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GBP/USD at a Critical Support Level: What comes next?The GBP/USD pair has fallen more than 7% since September 26, 2024, largely in response to the strengthening of the USD following Donald Trump's recent victory in the US presidential election. However, it appears that GBP/USD has found significant support on the daily chart, forming a double bottom pattern in the 1.2500 region. This level has been an important reference point throughout 2023 and is poised to act as support once again. Confluence of Factors Several elements suggest a potential upward movement in GBP/USD: 7% Decline Without Significant Retracement: The pair has seen a substantial decline since September without any meaningful pullbacks. Key Support Region: The price has touched an important support level on the daily chart. Double Bottom Formation: The emergence of a double bottom pattern on the daily chart adds further support to the bullish hypothesis. Considering these points, a long setup could be contemplated if the candle on the daily chart for December 23 closes above the high of the preceding candle. This would create a bullish Engulfing Pattern, which is often viewed as an ignition signal and a buying opportunity. Potential Targets for a Long Trade 1.2800: This target is a previous resistance point that previously hindered further price increases. It also represents a round number, offering approximately 180 pips from the entry point. 1.3000: Another significant resistance level and round number, approximately 380 pips from the entry point. Stop Loss A suitable stop loss could be placed slightly below support on the daily chart at around 1.2470, providing a distance of approximately 150 pips from the entry point. Alternative Scenario Should GBP/USD break below the support level on the daily chart, the next downward movement could see it fall to the 1.2330 level, where it may find another area of support. Impact of Economic Data: UK GDP and US Consumer Confidence The upcoming release of UK GDP data should be closely monitored, as it is a critical indicator of the health of the UK economy. If the reading comes in lower than expected, the market may speculate that the Bank of England (BoE) could be forced to cut interest rates to stimulate growth, potentially leading to a depreciation of the Pound. Meanwhile, US Consumer Confidence data is likely to affect market volatility as household consumption accounts for approximately two-thirds of GDP. A reading that exceeds expectations could indicate strong consumer confidence in the economic outlook, which might lead to inflationary pressures and prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to consider raising interest rates, thereby strengthening the USD. As the GBP/USD pair approaches a crucial support level, the technical indicators suggest a potential for upward movement. However, traders should remain vigilant of the upcoming economic data releases and consider how they might influence market dynamics. Combining technical analysis with fundamental insights will enhance the likelihood of making well-informed trading decisions during this pivotal moment. Disclaimer 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
EUR/USD Hits Critical Support: Will It Move Higher?EUR/USD has experienced a decline of over 5% in recent weeks, without any significant pullbacks, raising the likelihood of a potential upward movement in the coming days. This downward trend has brought the price to a key support level on the daily chart, near 1.0450, a region previously tested in December 2022. Following this, the price exhibited classic false breakout behaviour, briefly dipping below this support before quickly reversing upwards. Understanding False Breakouts in the Forex Market A false breakout occurs when the price temporarily breaches a significant support or resistance level but fails to maintain that movement, swiftly reversing direction. In the case of EUR/USD, the breakdown below 1.0450 was rejected by buyers, which resulted in an immediate upward rebound. False breakouts are relatively common in the Forex market, where heightened volatility and manipulation by larger players can trigger fleeting movements that capture the stop-loss orders of conservatively positioned traders. Such scenarios often create opportunities to trade in the opposite direction of the initial breakout. Potential Trigger: Break Above Previous Candle High Today's candle has exceeded the high of the prior candle, signalling a possible shift in direction as buyers begin to regain momentum. This context indicates that the 1.0450 region could once again serve as a crucial defensive point for buyers. Potential Upside in the Coming Days The breakout above the previous candle's high is a positive indication for buyers. If EUR/USD can maintain its position above the 1.0520 level, it may signify the onset of buying strength, with the next upside targets being: 1.0670 - A zone where previous support may act as resistance, coinciding with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent decline. 1.0750 - A significant resistance level and prior consolidation zone on the daily chart, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent downside. To confirm this bullish scenario, the price will need to sustain upward momentum characterized by large-bodied daily candles and increasing buying volume. Alternative Scenario: Bearish Resumption Should the price fail to maintain the rally and break below the 1.0450 support level, the bearish scenario could resume, with subsequent targets including: The next relevant support zone on the daily chart around 1.0250. A final target near the 1.0100 region, which attracted attention in November 2022. EUR/USD is currently at a critical juncture following a significant decline and a false breakout of daily support. The analysis suggests potential for upside as long as the price remains above 1.0450. However, the possibility of a bearish scenario cannot be dismissed, especially in the event of a negative reversal. This is a crucial period for monitoring price behaviour at key technical levels. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
BTC 4h-48 long forecastBTC looks very bullish on almost any timeframe. structure tells us we could have a pullback soon into unmitigated MB's which act as large SnD zones for those who dont know. MB's tend to have a high % of being mitigated before the long trend can continue. they get mitigated to cover the institutional shorts that made that last move down to liquidate any longs before the pump happened. Of course there isnt always a mitigation and this could very well continue upwards without any for of mitigation but that is something we shouldnt trade as there is very limited RR to capitalize on.
Long
by BreadFish
5
SAKSEN Technologies Swing TradeSASKEN Technologies respecting trend line in Weekly time frame and following uptrend, if price moving above 1755 then we can go long with approx 18% SL and 36 % Reward, 1:2 risk reward. Enter only if this trade looking interesting and can manage quantity as per the stop loss. Note : Its just an analysis, wait for the price to confirm. Disclaimer : Always follow risk to reward, this is the only key to success in market, no matter how much good a trade is looking we never know the future.
NSE:SASKENLong
by smrgrover2
KOPRAN Showed Breakout with Huge Volume at 52 Weeks High ZoneNSE:KOPRAN The co. has set up a new API plant at Panoli, commercial production at this facility is expected to be started from Q3 FY25. In FY23, it completed upgradation and expansion of the multi-product plant at the Mahad facility for existing products and to manufacture new molecules. An integrated Pharmaceutical Company, committed to supplying International Quality Formulations and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs) globally. State-of-the-art manufacturing facilities and products with various accreditations and approvals by major global regulatory authorities. The formulations vertical is operated through Kopran Limited. The API vertical is being operated under Kopran Research Laboratories Ltd. (KRLL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Kopran Limited
NSE:KOPRANLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
EPL Just Have Broken 52 Week's HighNSE:EPL Double digit revenue growth at 10.7%. All regions delivered strong growth. Continued EBITDA margin improvement with Q1FY25 margin at 19.1%, an expansion of 160 bps YoY. Absolute EBITDA grew by 20.8% YoY. Adjusted PAT (excluding base year one off) has grown by 35.4% YoY. Reported PAT has grown by 18.2%. Net Debt/EBITDA ratio improved to 0.67x vs 0.71x (YoY). Return on Capital Employed (‘ROCE’) increased to 15.9% with YoY increase of 190 bp. Company Profile EPL manufactures multilayer plastic laminated collapsible tubes, providing specialty packaging solutions to the fast-moving consuming goods sector. EPL has 21 manufacturing plants in 11 countries across the world; the company commissioned a greenfield manufacturing unit in Brazil in FY23, with operations already getting ramped up at that unit.
NSE:EPLLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
DEN NETWORK FOR LONG TERM MY VIEW ON 06.07.2024Den Networks Ltd is one of the largest cable distribution companies in India. Here's a detailed explanation: Overview Den Networks Ltd was established in 2007 and has grown to be a major player in the digital cable television and broadband sectors in India. It is part of the Reliance Group. Business Segments Cable TV: Den Networks provides cable television services across multiple cities in India. It offers a wide range of channels, including regional, national, and international content. The company has been transitioning from analog to digital cable TV, which provides better picture quality and additional services. Broadband: Den Networks offers high-speed internet services. It has been expanding its broadband services to cater to the growing demand for internet connectivity in both urban and rural areas. Key Features Wide Reach: Den Networks has a significant presence in several states across India, making it one of the most widespread cable TV service providers in the country. Digital Transition: The company has been focusing on converting its analog cable subscribers to digital, which allows for more interactive services and higher-quality broadcasting. Partnerships and Collaborations: Den Networks has formed strategic alliances with various content providers and other stakeholders in the media and entertainment industry to enhance its service offerings. Financial Performance Revenue Streams: The company generates revenue from subscription fees, advertising, and broadband services. Investments: Den Networks has been investing in infrastructure and technology to improve its service quality and expand its customer base. Challenges and Competition Market Competition: Den Networks faces stiff competition from other cable and DTH (Direct-to-Home) service providers like Tata Sky, Airtel Digital TV, and Dish TV. Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations by the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) can impact the company's operations and pricing strategies. Recent Developments Reliance Acquisition: Den Networks is now part of the Reliance Group, which has provided it with additional resources and support to expand its services and improve its market position. Technological Advancements: The company is continually upgrading its technology to offer better services, such as high-definition channels and faster internet speeds. Den Networks Ltd continues to be a significant player in India's media and entertainment industry, adapting to changes and leveraging new opportunities to grow its business. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
NSE:DENLong
by Guruzzz
#HEG ltd Cup & handle pattern 20-30% upmove dega kya?HEG ltd cmp 1882, market cap 7264 cr, company is leading manufacturer and exporter of graphite electrodes. PE vs ROCE ratio is better as compared to another leading player graphite India. My concern is the fall in Operating margin trend. Holding% Dec'23 promoter 55.77( 59.62 Mar'21), FII 6.85(9.43 Mar'21), DII 8.85(7.41 Mar'21). Infact some new mutual fund players entered in feb'24 also so Mar'24 DII numbers should be up. Technically the chart is making cup n handle kind of pattern on weekly time frame and breakout above 1931 can bring fast movement. Upside levels can be 1)2335 2) 2470 3) 2575 4) 2763(imp level) 5) 3108. Once 2763 is crossed I will bring sl of remaining qty at 2470 and try to ride the trend till 3661/4557.
NSE:HEGLong
by ssudhirsharma11
3
MPSLTD indicating Increase in Strength by Breaking Trend LineCompany has reduced debt. Company is almost debt free. Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.0%. Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 39.7%. Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 34.3 days to 10.4 days. Reported Revenue 545.3 Cr Reported Revenue YoY +++ 8.83 % EBITDA +++ 169.9 CR EBITDA Margin +++ 31.15 % EPS Growth YoY +++ 9.61% Tremendous Growth Opportunities • Maximize cross-sell and upsell with captive customer base of 750+ customers. • Scale central growth and marketing engine to acquire new customers and expand geographic footprint. • Consistent investment and deployment of new capabilities across lines of business. • Enter adjacent markets by re-configuring products/services. • Play the role of a Consolidator in a highly fragmented market. MPS is a B2B learning and platform solutions company powering education, and research for corporates. MPS has unlocked a new growth trajectory due to the combined effect of lower attention spans, rapid growth in digital consumption, and the recent advances in AI/ML.
NSE:MPSLTDLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
1
ASHOKA METCAST LTD Chota Packet Bada DhamakaStock is trading at 0.58 times its book value Promoter Holding Increased 9.66 % over Last 6 Years From Year 2020 to 2024 Company Have Gradually Purchased their Fixed Assets of 20.57 CR . in Year March 2018 Company Reported Total Annual Sales of 19.17 CR Now in Year March 2024 Company Reported Annual Sales of 66.25 CR Net Cash Flow Is Healthy Cash Convertion Cycle and Working Capital Days have Also Decreased Reserves and Equity Capital showing Increasing Strength
NSE:ASHOKAMETLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
SUZLON Entering 14 Years High ZoneCompany has reduced debt. Company is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 19.7% CAGR over last 5 years Strengths: Stable cash flow from the O&M services business to support overall debt servicing: The Group has ~14.5 GW of installed fleet under O&M business as on Dec 31, 2023. While the fleet under O&M reduces with decommissioning of WTGs, post completion of the design life, new wind turbine generators delivered and commissioned get added to the fleet every fiscal. Revenue from O&M services has been steady as this is contractual activity over a fixed timeframe and at contracted price. Also, escalation in revenue is inbuilt into the contracts, ensuring stability of operating margin over a period. The Group has demonstrated stability in revenue and profitability of O&M services business even in stressed times in the past. Stable cash flow with EBIDTA above Rs 700 crore per fiscal from the O&M services business is expected going forward. Leading market position in the wind turbine segment and a healthy order book: The Group has a successful track record of project execution with technical expertise, evident from the healthy market share of 30-35% in the WTG business in India over the past many years and also in cumulative installed capacity. The company’s healthy market position should help to obtain orders in the long run. SEL’s order book stood at ~3.16 GW (as on 31st Jan 24), to be executed till fiscal 2026. The company has been able to overcome the dependence on customer-backed financing to execute orders which had constrained growth in the last fiscal. Improved financial risk profile: The term debt stood at Rs. 1,773 crores as on March 31, 2023, on the back of scheduled repayments of term loan and additional reduction of ~Rs 900 crores from rights issue in October 2022. Furthermore, the company’s networth turned positive as on March 31, 2023 on the back of refinancing (gain on derecognition of OCDs & CCPS) and rights issue of Rs 1,200 crores in fiscal 2023. On August 14, 2023, the company approved the allotment of equity shares to Qualified Institution buyers aggregating to ~Rs. 2,000 crores. The company subsequently utilized the required amount to repay its entire debt at SEL, significantly improving the financial risk profile of the company. Further, SEL does not have material debt funded capex plans over medium term.
NSE:SUZLONLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
EID PARRY INDIA Freshly Broken 83 Weeks HighCompany has delivered good profit growth of 41.5% CAGR over last 5 years Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 19.7% Expected diversion for Ethanol in SY 2023-24 is ~ 20LMT of Sugar (against 38LMT diverted in SY 2022-23). Overall blending is 12% as of March’24. E20 petrol is available at 12,000 fuel retail outlets and the government targets a pan-India rollout by 2025. Syrup/B Hy diversion to Ethanol restricted from 7 th Dec 2023 and subsequently on 15th Dec 2023, allowed 17 LMT of Sugar diversion (as B Hy) across the country. Additional 10LMT has been allowed in April’24 for supply in Q3 of FY’25. Maximize and grow the Refined / Pharma Sugar Business • Health and wellness segment has been identified to focus on specialty sweetener business • Focusing on Brown sugar and Jaggery as alternate sweetener • To become a sweetening solutions provider for B2B Customers 1. Packaged staples has a large Total Addressable Market (TAM) of ~ INR 9 L Cr • Highly unorganised with only a few pan-India players 2. Overall branded penetration is less than 20%. • Significant growth expected with consumers preferences shifting towards branded products • Coincides with India’s overall growth and expansion of the consumption class 3. Parry’s brand presence and the strong foundation laid through the sweeteners to be leveraged • To further build on the capability to ‘brand the unbranded’ 4. Aspiration to capture >10% of the kitchen shelf in every household in South India The Company made a pioneering leap towards community water resource management projects through its flagship Project NANNEER • Under the first phase, seven lakes and ponds in Oonaiyur area (Pudukkottai and Sivagangai district in TN) were desilted across 250 acres (depth of 1-3 meter) • Under the second phase, twelve lakes and ponds (in the Cuddalore, Tiruppur, Villupuram and Erode districts in TN) were desilted across 127 • The excess desilted soil was utilized to create islands in each of the water bodies. Close to 1100 Million Liters were conserved in Phase 1 and 2. • Currently third phase being planned in TN, KN and AP. • The Company aims to achieve Ten Billion liters of water holding capacity through Project NANNEER by the end of 2026. Increase in Cash Fixed Cost in FY’24 majorly due to: • Manpower capability building for project expansion and new business • CPG infrastructure building • Special repairs undertaken in major plants Lower cane volume by 1.7 LMT over last year further contributed to the increase in CFC/MT Increase in cane cost, drop in recovery & yield due to climatic conditions, restriction in sugar diversion for ethanol has led to drop in EBITDA. The benefits on expansion of distillery capacities are expected to flow in FY’25
NSE:EIDPARRYLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
SAREGAMA INDIA have Broken and Sustained at Retrestment LevelCompany is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 29.6% CAGR over last 5 years Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 36.0% Company’s Operating Revenue for Q4 FY24 stood at Rs 2,631 Mn growing at 29% both on YoY as well as QoQ basis, with a strong adjusted EBITDA of Rs.864 Mn registering a YoY growth of 40%. Company delivered a PBT of Rs 760 Mn with a 31% YOY growth. Company’s Revenue from operations for FY24 stood at Rs 8,030 Mn with a strong adjusted EBITDA of Rs. 3,029 Mn with a margin of 38%. Company delivered a PBT of Rs 2,708 Mn with a 34% Margin and PAT of Rs 1,976 Mn for FY24 Key Operational Highlights: ➢ The company’s strong performance is led by growth in music licensing on account of strong advertisement revenues driven by its investment in new music and the revenues generated through the artist management vertical ➢ This quarter saw music release of A.R.Rahman and Diljit Dosanjh’s Chamkila, Ajay Devgn’s Maidaan, Ram Charan and Kiara Advani’s Game Changer, Yami Gautam’s “Article 370”, Mohanlal’s Malaikottai Valliban, Diljit Dosanjh single Love Ya, multiple songs by Bhojpuri star Neelkamal, Pawan Singh and Gujrati’s No.1 singer Rakesh Barot. ➢ During the Quarter, Company released 290 plus Originals and Premium Recreations across Hindi, Bhojpuri, Gujarati, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Marathi and Bengali languages. Company also released 2,000 plus derivatives (LoFi, Trap Mix, Cover, Acoustic etc.) which is driving the popularity and growth of its catalogue. ➢ The other highlight of the quarter was the use of our songs for Shahid Kapoor and Kriti Sanon starrer 'Teri Baaton Mein Aisa Ulhja Jiya' (Hindi), for Mahesh Babu’s 'Guntur Karam’(Telugu), for Dulquer Salmaan’s'King of Kotha’ (Malayalam) etc. and by brands like HUL Lux, Meesho, Junglee Rummy, Andrex etc. in their ad films. ➢ Riding on the success of its Tamil Serial “Ilakkiya”, Company started its Malayalam remake “Mangalyam Thanthunanena” on Surya Tv. We released “Crushed Season 4” series from Dice of Pocket Aces on Amazon mini-TV. ➢ In Q4FY24 Yoodlee released Mohanlal starrer “Malaikottai Vaaliban” , Tovino Thomas starrer “Anweshippin” in Malayalam and Gippy Grewal “Warning 2” in Punjabi. ➢ Digital footprint across Saregama owned and controlled channels touched 239Mn followers and subscribers across YouTube, Instagram and Facebook.
NSE:SAREGAMALong
by iism-ExpertTrading