Longtrade
NF - Strong recovery for Gold !! ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) is consolidating near a two-week high during the Asian session on Friday. Investors are waiting for the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report from the United States, which will influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions and impact gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recovered strongly this week thanks to economic news beneficial to Gold. NF continues to be forecast to help Gold prices recover above the $2400 area at the end of the week
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2352 - $2350 SL $2345
TP1: $2360
TP2: $2368
TP3: $2375
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2399 - $2401 SL $2406
TP1: $2390
TP2: $2380
TP3: $2370
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
AUDNZD - Look for Continuation Long (SWING) 1:4!The price is currently forming a symmetrical triangle chart pattern on the Daily Time Frame (DTF) for AUDNZD. The strategy involves waiting for the price to convincingly break the descending trendline (TL) and exercising patience within the demand zone before initiating a trade. This analysis is particularly relevant on higher timeframes such as H4 and D.
Additional support for this setup comes from a Double Bottom Chart Pattern on the Daily (D) timeframe and the presence of a weekly (W) trendline. This is considered a promising setup, contingent on certain conditions. It's essential for swing traders to implement proper risk management, setting a Stop Loss (SL) around 40 pips. However, it's important to note that a breakout may not occur immediately, especially considering that AUDNZD is classified as a minor currency pair.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Gold price is positive based on US economic data⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from a three-week low and trades within a narrow range during the Asian session. Bullish traders are favored due to expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this year, supported by recent US macro data indicating a slowdown in manufacturing activity and the economy. This has resulted in the US Dollar (USD) declining to a near two-month low, benefiting gold as a safe-haven asset.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is positive thanks to good economic data at the beginning of the week for Gold - large amplitude sideway. The H4 long-term framework still supports continued decline and correction
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2325 - $2327 SL $2320
TP1: $2335
TP2: $2342
TP3: $2350
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2374 - $2376 SL $2381
TP1: $2360
TP2: $2350
TP3: $2340
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Economic data is supporting Gold - increase⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises on Friday due to a weaker US dollar and lower US yields. Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates following weak US GDP data. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East may also boost gold as a safe-haven asset. Later, gold traders will monitor the US Core PCE figure for April, which is expected to show an increase in inflation. If the data is higher than expected, it could support the US dollar and limit gold price gains.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices rebound after economic data that is not good for the dollar this week - expect the recovery to continue on Friday
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2317 - $2315 SL $2312 scalping
TP1: $2322
TP2: $2326
TP3: $2330
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2361 - $2363 SL $2366
TP1: $2357
TP2: $2353
TP3: $2348
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2373 - $2375 SL $2380
TP1: $2368
TP2: $2360
TP3: $2350
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
IMX Long Trade SetupCurrent Situation:
IMX has experienced a sell-off this week but might be poised for a reversal. The current ENTRY box offers a favorable setup, incorporating multiple levels of confluence such as trend, 0.786 Fib, horizontal supports, and a reset Stochastic RSI on 12-hour and daily timeframes.
Trade Strategy:
Entry Point: Enter a long position within the $2.15 to $2.10 range.
Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $2.26
Second Target: $2.39
Third Target: $2.53
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss at a candle close under $2.09 to manage risk.
Risk Management:
Watch for weakness into the ENTRY box to reduce stop-loss risk.
Be mindful of leverage, as losses are amplified if the trade goes against you.
Alternative Long Zone:
If the current setup fails and IMX drops further, consider entering a long position in the $2.03 to $1.99 region.
Stay cautious and good luck with your trading! 📊📈
#Crypto #IMX #Trading #LongTrade #EntryPoint #TakeProfit #StopLoss #MarketAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #Blockchain
Gold recovered slightly - XAU increased⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises on Tuesday after hitting two-week lows of $2,325. The increase is supported by a weaker US Dollar (USD) and safe-haven demand due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. However, higher short-term Treasury yields and strong US economic data may strengthen the USD. Traders are cautious ahead of key US inflation data this week. The US Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence and speeches from Fed officials are scheduled for Tuesday. The US Core PCE Price Index on Friday will be closely watched. If there are more hawkish comments from the Fed and signs of persistent inflation, traders may reconsider expectations of a rate cut, leading to a stronger USD and downward pressure on gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recovered slightly at the beginning of the week when there was not much important economic news, mainly sideways
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2334 - $2336 SL $2330 scalping
TP1: $2342
TP2: $2350
TP3: $2360
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2309 - $2307 SL $2302
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2322
TP3: $2330
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2378 - $2380 SL $2385
TP1: $2370
TP2: $2360
TP3: $2350
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price continues to trend UP !! XAU INCREASE⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold rose due to a weaker US Dollar. The recent CPI report indicated slower inflation in the US, leading to expectations of rate cuts by the Fed. Lower interest rates benefit gold investment. Traders will monitor various economic indicators and speeches by Fed officials, which could impact the US Dollar and limit gold's potential gains.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Yesterday's economic data such as CPI contributed to a stable increase in Gold. The long-term H4 frame shows that Gold continues to increase, returning to the old peak of 2430 is entirely possible.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2365 - $2367 SL $2360
TP1: $2375
TP2: $2390
TP3: $2410
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2410 - $2412 SL $2417
TP1: $2400
TP2: $2392
TP3: $2380
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
CPI, an opportunity for Gold prices to continue to increase⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The gold price (XAU/USD) rose slightly due to a weaker US Dollar (USD). Factors like strong demand, central bank purchases, and geopolitical risks in the Middle East supported gold. However, hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell's suggestion of higher interest rates for a longer period, may push gold lower in the short term.
Later today, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April will be released, providing insight into the timing of the Fed's rate adjustments. Additionally, Retail Sales for April will be published, offering information on consumer spending trends. If inflation data exceeds expectations, the Fed may adopt a more aggressive stance, strengthening the Greenback and putting pressure on USD-denominated gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Today's CPI data continues to be evaluated by experts in favor of Gold. Gold price is still moving within the H4 long-term price increase range. Today's expected resistance levels are $2376, $2390
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2346 - $2348 SL $2343 scalping (European and Asian sessions )
TP1: $2352
TP2: $2358
TP3: $2370
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2376 - $2378 SL $2381( scalping )(European and Asian sessions )
TP1: $2370
TP2: $2365
TP3: $2358
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2390 - $2392 SL $2397
TP1: $2380
TP2: $2370
TP3: $2358
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
BREAK 2330, Gold price recovered and increased⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises on Friday amid expectations of a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut due to a weakening labor market and increasing geopolitical concerns. However, hawkish US Fed talks and a stronger US dollar could pressure gold prices. Traders await the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May and speeches from Fed's Bowman, Goolsbee, and Barr. The upcoming US CPI report will also garner attention.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price did not return to the $2300 area but rebounded, broke the BREAK, and recovered again. Prioritize the upcoming UP trend
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2330 - $2328 SL $2323
TP1: $2340
TP2: $2350
TP3: $2360
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2364 - $2366 SL $2371
TP1: $2355
TP2: $2340
TP3: $2330
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Military tension - positive Gold price ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold's value is on the rise, driven by a weaker US dollar following recent Nonfarm Payrolls data that suggests possible Federal Reserve rate cuts. This situation could make gold cheaper for foreign buyers, with strong demand from central banks and Asian markets further supporting gold prices. Persistent Middle East tensions could also increase gold's appeal as a safe haven. However, any hawkish remarks from Fed officials, such as Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari, could bolster the USD and negatively impact gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Although it is in a DOWN trend, the tension of the Israeli war has caused the price of Gold to rebound and have gradually larger buying volume.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2306 - $2304 SL $2299
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2330
TP3: $2345
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2345 - $2347 SL $2352
TP1: $2335
TP2: $2322
TP3: $2310
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU recovery after FOMC !!⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices surged above $2,300 as the Federal Reserve announced a slower balance sheet reduction and provided no indication of lowering interest rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that rate cuts would only be considered once inflation reaches its 2% target.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered above $2,300 after the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. keeping interest rates unchanged - the economy is still facing many difficulties, Gold continues to become a safe investment channel and has the trust of investors.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2307 - $2309 SL $2304 scalping ( Use the Asian and European trading sessions )
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2320
TP3: $2325
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2340 - $2342 SL $2347
TP1: $2332
TP2: $2325
TP3: $2315
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Swing Set up - Long - USDJYTaking a buy position at 154.759. I haven't seen too many signs showing any weakening in this pair. We are about to break through a previous old high, I'll be holding this trade up until the 164 area or until I see serious signs of weakness on this pair, for now I'm long and will continue to trade with the trend. Let me know your thoughts or if you see something different. Happy trading!
🔥 20% - 30% Upside Potential | ICICIPRU🔥 20% - 30% Upside Potential | NSE:ICICIPRULI
✅ Buy Level - Rs 510- Rs 520
✅ SL - Rs 475
✅ Target - Rs 568/649/728
✅ Ascending Triangle Formation
✅ Golden Crossover at 1 Day Timeframe
Trade :-
✅ Buy Future Rs 510- Rs 520
✅ Buy Equity
✅ Buy 575 CE @ Rs 10-15 | CMP Rs 13
Look at the chart for more information
#JUP/USDT SPOT LONG ENTRYBINANCE:JUPUSDT
#JUP/USDT SPOT LONG ENTRY
Leverage: 1x
Entries: $1.8397
Take profit 1: $1.3659
Take profit 2: $1.4888
Take profit 3: $1.7814
Stop Loss: $0.9893
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
Thanks
The sroced.
Military tensions - Gold prices continue to increase✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 4/22 - 4/26/2024
🔥 World situation:
The price of gold surged to a new high above $2,400 as tensions between Israel and Iran in the Middle East escalated. The uncertainty surrounding the conflict led investors to seek the safety of gold, pushing prices up to $2,417 per troy ounce. However, the rally was short-lived as Tehran announced that it had no intention of retaliating.
Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,394, showing a gain of 0.70%. Gold experienced a volatile swing of $44.00 as traders processed the developments from Friday. Despite recent comments from Federal Reserve officials indicating a more neutral stance on inflation, the decline in US Treasury bond yields and the weakening US dollar are keeping gold prices supported.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price maintains a stable increase in the H4 time frame. Along with Middle East military tensions, Gold price continues to have a huge upward momentum.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2430, $2468, $2487
Support : $2360, $2306
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold is stuck in 2 trend lines ! Uptrend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold skyrockets to approximately $2,410 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Friday. The precious yellow metal, considered a safe-haven asset, gains traction as market participants grow increasingly risk-averse due to the news from ABC News confirming that Israeli missiles have struck a location in Iran. This development further escalates tensions in the Middle East.
As per Reuters, who cites Iran's Fars News Agency, local residents have reported hearing explosions at Isfahan airport, located in the central region. However, the cause of these explosions remains undisclosed. Investigations are currently underway to ascertain the specific details surrounding the incident.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold's 2 Uptrend lines continue, Gold price remains stable. In the context of a very close war, GOLD PRICES have more motivation to increase in price
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2362 - $2360 SL $2355
TP1: $2380
TP2: $2400
TP3: $2430
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2429 - $2431 SL $2436
TP1: $2420
TP2: $2412
TP3: $2400
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Strong Buy Petronet cmp 214, target 300, Timeframe 1 month.Petronet is into developing, designing, construction, operation of owned and import Liquified Natural Gas(LNG) terminals in India.
The company is in the niche business of transportation, storage and regasification of LNG. It owns and operates 2 regasification terminals at Dahej (Gujarat) and Kochi (Kerala) with a combined capacity of 22.5 MMTPA. It accounts for 40% of gas supplies in the country and handles ~75% of LNG imports in India. The company's major customers are GAIL, IOCL and BPCL.
Petronet LNG has pioneered the concept of consumption of LNG as liquid ONLY in long distance heavy duty trucks and inter city buses. Small Scale LNG (SSLNG) includes supply of natural gas in the form of LNG to small consumers through unconventional transportation methods like trucks, small vessels etc
Petronet is taking initiatives for promoting environment friendly LNG as a fuel in road transportation. It has commissioned India's first LNG dispenser stations inside Dahej & Kochi LNG terminals and has also commissioned the first commercially approved LNG powered buses of the Country.It has signed MOU's with IOCL, Indraprastha Gas Limited, Sabarmati Gas Limited, State Roadways Corporation like KSRTC for running few buses on LNG and establishing LNG dispensing stations at their locations.
Petronet LNG is planning for construction of LNG regasification terminal at Bangladesh. It has submitted detailed feasibility report for construction of storage and gasification terminal in South Andaman. Similarly it is planning for setting up a Floating storage & regasification terminal at Colombo, Sri Lanka along with Japanese consortium.
Petronet is planning for expansion of the capacities at Dahej Terminal to 22.5 MMTPA from the current 17.5 MMTPA.
Key Ratios:
ROCE - 26.6 %
ROE - 22.8 %
EPS - ₹ 22.7
Dividend Yield - 3.27 %
Debt to equity - 0.20
Price to book value - 2.00
Stock P/E - 9.44
Industry PE - 18.1
Conclusion:
With such a high ROCE and good dividend yield, Petronet is just trading at PE of 9.44 which is considerably undervalued as compared to Industry PE of 18. Technically the stock is poised to give a sharp movement upside as it started rising from strong support zone which is a double bottom pattern and the trend bullish structure is intact. Earlier the breakout of trendline is acting as as support. Trendline connecting lows was taken out for a few days only to grab a liquidity and exit weak hand and to retest strong support levels and from there it has risen sharply with high volumes and it iss again above lower trendline indicating a sharp reversal and good momentum to follow in coming days. The target expected is 300 in timeframe of 1 month which comes to 40% return in just 1 month.
Strong Buy Aartiinds cmp 645, target 740-745 in 10-15 sessionsAarti Industries Ltd manufactures and deals in Speciality Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals. Company has 21+ manufacturing units, 100+ products, 700+ domestic customers, 400+ export customers in 60+ countries with major presence in the USA, Europe, Japan, etc.
Product Profile:
a) Special Chemicals: Benzene, toluene, nitric acid, chlorine, methanol, aniline, sulphur, etc.
b) Pharmaceuticals: API, Intermediates, Xanthine Derivatives, CDMO
User Industries:
Polymer and additives, agrochemicals and intermediates, dyes, pigments, paints, and printing inks, pharma intermediates, fuel additives, rubber chemicals, resins, etc.
Clientele:
a) Polymers and Additives: BASF, Sojitz, Solvay, Teijin, Toray, Dupont, Sabia, Dic
b) Pigments, Paints, Printing Inks and Dyes: Huntsman, Clariant, Atul, Archroma, Sun Chemical, Sudarshan
c) Agro Intermediates & Fertilizers: Bayer, Sygenta, UPL, Gharda Chemicals, FMC, Makhteshim, Coromandel
Segmental Revenue:
In FY22, company generated revenue from Speciality Chemicals 84% and Pharmaceuticals 16%
Geographical Revenue Split:
In FY22, company generated revenue from Exports 44% which consisted of revenues from North America 11%, Europe 11%, China 5%, Japan 3% and rest of the world 11%
Demerger:
On 30th January 2023, company demerged its Pharma entity into a separate company viz. Aarti PharmLabs Limited after getting approval from NCLT Ahmedabad. Shareholders of the demerged company received 1 equity share of Rs. 5/- of the
Resulting Company for every 4 equity shares of Rs. 5/- held in the Demerged Company
Future Projects:
Company is adding new chemistries and 40+ Value added products for Chemical by doing CAPEX of Rs. 2,500-3,000 crore, and also doing site development work on 100+ acre land at Jhagadia, which is expected to be completed by FY24. These include:
a) USFDA capacity expansion underway: API unit at Tarapur and intermediate unit at Vapi
b) Expansion cum asset upgradation for acid unit at Vapi
c) Expansion, asset restoration, sustainability initiatives, etc.
d) Unit at Jhagadia for 3rd long-term contract
e) NCB capacity expansion at Vapi
Partnership:
On November 19th 2022, company signed a binding term-sheet with Deepak Fertilizers (DFPCL), for Nitric Acid off take and supply arrangement valued over ~Rs. 8,000 crore for a 20-year period. DFPCL will supply Nitric Acid to the company, at formula driven international prices from 1st April 2023
18th January, 2024: Aarti Industries Limited (AIL) announces the signing of a long-term agreement with a multinational conglomerate for supply of a niche speciality chemical. The contract entails supply over a period of four years and is anticipated to generate revenue of over Rs. 6000 crores for the Company.
Financial Performance:
Aarti Industries exhibited strong resilience and delivered robust performance with a 16% increase in absolute EBITDA compared to the previous quarter. Revenues increased by 2% to Rs. 1,597 crore in Q2 FY24 compared to the previous quarter. EBITDA grew by 16% on a Q-o-Q basis to Rs. 233 crore in Q2 FY24. Profit after tax stood at Rs. 91 crore in Q2 FY24, higher by 30% over the previous quarter.
Aarti Industries maintains optimism about potential demand revival in end-use segments such as agrochemical, polymer additives, and other discretionary applications. The company expects better performance in H2 FY24 and foresees FY25 as a normalizing year considering the current pace of recovery. The export market is showing stronger momentum compared to the domestic market. The company expects to sustain and grow its market share in the export market.
The demand for octane boosters, a key product, is growing, and the company expects to sustain and grow this demand. The company anticipates a gradual recovery in global demand and a decrease in competitive intensity. The company is progressing well with various expansion projects and expects to commission them in a phased manner from next year. Aarti Industries is committed to deploying Rs. 2,500 to 3,000 crore for growth initiatives over a two-year period.
The company is targeting commissioning of the ethylation and nitrotoluene projects in Q1 FY25. Margins have improved due to a better product mix and the recovery in demand for certain products. The company expects the bottoming out of margins in the first quarter and a gradual improvement going forward. The company is focused on optimizing staff costs and other expenses.The company expects FY25 to see a progressive increase in volume and EBITDA, with a quarter-on-quarter improvement in performance. The company expects to see a gradual recovery in volumes and margins in the second half of FY24.The net debt is expected to peak at around Rs. 2,700-2,900 crore in FY24. The company expects to see a normalization of business in FY25 as the demand recovers and inventory correction is completed. The company expects volume growth across various product lines in FY25, leading to an improvement in performance. The company's exports are predominantly to regular markets, with non-regular markets accounting for around 10% of exports. Margins in non-regular markets are generally lower, but the company expects the benefit of regular markets to accrue in the future.
Conclusion:
The company has a strong potential to grow as it has already signed big revenue contracts for long term and looking at a growth prospects, the share price can easily reach 900 in matter of 2 months. However for a technical trade, we see a good upside momentum and strong buying pattern, completing a big U-shaped recovery and expecting a target of 740-745 in next 10-15 trading sessions max.