LONG
BTC DOMINANCE After a Trump victory the markets are booming, a new BTC ATH pushed bitcoin dominance to new local highs of 60.6%. Now we've seen a decent retracement on the daily candle and BTC is still in price discovery. This indicates to me that we have an altcoin resurgence on our hands, returning confidence in crypto and the green light for crypto support by America is a very important to this current rally.
I could see BTC dominance dropping to 59.5% before any continuation (bottom of the trend channel) higher and that's not particularly from a BTC selloff although that is possible as a SFP, but more likely is just BTC staying where it is and altcoins making up some ground.
RSI has dropped out of the oversold zone with this daily candle, a cool off is eventually inevitable as long as price stays flat while RSI cools it's very bullish.
A lot of that altcoin move needs to be from ETH imo, with BTC @ ATH Ethereum is 72% away from ATH... A massive difference and one that should close up going into Q1 2025.
The standard process for a crypto bullmarket is:
BTC --> ETH --> LARGE CAPS
--> MID CAPS --> SMALL CAPS
So far we're clearly still in the BTC phase, keeping a close eye on the ETHBTC chart to see if the momentum shifts towards Ethereum but that doesn't seem likely until next year at the earliest.
Dollar index remains under 105.00The dollar index has been losing its previous bullish momentum for a couple of days now, encountering resistance in the 104.50-104.70 zone. This resistance coincides with the resistance from the end of July.
From this morning, we see a pullback to the 104.00 level and a hint of a turn to the bearish side. The first target is the EMA 200 daily at 103.40. If the support is not enough, the index could continue up to 102.00.
Maybe this pullback will be short-lived, and we will see a return to the bullish side again. We will be looking at a jump from 105.00 to a new four-month high.
GOLD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2684.2
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2718.8
My Stop Loss - 2662.8
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0720 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0793
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0687
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.290.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.295 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
ETH BREAKOUT??Simple chart with key levels shown. After the Trump victory price has broken out from the downtrend of 7 months. So far the breakout has been capped at the major resistance level of $2850. It's a clearly important S/R level with clear TPs on the way back up to local high.
Entry is a tricky one, the macro is clearly bullish with the election news + interest rate cuts happening globally. A safer entry would be a flip of the resistance @ $2850.
A second entry would be the green box and still broken out of the downtrend. That would make the entry closer to being wrong and therefor better R:R but for me less probable as $2850 is still major resistance.
Invalidation is under the green area around $2700 and falling back under the downtrend, approx -6.5% under the possible entry once the S/R is flipped.
GBP/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the GBP/USD pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 1.310.
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BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler...
For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K.
From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now.
Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months.
Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.
04/11/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $73,633.97
Last weeks low: $67,477.38
Midpoint: $70,555.67
ELECTION WEEK IS HERE! This is the one we've all been waiting for and probably been nervous about. On the 5th November the US election takes place, now we might not know for certain who has won on that day but we should have a good idea barring no funny business. At time of writing, Trump leads the betting market polls 57.7% : 42.3% which is down significantly from last weeks high of 67%. A lot can happen between now and tomorrow but for BTC and crypto in general a Trump win should be favourable to the markets, a Harris win might delay cryptos progress IMO.
If the US election wasn't enough for one week FOMC takes place a couple of days later. With a forecasted cut of 25bps coming taking the interest rate from 5.00% to 4.75%. The last FOMC saw a 50bps cut so the FED is rapidly moving to a more risk on environment which should be pro crypto, however I do think the election result will dwarf this FOMC in importance as the 25bps cut has been known about for awhile and most likely priced in.
Obviously the election is the main focus of this week, a number of projects have token unlocks this week too:
Larger % circ. supply:
NEON,BANANA,ADA,XAI,BGB,AGI
Smaller % Cir. supply:
SOL,WLD,TIA,TAO,AVAX,DOGE,SEI,NEAR,DOT,SUI&FIL
The altcoin market is still at the mercy of BTC and BTC is at the mercy of this election currently so we'll have a better picture of what the future may look like by the end of the week.
EUR/USD LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 12H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.089 area.
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Accelerating Ahead: Is Now the Time to Invest or Should You WaitOverview: Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Current Price: $288.53 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Consumer Discretionary / Automobiles
Tesla has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $180.00 - $288.53
One-Month Range: $250.00 - $288.53
Support Level: $270.00
Resistance Level: $300.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: January 25, 2025
Dividend Payment Date: N/A (Tesla does not currently pay dividends)
Ex-Dividend Date: N/A
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 68.84 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $2.5 billion
TTM: $10 billion
Dividend Yield: N/A
Institutional Holdings: 55%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 65 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $260.00
200-Day: $220.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (TSLA): 68.84 vs. Industry Average: 20.00
P/B Ratio (TSLA): 15.00 vs. Industry Average: 3.00
EV/EBITDA (TSLA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 10.00
Tesla's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 30%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 25% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.5 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $20 billion
Current Ratio: 1.8
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – Tesla announced a strategic partnership with a leading battery manufacturer, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about Tesla's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Ford Motor Company (F): $10.55, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
General Motors Company (GM): $45.20, P/E 10.00, Revenue Growth 3%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $288.53 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $288.53 = $31.47
Percentage Gain: ~10.90%
Stop Loss (SL): $270.00
Potential Downside: $288.53 - $270.00 = $18.53
Percentage Loss: ~6.42%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.90% (reward) / 6.42% (risk) ≈ 1.70
Entering at $288.53 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $270.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $320.00
Potential Upside: $320.00 - $270.00 = $50.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $250.00
Potential Downside: $270.00 - $250.00 = $20.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $270.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $320.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $300.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $250.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
Tesla's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $288.53): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $270.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $270.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on Tesla's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
BTCUSD - LONG TRADE Execute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
💡KEEP IN MIND💡
I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
🚀Follow, I will drop daily 2-5 Intraday Charts🚀
EURUSD RISKY SCALP LONG NOWExecute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
💡KEEP IN MIND💡
I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
🚀Follow, I will drop daily 2-5 Intraday Charts🚀
BTC, everybody knows about the bullflagHello everyone,
today I want to talk about the obvious fact, that BTC is in a big bull flag, since it formed the 74k high. But the way how it moved out of the lowest point of that flag isn't impulsive at all unfortunately. There is only a three wave move, followed by some more choppy price action, so to trade it safe, we need more confirmation.
I added some support levels (orange) and a trend line (green) to the chart. If you like to follow my thoughts I will talk about the development of the price action within that bull flag in the upcoming weeks.
Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM): Fibonacci Levels to WatchToday, our focus is on gold mining stocks, with earnings reports from Barrick Gold TVC:GOLD and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM in the spotlight. We’ve zoomed out on the NYSE:WPM chart to assess the overall structure and identify longer-term opportunities. Building a portfolio with some exposure to the commodity market is, in our opinion, a solid strategy for diversification.
NYSE:WPM appears highly correlated to Gold OANDA:XAUUSD and is currently sitting on a crucial trendline while hovering in the minimum target area for wave 3. A drop into the $78.5-$68.5 range seems plausible to establish the wave (iv). Ideally, the stock would then resume its upward trend, targeting higher Fibonacci levels for wave 3. In the broader picture, Wheaton Precious Metals responds well to trendlines, and a potential move into the $64.2-$52 zone could also occur over time.
If Gold continues to rise, NYSE:WPM may follow suit, and during Gold’s peak, mining stocks like NYSE:WPM could outperform the physical commodity significantly.
We are closely monitoring this setup and evaluating whether to execute it. Remember to always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions!
Visa (V): Pullback Incoming After New All-Time HighsVisa ( NYSE:V ) has reached our anticipated wave 3 target, a significant milestone for this stock that has consistently delivered strong performance. Recently, regulators in the EU have begun probing Visa and MasterCard’s fees, assessing their impact on businesses. While this could pose some risks, Visa’s overall trajectory remains promising.
The stock has been setting new all-time highs consistently, but with the potential completion of wave ((v)) and wave 3, we are now looking for a pullback. This correction could offer a great opportunity to open new long positions. Our target range for the pullback is between $280 and $260, though the exact level remains uncertain. Before this, there could still be further upside, with a potential minor retracement between $311 and $325 that would support a bearish short-term outlook.
We are monitoring this closely and have alerts set to act when the time is right. Visa remains a long-term performer, but patience will be key to capitalizing on its next move.