Longterminvesting
GNA Axles Limited Going Towards Its All TIME HIGH's NSE:GNA
GNA Axles is engaged in the Business of manufactures auto components for the four-wheeler industry, primary product being Rear Axles, Shafts, Spindles & other Automobiles Components for sale in domestic and foreign market.
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Key strengths
Extensive experience of promoters/management and long track record of operations
GNA was promoted by Late Rachhpall Singh and his brother Gursaran Singh, the latter being the company’s current managing
director with around five decades of industry experience. His son, Ranbir Singh, and other family members are also involved in
the company’s day-to-day business activities. The company directors are assisted by a team of professionals who are highly
experienced in their respective domains. Being established in 1946, the GNA group, which also includes GNA Gears Limited, has
a long track record of operations.
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Diversified revenue stream across product segments and geographies
The company supplies its products to varied segments of the automotive industry, including commercial vehicles (CV or the onhighway segment), tractors, farm equipment, and earth moving equipment (all three being part of the off-road segment). The
company derives significant income from export of its products to the US, Europe, Asia Pacific (Japan and China among others),
Mexico, Brazil, and so forth, with exports constituting around 53% of its total operating income (TOI) in FY23 (refers to April 1
to March 31) . The company is a Tier-1 vendor for its supplies in domestic off-road segment, while in the
exports markets, it supplies axles and spindles to larger and more established Tier-1 vendors.
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Long and established relationship with customers
The GNA group has been operating in the auto component industry since 1946, thus having built time-tested relationship with
customers – with some ever since the commencement of its operations. Besides, it has been supplying to some of its export
customers since 2000. GNA markets its products through the common group marketing network catering a whole range of
products, including axles, gears, and shafts under one roof. The long and established relationship with customers provides revenue
stability to the company, subject to overall industry demand scenario.
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Reputed, though concentrated customer base
While GNA faces customer concentration with its top-5 and top-10 customers accounting for around 64% and around 80% of its
total gross sales in FY23, the risk is largely mitigated as the top revenue contributors are well-established players and enjoy strong
position in the industry. GNA is the main supplier of axle shafts to most of the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that it
supplies to, and by virtue of its long-standing relationships with the customers, the company has a strong market position. For
some of its export customers, the supplies are made by GNA for their plants in various countries, thereby mitigating the risk
arising from slowdown in one geographical location.
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Comfortable scale of operations with largely steady margins
In FY24, the company achieved TOI of ₹1,508.67 crore compared to a TOI of ₹1,582.93 crore in FY23 driven by moderation in
price realisations owing to weak tractor sales in the domestic market. The profit before interest, lease rentals, depreciation and
taxation (PBILDT) margin marginally declined to 13.24% in FY24 (PY: 14.70%). The profit after tax (PAT) margins declined to
6.63% in FY24 from 8.22% in FY23.
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Comfortable financial risk profile
The company’s capital structure remained comfortable with long-term debt-to equity and overall gearing ratios of 0.04x and
0.24x, as on March 31, 2024, respectively (PY: 0.07x and 0.28x, respectively). The same improved mainly due to reduction in
debt and accretion of profits to the net worth. The company has low reliance on working capital borrowings as it only avails the
pre-shipment credit for exports and substantial portion of its inherently high working capital requirements are funded by internal
accruals. The interest coverage ratio remained healthy at 17.3x in FY24 (PY: 21.22x) due to healthy profitability and low interest
costs on foreign currency borrowings. The company’s total debt to PBILDT stood comfortable at 0.95 as on March 21, 2024 (PY:
0.87x).
Ethereum (ETH) Bullish Pennant AlertEthereum continues to show a bullish setup with a long-term bullish pennant pattern forming on the chart. Based on Fibonacci extension levels, we can project both conservative and aggressive price targets, with the potential for a blow-off top around $20,000, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci retracement level.
Key Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Bullish Pennant (Continuation Pattern)
Current Price: ~$2.2k-$2.3k
Fibonacci Extension Levels:
1.272 Extension: $7-$7.5k
1.414 Extension: $7.5-$9.3k
1.618 Extension: $10k- GETTEX:13K
200% Retracement: $20,000 (Potential blow-off top target)
Why this setup is promising:
Bullish Pennant: Ethereum’s price consolidation within this pattern suggests a bullish continuation, with Fibonacci levels offering reliable price targets.
Strong Fundamentals: Increasing on-chain activity, network upgrades, and growing institutional interest support the potential for higher price action.
Volume Contraction: Volume has been contracting during the consolidation, a common precursor to a breakout.
Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering on a confirmed breakout above $2.7k with strong volume.
Stop Loss: Below $2k for risk management.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
ROSSARI BIOTECH Showing Change in Price StructureNSE:ROSSARI
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Update on the expansion projects at Dahej Facilities
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• In the Q2FY24 the Company had announced an expansion of its facility at Dahej by adding up
20,000 MTPA capacity for products related to HPPC in the specialty chemical space, as well as for producing ingredients for its subsidiary companies.
Also, to cater to the growing
demand in agro chemicals, home and personal care, oil & gas and the pharma sector, the
Company had further announced expansion of the Ethoxylation capacity by 30,000 MTPA at
the Dahej facility of Unitop Chemicals Private Limited.
• Work on both these projects are progressing as planned. Commissioning is expected to
happen, in a phased manner in the current year
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• Consistent growth trajectory over the past three years, driven by both organic and inorganic growth strategies
• While near-term investments and strategic initiatives have led to a moderation in ROCE and ROE, the balance sheet position
remains strong.
The Company is confident of reporting improved return metrics in the future as these investments start yielding
results
SWSOLAR Getting Ready to Break its 2019's & All Time HighNSE:SWSOLAR
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| KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1Q FY25
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• Unexecuted order value at ~INR 9,396 crore as of June 2024
compared to ~INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024
• Company has received new orders / LOI in three domestic
projects worth ~INR 1,016 crore during the quarter
• Company received two turnkey international orders from South
Africa amounting to ~USD 140 mn
• Commenced a pilot project for Solar plus BESS for Reliance
Industries at Jamnagar, Gujarat
• P&L of the company continues to improve
• Consol revenues up ~78% YoY in 1QFY25
• Gross margins at ~11%
• Second consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA, PBT and PAT
at a consolidated level
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• The company’s balance sheet continues to de-leverage
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• Total net debt of ~INR 97 crore as of Jun 2024, compared
to net debt of ~INR 116 crore in Mar 2024
• No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
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Received order of 900 MW DC in 1QFY25
• Received a turnkey solar PV order from AMEA Power in South
Africa for a ~140 MW DC project
• Through this project, SWREL has achieved a key breakthrough in
the rapidly growing South African solar market.
• We have successfully executed a 90 MW DC order in South
Africa in 2016 previously, and continue to maintain O&M
operations there
• Bagged our second international order from South Africa with a
turnkey package for a 80 MW AC project from Energy Group
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Can 128% be soon?Cardano (ADA) is one of my favourite coins which I choose to invest in. This is trade (investment) setup on larger timeframe. If you never bought ADA before it is still not late. I am not looking to reach targets 2,3,4 very soon, that could be year(s). I will sell most of my capital on targets 2,3. Small portion will be sold on Target 1 and hopefully on Target 4.
Entry Zone: 0.50 – 0.57
Buy Zone 1: 0.30 – 0.37
Buy Zone 2: 0.13 – 0.16
Target 1: 1.33 – 1.44 (128%)
Target 2: 2.83 – 2.93 (390%)
Target 3: 4.35 – 4.89 (651%)
Target 4: 5.73 – 5.84 (891%)
Study of Nifty since it's inception for long term view/Outlook. Nifty has closed at highest monthly closing. It is almost at all time high. Now what the future holds for investors? It is the right time to look at All Time Chart of Nifty. This will help us in taking a long term view of Nifty we decided to look at the all time channel of the same since it's inception in 1991. This research has given three indications. The long term channel is the best way to get predict the Nifty as it filters out all noise. The cut off date we have indicated is January 2028.
This study and analysis has shown an interesting result which indicates that the best case scenario for Nifty by 2028 can be 49K+ levels. (If we continue to grow at the same rate along with the same trendline). In case of stutter the moderate case scenario seems to be that we can reach 30K+ levels.
The worst case scenario as of now seems to be that we remain at similar levels of 23K+. This can happen in case of a major global catastrophe or some internal disruption in India. (Both are worst case scenarios). The reason we might not fall below these levels is that we have a strong rule of law, India as of now is not aligned to any global power and has become leader of the Global south so in case of conflict we might not grow but we by all means will not fall below a certain level.
Since 2005 Nifty has gone below Mid channel support only on two occasions once in sub prime crisis in 2008 and once during Covid 19 outbreak. Even if we fall below Mid channel support we mostly will bounce back very strongly. Thus the indications of all time chart of Nifty seem that India will remains a bull run for a long long time to come.
If we believe the current trend within this decade that is before 2030 Nifty touching or crossing 50K also remains a fair possibility.
So invest in equity, Educate yourself, learn Techno-funda analysis. Reading The Happy Candles Way To Wealth creation my book which is available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version can be a good beginning for you. All the best! Happy Investing.
Sapphire (K.F.C & Pizza Hut) Showing Good Structural Breakout NSE:SAPPHIRE
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Company has delivered good profit growth of 26.0% CAGR over last 5 years.
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FY24 Highlights
• Sapphire has delivered the best all-round
performance in the QSR industry (all parameters considered):
Revenue scale & growth ,
Adj. EBITDA margin & growth
and New restaurant additions .
• Sapphire KFC delivered highest ever annual
restaurant EBITDA margin %: 19.7% .
• Sapphire KFC and Pizza Hut being recognized
as among the top 3 franchisees of Yum
globally on customer metrics and operating
standards.
• Sapphire Foods is ranked No.1 QSR in India
and at 95th percentile amongst QSR globally on
Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI).
• We achieved our best ever employee
engagement score since inception and placed
at 88th percentile amongst all companies
surveyed worldwide by Gallup.
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Motilal Oswal: Strong growth potential with a target of ₹1,120+Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, established in 1987, is a leading financial services firm offering a broad range of services, including broking, investment banking, asset and wealth management, and housing finance. With a strong presence across 550+ cities, the company caters to over 1.6 million customers.The company's robust financial performance and growth trajectory make it a compelling investment for the long term. NSE:MOTILALOFS
I bought at ₹728 with a stop loss below ₹670, targeting a potential upside between ₹1,120 and ₹1,650+.
ALKYLAMINE is Reacting & Showing Change in Structure & STORYNSE:ALKYLAMINE
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TURN-AROUND STORY IS IN PROGRES IN TERMS OF PRODUCTION FACILITY AND SUSTAINABLE PRODUCT WHICH WILL BE ABLE COMPETE CHINESE COMPATETORS
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Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 19.0%.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.5%.
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Strong financial risk profile and ample liquidity: Networth was healthy at Rs. 1263 crores as on March 31, 2024 (Rs 1165 crore as on March 31, 2023), with nil gearing as on March 31, 2024.The total outside liabilities to adjusted networth (TOL/ANW) ratio though had decreased to 0.25 time as on March 31, 2024 from 0.36 times as on March 31, 2023, and it is expected to improve over the medium term driven by steady accretion to reserves, absence of long term loans and moderate reliance on external debt for working capital and capex. Cash and cash equivalents of Rs 17 crore as on March 31, 2024, provide cushion to overall liquidity. Interest coverage ratio has improved to 60.4 times March 31, 2024. It is expected to remain healthy over the medium term.
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PFOCUS is Focusing on 2008's Multi-Year Long Resistance BreakoutNSE:PFOCUS
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Over Last 4 Years ... From Year 2020 to 2024 Promoter Holdings Have Been Increased by +34.93% ......
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Customers
PFL caters to players across the entire media industry value chain and the product life cycle of media content. Its major clients include top Hollywood and Indian studios and media companies across the globe:
Studios – Warner Bros., Disney, Netflix, etc.
Broadcast networks – Bloomberg, Disney, Star, etc.
Others – ICC, BCCI, Amazon, etc.
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Focus
In Creative Services, it aims to expand its global footprint and diversify the business across content formats. It also expects growth in cross-selling through bundled VFX, etc.
In Tech/Tech-Enabled Services it aims to sign more strategic deals and increase revenue from existing clients by offering new modules and analytics.
Working on top Hollywood projects
One of them is
Matrix 4
MMTC Non Profitable PSU showing MULTI-YEAR BreakoutNSE:MMTC
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As A Research Analyst ... It is Not an Good Practice to Suggest anyone to invest in Non-Profitable and Loss Making Company....
Every Fundamental Numbers are Either Negative or Not-Satisfying .......
but if we See in Terms of Technical Analysis....
MMTC is Showing Long-Multi-Year Breakout....
so Going with Defined Risk... keeping an Decent Percentage of SL ...
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MMTC, a public sector undertaking, was incorporated in 1963, to facilitate foreign trade in India and canalize the export and import of essential minerals and metals. It is under the administrative control of the Ministry of Commerce & Industry, and Government of India and is engaged in trading across minerals, metals, precious metals, agro products, fertilizers & chemicals and coal & hydrocarbons.
SNOWMAN Increasing Cold Temperature & New WarehousesNSE:SNOWMAN
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• Network Advantage - Ability to offer customers the largest Pan-India cold chain networkfor storage and distribution
• Expansion Plans – Planned expansion basis our customers’ requirements to reach new markets & to address the demand of the organised sector• Technology Driven - Snowman has developed customised software & apps for increasing efficiency of operations
• 25+ Years of Experience - Snowman has innovated best practices and is a knowledge leader in the industry
• Customer Trust & Satisfaction - Full visibility & transparency provided to customer using in-house tech platforms & many uninterrupted years of satisfactory customer service
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Leading integrated temperature-controlled logistics
• Snowman Logistics Ltd was incorporated in 1993 and Gateway Distriparks acquired a majority stake in 2006• Pan India network of 45 warehouses across 20 cities
• Integrated service offering of warehousing services, transportation, and distribution bundled with value added services• Modern facilities with high quality infrastructure across the country
• Expansion plans to increase warehousing presence for catering to the fast-growing demand of the organised sector• Snowman is first Indian cold chain company to introduce 5PL services, which offer innovative and integrated solutions
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Strengths:
Established market position in the temperature-controlled logistics industry: Snowman is the largest provider in the highly fragmented temperature-controlled warehousing, transportation and logistics industry in India. The company provides quality service and end-to-end solutions to customers in the temperature-controlled industry, thereby resulting in repeat orders and long-term contracts providing around 80% revenue visibility. As on March 31, 2023, the company had warehousing capacity of 1,35,552 pallets across 44 warehouses in 18 cities. It also had 239 refeer vehicles (refrigerated trucks) providing last-mile, inter-city distribution services through a consignment agency model. It caters to marquee customers in diversified end-user industries, such as seafood, pharmaceuticals, dairy, e-commerce and quick service restaurants (QSR). Under the dedicated warehouse segment, the company has opened 4 warehouses for e-commerce and pharmaceutical clients including Amazon, Fraazo, Impelpro, among others.
Adequate financial risk profile: Gearing was 0.25 times as on March 31, 2023, and is expected to remain low in the medium term. Debt protection metrics are adequate with interest coverage and net cash accrual to total debt ratios are ~4.3 times and 0.63 times, respectively, in fiscal 2023. Any higher-than-expected debt for funding capex could adversely impact the capital structure and debt protection metrics and will remain a key rating sensitivity factor.
Continued parentage of GDL: Post settlement of agreement between Snowman and Adani Logistics Ltd (ALL) in July 2020, GDL is the single largest owner with 40.25% stake in the company and substantial control on the board. The rating continues to benefit from moderate operational and strategic linkages with GDL, as both the companies offer complementary services in the logistics industry, thereby providing cross-selling opportunities to customers. GDL is one of the largest private players in the container freight station, railways and inland container depot businesses in India. Furthermore, Snowman is well established amongst the leading organised players, providing temperature-controlled services in India
RUPA indicating is No More an Ordinary Underwear BrandNSE:RUPA
Commenting on the financial performance Mr. Vikash Agarwal - Whole Time Director, said,
“We are pleased to report a stable performance in Q1 FY25, though the industry continues to witness resistance to any price increase. We
demonstrated steady improvements across key financial metrics. This quarter, we witnessed 8% rise in revenue, primarily driven by strong sales in our
core product line. Our volume growth for the quarter reached 9%, supported by strong sales in the economy and athleisure segments.
Our EBITDA saw a year-on-year increase of 59%, totaling Rs. 18.0 crores for the quarter, showcasing our commitment to cost management and
operational efficiency. Operating margins also improved by 280 basis points compared to the same period last year. Furthermore, our net profit
experienced substantial growth of 149%, reaching Rs. 10.5 crores for the quarter. This underscores the effectiveness of our financial strategies and the
resilience of our business model. Net profit margins improved by 280 basis points during the quarter.
Notably, our exports have shown progress, with a healthy 32% year-on-year growth, reaching Rs. 8 crores. This reflects our steady penetration into
international markets. Revenue contribution from Modern Trade remains robust at 8% in Q1 FY25.
The pilot project “Pragati’, which was launched last quarter, has received encouraging feedback from our distributors. We expect healthy expansion of
the project going forward.
Our cash flow from operations remains strong, generating Rs. 44 crores in Q1 FY25. We have made significant progress in reducing our debt, achieving
a net debt-free status as at end of Q1 FY25. Our branding and advertising strategies accounted for 9% of revenues in Q1 FY25.
Looking ahead, we are confident in achieving new business milestones and delivering innovative products to our diverse customer segments. Our
customer-first approach will help us strengthen our position as an industry leader and contribute to our sustainable business model
DOGE | Long Term Profits PlanHello traders!
At this very moment, there's a lot of uncertainty, and we can't know for sure what's going to happen exactly, so having a plan of action is the best idea. Plan ahead so you know what to expect and are ready to act on it when the moment arrives.
So here's my plan:
1) DOGE is stuck in a box; clearly, we can pinpoint support and resistance on the monthly timeframe. This indicates the asset is actually in balanced mode, so usually no action should be taken. However, I've marked certain demand zones to buy, and if, for whatever reason, it gets pierced through, you'll also know where the price is most likely to land next.
Confirmations: Wait for the price to hit the areas marked; be patient, and you'll get rewarded accordingly. Once price hits the zones, wait for a candlestick and a reversal pattern on the lower timeframes to time your entry smoothly.
2) TARGETS: Whichever demand zone price hits, make sure your target is the closest supply zone. Don't expect the price to hit the moon just because. That's just not going to happen, and on the contrary, there are massive amounts of sell trade limit orders sitting on those supply zones, so be smarter and take profit before the sell-off gets activated.
This idea is to spot for the long term. This asset is still in balanced mode; there hasn't been a breakout of the range yet. However, it's worth noting that as of now, price might just come down into a very important demand zone, giving an extremely great opportunity to enter and hold for the bullrun next year.
I hope you find it useful and are able to take advantage of this idea.
Kina Tip of the Day: Take profits partially even when they don't seem much because, in the long run, they will grow in a balanced way with the rest of the portfolio.
Keep it shiny ⭐
Kina, The Girly Trader
SHK is Spreading its Fragrances on ChartNSE:SHK
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Q1 FY25 performance overview compared with Q1 FY24.
Revenue from operations at Rs. 470.3 crore as against Rs. 422.6 crore, up by 11.3%.
EBITDA** at Rs. 83.3 crore as against Rs. 70.6 crore, higher by 18%.
EBITDA** margin at 17.7% as against 16.7%, expanding by 100 bps.
Adjusted PBT stood at Rs. 46.5 crore as against Rs. 37.8 crore, up 23.1%.
Cash profit at Rs. 55.8 crore as against Rs. 47.7 crore, growing by 17.0% .
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Key Developments.
Incorporation of step-down subsidiary – Keva Germany GmbH.
Incorporated Keva Germany GmbH to serve as a Creative Development Centre (CDC)
for European operations, while also providing support to customers in Dubai and
Middle East.
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Update on Debt Position:
The Company’s net debt increased to ~Rs. 542 crore as on 30th June 2024 as
compared to Rs. 504 crore as on 31st March 2024.
The debt increase was due to the need to replenish inventory following the fire incident
at its Vashivali facility in April 2024 .
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Update on the Fire Incident at the Company’s Fragrance facility located at Vashivali.
A fire incident occurred at the Company’s Vashivali facility in April 2024.
There was no loss of human life, and the safety of all personnel was ensured.
The Company has comprehensive insurance coverage including cover for loss
of profit.
The Company operates five manufacturing locations in India and, in response to the
incident, swiftly implemented a Business Continuity Plan (BCP) by shifting production
to alternate sites.
The new facility is projected to be re-established within 9 to 12 months.
All facilities are now operating in double/triple shifts, ensuring adequate capacity to
meet current and future customer requirements.
Recently commissioned Indonesia facility is ramping up production to cater to both
local and export orders, ensuring continuity and fulfilling commitments to overseas
customers.
An exceptional loss of ₹120 crore (net of tax) was recorded during the quarter due to
the fire, covering plant and machinery, building, and inventory. This loss is expected
to be fully offset by insurance reimbursement in FY2025.
The Company has filed a request for interim payment of Rs. 50 crore with the Insurance
Company. The Insurance company is carrying out the necessary procedure to process
the claim .
LONG TERM WEALTH IDEA - IMAGICAA WORLD ENT LTDLONG TERM WEALTH IDEA - IMAGICAA WORLD ENT LTD
Company has some issues, still I believe it's could be a turnaround story.
This is not a recommendation, just for educational purpose. DO NOT COPY this trade. Consult your financial advisor before investing!
BAJAJ HIND SUGAR good Long 10% ROIBajaj Hind Sugar is ready to move out of 1 month old consolidation zone.
One may consider to enter at 25 and exit at 28.30 for a quick swing.
The stock is also ready to move out of 37 zone, supply zone sooner or later, if 37 zone is taken off in monthly, one can look for a good long term target of 100.
The 37 rs zone is a strong 12 year old consolidation supply zone, the RSI also indicates a strong up swing.
ITDCEM Going 2 Break All Time High With Huge Positive NumbersNSE:ITDCEM
Over 90 years of rich industry experience
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Company is expected to give good quarter,
Company has delivered good profit growth of 26.4% CAGR over last 5 years
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Amongst the leading infrastructure & construction company in Thailand
for over 60 years.
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Received ‘The Royal Seal of Garuda’ in 1985 - Highest and most
honorable achievement for civilian companies in Thailand
Global presence in India, Bangladesh, Lao PDR, the Philippines,
Vietnam, Africa etc.
Access to the latest technology and know-how, international design and
engineering as well as skilled personnel to augment our local strength.
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MULTI YEAR REVENUE VISIBILITY ORDERBOOK OF RS 18,536 CRORE.
• Secured orders worth over Rs 1,053 crore in Q1 FY25.
• Clientele comprises of Government (48%), PSU (17%) and Private Sector (35%).
• Established presence in India with 13 states / 1 union territory and is currently executing project in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 6,401 crore.
Marine project in Bangladesh.
West Container Terminal in the Port of Colombo, Sri Lanka.
Balance Outer Harbour Works in Andhra Pradesh.
Piers, Landside Tunnels & Building in Karwar, Karnataka.
Udangudi project in Tamil Nadu.
Wharf and Approach trestle works at JNPT in Maharashtra.
Captive Oil Jetty at Kamarajar Port in Tamil Nadu.
Third Berth (Jetty) at Dahej LNG Terminal in Gujarat
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 3,936 crore.
Underground tunneling and stations for metros in Chennai, Bengaluru, Mumbai and Kolkata.
Elevated metro stations and buildings in Kolkata
Depot metro building in Surat
Modification & Refurbishment of terminal buildings in Ahmedabad airport
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,717 crore
Six laning road project in Uttar Pradesh
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,341 crore
Redevelopment of Residential colony at
Kasturba Nagar in New Delhi.
Circuit bench of Calcutta High Court at Jalpaiguri in West
Bengal.
Thal Sena Bhawan in Delhi.
Aerospace museum at AF station in Palam, Delhi.
Piling and Civil work for Coke Oven Project at
Hazira plant in Gujarat.
Construction of buildings for Sikkim University
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Major Projects under execution worth of Rs 2,120 crore
Railway tunnels in West Bengal and Sikkim.
Civil & Hydro-Mechanical Works of 500 MW Hydel Power, Pumped Storage Project in Andhra Pradesh.
Water conveyor system of lined gravity canal/tunnels in Telangana
STG Long Term Profits PlanHello traders!
Currently, we are experiencing a big drop in Crypto but other markets have also been dropping hard. So, now instead of going all panic mode let's switch gears and plan ahead to take advantage of the buying opportunities. So, here's my plan in the long term for StarGate.
1) Right now, we can see price hit the Demand Zone which is the zone marked in green. It got pierced though recently after a real long time. However, it's turning into a hammer candle and reversing altogether which means strong buying pressure stepping and it could totally be a fakeout, so we should stay alert to see how it plays out.
Possible confirmations for the demand zone to be safe are: Wait for the price breakout and take a position when it re-test the zone back again.
In the future if the bearish trendline gets broken, we can expect an important rise on the price. We still have to deal with a strong supply zone which is marked in red. If price manages to pierce through the supply then we fly to the moon ♥ meanwhile, I'll be monitoring weekly and informing STG movements over time.
2) TARGETS: The nearest one would be 0.53, which would act as a mean reversion zone. After that, we can expect ranging, and we'll have to wait for signs and clues to find out what could possibly happen next. Targets long term: the supply zone and the ATH +
This idea is to spot for the long term. This asset is still in ranging mode; there hasn't been a breakout of the range yet. However, it's worth noting that there's a triangle pattern playing out in the monthly timeframe, right now.
I hope you find it useful and are able to take advantage of this idea.
Kina Tip of the Day: Take profits partially even when they don't seem much because, in the long run, they will grow in a balanced way with the rest of the portfolio.
Keep it shiny ⭐
Kina, The Girly Trader
PARAS DEFENCE Getting Support @ Previous ALL Time HighNSE:PARAS
Positive factors – The outlook will be revised to Stable if the company demonstrates a material improvement in its working
capital cycle and liquidity position, along with improvement in earnings and scale of operations.
Healthy order book provides medium-term revenue visibility – The company’s fresh order inflows over the past four fiscals
remained adequate, with orders worth ~Rs. 621 crore added in the last 21 months ending December 31, 2023.
The pending order book of Rs. 526.3 crore as on December 31, 2023 (OB/OI ratio of 2.4 times of the OI in FY2023) provides medium-term
revenue visibility.
Comfortable capital structure and healthy coverage indicators – The company’s capital structure remains comfortable with
TOL/TNW of 0.3 times as on September 30, 2023, supported by equity infusion of Rs. 162.3 crore during FY2021-FY2022 and
low debt levels.
The interest coverage stood at 12.2 times in 9M FY2024 due to the limited dependence on external borrowings
to fund its working capital. Going forward, ICRA expects the coverage indicators to remain comfortable, benefitting from the
scale-up in operations, given the strong order pipeline.
Extensive experience of management team – PDSTL’s promoters have more than three decades of experience in designing,
developing and manufacturing a wide range of engineering products and solutions for the defense and space sector in the
domain of optics, heavy engineering and electronics. Its long presence in the defence and space sector has helped to establish
strong relationships with its customers as well as suppliers. It has developed a strong management and execution team
comprising several ex-employees of BEL and DRDO, among others.
High working capital intensity due to elongated receivables cycle – The business is working capital intensive with NWC/OI of
88.3% and 114.8% in FY2023 and H1 FY2024, respectively, owing to the high inventory holding period and long receivables
cycle.
The inventory levels are high because of additional stocking of critical raw materials to avoid any disruption in the
delivery schedules and high work-in-progress due to elongated manufacturing cycle.
PDSTL has been partly managing its
working capital cycle by stretching its trade payables by more than three months as it has a longstanding relationship with
most of its suppliers and availing mobilisation advance for part orders. Going forward, the company’s ability to alleviate its
working capital intensity while scaling up its revenues and improving its operating margins will be the key rating monitorable.
Moderate scale of operations – Though the company reported a robust YoY revenue growth of 21% and 10% in FY2023 and
9M FY2024, respectively, supported by healthy order book and the timely execution of orders, the scale of operations still
remains moderate. Given the Government’s thrust on ‘Make in India’ in the defence sector, PDSTL has been mainly catering
to domestic demand (~84% of OI contributed by domestic orders in FY2023). Driven by the healthy order book status, ICRA
expects the company to sustain its revenue growth in FY2024 and FY2025.
High customer concentration risk, though largely mitigated by reputed customer base and repeat orders – The company
faces client concentration risk with top three clients contributing 46% to the total order book as on December 31, 2023 and
top five clients accounting for 51% of the revenue in FY2023. The client profile mostly comprises government organisations
with repeat orders received over the years, largely mitigating the counterparty credit risk. A major part of PDSTL’s clientele
included reputed government organisations, namely Laboratory for Electro-Optics Systems (a unit of ISRO), BEL, Instruments
Research and Development Establishment (a unit of DRDO) and private companies like RRP S4E Innovation Private Limited and
Unifab Engineering Project Private Limited. The company has long standing relationships with most of its clientele. PDSTL also
exports to companies based in Israel, Singapore and USA.