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Longtermtrading

Falling US T-Notes: A Major Macroeconomic IndicatorThe Bond Market. It is often overlooked by traders despite its instrumental role in the Global economy and determination of large macroeconomic trends. Major technical damage has been done across the board in the bond markets recently and this can be directly attributed to the new President of the United States. Donald Trump plans to explode an already enormous budget deficit. He plans to finance the proposed increases in government spending with low yield 30 Year fixed rate US Government Bonds rather than shorter term Treasury bills. The market is already starting to anticipate this influx of supply. The prices of US Bonds are falling and the yields are rising as a result. At this time the Federal Reserve must hike interest rates to preserve their credibility. Additionally, the US Dollar is currently appreciating relative to all other foreign currencies which erodes the purchasing power of foreigners and discourages the purchase of US Dollar denominated Bonds. Falling demand will contribute to the prices of these bonds declining much further. Unless yields rise significantly faster than inflation rises, which is extremely unlikely, the value of these bonds will continue to decline for the foreseeable future. Please leave your thoughts comments and a like if you enjoyed this post! Happy Trading and may the market move in your favor.
OANDA:USB02YUSDShort
by IceTrading
AUDNZD - Weekly SetupWe might have found a Bottom on AUDNZD - the Reversals (BlueCandle) are more frequent also the Support Level is holding on leveling up :) overall this Setup on the Weekly is highly profitable giving us a nice equity risk over 4% - personally i don't like such high equityrisks i stay true to max 4% TP1 area is the yearly Pivot point and Point of Control - a quite good spot to take off ~20-30% off the position TP2 is our previous weekly Resistance point (red dotted line) so here also 20-30% off Leaving us with 40-60% of our original position to take away 820.9pips profit! Once TP1 area is reached move SL higher, once TP2 is reached TP1 is now the SL
Long
by Mayvune
EURGBP // ICT based Monthly long term analysis (multi-scenario)Okay let's have a look at what we can see happening. EURGBP stabbed into the bearish orderblock as shown in the chart on the 7th & 8th month. The 9th month (right now) is the logical reaction of the move away from the bearish orderblock. - The formation of the bearish orderblock happened above 0.835 , meaning this will likely be absolute max for the wicks/shadows of the next swing high (which when the analysis is correct, will likely take a couple of years from now to occur). - Threats for the move down are the 0.805 and 0.792 levels. Respectively they have formed rather explosive upmoves in the past. With months that went well over 13.000 pips into the other direction. So keep them and levels just above them in your alerts if you're bearish. - Furthermore: if we see a response off of either the 0.805 or the 0.792 levels we'll have to see a strong rejection off the current bearish orderblock we're in. If we don't, it's possible that we'll break the tops and return into a bullish trend not visiting the 0.67950 . I'll keep monitoring the EURGBP long term so I'll be happy to keep this idea updated. Thanks for reading and I hope this was helpful to you. Trade with care. Best regards,
Short
by UnknownUnicorn468659
[Daily] Potential Bullish Gartley formation in process? Hello everyone! Here we have potential Gartley pattern setting up. To clarify some things, first of all we need to take in consideration that B leg would be still valid even if it extends beyond 1.0908 level. but we have to make sure that we don't see candle close below 1.0749 mark-then it would invalidate this patter .So pretty much we have a space to breathe, however if the 1.0908 was the final B leg retracment, then we might be on our way up, in longer term targeting 1.1345-1.1450 area for potential C point completion. After that D leg is down at major support zone @ 1,0725, adding more for those looking to build a case for potential longer term buying opportunities. Take care, and trade smart ! FX Twist
by FX_Twist
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