BTC.D - 2024 Q3 - Q4 [Forecast]I'll tell you what will happen.
In the coming days / weeks, BTC will go down, approximately to levels between 55,000 and 65,000. Altcoins will go with it, some more, some less, as usual. So now we are selling and opening shorts - I'm serious.
Then, after the drawdown, we close the shorts and buy BCH, RLC, TWT and API3 (other opportunities will appear over time - stay tuned for ideas) and hold them until the end of the "alt-season".
And what will happen next, 100k or the abyss, we will tell you later.
Always yours,
Mark Cryptex
Longshort
USDTRY: 6.8 | SHORT 5k Pips | LONG 38k Pipsbuilding a SHORT position for the SHAKEDOWN
and BASE BUILDING towards 10.0 levels
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#LongShort
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Fundamentals:
it takes 20years to settle debt or unfinished obligations by a company country and aliens...
til then.. its currency be it fiat land or spirit is devalued as form of compensation
in layman; a person heavily in debt lacks BARGAINING POWER over MAJOR folks
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see Germany's recovery
Predicting DAX H4 With Elliott Wave CountCurrently unfolding V Wave On H4 DAX.
I'll watch for end of V Wave, I would like to see divergence on RSI and 5Waves with overlap as end of impulsive wave V.
If you play longs on lower TFs be carefull for overlaps and watch out for dump on the end of V.
Also keep in mind Invalidation levels.
More info in Chart
19/06/2023 Weekly Idea SOXL/WOODWeekly idea of this week is to long SOXL, short WOOD.
With Apple's announcement of vision pro in early June, I expect a rise in demand of semiconductors in the supply chain (and also in upstream industries such as metal mining/battery making). WOOD is least correlated to the upstream industries while also reported being shrinking in the latest ISM report.
Price spread is currently 0.34. We would stop loss at 10% (ie 0.31) and looking for soft 30% profit target at 0.447 (which was in Mar 2022).
BITCOIN will be updated!🔥🔥🔥Bitcoin is showing a bit of a bullish or short streak again in the market selection The price 28400$ I hope that soon we will be at $29800 or $26500. I continue to hold small longs on bitcoin and ether, although I have reduced the volume of the transaction. In the range of $24,500-$25,200, I plan to close them and look for entry into the shorts. I think that such a short is justified. This is a strong resistance level and a correction is long overdue. + it looks like TOTAL, TOTAL2 and USDT.D will hit their resistance levels at this bitcoin price.
If there is no growth, then I will continue to work from the long, but after the correction.
Russel 2000 Bear Market?It seems by all indications that we are heading into a bear market. With raising interest rates, tapering, and shrinking of balance sheets, we will see the Russel take at least a 20% tumble from the current price. The 100MA puts the Russel 2000 at around 1400, and further down on 200MA. A couple of key points:
Only 40% of Russel 2000 are above 50-Day MA.
Only 45% of Russel 2000 are above 50-Day MA.
MACD is crossed and looks bearish.
Fed slowing down its QE.
I was a bit curious why the Russel 2000 took a dip in 2018-2019 with the economy doing so well then. The one thing that I could overlay to make some sense to it was the Federal Funds Rate went up to 2.42%
Even mainstream investors like Jon Najarian has taken short positions in the IWM for February. The economics speak it, the Fed speaks it, the indicators speak it, and now even mainstream economists are accepting there is some market shaking coming.
eth update Hi, I'm sorry, I'm late to post analysis, it's because of the conditions in Iran, I'm not feeling well to work
I think the situation of Ethereum is interesting
If it completes the pullback to this line in the weekly time frame, there will be very good bullish conditions for Ethereum and altcoins.
If the pullback is 1324, it will be great, but in the worst case, it can be 1100, and below that, this analysis will be canceled.
$CRV - Finally Time To Break The TrendiHello my Fellow TraderZ,
I had shared my idea regarding $CRV few days ago on 4 HTF where I had mentioned that price has broken the Downward Trend on 4H, but still stucked and testing the range low support.
Today, once again I'm here with DTF Analysis on $CRV.
Here it is clearly visible that Downward TrendLine has acted as Super Strong Resistance which clearly rejected the price 5 times.
It would be interesting to see that is this time different or we gonna see some weakness of TrendLine!
Incase of breakout upward expecting 1:4 RISK-TO-REWARD while on rejction it is 1-4.5 R:R.
Thank you for taking out your time and read.
$LCID: Short it to $0...cash burning like there's no tomorrow.I'm shorting $LCID here, nice weekly setup, downside targets are $9-10, and up to $1-2 by December 2nd or sooner. I'm long puts to ride this move, since the stock is hard to borrow.
Worth a shot, you could also consider a portfolio where you long the relatively safe EV names vs shorts in EV startups that are burning cash and unprofitable, which will likely continue to pay off (long $TSLA, $F, $RIVN maybe, vs shorts in $NKLA, $LCID, $ARVL, $FFIE, $FSR, etc)
Relationship Between Price & volume & open interesthello everyone.
today i want to explain the relationship between price and volume and open interest.
we know that open interest means the number of positions (long/short)that is open.(in short OI)
if the price going up and volume and OI is going up too we can see very strong bullish sentiment in market.
if price going up but volume and OI going down it means that the price weakening and long positions is closing
so we have bearish sentiment in market.
if the price going down but volume and OI going up it means traders interst to open short positions
and the sentiment is very bearish.
and in the end if the price is going down and vol and OI going down too we can understand that
traders are tired from falling and want to close their short positions so we have a bullish sentiment in market.
hope that this is useful for you.
if you support me i will try to be better day by day...
thank you friends
$SPX: 2000 top overlaid on price...I really think we likely saw a long term top in equities and a major turning point in the various trends that we had since 2009 until recently. I copied the pattern from the high in the year 2000, to give us an idea of what to expect, since that was the last time a yearly timeframe Time@Mode pattern concluded, I think it can serve as a guide from here onwards. Publishing this one for posterity, it's interesting that we already have a Dot Com bubble like chart in $ARKK monthly, definitely very critical to figure out if we already topped, as per the yearly, or if we get a different bear market pattern next. In my opinion, the massive excess we saw since 2020 post COVID, with increased retail participation is akin to the frenzy that started in the year 1998, and topped by 2000, which would fit today being equivalent to that period.
I will try to navigate this period profitably, my strategy is to have a long/short portfolio, buying interesting bullish setups in stocks with lower valuations, commodities related positions, and defensive names, all that have historically fared well during yearly trend expirations when bear markets and long term sideways consolidations started, like between 2000 and 2013, or before, during the 70s. I also short overvalued names where I perceive that the story driving them is exhausted, and are rolling over, with insane valuations and market participants complacent and buying option premium on the way down...while shorting options against my short positions. I manage risk carefully, and have split my portfolio in two: one trading account with 25% of my firepower, and 75% in a long term account where I have only long term long positions, no leverage, and try to sell calls to generate income while holding my long term bets.
Best of luck, let's hope we get further clarity over time. Fitting this scenario would result in a tricky period unfolding for months, but eventually we will get a really steady decline to trade more aggressively on the short side. Patience will reward us here, can't take big risks and expect to make money as a bear simply holding random bearish entries.
Cheers,
Ivan.
BTC Bitcoin/USDT Bybit chart. The good, the bad and the ugly! Hey yall let me explain some things real quick. First, I cant use my mic right now... Little cute daughter and wife sleep in my room. Please excuse me. Im also on my laptop not my office set up lol... So I apologize... Great levels to see on my chart as I fib from march 20th of 2020 all the way to ATH of 69k and then 69K back down to the latest low of 32kish... The 0.382 lines up to be a perfect explanation level of resistance as you will see in the video all though I don't explain it all that well lol. Hope you still get something out of it! Any questions I'm happy to answer just leave comments! I know its not rocket science for you advanced traders or even intermediate. Im just sharing my findings... Don't jump down my throat, experts.... most people are very cool on this platform. Some take this a bit too seriously! Just trying to help! Remember that pls when you comment... Feel free to roast me, however, on my lack of short cut skills or my random nervous movements! hahahahaha. I'm good with that! Be blessed and stay free fellow humans! Pachem
Dixon in symmetrical triangleFrom 19th October the stock has been consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern.
It is near its support.
Wait for the confirmation before entering inro the stock.
Nearly 3 months of consolidation has been there.
Once the stock price leaves the consolidation phase it can give a good moment either side.