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TASI: HISTORICAL ANALYSIS WITH A LONG TERM STRATEGIC PLANHistorical data analysis of TASI, since its beginning in 1985, shows a peculiar pattern wherein trading TASI for only 6 months in a year for 10 consecutive years yields higher or similar returns compared to buy & hold strategy during the same period. So a profitable strategic trading plan can be made with following Key highlights: 50% capital exposure to the market: trading will be carried out only 6 months out of 12 months. Higher or similar returns when compared to buy & hold strategy for the duration of plan (10 consecutive years). Back testing results since 1985 have shown increase in returns with the rate of 8.8%, 16% & 43%. Returns for the last trading plan (2014-2024) have exceeded 100%: the capital in 2014 would have doubled in 2024 using the strategy. A balanced strategy incorporating the best of both ‘trading’ and ‘investing’ worlds. No worries about daily price action or getting out of trade due to stop loss, while also having the leisure and cash-in-hand for half of the year. A long term plan: 10 consecutive years but only 6 months in each year will be traded. If you like to access the trading plan in full details (with back testing proof in pdf & excel workbook), please reach out to me at: umairx88@gmail.com. Bear in mind that the month of November is not only included in the plan rather it is one of the crucial months of the plan.
TADAWUL:TASI
by Umair88
1
ASKAUTO strengthening Financias as well as Price Action NSE:ASKAUTOLTD ........................ KEY Performance ........................ Robust growth in both top line & bottom line Highest ever Revenue & PAT in any quarter in past Revenue growth outperformed Industry growth Revenue up +31%, EBITDA up + 59%, PAT up +63% EBITDA Margins at 11.9%, up 210 bps YoY EBITDA margin improvement resulting from: Higher Volume driven economies of scale Benefit from ramp up of Karoli facility Focus on cost optimization initiatives EPS at Rs. 2.88, up +63% YoY CRISIL revised outlook to Positive from Stable CRISIL reaffirmed Credit Rating to AA- for Long Term and A1+ for Short Term Construction work of new Bengaluru Plant progressing well as per plan ...................... Powertrain Agnostic product offerings in both EV and Non-EV. 4 World Class Technical Collaborations and 2 World Class Joint Ventures. Robust financial performance with 17% Revenue growth, 26% EBITDA growth, 41% PAT growth and RoACE of 23.64% in FY24. High entry barriers due to proprietary material formulations, in-house Engg, Designing & Tool room. Long standing relationship with customers & established Aftermarket focused on Quality, Cost & Delivery.
NSE:ASKAUTOLTDLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
GNA Axles Limited Going Towards Its All TIME HIGH's NSE:GNA GNA Axles is engaged in the Business of manufactures auto components for the four-wheeler industry, primary product being Rear Axles, Shafts, Spindles & other Automobiles Components for sale in domestic and foreign market. .................................................................................................................. .................................................................................................................. .................................................................................................................. Key strengths Extensive experience of promoters/management and long track record of operations GNA was promoted by Late Rachhpall Singh and his brother Gursaran Singh, the latter being the company’s current managing director with around five decades of industry experience. His son, Ranbir Singh, and other family members are also involved in the company’s day-to-day business activities. The company directors are assisted by a team of professionals who are highly experienced in their respective domains. Being established in 1946, the GNA group, which also includes GNA Gears Limited, has a long track record of operations. ............................................................................... Diversified revenue stream across product segments and geographies The company supplies its products to varied segments of the automotive industry, including commercial vehicles (CV or the onhighway segment), tractors, farm equipment, and earth moving equipment (all three being part of the off-road segment). The company derives significant income from export of its products to the US, Europe, Asia Pacific (Japan and China among others), Mexico, Brazil, and so forth, with exports constituting around 53% of its total operating income (TOI) in FY23 (refers to April 1 to March 31) . The company is a Tier-1 vendor for its supplies in domestic off-road segment, while in the exports markets, it supplies axles and spindles to larger and more established Tier-1 vendors. ................................................................................ Long and established relationship with customers The GNA group has been operating in the auto component industry since 1946, thus having built time-tested relationship with customers – with some ever since the commencement of its operations. Besides, it has been supplying to some of its export customers since 2000. GNA markets its products through the common group marketing network catering a whole range of products, including axles, gears, and shafts under one roof. The long and established relationship with customers provides revenue stability to the company, subject to overall industry demand scenario. .................................................................................... Reputed, though concentrated customer base While GNA faces customer concentration with its top-5 and top-10 customers accounting for around 64% and around 80% of its total gross sales in FY23, the risk is largely mitigated as the top revenue contributors are well-established players and enjoy strong position in the industry. GNA is the main supplier of axle shafts to most of the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that it supplies to, and by virtue of its long-standing relationships with the customers, the company has a strong market position. For some of its export customers, the supplies are made by GNA for their plants in various countries, thereby mitigating the risk arising from slowdown in one geographical location. ......................................................................... Comfortable scale of operations with largely steady margins In FY24, the company achieved TOI of ₹1,508.67 crore compared to a TOI of ₹1,582.93 crore in FY23 driven by moderation in price realisations owing to weak tractor sales in the domestic market. The profit before interest, lease rentals, depreciation and taxation (PBILDT) margin marginally declined to 13.24% in FY24 (PY: 14.70%). The profit after tax (PAT) margins declined to 6.63% in FY24 from 8.22% in FY23. ....................................................................................... Comfortable financial risk profile The company’s capital structure remained comfortable with long-term debt-to equity and overall gearing ratios of 0.04x and 0.24x, as on March 31, 2024, respectively (PY: 0.07x and 0.28x, respectively). The same improved mainly due to reduction in debt and accretion of profits to the net worth. The company has low reliance on working capital borrowings as it only avails the pre-shipment credit for exports and substantial portion of its inherently high working capital requirements are funded by internal accruals. The interest coverage ratio remained healthy at 17.3x in FY24 (PY: 21.22x) due to healthy profitability and low interest costs on foreign currency borrowings. The company’s total debt to PBILDT stood comfortable at 0.95 as on March 21, 2024 (PY: 0.87x).
NSE:GNALong
by iism-ExpertTrading
TNSR/USDT: Primed for a Bullish Breakout!$TNSR USDT: Bullish Setup 🚀 TNSR is forming a symmetrical triangle, a pattern signaling a potential breakout. The price is consolidating and nearing the apex, preparing for a strong upward move. A break above the triangle's resistance could lead to significant upside momentum. 📈 Entry Point: Current Market Price (CMP) $0.357 USDT 📉 Add more positions on dips to support around $0.32 USDT. 🎯 Targets: $0.43 $0.49 $0.65 (Final Target) ⛔ Stop Loss: $0.29 USDT to manage risk. ⚖️ Leverage: Use with caution, between 3x and 8x based on your risk tolerance. DYOR & NFA #Crypto #TNSR
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Bitcoin's Bull Run Is Closer Than You Think (Q4 Shock)Good Morning CryptoFam and Investing enthusiasts, As we find ourselves in another week of downward price action, I want to believe that this could be a massive fake-out as we patiently await the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts expected during the week of September 18th (source:(www.cmegroup.com). Looking at Bitcoin's historical patterns, particularly market seasonality—defined as predictable trends in asset prices driven by recurring events such as holidays, earnings seasons, tax deadlines, or consumer behavior—we can expect a positive trend reversal starting in October. Historically, Bitcoin has delivered an average Q4 return of almost 89%. From today’s prices, this would put us on a trajectory towards the $100K mark by year-end (source: www.coinglass.com). Additionally, when we examine the liquidation heat-maps, the liquidity below current prices has mostly been exhausted, meaning that downward pressure from market makers could begin to ease as fewer positions remain to be liquidated below this range. Now, the most tempting targets are the shorts—many of which began shorting around the $74K all-time high. It may be time for a short squeeze (source: Liquidation Heat-map (www.coinglass.com). Now for the exciting part: We've been trading in a parallel channel for about 175 days. This has been a test of patience, draining much of the motivation from market participants—especially as traditional markets have performed so well this year. However, our time is coming. I've been quietly stacking at these lower prices, with confidence in what's to come. Let's take a moment to analyze the technicals. On the weekly chart, we remain within the aforementioned channel, and the Bollinger Bands have become extremely tight—often a precursor to significant price movement. The price currently sits near the bottom of the BB%b indicator, signaling that Bitcoin may be oversold. Next, we turn to the RSI (Relative Strength Index), which is currently sitting at 47 on the weekly chart. This essentially indicates a reset, giving us room for a potential upward move. However, it’s important to acknowledge that while it doesn’t limit a higher price move, it also doesn’t preclude further downside. Supporting my bullish thesis as we approach year-end is the "Sine Line" indicator. This tool, which aligns with time and cycle theory, suggests that we are nearing the bottom of bearish momentum, forecasting a return to upward price action in the coming weeks and months. Finally, let’s talk about projecting previous cycles into the future using the Bar Pattern tool in TradingView. To create this pattern, I mapped the price movements from September (post-halving) for the last three cycles (2012, 2016, and 2020), extending the trend from September to the top of each cycle. Interestingly, each cycle lasted approximately the same length of time and aligns well with the Sine Line tool. It points to an expected cycle top around December 2025. Just for fun, I plotted the potential price levels if Bitcoin were to follow similar run-ups from those cycles. While I don’t expect a 2012 or 2016-style price explosion in the next year, it's fascinating to note that all three cycles fit perfectly into the current price channel. This strengthens my conviction that we've already seen the market bottom and are poised to resume our bullish direction soon. As always, #frens, I appreciate you taking the time to read my thoughts and analysis. Remember, this is just my opinion. Please do your own research and take actions that are appropriate for your unique situation. That said—do take action. For more insights, please visit my webpage at linker.ee/pcalzolaio. I look forward to sharing this journey with you all. #FIRE #FREEDOM #BITCOIN Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Calzolaio
Bitcoin Returns following the HalvingThis chart provides a visual representation of Bitcoin's price movements in relation to its halving events. Bitcoin halving is a significant event that occurs approximately every four years, where the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks is halved, effectively reducing the rate at which new Bitcoin is generated. Historically, these halving events have been followed by significant changes in Bitcoin’s price. Key Points from the Chart: Historical Performance After Halvings: The chart tracks Bitcoin's monthly price performance following each halving event. It shows a pattern where September, after a halving year, often marks a critical turning point. For instance, in past cycles (2013, 2016, and 2020), the months following September have seen significant gains, particularly in October and November. September as a Pivot Month: The data suggests that September, following a halving year, tends to be a weaker month, often showing negative or relatively flat returns. However, it is followed by strong positive returns in the following months (October, November, December). This pattern indicates that September could be the last opportunity to enter the market before a potential significant upward movement. Average and Median Returns: The table in the chart highlights average and median returns for October, November, and December after the halving. These months typically exhibit strong performance, with October and November particularly showing robust growth historically. Market Sentiment Advice: The message associated with this chart emphasizes a contrarian investment approach: "Buy when there's fear." The logic is that entering the market when sentiment is low (fear is high) can position investors well for the strong returns historically seen in the months following September in a halving year. Conclusion: This chart and analysis suggest that if Bitcoin follows its historical patterns post-halving, there could be significant gains in the final quarter of 2024. September might be a period of accumulation for those looking to enter or expand their positions before a potential bull run. The overarching message is to be cautious of buying into hype and to consider entering the market during periods of fear and uncertainty, which could offer the best buying opportunities.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Calzolaio
BALAXI Pharmaceutical LTD is Showing Good Strength Can be Held Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 47.3%. Debtor days have improved from 71.3 to 56.7 days. Financial Performance Commentary 6 Revenue Higher contribution from the pharmaceuticals business led to y-o-y growth of 20% in revenues for FY23 compared to FY22. The share of LATAM markets increased to 40% of pharmaceutical revenues, highlighting our ability to quickly expand geographical presence. Key contributions to growth came from recently launched operations in markets like Honduras and El Salvador that are showing stronger demand for our products apart from substantial growth in Guatemala and Dominican Republic. Our pharma business in Angola continues to generate strong cash flows that are being re-invested for expanding into new markets EBITDA During the year, operating EBITDA stood at Rs. 59.17 crore, a growth of 7.2% y-o-y. This was on account of increasing contribution from LATAM markets and expansion into newer geographies. EBITDA margin has declined by over 200 bps to 17.6% in FY23 - however, going forward with contribution from the newly entered market rising, there should be a steady rise in our margins Profit After Tax and EPS During the year, Profit After Tax stood at Rs. 45.96 crore. Earnings per Share (EPS) for the year was recorded at Rs. 45.81 compared to Rs. 47.66 in the previous year.
NSE:BALAXILong
by iism-ExpertTrading
4
5% Trade Ideas #5PercentTrade - ABFRL#5PercentTrade #Equity #5%Profit_Trade_in_21_Days 5% Trade Ideas is a type of Equity Investment which is designed to give you 5% to 10% return in lest than 21 days via #Equity #Investment. ✅ Stock Name - NSE:ABFRL (Aditya Birla Fashion Retail Limited) Trade Process :- ✅ - Buy only at Buy Level as recommended in the chart. Use GTT feature available with all online brokers ✅ - On successful purchase, immediately create a SL GTT (Stop Loss level asper chart). ✅ - Once Stock Price is at Target 1 level, move your SL to Cost Price or 3% down from Target 1. ✅ - Keep Trailing the SL as Stock Price moves to next Targets. If you like this idea, Do give us boost and follow us for more ideas to invest NSE:ABFRL
NSE:ABFRLLong
by Nivesh_Labs
Bitcoin 8 year forecastThe white vertical line is Jan 09. The white horizontal line is my personal estimation for a ceiling in price and adoption. The blue lines are my personal extrapolation of the range using historical peaks and dips. A stabilization between 100 000 and 200 000 $ would put Bitcoin between 2 - 4 trillion $ market cap. This would be relatively small compared to global money supply but still a wonderful achievement. ... and a nice ride :----)) I expect the 2018 bubble to overshoot down to 2 500 $ around falls 2018. An important aspect of this scenario is a significant decrease in volatility, making then Bitcoin a reasonable option for storage of value. With all sorts of arguments, some people predict up to a million $ / Bitcoin, while some others predict it to eventually be worthless. Things often turn out to be a compromise, which is the principle of a "market", and this scenario is my personal vision of this compromise.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by The_black_swan
92
#BOME is ready to boom! 🚀Trading Pair: BOME/USDT Trade Type: Midterm Current coin Status: The coin has broken out of a flag pattern and is currently retesting it. Entry Point: The current market price (CMP) is a good entry point, and you can add more up to $1.43. Profit Targets: The profit targets for this trade are between 40% to 80%. Stop Loss: The recommended stop loss is at $1.34. Recommended Leverage: A leverage of 5X to 10X is recommended. Estimated Profit: The estimated profit for this trade is around 80%.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
6
THE GREATEST TRADE OF THIS DECADE! BITCOIN TO 1M! Greetings! This is my long-term analysis of bitcoin based on the logarithmic chart. I notice that there are price patterns that are repeating. 1.March 2013- September 2013 1.January 2015-September 2015. 2. November 2013-August 2015. 2. January 2021-August 2023. 3. April 2020-November 2020. 3. January 2023-August 2023. I bet bitcoin would do the same pattern from September 2015 to December 2017, in the next few months. If so, we could see bitcoin at 1 million dollars by December 2025. Buy SPOT TRADING and HODL until up December 2025. I will be updating this idea. We're early... JB.-
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JBPip
2
Med/Long term BUY - FSL heading for ATH after Volume breakout?Many technical parameters have indicated that Firstsource Solutions Ltd (FSL) could double from current levels of around 120-130 to at least 240 within 1 year. Multiple TA indicators have aligned together, including volume increase between 9May23 to 14Jul23. It is a medium to long term buying opportunity for upto 100% gains with a Stop Loss (SL) of 112 (15% risk). Also, FSL is a fundamentally sound company, with current Market Cap of ₹ 9,325 Cr. and: - Dividend payout of 47.5 % (yield of 2.64 %) - P/E 18.3 - Stock Face value - ₹ 10
NSE:FSLLong
by traderparag
1
Bitcoin - Buy The RallyHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Bitcoin. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After Bitcoin created the previous cycle high in 2018 we saw a correction of more than -70%. This dip was the followed by a +2.000% rally and a perfect break and retest of the previous cycle high. If Bitcoin - after the recent rally - now retraces back to the important structure mentioned in the analysis, I am simply looking to add to my current long position. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by basictradingtv
10
Doge fantasy world Hello, This is a chart for Doge, using an experimental method. It`s based on a logarithmic prediction method. The same method predicted Bnb to the low points to Ath, and Btc from 0.6 to 56K- these two coins worked perfect on the log scale and with this method . Note that some of the coins will never do a log growth and disappear as they will never touch the previous Ath. Doge might be or not be one of them. This is not taking into consideration the volumes, news, or anything related to it. The half target on the log charting on a 10 years time frame puts doge on a $300 - $500 target area. I believe that everything is predefined and the roadmap set years ahead and that the news just fit the charting and not the other way around. - Such on example is here on Eth- with the drop from 4.6K and hitting the exact days on the targets This is very far fetched but who believed that btc will go from 0.6 to 65k Getting back to Doge in a non log growth assuming this does not go to 0 a new ath will be at about 1.2 In a log growth using triangles (a more conservative method) the price will hit anywere between 13 to 35 in the next year or so. The green diagonal is the support line directing the price up you will want to price to stay on top or if it drops under to get back above. When under... you know the answer.
Long
by SecretSocietyCharts1