BTC 4h-48 long forecastBTC looks very bullish on almost any timeframe. structure tells us we could have a pullback soon into unmitigated MB's which act as large SnD zones for those who dont know. MB's tend to have a high % of being mitigated before the long trend can continue. they get mitigated to cover the institutional shorts that made that last move down to liquidate any longs before the pump happened. Of course there isnt always a mitigation and this could very well continue upwards without any for of mitigation but that is something we shouldnt trade as there is very limited RR to capitalize on.
Longopportunity
SAKSEN Technologies Swing TradeSASKEN Technologies respecting trend line in Weekly time frame and following uptrend, if price moving above 1755 then we can go long with approx 18% SL and 36 % Reward, 1:2 risk reward.
Enter only if this trade looking interesting and can manage quantity as per the stop loss.
Note : Its just an analysis, wait for the price to confirm.
Disclaimer : Always follow risk to reward, this is the only key to success in market, no matter how much good a trade is looking we never know the future.
TNSR bottom is inthis is my trade setup for $TNSR .
we can see a FVG at the .618 fib taken from last drop to the lows. around 0.75 there could be a small pullback because of another FVG and a orderblock. but overall $TNSR is bullish imo and this is my setup for it. if it reaches target its 148% !
DONT OVERLEVERAGE,
CHEERS!
KOPRAN Showed Breakout with Huge Volume at 52 Weeks High ZoneNSE:KOPRAN
The co. has set up a new API plant at Panoli, commercial production at this facility is expected to be started from Q3 FY25. In FY23, it completed upgradation and expansion of the multi-product plant at the Mahad facility for existing products and to manufacture new molecules.
An integrated Pharmaceutical Company, committed to supplying International
Quality Formulations and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs) globally.
State-of-the-art manufacturing facilities and products with various accreditations
and approvals by major global regulatory authorities.
The formulations vertical is operated through Kopran Limited.
The API vertical is being operated under Kopran Research Laboratories Ltd.
(KRLL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Kopran Limited
EPL Just Have Broken 52 Week's HighNSE:EPL
Double digit revenue growth at 10.7%. All regions delivered strong growth.
Continued EBITDA margin improvement with Q1FY25 margin at 19.1%, an expansion of 160 bps YoY.
Absolute EBITDA grew by 20.8% YoY.
Adjusted PAT (excluding base year one off) has grown by 35.4% YoY. Reported PAT has grown by 18.2%.
Net Debt/EBITDA ratio improved to 0.67x vs 0.71x (YoY).
Return on Capital Employed (‘ROCE’) increased to 15.9% with YoY increase of 190 bp.
Company Profile
EPL manufactures multilayer plastic laminated collapsible tubes, providing specialty packaging solutions to the fast-moving consuming goods sector. EPL has 21 manufacturing plants in 11 countries across the world; the company commissioned a greenfield manufacturing unit in Brazil in FY23, with operations already getting ramped up at that unit.
DEN NETWORK FOR LONG TERM MY VIEW ON 06.07.2024Den Networks Ltd is one of the largest cable distribution companies in India. Here's a detailed explanation:
Overview
Den Networks Ltd was established in 2007 and has grown to be a major player in the digital cable television and broadband sectors in India. It is part of the Reliance Group.
Business Segments
Cable TV:
Den Networks provides cable television services across multiple cities in India.
It offers a wide range of channels, including regional, national, and international content.
The company has been transitioning from analog to digital cable TV, which provides better picture quality and additional services.
Broadband:
Den Networks offers high-speed internet services.
It has been expanding its broadband services to cater to the growing demand for internet connectivity in both urban and rural areas.
Key Features
Wide Reach: Den Networks has a significant presence in several states across India, making it one of the most widespread cable TV service providers in the country.
Digital Transition: The company has been focusing on converting its analog cable subscribers to digital, which allows for more interactive services and higher-quality broadcasting.
Partnerships and Collaborations: Den Networks has formed strategic alliances with various content providers and other stakeholders in the media and entertainment industry to enhance its service offerings.
Financial Performance
Revenue Streams: The company generates revenue from subscription fees, advertising, and broadband services.
Investments: Den Networks has been investing in infrastructure and technology to improve its service quality and expand its customer base.
Challenges and Competition
Market Competition: Den Networks faces stiff competition from other cable and DTH (Direct-to-Home) service providers like Tata Sky, Airtel Digital TV, and Dish TV.
Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations by the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) can impact the company's operations and pricing strategies.
Recent Developments
Reliance Acquisition: Den Networks is now part of the Reliance Group, which has provided it with additional resources and support to expand its services and improve its market position.
Technological Advancements: The company is continually upgrading its technology to offer better services, such as high-definition channels and faster internet speeds.
Den Networks Ltd continues to be a significant player in India's media and entertainment industry, adapting to changes and leveraging new opportunities to grow its business.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Lifetime High BreakoutTechnical Analysis -
All time resistance at Rs.305 has been broken with high volumes. Vstop is also positive both in weekly as well as monthly charts.
Fundamental Analysis (FY 23-24) -
Revenue up by 45% (YoY)
PAT up by 42% (YoY)
PAT Margin is 12.6%
RoE 121%
RoCE 81.6%
Capex completed recently in April 2024. New plant which doubles the capacity of production of steel strapping, has gone live in May.
#HEG ltd Cup & handle pattern 20-30% upmove dega kya?HEG ltd cmp 1882, market cap 7264 cr, company is leading manufacturer and exporter of graphite electrodes.
PE vs ROCE ratio is better as compared to another leading player graphite India. My concern is the fall in Operating margin trend. Holding% Dec'23 promoter 55.77( 59.62 Mar'21), FII 6.85(9.43 Mar'21), DII 8.85(7.41 Mar'21). Infact some new mutual fund players entered in feb'24 also so Mar'24 DII numbers should be up.
Technically the chart is making cup n handle kind of pattern on weekly time frame and breakout above 1931 can bring fast movement. Upside levels can be 1)2335 2) 2470 3) 2575 4) 2763(imp level) 5) 3108. Once 2763 is crossed I will bring sl of remaining qty at 2470 and try to ride the trend till 3661/4557.
Long AUDUSDCurrently bullish on AUDUSD, I have 2 TP points in mind. I'm seeking liquidity above 0.67300 and 0.68800. We've swept the buy stop liquidity levels below 0.64500 and now I'm expecting price to target sell stop liquidity levels. Currently 40 pips in profit with a total profit take of 256, SL set to breakeven, risk free trade. Let's see how this plays out over the coming weeks. Good luck Traders, if you see something similar or different feel free to share!
MPSLTD indicating Increase in Strength by Breaking Trend LineCompany has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.0%.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 39.7%.
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 34.3 days to 10.4 days.
Reported
Revenue 545.3 Cr
Reported
Revenue YoY +++ 8.83 %
EBITDA +++ 169.9 CR
EBITDA Margin +++ 31.15 %
EPS Growth YoY +++ 9.61%
Tremendous Growth Opportunities
• Maximize cross-sell and upsell with captive customer
base of 750+ customers.
• Scale central growth and marketing engine to acquire
new customers and expand geographic footprint.
• Consistent investment and deployment of new
capabilities across lines of business.
• Enter adjacent markets by re-configuring
products/services.
• Play the role of a Consolidator in a highly fragmented
market.
MPS is a B2B learning and platform solutions company powering education, and research for corporates. MPS has unlocked a new growth trajectory due to the combined effect of lower attention spans, rapid growth in digital consumption, and the recent advances in AI/ML.
ASHOKA METCAST LTD Chota Packet Bada DhamakaStock is trading at 0.58 times its book value
Promoter Holding Increased 9.66 % over Last 6 Years
From Year 2020 to 2024 Company Have Gradually Purchased their Fixed Assets of 20.57 CR .
in Year March 2018 Company Reported Total Annual Sales of 19.17 CR
Now in Year March 2024 Company Reported Annual Sales of 66.25 CR
Net Cash Flow Is Healthy
Cash Convertion Cycle and Working Capital Days have Also Decreased
Reserves and Equity Capital showing Increasing Strength
SUZLON Entering 14 Years High ZoneCompany has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 19.7% CAGR over last 5 years
Strengths:
Stable cash flow from the O&M services business to support overall debt servicing: The Group has ~14.5 GW of installed fleet under O&M business as on Dec 31, 2023. While the fleet under O&M reduces with decommissioning of WTGs, post completion of the design life, new wind turbine generators delivered and commissioned get added to the fleet every fiscal. Revenue from O&M services has been steady as this is contractual activity over a fixed timeframe and at contracted price. Also, escalation in revenue is inbuilt into the contracts, ensuring stability of operating margin over a period. The Group has demonstrated stability in revenue and profitability of O&M services business even in stressed times in the past. Stable cash flow with EBIDTA above Rs 700 crore per fiscal from the O&M services business is expected going forward.
Leading market position in the wind turbine segment and a healthy order book: The Group has a successful track record of project execution with technical expertise, evident from the healthy market share of 30-35% in the WTG business in India over the past many years and also in cumulative installed capacity. The company’s healthy market position should help to obtain orders in the long run. SEL’s order book stood at ~3.16 GW (as on 31st Jan 24), to be executed till fiscal 2026. The company has been able to overcome the dependence on customer-backed financing to execute orders which had constrained growth in the last fiscal.
Improved financial risk profile: The term debt stood at Rs. 1,773 crores as on March 31, 2023, on the back of scheduled repayments of term loan and additional reduction of ~Rs 900 crores from rights issue in October 2022. Furthermore, the company’s networth turned positive as on March 31, 2023 on the back of refinancing (gain on derecognition of OCDs & CCPS) and rights issue of Rs 1,200 crores in fiscal 2023.
On August 14, 2023, the company approved the allotment of equity shares to Qualified Institution buyers aggregating to ~Rs. 2,000 crores. The company subsequently utilized the required amount to repay its entire debt at SEL, significantly improving the financial risk profile of the company. Further, SEL does not have material debt funded capex plans over medium term.
EID PARRY INDIA Freshly Broken 83 Weeks HighCompany has delivered good profit growth of 41.5% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 19.7%
Expected diversion for Ethanol in SY 2023-24 is ~ 20LMT of Sugar
(against 38LMT diverted in SY 2022-23). Overall blending is 12%
as of March’24.
E20 petrol is available at 12,000 fuel retail outlets and the
government targets a pan-India rollout by 2025.
Syrup/B Hy diversion to Ethanol restricted from 7
th Dec 2023 and
subsequently on 15th Dec 2023, allowed 17 LMT of Sugar
diversion (as B Hy) across the country. Additional 10LMT has
been allowed in April’24 for supply in Q3 of FY’25.
Maximize and grow the Refined / Pharma Sugar
Business
• Health and wellness segment has been identified
to focus on specialty sweetener business
• Focusing on Brown sugar and Jaggery as
alternate sweetener
• To become a sweetening solutions provider for
B2B Customers
1. Packaged staples has a large Total Addressable Market
(TAM) of ~ INR 9 L Cr
• Highly unorganised with only a few pan-India
players
2. Overall branded penetration is less than 20%.
• Significant growth expected with consumers
preferences shifting towards branded products
• Coincides with India’s overall growth and expansion
of the consumption class
3. Parry’s brand presence and the strong foundation laid
through the sweeteners to be leveraged
• To further build on the capability to ‘brand the
unbranded’
4. Aspiration to capture >10% of the kitchen shelf in every
household in South India
The Company made a pioneering leap towards community water
resource management projects through its flagship Project NANNEER
• Under the first phase, seven lakes and ponds in Oonaiyur area
(Pudukkottai and Sivagangai district in TN) were desilted across 250
acres (depth of 1-3 meter)
• Under the second phase, twelve lakes and ponds (in the Cuddalore,
Tiruppur, Villupuram and Erode districts in TN) were desilted across
127
• The excess desilted soil was utilized to create islands in each of the
water bodies. Close to 1100 Million Liters were conserved in Phase 1
and 2.
• Currently third phase being planned in TN, KN and AP.
• The Company aims to achieve Ten Billion liters of water holding
capacity through Project NANNEER by the end of 2026.
Increase in Cash Fixed Cost in FY’24 majorly due to:
• Manpower capability building for project expansion and new business
• CPG infrastructure building
• Special repairs undertaken in major plants
Lower cane volume by 1.7 LMT over last year further contributed to the
increase in CFC/MT
Increase in cane cost, drop in recovery & yield due to climatic
conditions, restriction in sugar diversion for ethanol has led to drop in
EBITDA.
The benefits on expansion of distillery capacities are expected to flow
in FY’25
SAREGAMA INDIA have Broken and Sustained at Retrestment LevelCompany is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 29.6% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 36.0%
Company’s Operating Revenue for Q4 FY24 stood at Rs 2,631 Mn growing at 29% both on YoY as
well as QoQ basis, with a strong adjusted EBITDA of Rs.864 Mn registering a YoY growth of 40%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 760 Mn with a 31% YOY growth.
Company’s Revenue from operations for FY24 stood at Rs 8,030 Mn with a strong adjusted EBITDA
of Rs. 3,029 Mn with a margin of 38%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 2,708 Mn with a 34% Margin
and PAT of Rs 1,976 Mn for FY24
Key Operational Highlights:
➢ The company’s strong performance is led by growth in music licensing on account of strong
advertisement revenues driven by its investment in new music and the revenues generated
through the artist management vertical
➢ This quarter saw music release of A.R.Rahman and Diljit Dosanjh’s Chamkila, Ajay Devgn’s
Maidaan, Ram Charan and Kiara Advani’s Game Changer, Yami Gautam’s “Article 370”,
Mohanlal’s Malaikottai Valliban, Diljit Dosanjh single Love Ya, multiple songs by Bhojpuri star
Neelkamal, Pawan Singh and Gujrati’s No.1 singer Rakesh Barot.
➢ During the Quarter, Company released 290 plus Originals and Premium Recreations
across Hindi, Bhojpuri, Gujarati, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Marathi and
Bengali languages. Company also released 2,000 plus derivatives (LoFi, Trap Mix,
Cover, Acoustic etc.) which is driving the popularity and growth of its catalogue.
➢ The other highlight of the quarter was the use of our songs for Shahid Kapoor and Kriti Sanon
starrer 'Teri Baaton Mein Aisa Ulhja Jiya' (Hindi), for Mahesh Babu’s 'Guntur Karam’(Telugu),
for Dulquer Salmaan’s'King of Kotha’ (Malayalam) etc. and by brands like HUL Lux, Meesho,
Junglee Rummy, Andrex etc. in their ad films.
➢ Riding on the success of its Tamil Serial “Ilakkiya”, Company started its Malayalam remake
“Mangalyam Thanthunanena” on Surya Tv. We released “Crushed Season 4” series from Dice
of Pocket Aces on Amazon mini-TV.
➢ In Q4FY24 Yoodlee released Mohanlal starrer “Malaikottai Vaaliban” , Tovino Thomas starrer
“Anweshippin” in Malayalam and Gippy Grewal “Warning 2” in Punjabi.
➢ Digital footprint across Saregama owned and controlled channels touched 239Mn followers
and subscribers across YouTube, Instagram and Facebook.
SAREGAMA INDIA LTD have Broken its Long Retrestment LevelCompany is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 29.6% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 36.0%
Company’s Operating Revenue for Q4 FY24 stood at Rs 2,631 Mn growing at 29% both on YoY as well as QoQ basis, with a strong adjusted EBITDA of Rs.864 Mn registering a YoY growth of 40%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 760 Mn with a 31% YOY growth.
Company’s Revenue from operations for FY24 stood at Rs 8,030 Mn with a strong adjusted EBITDA
of Rs. 3,029 Mn with a margin of 38%.
Company delivered a PBT of Rs 2,708 Mn with a 34% Margin
and PAT of Rs 1,976 Mn for FY24
Key Operational Highlights:
➢ The company’s strong performance is led by growth in music licensing on account of strong
advertisement revenues driven by its investment in new music and the revenues generated
through the artist management vertical
➢ This quarter saw music release of A.R.Rahman and Diljit Dosanjh’s Chamkila, Ajay Devgn’s
Maidaan, Ram Charan and Kiara Advani’s Game Changer, Yami Gautam’s “Article 370”,
Mohanlal’s Malaikottai Valliban, Diljit Dosanjh single Love Ya, multiple songs by Bhojpuri star
Neelkamal, Pawan Singh and Gujrati’s No.1 singer Rakesh Barot.
➢ During the Quarter, Company released 290 plus Originals and Premium Recreations
across Hindi, Bhojpuri, Gujarati, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Marathi and
Bengali languages. Company also released 2,000 plus derivatives (LoFi, Trap Mix,
Cover, Acoustic etc.) which is driving the popularity and growth of its catalogue.
➢ The other highlight of the quarter was the use of our songs for Shahid Kapoor and Kriti Sanon
starrer 'Teri Baaton Mein Aisa Ulhja Jiya' (Hindi), for Mahesh Babu’s 'Guntur Karam’(Telugu),
for Dulquer Salmaan’s'King of Kotha’ (Malayalam) etc. and by brands like HUL Lux, Meesho,
Junglee Rummy, Andrex etc. in their ad films.
➢ Riding on the success of its Tamil Serial “Ilakkiya”, Company started its Malayalam remake
“Mangalyam Thanthunanena” on Surya Tv. We released “Crushed Season 4” series from Dice
of Pocket Aces on Amazon mini-TV.
➢ In Q4FY24 Yoodlee released Mohanlal starrer “Malaikottai Vaaliban” , Tovino Thomas starrer
“Anweshippin” in Malayalam and Gippy Grewal “Warning 2” in Punjabi.
➢ Digital footprint across Saregama owned and controlled channels touched 239Mn followers
and subscribers across YouTube, Instagram and Facebook.