Steady uptrend, GBPUSD continues to grow🔔🔔🔔 GBPUSD news:
👉The GBP/USD pair dips slightly during the Asian session on Wednesday, retracing part of the previous day's strong rally to a more than four-month high around 1.2965. Currently, spot prices hover near the 1.2935 level, though the decline lacks strong bearish momentum as traders await the release of US inflation data before making new directional moves.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be a key factor in shaping market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate-cut trajectory, which will, in turn, influence demand for the US Dollar (USD) and drive fresh movement in the GBP/USD pair. Meanwhile, some repositioning ahead of the critical data has helped the USD recover part of its previous day's decline to its lowest level since mid-October, creating a temporary hurdle for the currency pair.
Personal opinion:
👉Good growth in the context of US tariff policies not targeting GBP, good relationship between the two countries helps GBP value against USD to grow, long-term upward trend is still being maintained
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy GBP/USD 1.29100 - 1.28950
❌SL: 1.28650
✅TP: 40 - 70 - 120 PIPS
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Longsetup
AUD/USD Trend in Upcoming Trading Session🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news:
👉The weak US CPI report is driving the AUD/USD pair higher during the US trading session. In addition to CPI, other recent US economic data have also shown signs of weakness, raising concerns about a potential recession. The US Dollar remains under pressure as economic risks in the country deepen, compounded by the increasingly unpredictable tariff policies of President Trump.
👉Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar's (AUD) gains are limited by fears that the US-China trade war could significantly weaken Australia's business activity, given its heavy reliance on exports to China. So far, the US has imposed a 20% tariff on imports from China.
Personal opinion:
👉In the short term, the upward momentum of AUD/USD is still valid due to the impact of weak economic data from the US
👉RSI (1H) enters the oversold zone and shows signs of a slight reversal
👉Bullish Pennant pattern is forming and showing signs of a breakout
Analysis:
👉Based on trend lines and price action, combined with Pivot points to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6285 – 0.6300
❌SL: 0.6250 | ✅TP: 0.6340 – 0.6380 – 0.6430
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USD/CAD Trend in US Session Today🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
👉DXY is currently at 103.4, its lowest since November 5, 2024. A break of this level could see DXY fall further. The pair has been losing ground as the US dollar struggles amid concerns that tariff uncertainty could push the US economy into recession.
👉The RSI (1H) is currently entering extreme overbought territory and shows no signs of stopping.
👉The US 10-year bond yield is also down 0.21%, further weighing on the US dollar.
👉On the other hand, CIBC analysts expect the Canadian central bank to cut 25 bps on Wednesday, lowering its benchmark rate to 2.75%, with more cuts to follow this year if trade uncertainty persists. The rising bets of further BoC rate reductions could undermine the CAD and help limit the pair’s losses.
Personal opinion:
👉DXY's RSI (1H) enters the overbought zone, so watch this area closely. Moreover, 103.3 is a strong support zone, so there may be signs of a reversal in the short term
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.4410 - 1.4400
❌SL: 1.4370 | ✅TP: 1.4450 - 1.4490 - 1.4550
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
SUI - Short or Long? The Ultimate SUI Trade BlueprintHere’s an update to the analysis I did one month ago on February 10. Since then, SUI has continued to show its bearish tendencies—making lower highs and lower lows. After that dramatic 30% drop from a golden pocket short opportunity, the price started inching up on low volume. This weak rally suggests that while buyers are testing the ceiling, the overall trend remains down. That sets the stage for two possible plays: a short trade if the price reaches the resistance zone, and a long trade if it bounces off a strong support level.
1. Identification of Support and Resistance Zones
Resistance Zone (for the Short Trade):
Daily Resistance: ~2.7888
Point of Control (POC): Around 2.8035
Monthly Open: 2.83
0.618 Fibonacci Retracement: 2.8711
All these levels combine to create a robust resistance area where sellers are likely to step in.
Support Zone (for the Long Trade):
$2 Psychological Level: A key round number that attracts attention.
0.7 Fibonacci Retracement: Derived from the swing low of $0.4625 to the high of $5.3687, this places an important level at 1.9344 (just below $2).
Monthly Bullish Order Block: At 1.9137, indicating buying interest.
Fib Speed Fan (0.786): Points to support near the $2 mark.
POC: 2.0225
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the deep low at $0.362, which again aligns around $2.
These multiple layers of confluence make the $2 area a strong support zone and an attractive entry point for a long trade.
2. Short Trade Setup
The Plan:
Building a short position gradually using a laddering strategy. With a $15,000 allocation from a $100,000 account, scale in at different levels to keep risk in check.
Scaling In (Entry Levels):
Entry # Entry Price % of Position Amount Invested ($)
1 2.6808 5% $750
2 2.7070 5% $750
3 2.7314 10% $1,500
4 2.7552 10% $1,500
5 2.7755 10% $1,500
6 2.7990 15% $2,250
7 2.8242 20% $3,000
8 2.8485 25% $3,750
Total: Avg. ~2.7924 $15,000
Stop Loss: Set at $3.07, limiting the risk to about $1,506 (roughly 10% of the trade allocation or 1.51% of the account).
Scaling Out (Exit Levels):
Exit Cover Price % of Position Amount Paid to Cover ($)
1 2.7925 5% $750.02
2 2.1715 5% $583.23
3 2.1365 10% $1,147.66
4 2.0981 20% $2,254.07
5 2.0630 20% $2,216.36
6 2.0257 10% $1,088.14
7 1.9930 15% $1,605.87
8 1.9625 15% $1,581.29
Outcome:
Total: Avg. ~2.09 $11,226.65
Net Profit: $15,000 (initial proceeds) – $11,226.65 (cost to cover) = $3,773.35
Profit % on Trade: +25.16%
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2.51
This laddering approach helps to secure profits at various levels while managing the risk effectively.
3. Long Trade Setup
The $2 support zone is a magnet, backed by multiple confluences. When SUI tests this area and shows signs of a rebound, it sets up a great opportunity to go long.
Key Support Details:
$2 Psychological Level: A well-watched price point.
0.7 Fibonacci Retracement: Places a key level at 1.9344 from the low ($0.4625) to the high ($5.3687).
Monthly Bullish Order Block: At 1.9137, adding to the support.
Fib Speed Fan (0.786): Confirms support near $2.
POC & Anchored VWAP: Both clustering around $2 (POC at 2.0225 and VWAP from a low of $0.362).
Trade Details:
Entry: Buy at $2.00
Target: Sell at $2.337 for an approximate 20%+ gain
Stop Loss: Set just below $1.80 to protect against further downside
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: About 2.44 or better
Wrapping It Up
In this dual-setup strategy, we're well-prepared for different market outcomes:
Short Trade: If SUI rallies into the tightly clustered resistance zone, scale into a short with defined entries, exits, and a stop loss that caps our risk at about 1.51% of the account. Exit ladder aims for an average cover price of around $2.09, netting a neat profit of approximately $3,773 (or +25.16% on the trade).
Long Trade: Conversely, if SUI finds strong footing at the confluence-rich $2 support zone, we can flip to a long position. Entering at $2.00, with a target of $2.337 and a stop loss below $1.80, gives an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of roughly 2.44.
This approach lets us capitalise on both sides of the market. Keep an eye on volume and price action. Happy trading! P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next TA.
SUI’s Wild Ride – Finding the Next Long Trade SetupSUI had an incredible 2024, skyrocketing +1060% in just 154 days. The price peaked at the psychological $5 mark, where multiple rejections signaled a momentum shift. By the end of January 2025, the trend turned bearish, leading to a sharp correction.
Trend Shift & Momentum Analysis
I've been working on a new trend identifier indicator that helps spot trends, allowing traders to identify swing trade opportunities and manage their positions effectively. This indicator clearly highlighted the momentum shift, confirming the bearish turn and the sharp price drop that followed.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Now that the bearish trend is in play, the focus is on identifying a solid long opportunity:
Point of Control (POC) from Previous Trading Range (~$2) – A major psychological level that many traders are watching
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1:1) at $2.0373 – Adding confluence to this critical support area
Fib Speed Fan (0.75 Level) – Aligns with the $2 region, reinforcing support
Anchored VWAP (~$1.885) – From the 2023 lows, acting as an additional support zone
What’s Next for SUI?
The market is in search of a strong support level where bulls can regain control. Let’s see if we find support at the $3 mark. The $2 zone stands out as a prime area for a potential long entry, given the multiple technical confluences. If price reaches this level, we’ll be watching closely for confirmation of a bullish reversal.
Final Thoughts
SUI has had an extraordinary run, but corrections are natural in strong trends. The key now is to see where price stabilises and if the bulls can make a strong comeback. Time will tell how this plays out, but for now, $2 is a level to keep an eye on for a potential long setup.
BTW: I've just launched a FREE TradingView indicator – Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support & Resistance Zones. It helps visualise key support and resistance levels across different timeframes. Check it out and let me know your thoughts!
Bullish Continuation Pattern (Bullish Flag)Bullish Continuation Pattern, Bullish Flag
🔹 Bullish Flag – The price had a strong upward move, followed by a slight consolidation. If it breaks above resistance, it could continue the uptrend.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Target 1.57000
Stop Loss 1.55300
Support: Around 1.555
Resistance: Around 1.561 - 1.565
If price breaks above resistance with volume, it could indicate a strong bullish move! 🚀
⚠️ Risk Management: Always use 1-2% risk per trade to protect capital.
📌 Trade Wisely & Stick to Plan! 🚀
[LONG] STX - STACKS on support and ready for a bounceSTX is another beaten up coin that this year alone lost more than 60% of it's already beaten up marketcap. From the peak on April of 2024 to January of this year STX was already down 50%. Bulls got completely obliterated, but not everything is lost for STACKS: Sitting at $0.75 is now testing (and holding) for second time the previous 2023 resistance, now turned support. A bounce here doesn't immediately mean the end of the fall, but we can catch a good counter-trend move to retest the distribution zone on the $1.44 to $2.00 range
1st Entry: $0.75 (previous resistance, now support)
2nd Entry: $0.65 (most traded zone)
move SL to Break even if price breaks the previous high at $1.00
1st TP: $1.34
2nd TP: around $1.80 or look for signs of weakness in lower timeframes at this area
PEAQ down 87% – Is it Time to Buy the Dip?PEAQ has been in a brutal downtrend, dropping 87% within 92 days and printing 9 straight weekly red candles, with the 10th currently red as it trades below the weekly open. Now, price is attempting to stabilise around the key $0.10 level, hinting at a potential high-probability long trade setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $0.10 (Price has been trying to hold this level for two days.)
Resistance: $0.11 (A reclaim of this level increases the probability of a move higher.)
Major Resistance: $0.1260 – $0.1280 (Weekly open + bearish order block.)
Technical Confluences Supporting the Trade:
The Fib retracement from $0.1337 to $0.0989 shows that the 0.786 Fib level ($0.1263) aligns with the bearish order block from the previous trading range.
The weekly open at $0.128 strengthens the take-profit zone, making it a logical exit point.
Price has failed to break below $0.10, signaling a possible accumulation phase.
Long Trade Setup
Entry: Around $0.10
Stop Loss: Below $0.0989 (Tight SL for minimal risk)
Take Profit Target: $0.1260 (Right before key resistance)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 17:1 🚀 (Risking only 1.5% to potentially gain 25%)
Additional Play:
If price reclaims $0.11 with strong volume, look for order flow confirmation to add to the position. The move towards $0.12+ could be quick, as there's little resistance in between.
This setup offers a strong risk-reward ratio, making it an attractive trade with minimal downside and high upside potential. Watch for bullish momentum above $0.11, as that could confirm a stronger push to the weekly open at $0.128.
#RUNEUSDT is showing signs of growth📈 Long BYBIT:RUNEUSDT.P from $1.161
🛡 Stop loss $1.140
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 1.08, indicating the area with the highest trading volume.
➡️ The 1.154 level acts as a local support, as the price previously bounced from this zone.
➡️ The volume and market profile highlight areas of high trader activity, especially in the 1.100 – 1.161 range.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $1.174
💎 TP 2: $1.185
💎 TP 3: $1.195
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
📢 If 1.140 is broken downward, the trade may be invalidated.
📢 If the price holds above 1.161 and continues rising, the bullish momentum remains intact.
BYBIT:RUNEUSDT.P is showing signs of growth — expecting further upside movement!
#XLMUSDT is showing signs of growth📈 Long BYBIT:XLMUSDT.P from $0.26325
🛡 Stop loss $0.25955
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 0.25511, indicating the area with the highest trading volume.
➡️ The 0.25955 level acts as a local support, as the price previously bounced from this zone.
➡️ The volume and market profile highlight areas of high trader activity, especially in the 0.24984 – 0.26325 range.
➡️ The chart shows a forming bullish structure, confirming the potential for further upward movement.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.26630
💎 TP 2: $0.26930
💎 TP 3: $0.27240
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
📢 If 0.25955 is broken downward, the trade may be invalidated.
📢 If the price holds above 0.26325 and continues rising, the bullish momentum remains intact.
BYBIT:XLMUSDT.P is showing signs of growth—expecting further upside movement!
F 5M Daytrade Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ T1 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp-
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H Countertrend
"- short impulse
- unvolumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ long volume distribution
+ volumed Sp
+ test"
1D Trend
"+ long impulse
- biggest volume on correction
- below SOS test level
- below support level
+ 1/2 correction"
1M CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ reverse volume approach
+ volumed manipulation"
1Y Trend
"+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test"
F 5M DayTrade Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
+ exhaustion volume
+ change of trend
+ neutral zone
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H CounterTrend
"- short impulse
- unvolumed TE / T1
+ support level
+ long volume distribution
+ volumed Sp"
1D CounterTrend
"+ long impulse
- biggest volume on correction
- below SOS test level
- below support level
+ 1/2 correction"
1M Trend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- unvolumed T1
+ support level
+ reverse volume approach
+ volumed manipulation"
1Y Trend
"+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test"
Gold trend in European and American sessions today🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
👉A cautious atmosphere dominates ahead of the release of US consumer inflation data, keeping Gold prices fluctuating within a tight range. The US Dollar (USD) sees a slight rebound as traders take profits after its recent decline.
👉The renewed strength in the USD and rising US Treasury bond yields are limiting Gold's recovery. However, if the annual headline and core CPI figures come in weaker than expected, it could strengthen expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. In that case, the USD and bond yields may come under pressure, providing a boost to Gold, which does not offer interest.
👉Conversely, if inflation data exceeds market expectations, Gold could give up its recent gains and decline further. Strong CPI numbers would support the Fed's cautious stance on inflation and rate cuts, potentially weighing on Gold prices due to its lack of yield appeal.
Personal opinion:
👉Gold is waiting for CPI news so it will run sideways in the 2,900 - 2,930 range
👉The Bullish Pennant pattern is gradually appearing, signaling a gold rally
👉At the same time, the SMA in this area is a strong support zone for gold prices, so it is difficult to break down
Analysis:
👉Based on resistance - support levels and SMA combined with price action to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 2,909 - 2,911 (European session)
❌SL: 2,904 | ✅TP: 2,915 - 2,920 - 2,930
👉Sell Gold 2,928 - 2,930 (European session)
❌SL: 2,934 | ✅TP: 2,925 – 2,920 – 2,910
👉Buy Gold 2,900 – 2,902
❌SL: 2,895 | ✅TP: 2,906 – 2,912 – 2,920
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USD/CAD Trend Today - Further Upward?🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
👉All eyes are on the Bank of Canada (BoC) this Wednesday, as markets widely anticipate another interest rate cut—the seventh consecutive one. This time, expectations are for a 25-basis-point reduction, mirroring the move made in January.
👉Meanwhile, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has been weakening, retreating from last week's highs and approaching the 1.4500 mark against the US Dollar (USD).
👉Adding to the uncertainty, Canada’s inflation data is now under scrutiny. In February, the annual inflation rate, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), inched up to 1.9% from the previous 1.8%. At the same time, the BoC’s core CPI rose for the second consecutive month, reaching 2.1% year-over-year, surpassing the central bank’s target.
Personal opinion:
👉The USD/CAD pair will still maintain an uptrend in the near future. The tariff policies between Canada and the United States have made the CAD, a riskier currency, suffer more damage.
👉The US 10-year bond yield and DXY rebounded, adding more pressure to the CAD
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with standard pivot points and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.4375 - 1.4390
❌SL: 1.4340 | ✅TP: 1.4440 - 1.4480 - 1.4520
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What’s Next?OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating within the 2926 - 2890 range. The overall market remains bullish, but there are signs of short-selling or pre-news selling ahead of the major economic data release scheduled for Wednesday.
Accordingly, the market is eagerly awaiting U.S. inflation and employment data, which could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next move. Despite a weaker dollar and rising expectations of monetary easing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious, signaling a measured approach to policy adjustments.
Meanwhile, gold demand remains strongly supported by China as the country ramps up its purchases. Additionally, growing concerns over stagflation in the U.S. further strengthen gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, traders are keeping a close watch on upcoming economic reports and the potential impact of China's tariffs on U.S. goods, which could introduce further market volatility.
The key focus now is 2926, where price action is shaping a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. If price stabilizes above this resistance, it could trigger a significant bullish impulse, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
However, a major challenge remains—if the price accelerates too quickly toward resistance, the risk of a false breakout increases. In such a scenario, the market may pull back to 2890 to test liquidity zones, ensuring structural confirmation before making a legitimate move back toward 2926 and beyond.
What are your thoughts on gold?
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GBP/USD Trend During European and US Trading Sessions 🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news:
👉The Pound Sterling (GBP) holds onto its gains, trading slightly above 1.2900 against the US Dollar (USD) during Monday’s European session. The GBP/USD pair continues to strengthen as the US Dollar struggles to find momentum amid rising concerns about the US economic outlook. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, remains cautious near a four-month low of 103.50.
👉Investor worries over the US economy have intensified following comments from US President Donald Trump on Friday. He suggested that his "America First" policies might cause short-term economic turbulence. While Trump did not explicitly outline the economic impact of his policies, he stated in a Fox News interview that the country is undergoing a "period of transition" due to significant changes. His remarks came in response to questions about whether his policies could trigger a recession.
Personal opinion:
👉GBP/USD will continue to maintain its upward momentum in the long term because of economic developments.
👉The US 10-year bond yield is currently down 1.51%, further solidifying the upward momentum for GBP/USD today
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels and pivot points standard combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy GBP/USD 1.2870 - 1.2860
❌SL: 1.2820 | ✅TP: 1.2930 - 1.2980 - 1.3030
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
XAU/USD Trend in European and American Trading Sessions 🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
👉Amid Trump's protectionist policies, market concerns over a potential US recession persist, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may opt for interest rate cuts this year. This outlook continues to exert downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury bond yields, helping to support Gold prices.
👉During a Fox News interview on Sunday, President Trump referred to a "period of transition" but refrained from predicting whether his tariff policies could trigger a recession, adding to market uncertainty. He also mentioned that the administration is considering various aspects of tariffs on Russia.
👉Nevertheless, Gold prices might face challenges if the US-Ukraine Summit in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday results in a bilateral minerals agreement, potentially paving the way for an end to the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
👉Tensions remain high ahead of the peace talks, especially after a heated argument between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Trump during a February 28 Oval Office meeting, which ultimately led to the US halting all military aid to Ukraine.
Personal opinion:
👉Gold price will continue to increase in the upcoming European and American sessions
👉Currently, RSI (15m) is entering the overbought zone and showing signs of a slight decrease. However, this could be a retracement of the trend line after the Break and continue to gain momentum. Consider the 2,900 area to buy at the best price
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with the trend line to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 2,897 - 2,900
❌SL: 2,894 | ✅TP: 2,905 - 2,910 - 2,915
👉Sell Gold 2,911 - 2,913 (European session)
❌SL: 2,916 | ✅TP: 2,906 – 2,901 – 2,895
👉Sell Gold 2,928 – 2,930
❌SL: 2,935 | ✅TP: 2,922 – 2,917 – 2,910
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
GBP/USD 15-Minute Chart Analysis & Trade SetupGBP/USD 15-Minute Chart Analysis & Trade Setup
📊 Trade Setup Idea
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Long Entry)
Entry: Above 1.29050 (if price sustains & closes above)
Target 1: 1.29400
Target 2: 1.29800 (if strong breakout)
Stop Loss: Below 1.28600 (tight SL for risk control)
✅ Confirmation: Look for a retest of 1.29050 as support before entry
**Key Observations:**
1. **Price Movement:** GBP/USD is currently trading around **1.28937**, with recent bullish momentum.
2. **Moving Averages:**
- The price has crossed above the short-term moving averages (red & blue), indicating potential short-term bullish sentiment.
- The black moving average (likely a longer-term MA) may act as dynamic resistance/support.
3. **Volume Surge:** A notable increase in volume suggests strong participation from buyers.
4. **Potential Resistance:** Around **1.29050 - 1.29100** based on previous highs.
5. **Support Levels:** **1.28800 - 1.28650** may act as support zones if price retraces.
### **Trading Insights:**
- A **break above 1.29100** could trigger further upside momentum.
- If **price fails to sustain above 1.2890**, a pullback towards support zones may occur.
- Consider **risk management** before entering trades.
Ethereum's Potential Bottom: Could $5000 Be Next?Ethereum has experienced a significant 56% drop over the last 84 days. Has ETH found its bottom, or is more downside ahead? Let's break it down.
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement from October Low (2023) to December High (2024)
Starting with the Fibonacci retracement from the low of $1520.85 on 12th October 2023 to the high of $4109 on 16th December 2024, ETH recently hit the 0.886 Fib retracement at $1815.9 and saw a bounce. This area aligns with the Point of Control (POC) from previous price action, a potential signal that this could be a major support zone.
However, the real question is whether this is the final bottom, or if ETH will retest lower levels.
🔹 Further Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Next, we take a larger Fibonacci retracement, from the low of $879.8 on 18th June 2022 to the high of $4109. The 0.786 Fib retracement at $1570.85 appears to be a critical support zone, as it also coincides with the POC in the volume profile of the entire market structure. This indicates that the $1570-$1600 region is a significant area of interest for buyers to step in.
🔹 Log Scale Fibonacci Confluence
To further strengthen this analysis, applying the same Fibonacci retracement on a log scale shows the 0.618 Fib retracement at $1585.17, very close to the POC and 0.786 Fib level, reinforcing this region as a major support zone.
🔹 High-Probability Long Setup
If ETH revisits the $1570-$1600 zone, this forms an ideal high-probability long setup with excellent risk/reward potential. A potential R:R ratio of more than 20:1 could materialise if this setup plays out and price targets $5000 as a take-profit level. The stop loss placement will determine the exact risk-to-reward, but the reward could be massive if this level holds.
💬 What are your thoughts? Will Ethereum find its bottom around these key levels? Excited to see how this develops! 🚀
Solana: Time to Buy or More Pain Ahead?Solana has been in freefall since peaking at nearly $300 on January 19, 2025, dropping a staggering 61% to $115,47 in just 50 days, currently trading at around $119. A support zone for potential reversals.
The big question now: Is this the time to go long, or is more selling pressure ahead? Let’s break it down.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Lost Key Level at $120
Solana lost the key support at $120, turning it into a resistance zone. For bulls to regain control, SOL must reclaim this level with confirmation and increased volume.
Next Key Lows to Watch
Below the current price, the next key liquidity zones are at $110 and $105, where buyers may step in.
Major Support Zone – $104 to $96
If selling continues, we have a strong support zone between $104.14 and $96.96, backed by multiple confluences:
Anchored VWAP Support: Taking the anchored VWAP from the 2023 lows at $8, we find it currently aligning near $100, a key psychological level.
Monthly Order Block: On the monthly timeframe, an order block sits right at $100 mark, reinforcing this level as strong support.
2024 Yearly Open: The yearly open from 2024 is at $101.72, adding another layer of confluence.
0.666 Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring from $8 to the all-time high of $295.83, the 0.666 Fib retracement is at $104.14, further strengthening this support zone.
Liquidity Pools: There's a lot of liquidity around the $100 area
Fib Speed Fan Support: The 0.7 Fib speed fan also aligns perfectly with this support zone.
Conclusion: The $104–$97 range becomes a high-probability long entry zone with minimal risk.
Long Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $118 – $97
Stop Loss: Below $95
Take Profit Target: $135
Average Entry: $105 (DCA)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): a solid 3:1 or better
Strategy & Execution
With SOL already down over 60%, scaling into a long position makes sense. Here's how to do it the right way:
1️⃣ DCA Strategy – Instead of going all in, scale in gradually within the $118–$97 range for a better average entry.
2️⃣ Volume & Price Action – Watch for a spike in volume and bullish price action before adding to the position.
3️⃣ Psychological Level Play – There are likely many buy orders around $100, meaning a bounce before hitting lower support is possible.
Stay tuned for updates as this trade unfolds! 🚀
XLM Crashes Below Key Support – Is a Reversal Near?XLM has broken its previous low, raising the question: where is the next major support zone? To determine this, we will focus on fibonacci, moving averages, and order blocks to find a high-probability bounce area for a potential long position.
🔍 Fibonacci Retracement – Locating the Next Support Level
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool from the low at $0.0757 to the high at $0.6374:
0.618 Fib Retracement → $0.2903 (Already Lost) ❌ Current Price: $0.248
Next Major Fib Level – 0.786 Retracement at $0.1959
Since the 0.786 Fib level is a key retracement point, we need further confluence factors to confirm its strength as a potential support zone.
🔗 Confluence Factors Strengthening the Support Zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179)
1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension
High: $0.6374
A: $0.3179
B: $0.515
1:1 extension aligns at $0.1902 → Strong confirmation near 0.786 Fib retracement ✅
Wave A-B Fibonacci Extension
1.618 Fib extension from wave A to B is at $0.1875 → Aligns with the 1:1 trend-based extension ✅
Daily Support Level at $0.1962
Sits almost exactly at the 0.786 retracement ($0.1959) ✅
21 EMA & 21 SMA for Moving Average Support
21 EMA at $0.20338
21 SMA at $0.17187
Order Block Between $0.2208 – $0.1964
Demand area aligns with the major support zone ✅
Key Takeaway:
A high-probability support zone is now identified between $0.1959 and $0.17179, with multiple confluences suggesting a strong potential bounce.
Trade Plan – Scaling Into a Long Position
Given the strong confluence at the support zone, the best approach is scaling into a long trade.
DCA Entry Strategy:
Start scaling in at $0.22, as an order block exists between $0.2208 – $0.1964
Main focus remains on the support zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179)
Stop Loss:
Below the 21 SMA ($0.17187) for invalidation
Take Profit Levels for Optimal R:R:
First TP at $0.25 → Resistance area
Next TP at $0.30 → Strong psychological & resistance level
R:R Approximation:
2:1 R:R for first TP ($0.25)
3:1+ R:R if targeting $0.30
High-Probability Support Zone Identified
✔ Multiple confluences confirm a strong support zone at $0.1959 – $0.17179
✔ Scaling into a long from $0.22 to $0.17179, with stop loss below the 21 SMA ($0.17187)
✔ Take profit levels set at $0.25 & $0.30 for a solid R:R trade
Alternative bullish scenario: A reclaim of lost key low at $2526 with rising volume could signal a long opportunity, only on confirmation.
💬 Will XLM bounce from this key support? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀🔥