XRP FINAL STEEP DISCOUNT OPPORTUNITY IS IMMINENTMy time-wave cycles analysis (among other components) indicating we will have a final sell wave to 1.45-1.7 zone over coming days (before FOMC meeting in March imo).
Granted I was a little off on exact timing to reach the buy-side targets back in December but nonetheless accurate on projected price levels..See prior analysis at attached link for the projected high coming in at 3.1-3.3, exactly as it happened...
I have no doubt this final sell wave will also occur. Depending on your goals & trading style, you may treat this next sell wave as an opportunity to simply add more at discounted levels via DCA'ing....or choose to sell at these relative highs to maximize position size once again from sub-1.70 levels.. I DO NOT EXPECT US TO SEE sub-3$ ANYTIMEagain after this next sell wave completes & then buyers take us to 4+ in q2 & beyond.
Expecting this to be the FINAL steep discount buying opportunity for those interested in maximizing their capital purchasing power for long term speculative hodling
Follow for additional actionable alerts & analysis. Appreciate the boosts & looking forward to your comments as well!
Longterminvesting
Gold Cup and Handle?Gold doesn't seem to move even with high Inflation data in the past months, possibly because the Crypto market is eating slowly it's market.
However it seems like there is potential Cup and Handle which might lead to Gold prices around 2500$ Ounce in the next few years.
A possible catalyst might be invasion of Ukraine, since Gold performs quite well during wars - however I truly Hope this never happens.
Just posting this here so I can keep track of it in the future, will update it if there is any news ahead.
Let's speak about savings...Hey guys,
As I've lately taken great interest in publishing my trading ideas here on TradingView,
I want to speak about something that rarely if ever gets spoken about in the trading community, by trading community I mean us goobers on charts who do intra-day, swing, day trading etc... who get sad for not making 10% a month on forex etc...
That is your savings, specifically investing your savings on a long term basis and compound the interest earned by the dividend yields.
Useless to say that I'll be speaking about the S&P 500 and how you can approach it too.
First of all, you can't directly buy the S&P500 that you see here on trading view, as this is an index and in order for you to invest in the performance of the index you need to buy into ETFs, mutual funds, or derivatives like options and futures that are designed to track it.
There are many big funds around, like iShares, Fidelity, Vanguard, Amundi etc...
To be honest the one I personally invest into is the Core S&P 500 USD Acc from iShares that auto compounds the dividends but you really can choose between tens of funds.
The key factors that you must keep into consideration when choosing a fund are these:
- Currency of the fund (what currency is the fund based on)= if it is another country's currency, you'll have to exchange it every time you want to make an entry, amounting to extra commissions and fees that aren't sexy.
- Dividends= if the fund pays out dividends, if it pays it in cash or shares or if it self reinvests them or it doesn't...
- Tax residency of the fund (on which exchange is the Fund/ETF listed on)= important as when it will come to pay your taxes, some funds may have extra taxes due to the residency/exchange.
Now... let's get to the sauce, you have probably heard about DCA (Dollar Cost Average) as it's been rubbed on your face by everyone who never looked at a chart, and that's a valid approach if you are 50, but we spend half of our days on the charts so we want to work based on charts and price, not on time.
My philosophy behind this is that, if our goal is maximizing profit while spreading entries evenly, we should aim to get the best entries, and how could time, which has nothing to do with price, dictate our entries?
It is quite literally putting your finger down randomly on the chart and choosing to enter there.
There is a way easier and more effective approach, and that's basing yourself on price by simply buying the dip.
Yes, I quite literally wrote all of this article just to tell you to buy the dips, but here's a little practical example on why buying the dip performs better than DCA and what values you could look for yourself to try to optimize your entries.
The most basic approach to DCA is to buy a set amount each month, for the sake of the example let's say you would have bought $1000 worth of shares every 30 days starting from Feb/2022, your entries would have been spread out randomly and you would end up with roughly $42.000 today, which would be more if you reinvested all the dividends and profits.
A better approach would be buying each time there is a dip of X percentage in price.
If during the same time we would have bought about 200$ every time price dipped 1.25% we would have made 192 entries and made around $51.000 without compounding interest and dividends, then that would be closer to 55.000 - 60.000.
All of this just by basing ourself on price and not time.
You wouldn't evaluate taste with sounds, or sounds with numbers... so why evaluate numbers with time? Rather stick to what the chart itself does and get the best spread out entries possible, like this not only you would make more money, but have way more entries spread out through the chart for about the same initial capital, which is not bad when you are planning to long term invest.
To wrap it up, my practical example is buying the S&P500 (or another index you like), every time price drops of 1.25% - 1.75% in a single day, and compound interest every time you get a entry. Like this you'll set yourself an long term investment fund that will grow exponentially through the years and help you more than save your money through the years.
As as we all know but not admit that spending comes easy when money is laying around, so stash the unnecessary and see it grow ;)
the numbers in the example are rough estimates but give the actual idea of performance, and excuse me for the simplicity of the argument but it always comes handy
AMAZON -- Results of Buying before the SplitSharing some insights of when I bought Amazon before the split, It was a great decision as it has given my portfolio a great boost. It has been very bullish trending higher, and February started off on a good note so far. Ideally I would love to see it take the Previous months highs and keep pumping.
I would not be surprised if it reached MIL:1K per stock again. BUT NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, and I also have no real data to support this theory yet. It is just my biased beliefs.
Stocks, Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
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There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
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Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
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By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
SPX Nears All-Time Highs – Is a Breakout Imminent?The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has been following a strong upward trajectory, consistently forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating a bullish trend.
However, the price is now approaching a rising trendline that has acted as a key resistance multiple times in the past.
Prakash Ind Long Weekly BOIt has been consolidating for the last 16 years and is now giving a breakout on both weekly and monthly timeframes. Whenever a breakout occurs, it's often accompanied by changes in revenue, profits, and other fundamental ratios, indicating that the company is performing well.
Remember to do your own research before investing.
LONG HANGSENG"Don't fear the noise from analysts.
Trump's win and Hang Seng's current valuation are likely already priced in. Many analysts won't clarify this because narratives can drive market behavior.
Stay informed, but think critically. 🧠📉"
Risk Reward is clearly visible in CHART.
Just follow charts rather than Narratives and Analysts.
GNA Axles Limited Going Towards Its All TIME HIGH's NSE:GNA
GNA Axles is engaged in the Business of manufactures auto components for the four-wheeler industry, primary product being Rear Axles, Shafts, Spindles & other Automobiles Components for sale in domestic and foreign market.
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Key strengths
Extensive experience of promoters/management and long track record of operations
GNA was promoted by Late Rachhpall Singh and his brother Gursaran Singh, the latter being the company’s current managing
director with around five decades of industry experience. His son, Ranbir Singh, and other family members are also involved in
the company’s day-to-day business activities. The company directors are assisted by a team of professionals who are highly
experienced in their respective domains. Being established in 1946, the GNA group, which also includes GNA Gears Limited, has
a long track record of operations.
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Diversified revenue stream across product segments and geographies
The company supplies its products to varied segments of the automotive industry, including commercial vehicles (CV or the onhighway segment), tractors, farm equipment, and earth moving equipment (all three being part of the off-road segment). The
company derives significant income from export of its products to the US, Europe, Asia Pacific (Japan and China among others),
Mexico, Brazil, and so forth, with exports constituting around 53% of its total operating income (TOI) in FY23 (refers to April 1
to March 31) . The company is a Tier-1 vendor for its supplies in domestic off-road segment, while in the
exports markets, it supplies axles and spindles to larger and more established Tier-1 vendors.
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Long and established relationship with customers
The GNA group has been operating in the auto component industry since 1946, thus having built time-tested relationship with
customers – with some ever since the commencement of its operations. Besides, it has been supplying to some of its export
customers since 2000. GNA markets its products through the common group marketing network catering a whole range of
products, including axles, gears, and shafts under one roof. The long and established relationship with customers provides revenue
stability to the company, subject to overall industry demand scenario.
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Reputed, though concentrated customer base
While GNA faces customer concentration with its top-5 and top-10 customers accounting for around 64% and around 80% of its
total gross sales in FY23, the risk is largely mitigated as the top revenue contributors are well-established players and enjoy strong
position in the industry. GNA is the main supplier of axle shafts to most of the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that it
supplies to, and by virtue of its long-standing relationships with the customers, the company has a strong market position. For
some of its export customers, the supplies are made by GNA for their plants in various countries, thereby mitigating the risk
arising from slowdown in one geographical location.
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Comfortable scale of operations with largely steady margins
In FY24, the company achieved TOI of ₹1,508.67 crore compared to a TOI of ₹1,582.93 crore in FY23 driven by moderation in
price realisations owing to weak tractor sales in the domestic market. The profit before interest, lease rentals, depreciation and
taxation (PBILDT) margin marginally declined to 13.24% in FY24 (PY: 14.70%). The profit after tax (PAT) margins declined to
6.63% in FY24 from 8.22% in FY23.
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Comfortable financial risk profile
The company’s capital structure remained comfortable with long-term debt-to equity and overall gearing ratios of 0.04x and
0.24x, as on March 31, 2024, respectively (PY: 0.07x and 0.28x, respectively). The same improved mainly due to reduction in
debt and accretion of profits to the net worth. The company has low reliance on working capital borrowings as it only avails the
pre-shipment credit for exports and substantial portion of its inherently high working capital requirements are funded by internal
accruals. The interest coverage ratio remained healthy at 17.3x in FY24 (PY: 21.22x) due to healthy profitability and low interest
costs on foreign currency borrowings. The company’s total debt to PBILDT stood comfortable at 0.95 as on March 21, 2024 (PY:
0.87x).
Ethereum (ETH) Bullish Pennant AlertEthereum continues to show a bullish setup with a long-term bullish pennant pattern forming on the chart. Based on Fibonacci extension levels, we can project both conservative and aggressive price targets, with the potential for a blow-off top around $20,000, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci retracement level.
Key Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Bullish Pennant (Continuation Pattern)
Current Price: ~$2.2k-$2.3k
Fibonacci Extension Levels:
1.272 Extension: $7-$7.5k
1.414 Extension: $7.5-$9.3k
1.618 Extension: $10k- GETTEX:13K
200% Retracement: $20,000 (Potential blow-off top target)
Why this setup is promising:
Bullish Pennant: Ethereum’s price consolidation within this pattern suggests a bullish continuation, with Fibonacci levels offering reliable price targets.
Strong Fundamentals: Increasing on-chain activity, network upgrades, and growing institutional interest support the potential for higher price action.
Volume Contraction: Volume has been contracting during the consolidation, a common precursor to a breakout.
Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering on a confirmed breakout above $2.7k with strong volume.
Stop Loss: Below $2k for risk management.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
ROSSARI BIOTECH Showing Change in Price StructureNSE:ROSSARI
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Update on the expansion projects at Dahej Facilities
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• In the Q2FY24 the Company had announced an expansion of its facility at Dahej by adding up
20,000 MTPA capacity for products related to HPPC in the specialty chemical space, as well as for producing ingredients for its subsidiary companies.
Also, to cater to the growing
demand in agro chemicals, home and personal care, oil & gas and the pharma sector, the
Company had further announced expansion of the Ethoxylation capacity by 30,000 MTPA at
the Dahej facility of Unitop Chemicals Private Limited.
• Work on both these projects are progressing as planned. Commissioning is expected to
happen, in a phased manner in the current year
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• Consistent growth trajectory over the past three years, driven by both organic and inorganic growth strategies
• While near-term investments and strategic initiatives have led to a moderation in ROCE and ROE, the balance sheet position
remains strong.
The Company is confident of reporting improved return metrics in the future as these investments start yielding
results
SWSOLAR Getting Ready to Break its 2019's & All Time HighNSE:SWSOLAR
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| KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1Q FY25
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• Unexecuted order value at ~INR 9,396 crore as of June 2024
compared to ~INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024
• Company has received new orders / LOI in three domestic
projects worth ~INR 1,016 crore during the quarter
• Company received two turnkey international orders from South
Africa amounting to ~USD 140 mn
• Commenced a pilot project for Solar plus BESS for Reliance
Industries at Jamnagar, Gujarat
• P&L of the company continues to improve
• Consol revenues up ~78% YoY in 1QFY25
• Gross margins at ~11%
• Second consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA, PBT and PAT
at a consolidated level
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• The company’s balance sheet continues to de-leverage
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• Total net debt of ~INR 97 crore as of Jun 2024, compared
to net debt of ~INR 116 crore in Mar 2024
• No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
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Received order of 900 MW DC in 1QFY25
• Received a turnkey solar PV order from AMEA Power in South
Africa for a ~140 MW DC project
• Through this project, SWREL has achieved a key breakthrough in
the rapidly growing South African solar market.
• We have successfully executed a 90 MW DC order in South
Africa in 2016 previously, and continue to maintain O&M
operations there
• Bagged our second international order from South Africa with a
turnkey package for a 80 MW AC project from Energy Group
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Can 128% be soon?Cardano (ADA) is one of my favourite coins which I choose to invest in. This is trade (investment) setup on larger timeframe. If you never bought ADA before it is still not late. I am not looking to reach targets 2,3,4 very soon, that could be year(s). I will sell most of my capital on targets 2,3. Small portion will be sold on Target 1 and hopefully on Target 4.
Entry Zone: 0.50 – 0.57
Buy Zone 1: 0.30 – 0.37
Buy Zone 2: 0.13 – 0.16
Target 1: 1.33 – 1.44 (128%)
Target 2: 2.83 – 2.93 (390%)
Target 3: 4.35 – 4.89 (651%)
Target 4: 5.73 – 5.84 (891%)
Study of Nifty since it's inception for long term view/Outlook. Nifty has closed at highest monthly closing. It is almost at all time high. Now what the future holds for investors? It is the right time to look at All Time Chart of Nifty. This will help us in taking a long term view of Nifty we decided to look at the all time channel of the same since it's inception in 1991. This research has given three indications. The long term channel is the best way to get predict the Nifty as it filters out all noise. The cut off date we have indicated is January 2028.
This study and analysis has shown an interesting result which indicates that the best case scenario for Nifty by 2028 can be 49K+ levels. (If we continue to grow at the same rate along with the same trendline). In case of stutter the moderate case scenario seems to be that we can reach 30K+ levels.
The worst case scenario as of now seems to be that we remain at similar levels of 23K+. This can happen in case of a major global catastrophe or some internal disruption in India. (Both are worst case scenarios). The reason we might not fall below these levels is that we have a strong rule of law, India as of now is not aligned to any global power and has become leader of the Global south so in case of conflict we might not grow but we by all means will not fall below a certain level.
Since 2005 Nifty has gone below Mid channel support only on two occasions once in sub prime crisis in 2008 and once during Covid 19 outbreak. Even if we fall below Mid channel support we mostly will bounce back very strongly. Thus the indications of all time chart of Nifty seem that India will remains a bull run for a long long time to come.
If we believe the current trend within this decade that is before 2030 Nifty touching or crossing 50K also remains a fair possibility.
So invest in equity, Educate yourself, learn Techno-funda analysis. Reading The Happy Candles Way To Wealth creation my book which is available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version can be a good beginning for you. All the best! Happy Investing.
Sapphire (K.F.C & Pizza Hut) Showing Good Structural Breakout NSE:SAPPHIRE
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Company has delivered good profit growth of 26.0% CAGR over last 5 years.
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FY24 Highlights
• Sapphire has delivered the best all-round
performance in the QSR industry (all parameters considered):
Revenue scale & growth ,
Adj. EBITDA margin & growth
and New restaurant additions .
• Sapphire KFC delivered highest ever annual
restaurant EBITDA margin %: 19.7% .
• Sapphire KFC and Pizza Hut being recognized
as among the top 3 franchisees of Yum
globally on customer metrics and operating
standards.
• Sapphire Foods is ranked No.1 QSR in India
and at 95th percentile amongst QSR globally on
Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI).
• We achieved our best ever employee
engagement score since inception and placed
at 88th percentile amongst all companies
surveyed worldwide by Gallup.
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Motilal Oswal: Strong growth potential with a target of ₹1,120+Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, established in 1987, is a leading financial services firm offering a broad range of services, including broking, investment banking, asset and wealth management, and housing finance. With a strong presence across 550+ cities, the company caters to over 1.6 million customers.The company's robust financial performance and growth trajectory make it a compelling investment for the long term. NSE:MOTILALOFS
I bought at ₹728 with a stop loss below ₹670, targeting a potential upside between ₹1,120 and ₹1,650+.
ALKYLAMINE is Reacting & Showing Change in Structure & STORYNSE:ALKYLAMINE
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TURN-AROUND STORY IS IN PROGRES IN TERMS OF PRODUCTION FACILITY AND SUSTAINABLE PRODUCT WHICH WILL BE ABLE COMPETE CHINESE COMPATETORS
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Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 19.0%.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 26.5%.
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Strong financial risk profile and ample liquidity: Networth was healthy at Rs. 1263 crores as on March 31, 2024 (Rs 1165 crore as on March 31, 2023), with nil gearing as on March 31, 2024.The total outside liabilities to adjusted networth (TOL/ANW) ratio though had decreased to 0.25 time as on March 31, 2024 from 0.36 times as on March 31, 2023, and it is expected to improve over the medium term driven by steady accretion to reserves, absence of long term loans and moderate reliance on external debt for working capital and capex. Cash and cash equivalents of Rs 17 crore as on March 31, 2024, provide cushion to overall liquidity. Interest coverage ratio has improved to 60.4 times March 31, 2024. It is expected to remain healthy over the medium term.
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PFOCUS is Focusing on 2008's Multi-Year Long Resistance BreakoutNSE:PFOCUS
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Over Last 4 Years ... From Year 2020 to 2024 Promoter Holdings Have Been Increased by +34.93% ......
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Customers
PFL caters to players across the entire media industry value chain and the product life cycle of media content. Its major clients include top Hollywood and Indian studios and media companies across the globe:
Studios – Warner Bros., Disney, Netflix, etc.
Broadcast networks – Bloomberg, Disney, Star, etc.
Others – ICC, BCCI, Amazon, etc.
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Focus
In Creative Services, it aims to expand its global footprint and diversify the business across content formats. It also expects growth in cross-selling through bundled VFX, etc.
In Tech/Tech-Enabled Services it aims to sign more strategic deals and increase revenue from existing clients by offering new modules and analytics.
Working on top Hollywood projects
One of them is
Matrix 4
MMTC Non Profitable PSU showing MULTI-YEAR BreakoutNSE:MMTC
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As A Research Analyst ... It is Not an Good Practice to Suggest anyone to invest in Non-Profitable and Loss Making Company....
Every Fundamental Numbers are Either Negative or Not-Satisfying .......
but if we See in Terms of Technical Analysis....
MMTC is Showing Long-Multi-Year Breakout....
so Going with Defined Risk... keeping an Decent Percentage of SL ...
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MMTC, a public sector undertaking, was incorporated in 1963, to facilitate foreign trade in India and canalize the export and import of essential minerals and metals. It is under the administrative control of the Ministry of Commerce & Industry, and Government of India and is engaged in trading across minerals, metals, precious metals, agro products, fertilizers & chemicals and coal & hydrocarbons.