Long-Term Gold Price Channel Analysis (Gold Spot / USD)FX_IDC:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
This is a candlestick analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) for 6 months that goes through historical data from the 1930s . It makes use of a logarithmic scale and appears key support and resistance levels, as well as regression trendlines, that facilitate long-term price continuity.The purple trendlines depict varying channels in Fibonacci from -1 to 1.5 so that one can observe the key zones of support and resistance that gold has usually adhered to in the past.The center line (0) is represented in black and is the median of all the previous actions, where the price usually stays.Spring lines denote the significant price levels: $1,345.42 is a long-term lower support and $3,736.64 is an upper resistance level if we take into account the historical track record for a particular stock .The current price index is around $2,647.99 , with the stock having moved in a dominant upward trend (+13.82% this quarter).The vision of the future: If we are seeing a downtrend period in gold’s history, there is a fairly good possibility of a developing uptrend that will take gold near resistance price at the upper channel which is expected around 2030. This format is combined with historical trends and is a projection of the future price movements that all together provide a broader perspective to investors.
Longtermtrends
US Dollar Has Entered Its Next Multi-Year Bear CycleWe are only 1 or 2 years away from another full-blown global competition for currency devaluation.
The next crisis will NOT be like 2008. In 2008 we began the crisis with the US Dollar Index (DXY) at an all-time record low and the crisis caused a flood into the dollar. Where we are now is much more similar to 2000: High dollar, high stock market, quiet commodities market, incoming easy money policies.
Additionally, the Fed is acting very preemptively. They will not wait until recession is blatant before they take action (like in 2008), they're already doing QE4, which means if the economy turns lower even more ---> they will launch an official and permanent asset purchasing program in order to keep rates low.
We are at the beginning of the end game now: Which is a global race to devalue the currency in order to keep asset prices up and to enable insolvent governments to continue to print and borrow. The global banking system will soon need massive central bank interventions, bigger than anything we've seen before. Look for a new all-time low in the DXY below 70 to be set before the mid-2020s.