DJT falls on stratospheric valuations SHORTDJT, the Trump media company, had a massive run up after the DWAC merger only to fade and
fall with the SEC filing showing minimalistic revenue and negative earnings. It moved up in
meme fashion but is now falling as fundamentals come to light. In five months the namesake
will be able to sell if there is any remaining value. In the meanwhile, the board will likely
refuse an early sell permission because that would like cause a " long squeeze". DJT is a good
short right now no matter the locate and carry fees which are very high. I was long DWAC
and am now short DJT using the profits from the merger volatility. Selling volumes are rising
showing the longs are beginning to get squeezed. The relative trend indicator shows
a strong move down.
Longsqueeze
RIVN a short entry on the rejection by VWAP SHORTPIVN on the 15-minute chart was trading up against the dominant supertrend from last
Thursday. Mid-morning price hit the resistance of the intermediate term mean anchored VWAP
and reversed as suggested yesterday by the bearish divergence on the zero-lag MACD.
Tomorrow is federal news which could increase general market volatility.
I see a short trade targeting 15.25 in the area of the bottom of two-volume profiles
anchored back 2 weeks. The stop loss is 15.9 at the highs of nearby candle wicks. Once the
the move gets underway, those already in long positions may close to take profit and add
into any short selling underway.
A Monthly Correction?I drew lines forming a descending wedge (on weekly timeframe) after verifying that there is possibly a correction on the monthly timeframe. However, it is still too early to be sure, as there is still 80% of the time left for the closing of the monthly candle. I'm really waiting for a long squeeze.
Short BTC! Longs just got trappedWe're currently well above the VAH (blue dotted line). BTC has failed multiple times to break through the top of the horizontal channel. These are signs of weakness.
What's more, on the above image, you can see a wick above the channel on high volume, which means a lot of longs have opened at the top. Right after, we see a rejection on high volume. This means all the longs that have just opened are now trapped. If price reverts to their entry level, they are likely to close their long, adding selling pressure. That is IF they get that chance...
The other scenario is that price does not revert to their entry level, but instead moves down further. In that case they'll get liquidated, also adding massive selling pressure.
I'm targeting lower levels. Always use multiple TPs and move SL to entry once TP1 is hit.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/14/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2022
- PR High: 11085.75
- PR Low: 11057.50
- NZ Spread: 63.25
Evening Stats (As of 1:45 AM)
- Weekend Gap: -0.23% ( filled )
- 8/29 Weekend Gap: -0.18% (open > 13125)
- 8/19 Session Gap: -0.04% (open > 13540)
- Session Open ATR: 343.58
- Volume: 61K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From ATH: -33.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 12391
- Mid: 11820
- Short: 10678
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
The ETH market is in the Phase 3 (Short-squeeze) of bulls attackThe breakout of ETH market happened as we expected and the ETH price had risen rapidly more than 10% in the past few day.
The order of strong bulls attack (ETH price may up to new high) including 5 Phase. Now we are in the phase 3 (KD 50 -> KD70-80, and KD>70 more than 3 days) that I mentioned in my previous articles.
check the funding rates:
upload.cc
Phase 3 (Short squeeze). KD 50 -> KD70-80, and KD>70 more than 3days:
Market makers carry out the strong short-squeeze ( bullish ), and price rise rapidly. The fuel of short-squeeze decreasing as price rising (see the funding rates).
Wonderful performance may be coming! Good luck!
Ps: If you want to understand the complete process of strong bulls attack (5 steps), please check my previous articles :D.
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Analyst of cryptocurrency Yu-Shiuan Chen
Bitcoin Expires, can $37.3k support hold? or 29k BTC next?Howdy gang... plz thumbs up if you like the chart
quick update to show some simple price action and support levels while bitcoin broke down after a good push from the previous days US open
Clear head and shoulders, recent death cross techincals, long squeezes all contriubting to the bearish price right now, yet no need to panic...
if the level at 37.3K can hold, we may breathe a sigh of relief but if not then its open territory for bounces from the MA's or going as low as 29K, the previous years low
bulls will want to see this current level hold with RSI and indicators showing oversold on the daily - if price can get above 42k today, ill change my short term bearish vision
few differing fundamentals in favour and against, so hard to call in that area right now, lots of fear and panic, so time to be greedy, maybe go do some shopping!
as the cryptoride continues, don't get emotional and use this as a opportunity if you can
WHAT do YOU think? ....Hold at this level? 40k or towards 29k??? over the next week or so? Let us know below....
2022/1/21 [ETH] Best buy-point will appear!2022/1/21 Best buy-point will appear!
COINBASE:ETHUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSD
The condition of market is still healthy, and the ETH exchange reserve continues to decline, best buy-point will appear.
See the CryptoQuant (ETH reserve) chart that I mapped:
upload.cc/i1/2022/01/21/SfI7hY.png
The market is in the process of long-squeeze, and this long-squeeze is stronger than other cases (2020/3, 2020/9, 2021/5-7), in order to drive out the retail investors.
Generally, the order of strong bulls attack (ETH price may up to new high) including 5 steps:
1. KD indicator (1D) <30 more than 3 days, price keep falling down and retail investors are panic. Market makers do the upward crash, that is market makers wash the retail investors who with less confidence will sell out and leave the market.
2. KD 20 -> KD50. Market makers just completed the upward crash and price started to rise. At this time, most retail investors open the short position, that means the fuel of short-squeeze is enough. Hence, short squeeze will start in the short term.
3. KD 50 -> KD70-80, and KD>70 more than 3days. Market makers carry out the strong short-squeeze (bullish), and price rise rapidly. The fuel of short-squeeze decreasing as price rising.
4. KD70-80 -> KD50. Market makers completed the short-squeeze and most retail investors start to open the long position. Therefore, the price correction will happen in the short term because the fuel of short-squeeze is not enough.
5. KD50 -> KD70-80 again. Two line of KD indicator formed golden fork and KD up to 70-80 more than 3 days again (short-squeeze). Volume and price increase simultaneously, and most retail investors start to open the short position. At this moment, the next bull market is coming, time to appreciate the performance of market makers (whales).
Wonderful performance may be coming! Good luck!
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As an analyst, I think that I can't predict the direction of market, but I am ready for a strategy of bullish or bearish .
Analyst of cryptocurrency Yu-Shiuan Chen
How to test Bitcoin Orderbook in a nutshell - 21/10/2021Binance US is the new BitMEX minus the liquidity, so the perfect place for bots and those who pay attention to the little details.
History showed us that most Bitcoin flash crashes are a liquidity test.
BTC/USDT (1D) Expanding Triangle ? Midterm gameplanHi Traders,
hopefully You are enjoing summer after huge profits. ?
There is an Idea what we could see at BTC chart in next few days - weeks. Right now this could be least expected move from so called Whales. Most people are alredy Getting in. So lets squizzz them and scare the rest of HODLeers before big guys will fill their bags.
We will most Likley see Expanding Triangle, check the basic informations here:
worldcyclesinstitute.com
Hence Last wave ((v)) of A could go to 24K (if ((v)) = 1:1 to ((i)); or possibly 20K = 1:618 Extension.
Trade safe, let me know what your strategy for BTC right now.
BTC Inverse H&S opportunity BTC looks to be developing Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern on 45 min chart
Like stated previously. I expected bitcoin to retest 9600.
This could be a potential Long Squeeze play with entry near 8750.
If this plays out bitcoin does have the potential to break 9600 and continue on this bullish run.
If it fails 9600 retest I will look for another short play.
Something to keep an eye on.
JW
our scripts show how longs mooned for 1 month on bitcoin...both scripts picked up that longs were piling in. for 1 month 23/11 - 22/12 longs climbed and climbed as price moved sideways.
what does this mean for price action, longs climb and price is sideways, hidden divergence? long squeeze ahead?
to gain access to these scripts visit tradingscripts.best
BTC Long Squeeze Incoming?BTC Longs on Bitinex have risen parabolically to at an all time high. Since 23rd November there has been an increase in Long positions equivalent to about $100m. Surely this is begging for an epic long squeeze?
Not so fast.. here are three reasons why this parabolic rise in Longs might not be what it seems.
1) The rise is on Bitfinex only. Funding rate on Bitmex is fairly neutral. This could suggest that one or a handful of massive players are responsible for this move. Do they know something we don't?
2) The pattern suggests steady accumulation of $100m of positions, starting neatly at the local low on 23rd November, which also lines up with the Golden Pocket (.618 to .65 retracements) of the current macro structure, which could be viewed as a retrace before new highs. See my post from yesterday "Beware The Pump."
Also, the three days of greatest increase since then match up neatly with re-touches to the .618 level also suggesting steady accumulation.
3) Assuming the first two points hold weight, the average accumulation price paid is probably around $7300, with some stops set possibly as low as $6618 (BITF). Either way, the bulk of a long squeeze may not hit until sub $7000, and so we may first need to get there without it.
Still on balance, I remain cautiously short.
The Long Squeeze isn't coming!!!Mr. Pips is starting to think that we might actually be gearing up for a huge pump! When shorts are at ATH's, there is usually a short squeeze. When Longs are stacked and the price is not reflecting the amount of Longs, there is almost never a squeeze(historically speaking). Instead, The Longs tend to sell off as the price pumps and positions are closed to take profit. Mr. Pips is actually about 80% leaning towards the price spiking up. Most traders by now have become aware of the huge number of longs and are expecting there to be a squeeze. This is the exact situation institutional money loves to exploit. I could see a flash dump happening to entice some more shorts before BTC runs up. Either way, Something BIG is on the horizon. Stay alert my friends.
Mr. Pips wants you to have a blessed and Profitable day!
Mr. Pips Quote of the Day:
"The person who doesn't know where his next dollar is coming from usually doesn't know where his last dollar went!"
Disclaimer: All information provide by TheRealMrPips is for educational purposes only and is not intended to be trading advice or trading consultation. You are responsible for your own personal finances and trades!
Brent long squeeze than rise
Economic release bullish for brent gapped the market, but banks and big investors didn't accumulate long position, yet so they might try to creat short perception of market falling in order to get retailers to sell, and then accumulate postions taking the other side of their trade. so plan is simple: wait tilll price drop significantly and than wait for some prica action at m15 or possibly m5 to enter into long position.
Sorry bulls, not just yetEthereum seems to have been forming a nice big ascending triangle over the last few days which would normally indicate a bullish breakout is imminent, but could this triangle be breaking into an ascending wedge instead to set the bulls up for a world of pain?
Arguments:
Bearishly diverging and faltering MACD
Heavily over-leveraged longs relative to shorts on bitfinex
Weak breakout from the upper horizontal resistance line
Faltering volume at the breakout
Detailed elliott wave count indicates an ending 5th wave diagonal (seen as an ascending wedge)
I really can't see a bullish argument for this weak of a breakout from this size of ascending triangle. With any ascending or descending triangle breakout the extent of the rally should be approximately equal to the width of the base of the triangle, which in this case would take us to about $200. I would expect to see a good chunk of this price action immediately at the breakout and... nothing. Zip. Nada. Bupkis.
A diagonal in Elliott wave is a structure in which wave 4 enters the territory of wave 1 with usually the 1st wave the longest and the 5th wave the shortest. It's often easy to spot from the drastic reduction in price increase from wave 1 to wave 3 and decreasing volume as the diagonal reaches it's apex. These structures typically end in a throw-over above the wedge and always retrace to at least the point of origin.
A break above $179 would invalidate this count as then wave 5 would exceed wave 3, so I'll ladder from $165 - $175. My 1st take-profit target is $120 and my 2nd is $107. After that, we'll see .
As always, manage your risk fellow traders!
Longs vs Shorts Bitcoin AnalysisHere's a comparison of Longs vs Shorts vs Bitcoin Price.
You can see that for the past 2 weeks in general shorts have been declining and longs rising while the price of Bitcoin was steadily trending down from 10000. This could ultimately lead to The Bloody Bull Massacre.
When longs will be at ATH (around 33000) and shorts at ATL (around 22000) there could be a massive $1000-2000 drop. Under these conditions the exchanges and bitcoin whales that went short will take the most profit. There's not much bears to squeeze right now. So, we might have a short fake up trend with a Judas steer bull candle that could just lead bulls straight to the slaughter. Seems that overall the capital is fleeing the market, we have 3bln daily volume again and on such volume a long term up trend seems unlikely.
This setup will flip side if shorts will suddenly rise (to around 30000) and longs go down (to 24000 baseline). In this case we will have another $1000 pump similar to The Great Bear Squeeze. It will all depend on this sideways trend. Keep an eye on Shorts/Longs.
Also USD Tether news came out this week (hence the bull spikes):
no real audit, but some bank employee unofficially confirmed the account balance as response to recent allegations of price manipulation, more tether printed as result to sparkle bull's hopes.
Bitfinex CSO Phil Potter resigns as Bitfinex plans to move its HQ to Switzerland.
Good Luck!
Not a financial advice. Use at your own risk.
BTC margin long volume vs price on BitfinexAfter calling the recent drop from 12k to 7.9k , I got the sense that BTC hasn't bottomed yet despite many calling the bottom. So I started looking for other indicators and pieces of data that may corroborate this hunch.
Initially I started looking at the long (BITFINEX:BTCUSDLONGS) and short (BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS) positions on Bitfinex as a way to gauge when to exit my margin positions. However, as I went back over the data we had (which admittedly isn't a great deal as Bitfinex only started providing the data on the 20th of August 2017), I started to notice that we topped out at around 32k of BTC longs. This coincided with a couple of major selloffs, including the last drop from 12k, and the prior one from 20k.
Im not sure if this is a glass ceiling, or a hard cap, however it seems pretty clear to me that we are seeing divergence of BTC price vs number of long positions. ie. price is going down despite an increase in longs.
I feel this provides some evidence towards the idea that we will push considerably lower due to a "long squeeze".
I also mentioned a few days back in my prior post that if we close the week below the weekly 20EMA, we will head lower to the 50MA for support.
A few days back
Now
I believe we are going down to between ~6k (+/- 500).