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Long-term

Hypothetical idea: "when" & "how high" will next BTC peak be?Very, very simple projection using previous BTC "Halvening" dates measured to peak of market over the last several years, and then averaging the three periods (again, the length of time from Halvening to next peak) to project the next peak. Used TradingView curve tool to capture the peaks and troughs of the market over time. Obviously using Bitstamp as it has the most complete market data. Obviously just a projection - but using these inputs and the curve tool to project, it looks like the end of the next BTC cycle should be mid to late 2025 (as early as June or July, as late as August or September), and a peak of I would say between 75K-110K. I think the time right now is to be very careful. The market is starting to get very frothy due to the anticipation of the US Federal Reserve easing, but honestly I think the market is getting way ahead of itself. Short to mid-term, I see Bitcoin rallying into the end of 2023, possibly as high as upper 40K, but then correcting back to under 20K. Then we should start rallying into the next Halvening in 2024, and then finally start to moon again. But this will take some time.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PsychonauticalTrader
Consider the Long-Term ChartI'm not going to call if the bottom is in or "not so fast" but just want to point out that we may only be halfway through a significant long-term downturn. It's concerning to me that RSI has broken significantly below 50 for the first time since the market recovered from the lows in early 2009. It's also concerning that price looks like it wants to retest the 50-mo. EMA after seemingly finding support a couple months ago. There's still considerable downside risk to the 200-mo. EMA where it has found long-term support in the past and it also happens to currently line up with a double bottom with the covid panic low from early 2020. Will it go down to the 200-mo EMA now? I'm not sure, I'm just saying that it could and you need to be prepared for that. I do know that if it continues to drop it would be a blood bath down at those levels and also a great long-term buying opportunity in my opinion (it could find support above, at or below the 200-mo EMA and an interesting level would be the top from the tech bubble around 2000 which lines up with a period of sideways consolidation from 2015-2016.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by PatientContrarian
Bull Case Scenario for AVAXAVAX is poised for significant price appreciation in the near future, making it a smart investment opportunity for those looking to tap into the growth potential of the blockchain industry. The platform's unique features, such as its scalable and secure architecture, its ability to handle high volumes of transactions, and its flexible and decentralized governance model, set it apart from other blockchain platforms and position it for growth. Additionally, the growing demand for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications and the increasing popularity of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are driving interest in the blockchain sector, and AVAX is well-positioned to capture this demand. With a highly engaged and growing community, and a strong commitment to developing cutting-edge technology, AVAX is poised for continued growth and price appreciation in the years to come.
BINANCE:AVAXUSDLong
by Derrick_Washington
Bitcoin warning🔥VOLATILITY IMMINENTBitcoin is showing a bit of a bullish streak again in the market selection I opened The price 23000$ and choise stop loss 1580$. I hope that soon we will get good profits at $2400 and $24500. I continue to hold small longs on bitcoin and ether, although I have reduced the volume of the transaction. In the range of $24,500-$25,200, I plan to close them and look for entry into the shorts. I think that such a short is justified. This is a strong resistance level and a correction is long overdue. + it looks like TOTAL, TOTAL2 and USDT.D will hit their resistance levels at this bitcoin price. If there is no growth, then I will continue to work from the long, but after the correction.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by mmakerinvest
Not another market timing theory....Okay, I get it. Timing the market < time in the market, but I can't argue with the results of this strategy. Here we're going to take a look at a timing model using the popular MACD / MA Cross combination, with a dash of stop loss and a pinch of momentum indication, so let's dive in. This is "close" to what I use for my personal indicator, although done on a different platform. A while back, I took on the challenge of learning Pine Script for my first coding experience. A lot of copy/paste was used. I published an "Advanced MACD/MA Cross" indicator, with the intent on building it into this strategy. So yes, first of all, the main signal is a combo MACD / MA Cross on the S&P 500 index ( SP:SPX ). Another important thing, likely the most important thing of all, is this strategy relies on the LOGARITHMIC movement of the S&P. This is very important. When looking at the log movement of a stock or index or whatever, you go from looking at the REAL PRICE to looking at MOMENTUM. In my years of trying to find a decent momentum indicator, I found just looking at the logarithmic movement was best. Settings for MA Cross are fast 200 TEMA, slow 650 DEMA. I've found it best if the MA types are different (slow MA is also a slower "type") when looking at logarithmic movement. For instance, if your slow MA is an SMA, fast should be EMA. If slow MA is EMA, fast should be DEMA, so on and so forth. This will cause the slow MA to vertical shift down during bull markets and up during bear markets. The settings provided seem to give a good overall indicator of general market movements, but usually it's slow to respond to market entries. My MACD looks at exponential moving averages of 200 and 500 on the S&P, and then applies a 100 day EMA signal line. This provides good entry points in general. When evaluating these long term trends, sometimes, unexpected things happen in the market that give potential to lose a lot of money. This strategy also implements a stop loss and market "bounce" finder. Stop loss is straight forward. If the strategy detects that the log movement of S&P has dropped by 10 points, a "bond market alert" will trigger. Conversely, the "bounce" finder looks at log movement of S&P from a rolling 17 day period, and if it's moved upwards by 10 points, a "stock market alert" will trigger. The strategy tester is pretty good, although the equity holds a flat line through the Bond market. This is where a true portfolio backtest would come into play. Look at the list of trades from the strategy tester, input them into a spreadsheet or whatever, and see how this movement indicator would work for your favorite stock over the past several years. Chances are, it'll work pretty well, and a lot better than a buy and hold strategy. While looking, you may want to investigate leveraged long term treasury bonds ( AMEX:TMF ) during the indicated downtime, or index LETF's during the uptrends ( AMEX:UPRO , NASDAQ:TQQQ , etc.), depending on your risk tolerance. The chart above shows the S&P compared to Vanguard's Long Term Treasury ETF ( NASDAQ:VGLT ), as well as market entry and exit positions, in the first pane. Second pane is the Logarithmic movement of the S&P, and the strategies MA Cross lines. Third pane is MACD (MACD MA's not shown for clarity). Fourth pane shows the "bounce" indicator. Strategy tester goes all the way back to 1950, or the beginning of daily data for the S&P 500. You'll see a few trades missed the mark, but the profit factor is important to note (and keep in mind, this doesn't take into effect BONDS!) P.S. disclaimer, this isn't 100% exactly what I use for my personal market entry / exit indicators. My personal bounce entry and stop-loss methodologies are slightly different, and I also track an underlying portfolio that will initiate a stop loss if neither stocks or bonds are working (i.e. 2022). And also, I'm not a financial professional, this isn't financial advice, yada yada yada. P.P.S. please forgive me if the formatting doesn't end up right here, never published a strategy before!
SP:SPX
by garretthenry229
At the beginning was the EquityWith this post, I am concluding the analysis of the company's balance sheet. You can read the previous parts here: Part 1 - Balance sheet: taking the first steps Part 2 - Assets I prioritize Part 3 - A sense of debt Now we know that every company has assets on one side of the balance sheet and liabilities and equity on the other side. If you add liabilities and equity together you get the sum of assets. And vice versa, if you subtract all of the company's liabilities from the assets, you get what? That's right, you get Equity . Let's discuss this important component of the balance sheet. When a company is first established, it must have initial equity. This is the money with which any business starts. It is used for the first expenses of the new company. In the case of our workshop , the equity was the master's savings, with which he bought the garage, equipment, raw materials and other assets to start his business. As sales progressed, the workshop received the revenue and reimbursed expenses. Whatever was left over was used to boost the company's profit. So, our master invested his capital in the business to increase it through profits. Making a profit is the main purpose for which the company's assets work, loans are raised, and equity is invested. Let's see which balance sheet items are in the Equity group: - Common stock (The sum of nominal values of common stock issued). Remember, when our master decided to turn his company into a stock company , he issued 1 million shares at a price of $1,000 per share. So $1,000 per share is the par value of the stock. And the sum of the nominal values of the stocks issued would be $1 billion. - Retained earnings . It is clear from the name of this item that it contains profits that have not been distributed. We will find out where it can be allocated in the next post, when we start analyzing the income statement. - Accumulated other comprehensive income (Profit or loss on open investments). The profit or loss of a company can be not only from its core business, but also, for example, from the rise or fall in the value of other companies' shares that it bought. In our example, the workshop has oil company shares. The financial result from the revaluation of these shares is recorded in this item. So, the equity is necessary for the company to invest it in the business and make a profit. Then the retained earnings themselves become equity, which is reinvested to make even more profits. It's a continuous cycle of the company's life that bets on equity growth. Which balance sheet items are of interest to me in the Equity group? Of course, I am interested in the profit-related items: retained earnings and profit or loss on open investments. The sum of nominal share values is a static indicator, so it can hardly tell us anything. However, it is better to use information from the income statement rather than the balance sheet to analyze earnings, because only this report allows us to see the entire structure of a company's income and expenses. So we conclude the general analysis of a company's balance sheet. To fully understand why it is needed, let's engage our imagination once again. Do you remember the example with the hotel ? We imagined that a joint stock company is a hotel with identical rooms, where you, as an investor, can buy a certain number of rooms (one room = one share). Think about what you would want to look at first before buying? Personally, I'd rather see photos of the rooms. So, the balance sheet can be compared to such photos that we get from the hotel at quarterly and annual intervals. Of course, in such a case, the hotel will try to use special effects as much as possible in order to improve investors' impression of the photos released. However, if we track and compare photos over multiple periods, we can still understand: is our hotel evolving, or have we been watching the same couch in a standard room for 10 years in a row. We can say that the balance sheet is a "photo" of the company's assets, debts and equity at the balance sheet date. And the balance sheet items I've chosen are what I look at first in this photo. In the next series of posts, we will break down an equally important report, the income statement, and explore the essence of earnings. See you soon!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Be_Capy
Where is ETH in its Fibb retracement now?Based on its past bull/bear cycle, ETH has reached its bottom for a while now. I do not like to push bear or bull narratives, but just taking the fibb levels into consideration we're at a good place to buy if you plan to hold on to it for the long term. What I'm planning to do is to buy a bit around current price and leave some dry powder ready if it falls back to the lower fibb band. What are you all doing at this moment? Have we seen the bottom already? Is it yet to come?
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by DescryptoAdri
Not at the bottom now, but we will get a very nice opportunity!Hello trades & hodlers out there. I have very bad, but also very good news depending on your timeframe! As we saw the bear flag is working, there is absolutely no sign in the market left, that we are in the bear market phase. As clear as it so now, we are also only have left the last leg down i guess. This move could come in steps or very fast in on big flash crash. In my opinion, the flash crash scenario is less likely but could bring us the best short term buy price. The green box marked the time and price range, which is obviously quite a big range. But nothing is for sure, so please take care! At 14,000 USD i will buy massiv, even if we could go lower. If we are not reaching this price, i will buy after the bottom was built on a retest pullback. Wish you all luck & be very patient. Don't act emotional, otherwise you will lose a lot in this market phase!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Crypto-Coin-Trader
2
XAU/USD Nice move from market Bias today is down - I prefer to Short more than Long Plan 1: Sellers continue breaking by Strong Buyers Zone and price move down to 1912 Plan 2: Price is protected by Strong Buyers Zone and price increase to 1927, which has big volume from Sellers. I think we will see a litigation for this area but Sellers will take advantages and Price move down to 1912 Plan 3, just my vision. Price breaks and move above the yellow circle then we can take risk a Long trade to zone 1930 or 1940 These are my plans but it still a possibility :) Have a good day guys! Ray
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderBBBBB
6
Gold XAUUSD First, welcome to my humble page. In short, my analysis is based on the nature of the market and the natural movement of the markets between impulse waves and corrective waves. Focusing on entry points with the highest degree of accuracy. As for gold, technically, it is heading to 1947 dollars, then selling it to target the bottom of 1616 dollars. But it will be updated every time due to market change of course. Good luck everyone. I always like to look between the Daily & 24 hour for key levels and enter in on the 4HR / 1Hr /15min timeframes for signals.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Elhoussaine_ait_youssef
BTC accumulation phase spring or a massive bear rally ?Hello, It will be a quick one as the chart says it all. Basically, I think the current setup looks a lot similar to the price action we saw at the end of 2018 and the beginning of 2018. 1. BTC made three consecutive lower lows on the 1-week chart, consolidated for a bit then made a new low which was the final one. We saw the same think happening the 15 months. 2. The RSI hit an oversold area around the same level as the one from 2018 while also printing a bullish divergence for the first time ever for BTC (or at least I could not find any older). 3. Volumes increased above the average between the 3rd and 4rd low on both occasions. 4. The price of BTC hit the long-term diagonal support and used it to rebound on both occasions. 5. BTC broke above the 21-period EMA with a solid green candle back then and now. The time of the green candle that broke above the short-term EMA found the RSI in the exact same state and place on its chart as back in 2019 I think it is quite possible we see a significant rally at least up to the first downtrend correction near $46,800 before a significant pullback. This will be in line with the 2018/2019 rally, also relatively similar in terms of percentage growth. Such a move will be normal in the state of disbelief, but it does not exclude a new low afterwards just like it was the case back in 2019/2020. So the "recession" and "long bear market" scenarios can still come to live. Let me know what you think in the comments
Long
by FutureBlockchain
3
How Far/Long Can BTC Push Higher? 🕝Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. 🗒 As per my last educational post, we know that we might be in Pattern 4 => falling correction after a bearish impulse, leading to a bullish reversal. As mentioned, our confirmation would be a weekly candle close above the last major high in green (22500) Now since, we broke above it the last high, how far can BTC push higher? The first / next rejection is now around the previous major high around 25,000 in blue . If / Once the 25,000 high is broken higher, then a movement till the 30,000 resistance / supply would be expected. N.B. Always Remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might have a correction (as a higher low) along the way. 📉Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and why? Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! 🗒 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
27
BITCOIN long term movement on triangle pattern 📖💡Hello 🐋 Based on the chart, the price is close to the parallel channel support area and in triangle pattern, if the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and form the ascending channel, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 🚀 otherwise we can see more correction to lower support level before hitting the upper resistance area ❌🧨 if the price complete the breakout of the parallel channel to upside, even we can expect more gain and ATH 💡🚀🚀 👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡 Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
14