divergence suggests a potential reversal if support holds. The Expanded Flat pattern would confirm a bullish reversal if the price breaks above 160.31. Near-Term Projections: Downside: A break below 152.48 could extend losses to 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci projection). Upside: A hold above 152.48 and break above 160.31 could target 162.82 (Expanded Flat target) and 167.35 (200-day SMA). 3. Strategy Derivation (Realistic, Actionable NOW, News Considered) Primary Strategy: WAIT (due to conflicting signals). Why Wait? The technical setup is mixed (bullish MACD vs. bearish MAs), and news sentiment is neutral-to-negative. The upcoming Q1 earnings could add volatility. If Price Holds Support (152.48-154.34): BUY with confirmation (e.g., break above 160.31). Entry Zone: 154.34-156.13 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement). Stop-Loss: 151.44 (below recent low). Take Profit: TP1 at 160.31 (Fibonacci 100%), TP2 at 162.82 (Expanded Flat target). Risk/Reward: ~1:2 for TP1. If Price Breaks Below Support (152.48): SELL with confirmation (e.g., break below 150.06). Entry Zone: 152.48-151.44. Stop-Loss: 154.34 (above support). Take Profit: TP1 at 148.36 (161.8% Fibonacci), TP2 at 145.90 (Wave 5 projection). News Context Check: Earnings uncertainty and ad revenue pressures favor caution. Reduce position size if trading. 4. Trade Setup (Actionable, Realistic, News Aware) Direction: WAIT (watch key levels). Key Levels to Watch: Upside: 160.31 (breakout confirmation). Downside: 152.48 (breakdown confirmation). News Reminder: Be mindful of Q1 earnings and ad revenue trends. 5. Summary Section ✅ Investor / Long-Term Holder Summary: Key Support: 152.48 (accumulation zone if held). Long-Term Outlook: Undervalued (DCF: $260 vs. $157). Focus on AI/cloud growth. Action: Wait for pullback to 152.48 or break above 167.35 (200-day SMA).
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by samibelca
SAFEMOON - Not so safe for the medium termIt looks as though there could be a fractal for SAFEMOON. Historiclally, we've seen rises like this but only to be dissapointed and for the trend to be reversed again. I've drawn out a blue line of what the most likely trajectory will occur. The only other alternative is that the upward trend will continue, buying action will surge and we will see a bursting through of the upper trend line and escape the channel. If it comes back within the channel momentarily, that's fine - but not if the volume dies down and we stay within. So, it doesn't look great for an investment and I wont be putting anyting into it. Follow for more.
by cryptechcapital
2
HBAR/USDT: A Potential Super Long-Term Impulse Wave Take a look at this super long-term potential impulse wave for HBAR. This chart captures a massive Elliott Wave structure that could define the next big move in the crypto market. We’re seeing the foundation of Wave 3, with the potential for a trend-defining breakout as HBAR progresses through its impulsive phases. The critical zone? A breach of the upper trend line would validate this structure and could signal higher highs on the horizon. This isn’t just a week-to-week setup—it’s a multi-year roadmap. If the Hurst cycles align, we’re looking at one of the most promising long-term plays. What’s your take? Do we see confirmation, or does this remain a dream scenario? Share your thoughts and follow for more long-term crypto insights! 🚀
Long
by cryptechcapital
PEPE, long term super cycle awaits!This is how PEPE could play out in the long-term assuming that we're putting in wave 1, which looks like a leading diaganol. In the medium term we're likely to see some lows as the minor wave 1 corrects for the clearly visible ABC. But, then hold on to your hats as we put in wave 3 which is always the most violent. If you're not out of your shorts by then, this pattern could ripe your face clean off. In any case, keep an eye and plan for early retirement. Follow for more.
BITFINEX:PEPEUSDLong
by cryptechcapital
2
Gold on the Bitcoin fibonacci multiplierWhat bitcoin does on a small timescale of 15 year we see happening in gold on a multi decade scale. Looking at the Fibonacci lines you can see that the first peak in 1974 hit the Red Fib Multiplier before retracing again. In 1980 the second touch in this cycle hit the orange line. In 2011 gold hit the yellow line at $1900, As we are now in the second phase of this bull market, I expect gold to hit the red line between 2026 and 2030 at 7-10K Currently the cycle is dominated by uncertainty, risk aversion(debt load) and inflation and I dont see a change in the world for these topics in the next few years.
TVC:GOLDLong
by timschell
1
BTC arriving at BIG resistance, early! but....I am bearish BUT, with bullish optimism and a possibility of big a big bull, based on current market momentum. This is actually a great place and likely place for it to pull back based on its prior pattern, but this momentum could prove otherwise. I am marking this neutral and no one wants to review neutral reviews they want to see bull or bear. The thing is we are at a pivotal point that will make the case for either a prolonged bull or bear market. I am not sure if we will break out or break down but I have painted the picture of how we are at that point right now. I will post again bull or bear once it seems to have committed to one or the other but otherwise just keep your eye on the trend lines. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Here we are around $1000 less of $82.5k and we got here early. We are likely to have resistance here but breaking this line would be really significant and likely signal a parabolic crypto market to come, massive. The odds would put it at pulling back here as it has already twice in the past 4 years, and at minimum some resistance where it can consolidate potentially all the way up until late Dec before making a decision. It may still be December, but really the market feels like it might have enough fire to push through it real soon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Order books have actually been fairly range bound all year, we are at the high end but its nothing that screams some large increase in participation of day trading. Per CoinMarketFlow, global order books are around a -10% ratio on a 1d candle average at above 10% depth of market. This is actually ideal as it represents day traders with limit orders that expect the price to rise and less that expect it to fall. This is bullish ATM. I have been seeing lots of alts breaking resistance and converting it to support, lots of chance for jumps. Right now seems like a day traders paradise with 25%-50% sometimes 100% runs in a single day, from lower liquidity, low circulation coins especially. Right now the fire of the market makes me think we may break the resistance and truly fly to the moon. But the fact that order books have only grown by about 10%-15% or so over the last year, does make me question the durability of the run without more gas for the fire so to speak. If BTC breaks that 82.5k and proves it as support, it is as bullish as it gets, like hyperbolic potential. On the other hand, if we resist here again, as usual, then it could be a lot of prolonged pullback with a potential absolute low between $30k-$40k probably - based on this chart you are looking at now and considering a pullback like it did the last two times. So its more of a bearish layup that looks like it has the possibility to convert bullish. I would caution to be vigilant at or near this line and let it choose first before taking any real action. As usual DYOR but consider this trendline as one of your many things to watch to help you make more informed decisions.
by EncryptShawn
Can 128% be soon?Cardano (ADA) is one of my favourite coins which I choose to invest in. This is trade (investment) setup on larger timeframe. If you never bought ADA before it is still not late. I am not looking to reach targets 2,3,4 very soon, that could be year(s). I will sell most of my capital on targets 2,3. Small portion will be sold on Target 1 and hopefully on Target 4. Entry Zone: 0.50 – 0.57 Buy Zone 1: 0.30 – 0.37 Buy Zone 2: 0.13 – 0.16 Target 1: 1.33 – 1.44 (128%) Target 2: 2.83 – 2.93 (390%) Target 3: 4.35 – 4.89 (651%) Target 4: 5.73 – 5.84 (891%)
Long
by Abmoon
6
Positive Outlook for Polkadot (DOT) PriceDespite the drop in Polkadot (DOT) price earlier this month, investors remain optimistic about this cryptocurrency and continue to invest in it. The steady increase in capital inflows since mid-month indicates growing interest and confidence in the Polkadot project. These factors suggest a strong belief in the project's potential, which could lead to sustainable price growth in the future. To confirm a real upward trend, Polkadot needs to break out of the current range between $5.5 and $6.5. If this happens, the price could reach $7.2 and $8.3. The current range is suitable for entry, with a stop-loss for this analysis being a daily candle closing below $5.5.
Long
by Cryptowormshot
4
NSE: TATAMOTORS / NYSE:TTM - Tata Motors - Tesla Love affair ⚡Will electric mobility wave will take Tata motors to next level? Time will tell - Can we do some crystal gazing with Chart patterns ...:) NSE: TATAMOTORS / NYSE:TTM - Tata Motors - Tesla Love affair ⚡ Tata Motors Limited is an Indian multinational automotive manufacturing company headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India. It is a part of Tata Group, an Indian conglomerate. Its products include passenger cars, trucks, vans, coaches, buses, sports cars, construction equipment and military vehicles. Formerly it was known as Tata Engineering and Locomotive Company (TELCO). Tata Motors has auto manufacturing and assembly plants in Jamshedpur, Pantnagar, Lucknow, Sanand, Dharwad, and Pune in India, as well as in Argentina, South Africa, Great Britain, and Thailand. It has research and development centres in Pune, Jamshedpur, Lucknow, and Dharwad, India and South Korea, Great Britain, and Spain. Tata Motors' principal subsidiaries purchased the English premium car maker Jaguar Land Rover (the maker of Jaguar and Land Rover cars) and the South Korean commercial vehicle manufacturer Tata Daewoo. Tata Motors has a bus-manufacturing joint venture with Marcopolo S.A. (Tata Marcopolo), a construction-equipment manufacturing joint venture with Hitachi (Tata Hitachi Construction Machinery), and a joint venture with Fiat Chrysler which manufactures automotive components and Fiat Chrysler and Tata branded vehicles. Founded in 1945 as a manufacturer of locomotives, the company manufactured its first commercial vehicle in 1954 in a collaboration with Daimler-Benz AG, which ended in 1969. Tata Motors entered the passenger vehicle market in 1988 with the launch of the TataMobile followed by the Tata Sierra in 1991, becoming the first Indian manufacturer to achieve the capability of developing a competitive indigenous automobile. In 1998, Tata launched the first fully indigenous Indian passenger car, the Indica, and in 2008 launched the Tata Nano, the world's cheapest car. Tata Motors acquired the South Korean truck manufacturer Daewoo Commercial Vehicles Company in 2004 and purchased Jaguar Land Rover from Ford in 2008. Tata Motors is listed on the BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange), where it is a constituent of the BSE SENSEX index, the National Stock Exchange of India, and the New York Stock Exchange. The company is ranked 265th on the Fortune Global 500 list of the world's biggest corporations as of 2019
NSE:TATAMOTORS
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
3
NIKKEI 225 (BANKSTER CALL)I'm loving the way this chart is looking. But I also love the fundamentals here. US Govt. is working overtime to satisfy our allies here in South East Asia, and in the Norther 'Emerging Markets' Zone (S.Korea). However, with all that's going in the South China Sea, Japan has stepped as an ally to help us buffer some of the regions tensions. Nikkei 225 contains some of the worlds hardest hitting corporate players. So a purchase from Warren Buffett isn't a 'scratch your back, i'll scratch yours until...' but a sizable investment into the future of one of the worlds most productive societies. With this being said, I decided to place 25% of my portfolio into this play, with a hedge nearby in the event we retest levels seen on the Monthly chart. Going forward, we will build out plays that will cover the risk until we are risk neutral. Then I will expose our portfolio some more to this play. Walking the streets Fukuoka just a few years ago, during what was seen as tough economic times, it was hard to tell with how packed the shopping malls in the prefecture were. *A consumer based economy with tons of potential. Now, based in Bangkok, I will add the Chinese are controlling the regions most valuable retail assets with their 'unlimited' purchasing power, but the Japanese are strategically in lock-step in the more quieter ways and in economies were the value of their assets can see a larger blast north from foreign investment. This is not investment advice. I'm not responsible for any decisions that you make after reviewing this information. Trade Responsibly. The American Bankster
TVC:NI225Long
by moneymagnateash