Bitcoin 8 year forecastThe white vertical line is Jan 09.
The white horizontal line is my personal estimation for a ceiling in price and adoption.
The blue lines are my personal extrapolation of the range using historical peaks and dips.
A stabilization between 100 000 and 200 000 $ would put Bitcoin between 2 - 4 trillion $ market cap.
This would be relatively small compared to global money supply but still a wonderful achievement.
... and a nice ride :----))
I expect the 2018 bubble to overshoot down to 2 500 $ around falls 2018.
An important aspect of this scenario is a significant decrease in volatility, making then Bitcoin a reasonable option for storage of value.
With all sorts of arguments, some people predict up to a million $ / Bitcoin, while some others predict it to eventually be worthless.
Things often turn out to be a compromise, which is the principle of a "market", and this scenario is my personal vision of this compromise.
Longterminvesting
5% Trade Ideas #5PercentTrade - CUB#5PercentTrade #Equity #5%Profit_Trade_in_21_Days
5% Trade Ideas is a type of Equity Investment which is designed to give you 5% to 10% return in lest than 21 days via #Equity #Investment.
✅ Stock Name - #CUB (City Union Bank)
Trade Process :-
✅ - Buy only at Buy Level as recommended in the chart. Use GTT feature available with all online brokers
✅ - On successful purchase, immediately create a SL GTT (Stop Loss level asper chart).
✅ - Once Stock Price is at Target 1 level, move your SL to Cost Price or 3% down from Target 1.
✅ - Keep Trailing the SL as Stock Price moves to next Targets.
If you like this idea, Do give us boost and follow us for more ideas to invest
5PercentTrade Trade Ideas - SHARDA CROP#5PercentTrade #Equity #5%Profit_Trade_in_21_Days
Stock Name - NSE:SHARDACROP
Launching our next service of Equity Investment which is designed to give you 5% to 10% return in lest than 21 days via #Equity #Investment.
Trade Process :-
✅ - Buy only at Buy Level as recommended in the chart. Use GTT feature available with all online brokers.
✅ - On successful purchase, immediately create a SL GTT (Stop Loss level asper chart).
✅ - Once Stock Price is at Target 1 level, move your SL to Cost Price or 3% down from Target 1.
✅ - Keep Trailing the SL as Stock Price moves to next Targets.
Share this message to your friends and ask them to join
MEGHMANI ORGANICS LTD - LONG TERM STOCK - MY VIEW ✅✅✅The Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
Med/Long term BUY - FSL heading for ATH after Volume breakout?Many technical parameters have indicated that Firstsource Solutions Ltd (FSL) could double from current levels of around 120-130 to at least 240 within 1 year. Multiple TA indicators have aligned together, including volume increase between 9May23 to 14Jul23.
It is a medium to long term buying opportunity for upto 100% gains with a Stop Loss (SL) of 112 (15% risk).
Also, FSL is a fundamentally sound company, with current Market Cap of ₹ 9,325 Cr. and:
- Dividend payout of 47.5 % (yield of 2.64 %)
- P/E 18.3
- Stock Face value - ₹ 10
Marico might mend the trend..Marico Ltd. Is manufactures and markets products under the brands such as Parachute, Parachute Advansed, Nihar, Nihar Naturals, Saffola, Hair & Care, Revive, Mediker, Livon, Set-wet, etc. Marico’s products reach its consumers through retail outlets serviced by Marico’s distribution network comprising regional offices, carrying & forwarding agents, redistribution centers & distributors spread all over India. Marico Ltd CMP is 536.20.
The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 47.4), FIIs are decreasing stake, Promoter Holding decreasing. The company's Positive aspects MFs are increasing stake, improving annual net profit, Improving cash from operations annual.
Entry can be taken after closing above 537. Targets in the stock will be 554 and 563. The long-term target in the stock will be 575 and 592. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 508.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
IBULHSGFIN is ready for BULL RUN IBULHSGFIN is bad in fundamental but ready for reversal
1- Rounding bottom reversal
2- trend line breakout
3- fab. .5 point will came
4- triangle also seen in this chart
buy above 188
TRG 1st - 240
2nd -280
3rd- 340
SL 152
FOR LONG TERM SPIC LTD (Southern Petrochemicals Industries Corporation Ltd)
LOOKING GOOD FOR INVESTMENT PROSPECTIVE
BUYING RANGE- CMP
VIEW ONLY EDUCATIONAL PROSPECTIVE
FUNDAMENTALY COMPANY IS GOOD
ABOUT
Southern Petrochemicals Industries Corporation Ltd is engaged in manufacturing and selling Urea and Nitrogenous chemical fertilizer
Product Portfolio
The product offerings of the Co. include Primary nutrients, Secondary Nutrients, Water Soluble Fertilisers, Organic Fertilisers, Non-edible deoiled Cake Fertilisers, Bio Pesticides among other agricultural products.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst.
Anything posted here is my own analysis and views. This is created for educational purposes only. Always consult your Financial Advisor before taking any
decision or trade.
CNTB to Climb to $2Looking at the micro data, we have an uptrend where we're following along the rising bottom.
Looking a bit further out, we can see we're in a bullish wedge.
General trends say that this will come up, and the company will have only good news about their trials progressing which will drive the price higher.
Very near to $2 by the end of February, and we could very well see $4 by the end of Summer.
NASDAQ:CNTB
SUI ANALYSIS🔮 #SUI Analysis : Pattern Formation 💰💰
🤑🤑 #SUI was making perfect and huge rounding bottom pattern snd also breakout the neckline in 3d time frame, indicating a potential bullish move. If #SUI trade above the neckline then we will get a bullish move📈📈
🔖 Current Price: $1.5963
⏳ Target Price: $2.9500
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #SUI. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#SUI #Cryptocurrency #Pump #Breakdown #DYOR
BTC Market Cycle | Repetitive and Predictable Market CycleThe Bitcoin market cycle can be easily predicted by studying historical data. Whenever you seek an idea of where the market is heading, you can always look at the past to gauge the future. However, this doesn't guarantee that the predictions stated here will unfold exactly as described; it's a PREDICTION, not a fact.
Let's examine the chart displayed here. The market cycle repeats itself every four years, with our chart divided into four cycles, the fourth being the current cycle we are in. Every four years, Bitcoin undergoes a major event known as Halving, where the number of blocks containing Bitcoins is halved every four years. We started with 50 Bitcoins released in a block every 10 minutes; in 2012, that amount was reduced to 25 BTC. In the following cycle, it was halved again, and this will continue to happen every four years until all Bitcoins are mined. Currently, we are heading towards the fourth halving event, which will see the number of blocks released reduced to 3.125 BTC.
Due to this event, the price of Bitcoin appreciates in value every four years. This is driven by supply and demand, as fewer Bitcoins are mined than in the previous four years (reduced supply), creating scarcity and increasing demand. The mining difficulty also increases, causing miners to be reluctant to sell the Bitcoins they've mined, contributing to the price increase.
On our chart, we have three completed cycles that look almost identical. The cycles consist of a bull market where the price experiences a significant increase, followed by a bear market where the price drops in the range of 80–85%. This is followed by the first expansion, where we see a slight price increase, followed by the first accumulation phase. Prices move up and down within a specified range during this phase, also known as the consolidation phase. We then move on to the second expansion and the second accumulation, usually forming just before or within the halving period.
This not only shows us that the market cycles are similar but also allows us to predict future events. At the time of writing this, we are three months away from the fourth halving, and it appears we have entered the second accumulation phase, as seen in the past three cycles. Prices should trade in a specified range for a few months after the halving. When you examine the halving events on the chart, you can observe that we usually enter the bull run somewhere between 6 to 8 months after the halving. Based on that, we can predict that the next bull run will start between October and December 2024, lasting until the fourth quarter of 2025.
In the past, the cycles have been accurate, and we can expect the same unless a global catastrophic event occurs, as seen in March 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. In that phase, there was no second expansion as all markets crashed. It is my opinion that this led to the bull run not reaching its full potential. Had we experienced the second expansion, the price would have moved slightly higher before the second accumulation phase, leading to an extended bull run pushing the price near or above $100k.
My price prediction at the end of the cycle, assuming world events stay normal, is to see Bitcoin in the range of $120–150K.
What do you think the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2025 will be? Like, share, and feel free to leave a comment. Let me know if you agree or disagree with this analysis.
Partial entry (Paper Trading) possible in HDFC Bank. HDFC BANK: (Portfolio Stock) : SIP Buying can be started in HDFC Bank. It may go further lower so only partial entry or entry with / for tracking quantity to be initiated now.
We had mentioned earlier that 1369-80 or 1271 can act as a bottom/major support for HDFC Bank. The stock touched 1380 and has reversed. So X/3 or X/4 entry can be taken. If it falls further to 1271 (Which is also possible) You can add again on bounce around those levels. Next X/3 entry should be after closing above 1588. Stop loss Monthly closing below 1270. Targets long term: 1625, 1684, 1721 and 1761+.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
BRITANNIA FOR LONG TERM INVESTMENT IDEAAs we can see stock is on ATH and trades above all EMA on day week month TF and retrace with gravestone doji on day TF. looks strong on week & month.
it can go in a further upward direction.
TECHNICALS
—RSI ABOVE 60 ON ALL TF
—CUP & HANDLE BREAKOUT 5 JUNE WITH GOOD VOLUME
—OPEN MARUBOZU
—BULLISH CROSS OVER
ENTRY IS MENTIONED ON THE CHART
educational purpose only!✨
Do your research before making any investment🥂
Maharashtra Seamless LimitedThe co. has a market share of 55% in the seamless pipes segment and a market share of 18% in the API-certified, high-frequency ERW pipes segment.
Revenue as FY22
Steel Pipes and Tubes: 95%
Clientele
Some esteemed clients of the Co include Indian Oil Corporation Ltd, BHEL, Reliance Industries Ltd, ISGEC, NTPC, Larsen & Toubro, and more, and Infrastructure clients are Adani, DLF, GAAR, IGL, Unitech etc.
On installation of finishing facilities at Telangana in FY24, existing capacity of 100,000 MTPA will be activated (seamless pipes segment)
Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis: Finding a BalanceLooking to make more holistic investment decisions, but not sure how? Understanding the difference between technical and fundamental analysis and how to incorporate both is an essential step to accomplishing holistic investing. Today we will explore how finding a balance between these pillars of trading can help you navigate the complex world of investing.
The Importance of Finding a Balance
Finding the right balance between technical and fundamental analysis can be the key to successful investing. By combining the two approaches, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of a stock's potential, taking into consideration both the short-term market trends and the long-term value.
When it comes to investing, it's important to have a complete view of the market. Relying solely on technical analysis may leave you susceptible to missing out on crucial information about a company's financial health and growth prospects. Similarly, relying purely on fundamental analysis may cause you to overlook short-term market trends that could impact the stock's price in the near future, potentially leading to poor entries and exits.
A balanced approach allows you to leverage the strengths of both technical and fundamental analysis, providing you with a more complete picture of the investment opportunity at hand. So, whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, finding the sweet spot between technical and fundamental analysis can help maximize your chances of making a profitable investment.
Understanding Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on analyzing historical price and volume data to predict future price movements. Traders using this approach often rely on chart patterns, indicators, and trendlines to identify buy and sell signals.
Chart patterns, such as triangles, head and shoulders, and double tops/bottoms, provide insights into potential price reversals or continuations. These patterns are formed as a result of the collective actions of market participants and can signal impending price movements. However, when using price patterns it is critical to understand the statistical odds of success for completion of the pattern. Price patterns can be subjective to the trader's skill and overall directional bias, so traders should combine price patterns with other forms of technical analysis.
Indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands, help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, measure the strength of a trend, and spot potential entry or exit points. When indicators are combined to form a robust and complementary system traders gain a wealth of information about the near-term health of an underlying asset. It is critical to note that no indicator system is perfect and will not guarantee you a 100% success rate. However, when paired with proper risk mitigation, psychology, and supporting forms of technical analysis, using indicators can lead to long-term success.
Trendlines are used to analyze the direction and strength of a stock's price movement. Drawing trend lines connecting the highs or lows of a stock's price can help identify support and resistance levels, price channels, and potential trend reversal areas.
Support and resistance zones are price levels on a chart that indicates where trends are likely to pause or reverse. Support is a zone where a downtrend pauses due to demand, while resistance is a zone where an uptrend pauses due to supply. These zones are based on market sentiment and human psychology, shaped by emotions such as fear, greed, and herd instinct. Traders tend to congregate near these zones, strengthening them. Support levels indicate a surplus of buyers, while resistance levels indicate a surplus of sellers. It's important to note that these levels are not exact numbers but rather "zones" that can be tested by the market.
Understanding how these tools work and how to interpret their signals is crucial for technical analysis. It allows traders to make intuitive decisions based on historical price patterns and market dynamics. However, it's important to note that technical analysis has its limitations.
Limitations of Technical Analysis
While technical analysis can provide valuable insights into a stock's potential price movements, it's important to recognize its limitations. Technical analysis is primarily focused on historical data and patterns, which may not always accurately predict future price movements.
Market sentiment, news events, and other external factors can significantly impact a stock's price, often rendering technical analysis less effective. If you don't believe me, just look at the price charts for the last four years. Try to pinpoint major world or domestic events such as the start of the pandemic or the Fed's hawkish shift. Additionally, technical analysis does not take into account the intrinsic value of a company, which is a key consideration in fundamental analysis.
Therefore, relying solely on technical analysis to make investment decisions may leave you vulnerable to market uncertainties and potential pitfalls. This is where fundamental analysis comes into play.
Understanding Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis involves examining a company's financials, industry trends, and market conditions to determine its intrinsic value. Investors who lean towards fundamental analysis believe that a company's true worth is reflected in its financial strength and growth potential.
Key factors considered in fundamental analysis include a company's revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, debt levels, competitive positioning, and management team. By analyzing these factors, investors can assess whether a company is undervalued or overvalued, and make investment decisions accordingly. Most, if not all of this information is readily available on the internet, but it can take some digging to find all the information one would need. There is also a wide range of financial-related indicators readily available on TradingView.
Fundamental analysis also takes into account macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates, inflation, and government policies, which can impact the overall market and the performance of individual stocks.
How to Conduct Fundamental Analysis
Conducting fundamental analysis involves a thorough examination of a company's financial statements, such as its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. These statements provide insights into a company's revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities, and cash flows.
Analyzing financial ratios, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, return on equity (ROE), and debt-to-equity ratio, helps investors assess a company's financial health and profitability. Much of this information is available on TradingView under the financials tab. TradingView has done an excellent job of making a majority of the aforementioned financial data available, right at your fingertips.
Industry analysis is another important aspect of fundamental analysis. Understanding the industry dynamics, competitive landscape, and market trends can provide insights into a company's growth potential and its ability to outperform its peers. There is a plethora of this information online, and diligence in your research will make a world of difference.
By combining financial analysis with industry analysis, investors can gain a deeper understanding of a company's overall prospects and make more informed investment decisions.
Finding a Balance Between Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Finding the right balance between technical and fundamental analysis requires a thoughtful approach. Here are some strategies to help you integrate the two approaches:
Start with fundamental analysis: Begin by analyzing a company's financials and industry trends to assess its long-term growth potential. This will provide you with a solid foundation for your investment decisions.
Use technical analysis for timing: Once you've identified a promising investment opportunity based on fundamental analysis, use technical analysis to refine your entry and exit points. Technical indicators and chart patterns can help you identify optimal times to buy or sell a stock.
Consider the bigger picture: While technical analysis focuses on short-term market trends, it's important to consider the long-term value of a company. Evaluate the fundamental factors that can impact a company's growth potential and use technical analysis as a tool to validate your investment thesis.
Keep an eye on market sentiment: Market sentiment can influence stock prices in the short term. By staying informed about news events, economic indicators, and market trends, you can better understand the context in which technical and fundamental analysis are operating.
By finding a balance between technical and fundamental analysis, you can better manage your investment decisions that take into account both short-term market dynamics and long-term value. This balanced approach can help you navigate the complex world of investing and maximize your chances of success.
In conclusion, understanding the difference between technical and fundamental analysis is crucial for making theoretically sound investment decisions. By finding a balance between the two approaches, you can gain a comprehensive understanding of a stock's potential, considering both the short-term market trends and the long-term value. So, whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis can help provide a better view and maximize your chances of making profitable investment decisions.
Happy Trading!
Weekend idea 2: DCM Shriram can rise, investing can be idea wiseDCM Shriram Ltd. is a diversified company with business in agriculture, chemicals, plastics, cement, textiles and energy services. DCM Shriram CMP is 938.55.
The Negative aspects of the company are MFs are decreasing stake. The positive aspects of the company are No debt, zero promoter pledge, FIIs increasing stake, improving annual net profit, and Improving cash from operations annually.
Entry can be taken after closing above 969. Targets in the stock will be 1016 and 1066. The long-term target in the stock will be 1119. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 853.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Weekend Idea 1: HDFC Bank rising from the bottom, can blossom. HDFC Bank Ltd. is engaged in providing a range of banking and financial services including retail banking, wholesale banking and treasury operations. It is one of the top banks in the country. HDFC Bank Ltd CMP is 1532.10.
The Positive aspects of the company are Low debt, zero promoter pledge, FIIs increasing stake, MFs increasing stake, improving annual net profit, and Improving cash from operations annually.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1536. Targets in the stock will be 1605, 1641 and 1675. The long-term target in the stock will be 1719 and 1758. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1400.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Tata Motors on Weekly Chart Looking Good for Mid Term InvestmentAre you looking for a Breakout Stock? It's right here.
What - Tata Motors on Weekly Chart
Why - Just Broke Out of Resistance.
How - I used Fibonacci Retracement to spot Exact Levels.
What's your view on this? Please share.
Contact 8130724243 for Stock Market Courses from NSE Academy. We are affiliated with Empirical F&M Academy and NSE Academy.
Hope this post adds valuable insights to your trading/investment journey.
Don't forget to share with your friends. (*Bcz as your friends join you will have someone like-minded with whom you can share and discuss and bring clarity to your learning and life.*)
***
Disclaimer:
Please note that this is only for Study Purpose and not a recommendation.
So please do your own research before investing in market.
#BreakoutStock #TradingStrategies #StockMarket #Nifty #chartpatterns #indicators
📈 AEGISCHEM: A Promising Investment OpportunityHello, traders!
Today, we're focusing on NSE:AEGISCHEM . Here's what's happening:
📈 Steady Upside Movement: AEGISCHEM is on a consistent upward trajectory, forming higher highs and showing signs of strength.
🔝 Breaking Previous Highs: It recently broke its previous high, which is a significant development.
🔍 Retest Opportunity: Currently, it's retracing and coming down to retest the support from the parallel channel, and I've marked a potential long position on the chart for your reference.
🚫 Not Guaranteed: However, keep in mind that trading is about high-probability entries, not guarantees. While this opportunity has great potential, always perform your due diligence.
🕰️ Investment Perspective: This isn't just a short-term trading play; it's an opportunity with investment potential. Take a closer look and consider your investment strategy.
📌 Important Note: This isn't a definitive investment recommendation. Make informed decisions and manage your risk appropriately.
🤔 Your Strategy: What's your take on AEGISCHEM? Are you considering it for your investment portfolio? Share your insights with us!
🚀 Stay Informed: Keep following for more trading and investment insights.
Best regards,
Alpha Trading Station 🌟