STG Long Term Profits PlanHello traders!
Currently, we are experiencing a big drop in Crypto but other markets have also been dropping hard. So, now instead of going all panic mode let's switch gears and plan ahead to take advantage of the buying opportunities. So, here's my plan in the long term for StarGate.
1) Right now, we can see price hit the Demand Zone which is the zone marked in green. It got pierced though recently after a real long time. However, it's turning into a hammer candle and reversing altogether which means strong buying pressure stepping and it could totally be a fakeout, so we should stay alert to see how it plays out.
Possible confirmations for the demand zone to be safe are: Wait for the price breakout and take a position when it re-test the zone back again.
In the future if the bearish trendline gets broken, we can expect an important rise on the price. We still have to deal with a strong supply zone which is marked in red. If price manages to pierce through the supply then we fly to the moon ♥ meanwhile, I'll be monitoring weekly and informing STG movements over time.
2) TARGETS: The nearest one would be 0.53, which would act as a mean reversion zone. After that, we can expect ranging, and we'll have to wait for signs and clues to find out what could possibly happen next. Targets long term: the supply zone and the ATH +
This idea is to spot for the long term. This asset is still in ranging mode; there hasn't been a breakout of the range yet. However, it's worth noting that there's a triangle pattern playing out in the monthly timeframe, right now.
I hope you find it useful and are able to take advantage of this idea.
Kina Tip of the Day: Take profits partially even when they don't seem much because, in the long run, they will grow in a balanced way with the rest of the portfolio.
Keep it shiny ⭐
Kina, The Girly Trader
Longterminvesting
PARAS DEFENCE Getting Support @ Previous ALL Time HighNSE:PARAS
Positive factors – The outlook will be revised to Stable if the company demonstrates a material improvement in its working
capital cycle and liquidity position, along with improvement in earnings and scale of operations.
Healthy order book provides medium-term revenue visibility – The company’s fresh order inflows over the past four fiscals
remained adequate, with orders worth ~Rs. 621 crore added in the last 21 months ending December 31, 2023.
The pending order book of Rs. 526.3 crore as on December 31, 2023 (OB/OI ratio of 2.4 times of the OI in FY2023) provides medium-term
revenue visibility.
Comfortable capital structure and healthy coverage indicators – The company’s capital structure remains comfortable with
TOL/TNW of 0.3 times as on September 30, 2023, supported by equity infusion of Rs. 162.3 crore during FY2021-FY2022 and
low debt levels.
The interest coverage stood at 12.2 times in 9M FY2024 due to the limited dependence on external borrowings
to fund its working capital. Going forward, ICRA expects the coverage indicators to remain comfortable, benefitting from the
scale-up in operations, given the strong order pipeline.
Extensive experience of management team – PDSTL’s promoters have more than three decades of experience in designing,
developing and manufacturing a wide range of engineering products and solutions for the defense and space sector in the
domain of optics, heavy engineering and electronics. Its long presence in the defence and space sector has helped to establish
strong relationships with its customers as well as suppliers. It has developed a strong management and execution team
comprising several ex-employees of BEL and DRDO, among others.
High working capital intensity due to elongated receivables cycle – The business is working capital intensive with NWC/OI of
88.3% and 114.8% in FY2023 and H1 FY2024, respectively, owing to the high inventory holding period and long receivables
cycle.
The inventory levels are high because of additional stocking of critical raw materials to avoid any disruption in the
delivery schedules and high work-in-progress due to elongated manufacturing cycle.
PDSTL has been partly managing its
working capital cycle by stretching its trade payables by more than three months as it has a longstanding relationship with
most of its suppliers and availing mobilisation advance for part orders. Going forward, the company’s ability to alleviate its
working capital intensity while scaling up its revenues and improving its operating margins will be the key rating monitorable.
Moderate scale of operations – Though the company reported a robust YoY revenue growth of 21% and 10% in FY2023 and
9M FY2024, respectively, supported by healthy order book and the timely execution of orders, the scale of operations still
remains moderate. Given the Government’s thrust on ‘Make in India’ in the defence sector, PDSTL has been mainly catering
to domestic demand (~84% of OI contributed by domestic orders in FY2023). Driven by the healthy order book status, ICRA
expects the company to sustain its revenue growth in FY2024 and FY2025.
High customer concentration risk, though largely mitigated by reputed customer base and repeat orders – The company
faces client concentration risk with top three clients contributing 46% to the total order book as on December 31, 2023 and
top five clients accounting for 51% of the revenue in FY2023. The client profile mostly comprises government organisations
with repeat orders received over the years, largely mitigating the counterparty credit risk. A major part of PDSTL’s clientele
included reputed government organisations, namely Laboratory for Electro-Optics Systems (a unit of ISRO), BEL, Instruments
Research and Development Establishment (a unit of DRDO) and private companies like RRP S4E Innovation Private Limited and
Unifab Engineering Project Private Limited. The company has long standing relationships with most of its clientele. PDSTL also
exports to companies based in Israel, Singapore and USA.
HDFC Long ScenarioI believe HDFC will move past Rs.2000/-
Despite Posting good results HDFCs price is trading in btw 12% Zone (1540-ATH) Since March 2021
My Thoughts:
HDFC was trading at High valuations due to its leadership in sector before 2020. Now HDFC leadership is gone, just like Asian paints superiority .So, Valuations are adjusting and price not moving with good results.
With Reduction of PB Value to 3.
Best Entry Zone is 1520-1540.
TGTs are 1920,2000,2100
PancakeSwap _ Wedge Pattern Breakout _ Biggest Profit (+1,282%)Falling Wedge Pattern formed and Breakout and also reached 0.6 Fibonacci Retracement level. Now going to Uptrend and Resistance level is the 1st Target. Offering a chance to Achieve Biggest Profit of (+ 1,282%) Percentage. This is Long-Term Analysis, must follow the Trend Continuation Technique. Guess the 3rd Target ?????
Follow & Support me; I want to Help People Make PROFIT all over the "World".
Morgan Stanley _ Chance to Make HUGE PROFIT + 442%.Morgan Stanley Trading within the Rising Channel Pattern and has Breakout the Triangle Pattern. If Breakout above the Resistance level, market significant Bullish Trend then the 1st Target is the Channel Top price around USD 350 or more, depending on the time. And 2nd Target is the Triangle Pattern Target price at USD 572. Offering a Chance to Achieve +442 % of HUGE PROFIT. This is Long-Term Analysis, must follow the Trend Continuation Technique.
Support me; I want to Help People Make PROFIT all over the "World".
NINTENDO _ Rising Wedge Patter Target _ Achieve +100% PROFITRising Wedge Pattern forming and Expecting a Breakout. If Breakout above the Rising Wedge Pattern, market approaching the Pattern Target at price JPY 18,160. Offering the potential to Achieve a 100% PROFIT. This is Long-Term Analysis, must follow the Trend Continuation Technique.
Support me; I want to Help People Make PROFIT all over the "World".
Retracement ahead...trade cautiouslyWe predicted this V-shaped stock market recovery one month ago in one of our videos. Happy that it has overcome the fall of election results day.
But a retracement is due now, hence trade cautiously.
A perfect time to invest for long-term investors in fundamentally strong and sector-specific leagues
ASHOKA METCAST LTD Chota Packet Bada DhamakaStock is trading at 0.58 times its book value
Promoter Holding Increased 9.66 % over Last 6 Years
From Year 2020 to 2024 Company Have Gradually Purchased their Fixed Assets of 20.57 CR .
in Year March 2018 Company Reported Total Annual Sales of 19.17 CR
Now in Year March 2024 Company Reported Annual Sales of 66.25 CR
Net Cash Flow Is Healthy
Cash Convertion Cycle and Working Capital Days have Also Decreased
Reserves and Equity Capital showing Increasing Strength
SUZLON Entering 14 Years High ZoneCompany has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 19.7% CAGR over last 5 years
Strengths:
Stable cash flow from the O&M services business to support overall debt servicing: The Group has ~14.5 GW of installed fleet under O&M business as on Dec 31, 2023. While the fleet under O&M reduces with decommissioning of WTGs, post completion of the design life, new wind turbine generators delivered and commissioned get added to the fleet every fiscal. Revenue from O&M services has been steady as this is contractual activity over a fixed timeframe and at contracted price. Also, escalation in revenue is inbuilt into the contracts, ensuring stability of operating margin over a period. The Group has demonstrated stability in revenue and profitability of O&M services business even in stressed times in the past. Stable cash flow with EBIDTA above Rs 700 crore per fiscal from the O&M services business is expected going forward.
Leading market position in the wind turbine segment and a healthy order book: The Group has a successful track record of project execution with technical expertise, evident from the healthy market share of 30-35% in the WTG business in India over the past many years and also in cumulative installed capacity. The company’s healthy market position should help to obtain orders in the long run. SEL’s order book stood at ~3.16 GW (as on 31st Jan 24), to be executed till fiscal 2026. The company has been able to overcome the dependence on customer-backed financing to execute orders which had constrained growth in the last fiscal.
Improved financial risk profile: The term debt stood at Rs. 1,773 crores as on March 31, 2023, on the back of scheduled repayments of term loan and additional reduction of ~Rs 900 crores from rights issue in October 2022. Furthermore, the company’s networth turned positive as on March 31, 2023 on the back of refinancing (gain on derecognition of OCDs & CCPS) and rights issue of Rs 1,200 crores in fiscal 2023.
On August 14, 2023, the company approved the allotment of equity shares to Qualified Institution buyers aggregating to ~Rs. 2,000 crores. The company subsequently utilized the required amount to repay its entire debt at SEL, significantly improving the financial risk profile of the company. Further, SEL does not have material debt funded capex plans over medium term.
EID PARRY INDIA Freshly Broken 83 Weeks HighCompany has delivered good profit growth of 41.5% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 19.7%
Expected diversion for Ethanol in SY 2023-24 is ~ 20LMT of Sugar
(against 38LMT diverted in SY 2022-23). Overall blending is 12%
as of March’24.
E20 petrol is available at 12,000 fuel retail outlets and the
government targets a pan-India rollout by 2025.
Syrup/B Hy diversion to Ethanol restricted from 7
th Dec 2023 and
subsequently on 15th Dec 2023, allowed 17 LMT of Sugar
diversion (as B Hy) across the country. Additional 10LMT has
been allowed in April’24 for supply in Q3 of FY’25.
Maximize and grow the Refined / Pharma Sugar
Business
• Health and wellness segment has been identified
to focus on specialty sweetener business
• Focusing on Brown sugar and Jaggery as
alternate sweetener
• To become a sweetening solutions provider for
B2B Customers
1. Packaged staples has a large Total Addressable Market
(TAM) of ~ INR 9 L Cr
• Highly unorganised with only a few pan-India
players
2. Overall branded penetration is less than 20%.
• Significant growth expected with consumers
preferences shifting towards branded products
• Coincides with India’s overall growth and expansion
of the consumption class
3. Parry’s brand presence and the strong foundation laid
through the sweeteners to be leveraged
• To further build on the capability to ‘brand the
unbranded’
4. Aspiration to capture >10% of the kitchen shelf in every
household in South India
The Company made a pioneering leap towards community water
resource management projects through its flagship Project NANNEER
• Under the first phase, seven lakes and ponds in Oonaiyur area
(Pudukkottai and Sivagangai district in TN) were desilted across 250
acres (depth of 1-3 meter)
• Under the second phase, twelve lakes and ponds (in the Cuddalore,
Tiruppur, Villupuram and Erode districts in TN) were desilted across
127
• The excess desilted soil was utilized to create islands in each of the
water bodies. Close to 1100 Million Liters were conserved in Phase 1
and 2.
• Currently third phase being planned in TN, KN and AP.
• The Company aims to achieve Ten Billion liters of water holding
capacity through Project NANNEER by the end of 2026.
Increase in Cash Fixed Cost in FY’24 majorly due to:
• Manpower capability building for project expansion and new business
• CPG infrastructure building
• Special repairs undertaken in major plants
Lower cane volume by 1.7 LMT over last year further contributed to the
increase in CFC/MT
Increase in cane cost, drop in recovery & yield due to climatic
conditions, restriction in sugar diversion for ethanol has led to drop in
EBITDA.
The benefits on expansion of distillery capacities are expected to flow
in FY’25
PARAS DEFENCE Broken & Sustained Above 133 Weeks HighPositive factors – The outlook will be revised to Stable if the company demonstrates a material improvement in its working
capital cycle and liquidity position, along with improvement in earnings and scale of operations.
Healthy order book provides medium-term revenue visibility – The company’s fresh order inflows over the past four fiscals
remained adequate, with orders worth ~Rs. 621 crore added in the last 21 months ending December 31, 2023.
The pending order book of Rs. 526.3 crore as on December 31, 2023 (OB/OI ratio of 2.4 times of the OI in FY2023) provides medium-term
revenue visibility.
Comfortable capital structure and healthy coverage indicators – The company’s capital structure remains comfortable with
TOL/TNW of 0.3 times as on September 30, 2023, supported by equity infusion of Rs. 162.3 crore during FY2021-FY2022 and
low debt levels.
The interest coverage stood at 12.2 times in 9M FY2024 due to the limited dependence on external borrowings
to fund its working capital. Going forward, ICRA expects the coverage indicators to remain comfortable, benefitting from the
scale-up in operations, given the strong order pipeline.
Extensive experience of management team – PDSTL’s promoters have more than three decades of experience in designing,
developing and manufacturing a wide range of engineering products and solutions for the defence and space sector in the
domain of optics, heavy engineering and electronics. Its long presence in the defence and space sector has helped to establish
strong relationships with its customers as well as suppliers. It has developed a strong management and execution team
comprising several ex-employees of BEL and DRDO, among others.
High working capital intensity due to elongated receivables cycle – The business is working capital intensive with NWC/OI of
88.3% and 114.8% in FY2023 and H1 FY2024, respectively, owing to the high inventory holding period and long receivables
cycle.
The inventory levels are high because of additional stocking of critical raw materials to avoid any disruption in the
delivery schedules and high work-in-progress due to elongated manufacturing cycle.
PDSTL has been partly managing its
working capital cycle by stretching its trade payables by more than three months as it has a longstanding relationship with
most of its suppliers and availing mobilisation advance for part orders. Going forward, the company’s ability to alleviate its
working capital intensity while scaling up its revenues and improving its operating margins will be the key rating monitorable.
Moderate scale of operations – Though the company reported a robust YoY revenue growth of 21% and 10% in FY2023 and
9M FY2024, respectively, supported by healthy order book and the timely execution of orders, the scale of operations still
remains moderate. Given the Government’s thrust on ‘Make in India’ in the defence sector, PDSTL has been mainly catering
to domestic demand (~84% of OI contributed by domestic orders in FY2023). Driven by the healthy order book status, ICRA
expects the company to sustain its revenue growth in FY2024 and FY2025.
High customer concentration risk, though largely mitigated by reputed customer base and repeat orders – The company
faces client concentration risk with top three clients contributing 46% to the total order book as on December 31, 2023 and
top five clients accounting for 51% of the revenue in FY2023. The client profile mostly comprises government organisations
with repeat orders received over the years, largely mitigating the counterparty credit risk. A major part of PDSTL’s clientele
included reputed government organisations, namely Laboratory for Electro-Optics Systems (a unit of ISRO), BEL, Instruments
Research and Development Establishment (a unit of DRDO) and private companies like RRP S4E Innovation Private Limited and
Unifab Engineering Project Private Limited. The company has long standing relationships with most of its clientele. PDSTL also
exports to companies based in Israel, Singapore and USA.
Chota Packet Bada Dhamaka Supreme Power Equipment LtdTransformer Market size is valued at USD 54 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to
grow at a CAGR of 7.2% between 2023 and 2032.
o Large scale integration of renewable energy sources coupled with increasing
electrification programs primarily across the emerging economies will
accelerate the industry scenario.
o Expanding urban infrastructure to proliferate product demand for commercial &
industrial applications Power transformer market from the commercial &
industrial applications segment is expected to exhibit nearly 7% growth rate
between 2023 and 2032.
o The global power transformer market size was valued at $27.7 billion in 2019, and
is expected to reach $50.8 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 7.9% from 2020
to 2027.
Indian Transformer Market Size
o The India transformer market is expected to rise at a CAGR of more than
5% during the forecast period.
o The Transformer market in India can be pegged at more than INR 12,000
Crores. Power Transformers contribute 45 percent of the total market and
distribution transformers, 55 percent.
o Anticipating the huge domestic, requirement of power sector expansion
and overseas demand, the transformer industry in India has more than
doubled its manufacturing capacity over the last five years.
o Transformer manufacturing capacity in India stands at ~370 GVA with
capacity utilization rates hovering around 60- 70 percent on an average
over the last 5 years.
Power Sector
o India is the third-largest producer and consumer of electricity worldwide, with an installed power capacity of 416.59 GW as of April 30, 2023.
o India's power generation witnessed its highest growth rate in over 30 years in FY23. Power generation in India increased by 8.87% to 1,624.15 billion
kilowatt-hours (kWh) in FY23.
o According to data from the Ministry of Power, India's power consumption stood at 130.57 BU in April, 2023.
o The peak power demand in the country stood at 226.87 GW in April, 2023.
Attractive Opportunities
In Union Budget 2023-24, the government allocated US$ 885 million (Rs. 7,327
crore) for the solar power sector including grid, off-grid, and PM-KUSUM
projects. •
To meet India’s 500 GW renewable energy target and tackle the
annual issue of coal demand supply mismatch, the Ministry of Power has
identified 81 thermal units which will replace coal with renewable energy
generation by 2026.
In Budget 2023-24, Government has committed an outlay of Rs. 10 lakh crore
(US$ 120 billion) during 2023-24 towards infrastructure capital expenditure
compared to Rs. 7.5 lakh crore (US$ 90 billion) (BE) during 2022–23.
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 108% CAGR over last 5 years.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 67.2%.
Debtor days have improved from 114 to 83.3 days.
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 87.0 days to 67.8 days
Pacific Industries Ltd Looking Good After Long CorrectionLooking Good For Long-Term Holding .
Good Fundamentals and Business Model
Stock is trading at 0.34 times its book value
CMP @ 215.30 AND BOOK VALUE @ 629
Quarterly Results Out as.....
Item YOY Mar 2024
Sales ⇡ 47% 59.6
EBIDT ⇡ 309% 5.34
Net profit ⇡ 186% 4.72
EPS ⇡ 187% ₹ 6.85
Positive factors
• Sustained Improvement in scale of operations marked by total operating income (TOI) above Rs.350 crore along with PBILDT
margin above 13% on sustained basis.
• Improvement in working capital cycle below 100 days.
Key strengths
Experienced and qualified management with strong group presence
Mr. Jagdish Prasad Agarwal, Chairman and Managing Director of PIL, has more than three decades of experience and looks after
overall affairs of the company. He is assisted by Mr. Kapil Agarwal, Executive Director, who has around 13 years of experience in
the industry. Further, the promoters are supported with the experienced second-tier management. The company belongs to
Udaipur based Geetanjali Group and group concerns include Ojaswi Marbles and Granites Private Limited, Geetanjali Marble,
Krishna Marble, Pacific Exports, Pacific Leasing and Research Limited, Yash Processors Private Limited, Pacific Iron manufacturing
Limited, Chaitanya international Mineral LLP and Geetanjali University.
As per the clarification submitted by PIL to stock exchange on February 21, 2023, Income Tax department has conducted inquiry
under section 132 and 133 of Income Tax Act, 1961 from February 16, 2023, to February 21, 2023. As conveyed by PIL’s
management to CARE Ratings, there have been no material findings from the inquiry conducted so far. As per disclosure made
to stock exchange, PIL will update stock exchange on material information of event, if any. CARE Ratings shall however continue
to monitor the developments of the case and its impact, if any on the credit profile of PIL.
Established track record of operations and diversified product portfolio
PIL was incorporated in the year 1989 and has a track record of more than three decades in the industry having established
relationship with its customers and suppliers. The company majorly exports its products to USA, Europe, Indonesia, Vietnam as
well as Middle East countries. Over the years, PIL has received various awards and certification, such as “Star Export House”
certification from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, certificate of life member of All India Granite and Stone Association. It
also has membership of Centre for Development of Stones and Confederation of Export Unit.
Further, the company offers diversified products which includes variety of North Indian and South Indian granites in different
styles, color, size and pattern etc. Further, it has flexibility to manufacture different varieties of quartz slabs by blending resins
with quartz and other key materials to get slabs with desired colour, hardness and durability.
Location advantage with ease of availability of raw material and labour
PIL’s processing facility of granites is situated in Rajasthan and Karnataka which has the largest reserve of marbles & granites in
India with estimated reserves of 2075.64 crore cubic metres accounting of more than 91% of the total marble reserves of the
country. There are many units located in the cities of Rajasthan, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh which are engaged in the business
of mining and processing of marbles and granites. Further, skilled labour is also easily available by virtue of it being situated in
the marble & granite belt of India.
Moderate profitability albeit moderation in scale of operations
PIL’s Total operating income (TOI) declined by 35% y-o-y to Rs. 184.11 crores as against Rs.285.40 crore in FY22. The decline
was on account of decrease in quartz sales due to levying of anti-dumping duty in July 2022 by U.S. Department of Commerce
and no sales from trading of iron ore in FY23. The anti-dumping duty was subsequently reversed in January 2023. In 9MFY24,
PIL achieved sales of Rs. 134.93 crores. PBILDT margin of PIL moderated by 322 bps to 7.55% in FY23 as against 10.46% in
FY22 on account of higher raw material cost as well as lower absorption of overhead costs. However, in 9MFY24, PBILDT margin
improved to 13.94% on the back of lower manufacturing expenses.
Comfortable capital structure albeit moderate debt coverage indicators
The capital structure of PIL improved with overall gearing of 0.43x as on FY23 end (1.25x in FY22). Improvement in overall
gearing was on account of successful completion of rights issue of Rs.47.53 crore in February 2023 which resulted in augmentation
of networth base as well as reduction in o/s debt with repayment of USL from directors/ subsidiaries and repayment of working
capital borrowings. The debt coverage indicators however continued to remain moderate in FY23 due to lower profitability with
PBILDT interest coverage of 1.72x (4.50x in FY22) and total debt/ GCA of 5.53x (6.20x in FY22)
NEXT MRF - HONEYWELL AUTO ( HONAUT ) Multiple study like flag and trend line from upper price that share price is running on 38800
CHART PATTERNS HOLD
1. Trend line on monthly
2. Multiple cup & handle
3. Ready to cross us supply zone
4 Range breakout
2 Slide flag pattern brekaout
BUY honey well auto above 39000
TRG 1 - 44000
TRG 2 - 48000
TRG 3- 52000
and above 52000 that convert in jackpot trade if that not split
TRG 64000 --- 72000 ----- 88000 if everything will be going in good that share
Lux Industry is getting ready for Next Big and huge huge Swing Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well, i have brought another stock which is getting ready for big move, Company name is Lux Industry. My calculation is saying it is going to give huge move in one way towards 10000+ levels in coming time, as price has formed double bottom, and if you will see stock has done sme in earlier swing, and each swing was doubled than earlier. So expecting same in next swing.
MACD is giving bullish crossover in all timeframe specially in higher timeframe.
Stock has given golden crossover in daily time frame (For those who does not know about golden crossover i will write here (whenever stock or any security trade below 200-DEMA from long time and suddenly stock gives crossover above 200-DEMA and sustains for sometimes, that is called golden crossover, usually this scenario creates bullish bias in market)).
About Company:-
Lux Industries Limited was incorporated in 1995 having a market share of 15% of the organised industry. It is the largest mid-segment hosiery enterprise in India.Company is engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of innerwear, thermals, and casuals under various brands, with ‘LUX’ being its flagship brand.
Stock P/E
47.2
Book Value
₹ 496
Dividend Yield
0.32 %
ROCE
12.7 %
ROE
9.97 %
Face Value
₹ 2.00
Industry PE
16.2
Debt
₹ 236 Cr.
EPS
₹ 35.0
Promoter holding
74.2 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 1,262
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
27.2
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
12.0 %
Sales growth 5Years
17.2 %
Return over 5years
4.63 %
Debt to equity
0.16
Net profit
₹ 100 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
23.4 %
Profit growth
-44.5 %
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
HARSHA ENGINEERS INTERNATIONAL LTDCompany is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 56.4% CAGR over last 5 years
The combined share of operating losses at China and Romania came down significantly because of China
reporting positive profit in Q4 FY 2024. However, Romania continued to report operating losses in Q4 FY
2024.
➢ While the demand situation in Europe both on the Wind as well as on the Industrial front remains
subdued, our strategy in Romania is to improve product mix by increasing the share of cages, which is
aimed at bringing Romania to Break-even level in FY 2025.
➢ Solar Business has reported a decent growth in top-line as well as profitability, on the back of a
favourable renewable policy regime, with our strategy continued to be on limited capital allocation in this
segment, but still allowing the same to operate in its natural tangent.
➢ The progress on our Greenfield project is satisfactory and is expected to commission in FY 2025.
On a consolidated basis Q4 FY 2024 was the strongest quarter in the current fiscal FY 2024 reflecting an allround
improvement in the top line as well as the EBITDA and PAT margins. The consolidated top line of Q4
FY 2024 has shown a growth of 17% over Q3 FY 2024 and 11% over Q4 FY 2023. The consolidated EBITDA of
Q4 FY 2024 has also grown by 23% as compared to Q3 FY 2024 and 10% as compared to Q4 FY 2023.
➢ On full year basis, while consolidated top line of FY 2023-24 reflects a marginal growth over FY 2022-23, the
EBITDA and PAT of FY 2024, though lower than FY 2023, are still reflecting a significant recovery as
compared to H1 FY 2024 and are better than our expectations.
➢ The growth in Bushing business as well as additional demand growth due to China + 1 factor was in line with
our expectations. The Progress on outsourcing projects (insourcing to outsourcing) was satisfactory, and the
growth in Japan based customers’ segment, though slightly muted, has remained positive.
➢ The expected growth in large size bearing cages segment could not be achieved due to continued global
slowdown in the Wind as well as Industrial Segment, but is expected to catch up next Fiscal.
#SOLARA Looking Good for Long-Term Holding around 1 YearStrengths:
Established market position in key APIs, along with strong customer and supplier relationships: Solara has a strong portfolio of APIs in key therapeutic segments, with expertise in anthelmintic, anti-malaria, anti-infective and non-steroidal anti- inflammatory. Furthermore, it has been increasing its focus on the non-steroidal anti-inflammatory segment by adding capacity and working on other therapeutic segments. Solara has a diversified customer base, with more exposure to regulated markets. Its longstanding presence in the industry has helped Solara build healthy relationships with customers and suppliers.
Moderate financial risk profile: Solara's financial risk profile is moderate marked by comfortable capital structure, albeit constrained by expected weakening of debt protection metrics. Gearing remained healthy at less than 1 time as on March 31, 2023, while networth was robust at Rs 1083.01 crore. However, networth and gearing are expected to deteriorate to Rs 835.98 crore and 1.09 times, respectively, as on March 31, 2024 led by net loss owing to the fire incident. Debt protection metrics, likely to be negative in fiscal 2024, are expected to improve in fiscals 2025 and 2026. Improvement in financial risk profile would remain a key monitorable.
Weaknesses:
Exposure to risks relating to strict regulations: Most of the products manufactured by Solara face increased inspections and regulatory actions by authorities, such as the US Food and Drug Administration (US FDA). Additionally, production of a few products involves waste discharge, which needs to be treated in effluent treatment plants (ETPs). Thus, Solara needs to invest continuously to upgrade ETPs and bring efficiency in the process to reduce waste discharge.
Large working capital requirements: Working capital requirements are sizeable as reflected in significant receivables and inventory of around 142 days and 156 days, respectively, as on March 31, 2023 and is estimated to be over 120 days each for fiscal 2024. CRISIL Ratings expects working capital requirements to gradually improve over the medium term with an increase in revenue contribution from the new plant. Correction in working capital requirements that shall aid liquidity shall be a key monitorable.
Volatility in operating profitability: Operating profitability fluctuated between 23.78% and 9.3% in the last 3-5 fiscal and in the current fiscal the company is making further losses due to the fire accident. Going forward, the ability of the company to demonstrate sustained improvement in operating margins will be a key sensitivity factor.
#QTK Testing Platform Coin Set to Surge 20–30x in Bull Market!🟢QuantCheck (QTK) is a platform made for testing cryptocurrency trading strategies. It helps traders and investors improve their approaches by letting them see how their strategies would have performed in the past. Think of it like a time machine for trades. With just 120.75 million tokens available, it has the potential to grow a lot. I've been using it and find it really helpful. They recently launched their token, and I believe it could be as big as AITECH.
I've invested a good amount in it because the product works well and the tokenomics look promising.
Current Price: Approximately $0.7
Accumulation Zone: $0.70 to $0.75
Short-term Target (4 to 8 weeks): $2 to $5
Mid-term Targets (3 to 6 months): $5 to $12
Long-term Target: $20 to $30
What do you think about the future of QTK? Please share your technical and fundamental analysis insights in the comments below.
Porsche - Is worth it ? Porsche 26 of April 2024 reported its revenues and earnings. Will help us these reports consider whether XETR:P911 is worth at this price ?
Let´s have a brief look.
1. earnings positively surprised us, 3.94% exceeded its expectations. ✔️
2. revenue´s stayed behind expectations by 3.96% ❌
3. hikes dividend amount to 2.31 per share ✔️
4. launching four new models in 2024 (Macan, Panamera, Taycan, 911) ✔️
5. expects an operating return on sales of between 15 - 17%, down from 18% noticed in previous two years ❌
6. future - they focus on sustainable success of company ✔️
7. expectations to 2025 - strong recovery in China and full range of models which will kick their financials off ✔️
Revenue by countries:
- North America 29.53%
- China 23.56%
- Europe 21.66%
- Germany 12.03%
- Rest of the World 14.26%
Balanced distribution throughout the world puts this company on solid footing. China is still behind expectations due to decrease in demand and EV price war. China could be an ace up in its sleeve in the coming years.
Mixed financial reports could mislead us a bit. However Porsche still has a strong vision, sustainable business model and positive fundamental background.
Stock´s sold at 3.34 times by its book value. Obviously there´s a premium priced in we have to reckon with. Premium car segment needs premium price of stocks.
Let´s recap.
Is it worth it at this price ?
In my point of view, stock´s around the IPO price. The range between 82.5 - 84.0 seems to be very pleasant to place buy-orders. Definitely from a long-term point of view.
Consider your best price to entry and make your own call.
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Thanks