*BULLISH* 7x share price by THIS time next year!*full disclosure* I have a 10,000 CHF long position in REED
Reed's Ginger might be a small-cap, but it's the market leader in ginger-based brews. When dealing with an illiquid stock at a historically low levels, technical chart breakouts typically do not provide enough volume to catch the opportunity. That is why we have classified REED as a "buy-to-forget" stock.
Aside from analyzing the accounts, the most important question an investor must ask when buying shares of a company is, "what's the end game here?". In the case for REED, the end game is to get bought out by a larger company such as PepsiCo or Coca Cola, and management is perfectly suited for the job.
Effective on March 1st, 2020, Norman E. Snyder will succeed John Bello as CEO. Mr Snyder has a long, successful history of improving and eventually selling drink companies. He sold SoBe to PepsiCo for $370 million and Rheingold Brewing to Drinks America.
An accountant by trade, Snyder has recently implored a fund raise to cover some of the costs. With ample capital and a high quality product, alongside a CEO who's historic objective is to sell out, we see the share price reaching historical highs and beyond.
Who doesn't like a Moscow Mule! Thank you for reading and considering my analysis.
Yours Sincerely,
Turner Capital Management
Longterminvesting
BITCOIN FlowstateI will keep this projection simple, Bitcoin will push to around 30K at some point within the next 2-4 years but not before it makes a few more retracements. The market conditions over the next few months will dictate how deep the retracemnts will be. I am not currently a short term trader in Bitcoin, I am a long term investor that will take every dip opportunity as a reason to scale in on my long term position.
P.S. The big players are going to scare out retail investors before they make their move to send prices running higher once again aka the next cryptocurrency bull run. This move will affect all major cryptocurrency pairs and not just Bitcoin.
XVG USD bull case monthly perspectiveIf and any there will be a higher low this will definitely confirm a change of trend in the price of XVG USD, which could give the price enough strenght to escape from that giant descending channel.
The higher low should be possibly found by kissing the MA...
NASDAQ- TINA?Sure, low yield rate alone doesn’t justify the extremely high valuation of NASDAQ, but many investors may have overlooked other factors that may have contributed to NDX's rise.
Quick recap of recent macro events-
THE BAD
Corporate profits in the United States dropped 11.8 percent to USD 1,569.2 billion in the second half of 2020, following a downwardly revised 11 percent fall in the previous period, a preliminary estimate showed. It was the sharpest decline in corporate profits since the last quarter of 2008, amid the coronavirus crisis.
According to association of corporate growth, 81% of middle-sized business failed to get a loan through the Fed’s Main Street lending program. Of course, survey might contain the selection bias.
According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, U.S. bankruptcies are on pace to hit their worst levels in 10 years , with experts expecting even more companies to suffer as the coronavirus pandemic stifles economic activity.
A total of 424 companies have gone bankrupt this year as of Aug. 9. Over 100 consumer-focused companies have gone bankrupt this year already. Industrials and energy combined account for nearly 100 bankruptcies. Overall, 35 companies that filed for bankruptcies year-to-date reported more than $1 billion in liabilities.
THE GOOD
Out of the 35 companies that filed for bankruptcies year-to-date and reported more than $1 billion in liabilities, none came from IT.
Overall, only 17 out of 424 companies that have gone bankrupt this year came from information technology.
Most came from large retail, energy, and transportation. Of course, when a big portion of sectors becomes highly unprofitable, investor's money would appropriately reward ones that remain profitable.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, The forbearance rate for mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac dropped to 4.94% in the first week
of August, the first time it’s been below 5% since April.
Almost all housing indicators are up except mortgage origination rate.
THE INEVITABLE
In my opinion, the potential acceleration of industry consolidation is a bigger concern than dislocation. J&J and Apple, for example, are able to get 40yr loan at 3-4 percent interest rate. Low interest rate encourages big firms to refinance and borrow so they can more easily build up large cash cushion for M&A pursuit which ultimately might hurt consumers.
According to American association of individual investors’s July asset allocation survey, individual investors’ exposure to fixed-income assets declined to its lowest level in 15 months. Again, no one likes low yield rate and I would guess most money go into the equity market especially profitable sectors such as tech.
Some investors are still hoping for the dip back to the March lvl.
According to research note from Bank of America securities, since 1928, the 30% market drawdown happens once every decade and the average time for the market to bounce back after a drawdown of 20% or more is 4.4 years.
The two most similar situations in terms of magnitude of drawdown happened in 1987 & 1968 and it took them 101 days and 543 days respectively before the bottom was reached. Many of us thought this time would be the same especially since rarely has the bottom been reached at the onset of recession.
Well, guess what? Many of us have been fooled into believing that this time would be no different without realizing the underlying condition has changed... There was no QE back then.
Past doesn’t always predict the future especially if the underlying condition no longer applies.
Despite of the string of bad macro signals I listed above, market remains unfazed and marches on.
No party can last forever though. I believe that such a meteoric rise in tech stocks will come at the expense of long-term return as high valuation today leads to weak return tomorrow. Inevitably, valuation mean will one day revert lower to stay in line with historical trends.
However, none of us knows exactly when it will happen.
Therefore, waiting on the sideline, incurring the opportunity cost and missing out on all the gain is not the way to go either.
Time like this is why risk management and asset allocation matter.
ASX:CSL- Consolidating nicely around 200MA ( Accumulation)
CLS is underperforming the XJO for some time.
CLS Underperformance to XJO was last seen around 2009.
CLS nicely consolidated around 200 MA
I am invested for long term portfolio.
Great buy around 270$
Negative - 17th June - change in leadership CFO Mr David Lamont resigned.
Company is in acquisition spree making the best use of the opportunity.
Australia highest market cap company - good opportunity to keep adding in this retracement.
Gas-LONGCompany just made some major moves and technicals looking promising. If you believe in LNG shipping this ship is on serious discount
* I would suggest you do your own research and have a deep look on balance sheet
GBP JPY shortingHello analyst and traders,
we have our update for GBP JPY - price finally rejected the daily 50%, we entered a little late but with GBP JPY - you need resilience as Gold does it's own moves with investor sentiment as a safehaven likewise with the Yen.
Looking at the technicals;
- using Fibonacci retracement from the top of the structure to the bottom, we have a clear liquidity zone between 50-61.8% retracements.
- Fibonacci has shown a nice fakeout in previous days in which was a great place to react.
COT report data GBP & Yen
Yen
Long Short Total % long %short
AVG 13 52,126 26,087 78,214 67% 33%
AVG 20 52,767 35,495 88,261 62% 38%
AVG 50 50,276 50,470 100,746 53% 47%
GBP
Long Short Total % long %short
AVG 13 31,932 47,607 79,538 41% 59%
AVG 20 42,237 43,334 85,572 49% 51%
AVG 50 43,326 68,512 111,838 41% 59%
With reference to previous postings, these are still very much in play.
Technicals:
What can we see technically?
- Daily bearish but breaking momentum short in the channel.
- weekly bearish zone touched
- bounce from the demand zone
- we can see the trend beginning to add long positions to correct - this has now occurred. so now we reject the 136 level.
- now in a consolidation zone with some great wicks formed and a reversal to the upside - this has been boosted by GBP Tuesday as of writing.
- With Gold going up we can see some nice downside for GJ
-Large downside gap to fall to if price looks to create a new low structure in bearish confluence and momentum trading.
- COT report in favour of Yen.
Fundamentals
Aussie is a commodity currency so is highly affected with exports of natural resources, Gold , Oil , Grains, Copper etc.
UK lock down has caused issues for the restart of the border, Brexit news is also a kicker for bearish news.
USD cases, will still cause strength of safe haven currencies.
Note: Trading is about timing. so even if our stop loss gets hit on the chart. We may not have entered all together and orders can be adjusted.
Trade what you see, this is purely our Bias.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment.
Many thanks for your support to our existing and new followers. Much appreciated
Thanks,
Team Lupa.
Litecoin show a possible bull run of Altseaso soon!!!Hello guys, in this technical analysis, Litecoin it's seem that have in the accumulation zone!!! So, these are the targets to reaching out in the future, because if you see, Litecoin it's seem that have a formation of armonic pattern if you noticed it. Because I use Fibonacci and mark the 3 possibles target profit to reach in the future, I believe that Litecoin is one of the best investment!!!
And also, this is my screenshoot of my technical analysis that I am in long from Litecoin until the $52 USD as my target to reach, because Litecoin is in this Bullish gartley, so, sleep up now, Litecoin is sleep and it's a good moment to buy Litecoin if you consider the Weekly timeframe of Litecoin, Litecoin could be a nice profits in the future.
Swing Trade Alert. Long over 10.80. Still some downside riskBenefitfocus, Inc. engages in the provision of cloud-based benefits management platform for consumers, employers, insurance carriers, and brokers
BuildGroup Management reports 14.3% active stake in BNFT
Micrsoft - long term buys. Fresh demand allowing to go long, due to a weak level
Looking to break all time highs. once it does, we will look for a sell entry once we have confirmation of a strong supply.
If a risk off scenario occurs, go short, with another opportunity to long again. we have a very strong level to buy from.
Coronavirus effect - meaning the previous high needed a fresh touch in order for long positions.
Fundamentals - these are great but we do not look at these much.
create its first data centre region in Italy
under a $1.5 billion investment plan as the U.S. company
expands its cloud computing services, with partnership of TIM telecom italia mobile.
LONG CRUDE WHEN EVERYONE IS BEARISHGood Day Traders!
Here's the trade idea and do let me know if you have any questions! 💰💰💰
Simply following us and we will get you guys our latest updates FOR FREE! Go to the link below & hit the " FOLLOW " button right now !
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Our CRUDE setup
Rules:
1. LONG ONLY when price touched the white box. (Checked)
2. LONG ONLY when bullish candlestick formed in 4H/1D chart.
3. DO NOTHING when above #1 & #2 are not met.
TP 1 : level near 28.00
TP 2 : level near 36.00
CL : closed below 15.00
RR > 5
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"All winning professionals know the enormous importance of psychology. Most losing amateurs ignore it."
DISCLAIMER: There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Trade at your own risk.
➕ Long-term trading ➖😍Hello, again😍
👌🏻Today we are completing trading methods!!! 👌🏻
👉🏻The last method, that traders are actively using is long-term trading.👈🏻
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📌“Buy and Hold” - this principle is most suitable for the logic of a long-term investor.
😏 There is even a curious joke:
A daughter👧🏻 comes to her dad👨🏻, a long-term investor, and asks for money🤑:
👧🏻 - Dad, give me $ 100, I want to go to the disco with my friends.
👨🏻 - No, sorry, sweetheart. Now all my money’s in stocks.
👧🏻 - When you’ll sell them?
👨🏻 – Never!
👍🏻 Advantages of long – time trading:
➕Less stress: no need to constantly monitor the stock market.
➕Save time: you can devote the time saved from constantly following the market to other productive activities
➕Less hassle: you don’t need to learn different trading strategies or platforms.
➕Long-term trade helps to save on taxes. It is possible that while short-term traders can pay about 20% -30% of capital gains tax, long-term capital gains will be taxed at only 5% -15%.
👎🏻 Disadvantages of long – term trading:
➖Investments: long-term trading requires you to have free capital. And it should be free for many years. You must be prepared that a certain part of your capital will be blocked in one share, and you cann't use it to receive benefits from short-term trade.
➖Deep knowledge. Long-term trading requires an understanding of the assets you are investing in. You cannot just make decisions based on certain news, advice or rumors. It is also not enough to rely only on charts or indicator signals for buying or selling. You need to be a specialist in fundamental analysis - both of a single company and of the global economy.
➖Long-term trading requires a lot of patience. Failure to remain calm will create problems for the investor in the long run.
➖Age limits. You must have a life horizon in order to take advantage of the investment.
👉🏻Guys, especially beginners, I really hope, that with the help of my posts, you have definitely chosen the trading method for yourself or just learn something new.🙏🏻
🌟I tried to describe the main trading methods as clearly as possible.🌟
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YOUR Rocket Bomb🚀💣
👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻PS Below I’ll leave links to all posts, that relate to trading methods👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
Daily Bullish Divergence (ETHEREUM)Really loving this look right now.. Big bullish divergence on the daily time frame.. I truly believe in the technology that Ethereum has brought into the world..
However..
I do not like how we are approaching a long-term support and resistance zone..
I also do not feel comfortable with the volume..
I have a long-term holding position in Ethereum however if we have another drop I will certainly be putting more capital to work.. But maybe I already missed the opportunity.. Let's see..
--
MNLZ
longterm btc logarithmic chart on M time farme Moving(ema) 99 is currently priced at $ 2820
If a logarithmic fibo (23.6% level) is broken
2260 is next support And with the loss of this level
Support line in 1305
these are important support of btc price in the bearish trend side
like and comment your ideas
take care put stop ;)
SPY, Which support will stand a chance against new black swan?Hi, traders.
My name is Lukas and I am a beginner in trading, respectively, I only trade 6 months. But that means I have to do the necessary analyzes without it I can't trade. I want to show you how I work on myself and document my beginnings. I use Vix and my strategy is built on to return to average. I highlight the important support levels and resistances that flow from the volume profile, all drawn on graph. These zones determine the ability to respond in some way to the market from 1 to 3, with 1 being the largest.
Short description of analysis:
We are experiencing negative records that have never been here before. Let us be grateful that we are experiencing something like this, because we will gain experience about markets that they do not even describe in 1000 books and movies. Back to analysis. We can see strong support zones that confirm that markets have already responded to these zones in the past. But we are in a very pessimistic period of time, where markets can fall 10% per day. Focus on long periods, even one year. We are looking for the bottom now, but we will rise soon.Of course, my analysis does not serve like market forecasts and I am not responsible for your trades if you use my analysis for your own trades.
IT'S NOW OR NEVERHey everyone,
I just want to clarify that i'm not here to discuss the fundamental future of Bitcoin (like the regulated implementation of it in the real world), but instead, show you a very simple long term understanding of where the price might take us, especially after the 3rd consecutive block reward halving that will occur in May. You may have seen a similar type of analysis before, but I assure you, ignoring it will only leave you with regret in the following years to come!
First of, let's understand how the previous "halvings" affected the price of Bitcoin:
1st Halving - BTC goes up around 9,000% to create the new higher high.
2nd Halving - BTC goes up around 4,000% to create the new higher high.
9000/4000 gave us a 2.25 interval. Technically speaking, history within the markets tends to repeat itself. So, our estimation for next price increase (3rd halving), would have to be 4000/2.25 which would give 1,777! This is the number we should consider to determine the next bull run percentage increase from the day halving occurs.
In other words, a bull run is highly anticipated. Mining Bitcoin will become more difficult and there will be less Bitcoin available in supply, which ultimately makes it more scarce. Due to this fact, the demand will be much higher to acquire Bitcoin. The biggest changes in the crypto ecosystem this time, will be the higher public awareness around bitcoin and the interest of institutional investors (hedge funds, banks, pensions, etc.) taking part within the market. Increased public awareness could also lead to a wave of FOMO (fear of missing out) buying power, which could push the Bitcoins price higher and faster. When more financial institutions begin taking big positions, it could affect bitcoin in ways investors have never seen before.
Moving more into the technical side of the analysis, just pay attention to the curve line we see Bitcoin using as a respected support level. It has been respecting it from the very beginning of it's creation, and recently we bounced off the 6,500 price, which acted as the major and probably even the final level of support to acquire Bitcoin at. Looking at the chart today, we see that the curve line surpassed that level and is no longer expecting it to retest it, showing more buying pressure before halving!
We also have quite an important trend line to look out for, which formed itself within the lower high and the current higher high on the 1W time frame. It gives us a better clue as to where the next profit taking levels for Bitcoin would be.
So with all that being said, just note that at the moment we are exactly at the stages where you would be wanting to buy Bitcoin and hold it for a very long period of time, otherwise later would be too late. However, we are actually expecting a pullback to commence in the following weeks, which could ultimately send the price of Bitcoin to the 1st buying target at around 8,500, or the next target at 7,500, which will act as the key level of support to enter longs.
Hopefully this was useful guys. Please trade at your own risk and make sure to invest only as much as you're willing to lose!
Thanks.