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Longvolatility

Long $UVXY 6x- 20x gains ahead?Finally got the reversal I've been looking for in $UVXY. My entry was at $23 and I think we have a large move ahead of us. If we look at the chart, we have our first green flat bottomed Heikin Ashi candle. Normally with a move like today's people are exiting puts and shorting UVXY, but I think this move is just starting and vol is about to become unpinned. Over the coming 1-2 months, I think we can see 6x-20x gains through UVXY. I'm looking for price to test at a minimum the $168 level and reach a potential high of $457. I'll start taking profits in the $168-242 range and see if we can get all the way up to the top of the range. Playing this both through a large spot position and through options. Let's see what happens in the coming months.
AMEX:UVXY
by benjihyam
79
BTC - INDECISION IS KING BUT VOLA IS LOW, WHAT TO DO? OPTION #2Hello, this is a relatively new token (I would call it index though) very very very interesting because it replicates the VXX index of traditional financial markets, which is based on VIX (SP500 implied volatility). In the same way, this index is linked to bitcoin implied volatility. It is only available on the exchange you see. Basically, this index will gain if vola increases. It has been going down because vola actually disappeared from the halving afterwards. But now Vola is too low not to expect a spike soon. So, already said about my other strategy in times of low vola (see the linked idea), this token offers us another way to speculate on volatility movements. Here is current level of 24hvola on BTC I am buying this idex at current levels, and will increase my positions in the following days until the vola spike does not occur! Then I will sell it. As you see from the circled area, the potential gain can be really interesting (that is what happened during the volatility spike due to covid), while downsides are limited in this particular moment, since volatility is too low now and can has not much room to decrease further. Let me know if you knew this index and what do you think about it.
FTX:BVOLUSDLong
by edutradinguru
5
BTCMOVE: Scalp long volatility Market is boring, bitcoin doesn't move, so, on the one hand I can only wait for some movement and react to it after, but on the other hand I can react on the waiting of the movement itself (or no movement), i.e long / short volatility. I think there should be some kind of strong movement soon, so I've decided to long BTCMOVEWK0501 contract (straddle) on FTX with strike at $7483. Hope to catch 10% movement, invalidation - falling 4-5% below, I follow the position closely. Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thank you. Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
BLong
by Bitduke
OPENING: VXX 14/15 JANUARY 17TH ZEBRAWith VIX hovering around 2019 lows, re-upping with another "Zebra" ... . Metrics: Max Profit: Undefined Max Loss: $221/setup Break Even: 15.23 Delta/Theta: 85.16/-1.07 Notes: There are several different ways to look at this trade: (a) as a long call vertical + an additional long call; (b) long calls, the cost of which is cut by selling a short against; or (c) a synthetic long stock position (at least on setup, since its delta is dynamic). In any event, looking for a pop between now and expiry. Take profit on these is subjective, since it's awfully hard to tell when VIX has topped out and max profit in the setup is "theoretically infinite" due to the additional long call present in the spread.
AMEX:VXXLong
by NaughtyPines
5
Time to go LONG VIX! The VIX is a volatility index based on the S&P 500. It has recently hit lows and is nearing the all-time low. The last few times it hit this low around 12 or so it rebounded up to 22-24. That doesn't mean that just because we hit that level we will rebound up to the highs and the S&P 500 drop. After a few rotations, we do see a pop and last time that pop brought the S&P 500 down to 2900 and this time the SPX is rolling over potentially to 3030, meaning VIX has the opportunity to pop. The more the VIX holds down at this level the more the spring will coil for the pop.
CBOE:VIXLong
by TRADEPROAcademy
DYNAMIC STRADDLE: USDJPY & GBPJPY - TP FROM BOJ & FOMC EVENT VOLThe best Idea to play BOJ and FOMC from a risk-averse perspective is to own both in a Long Straddle Strategy Dynamic Straddle: Long USDJPY & Short GBPJPY - TP from volatility & Event likely hoods TP levels = cannot be greedy else you may miss one trades exit point so <25 pips when it goes in your direction for each - total TP = 50pips as 2*25pips Reasoning - Traditional Straddle involves would be long and short the SAME cross.. - However i suggest we long USDJPY as UJ has proportionately MORE upside possibility: 1. FOMC is likely to be neutral-Hawkish, this will help UJ trade flat/ higher = Supports long - - *FOMC PARADOX* important to note that in this sensitive risk-off market if the FED is too hawkish/ hikes it can cause a UJ sell off, as higher rates means greater economic/ market uncertainty as liquidity and financing becomes tighter (despite rate hiking usually making USD trade higher through increased $ deposit demand for higher rates) 2. BOJ is likely to be dovish, this will help UJ to trade higher (especially in this risk averse market - easing helps calm mrkts) = supports long 3. USDJPY ISNT directly impacted by BREXIT fears as GBPJPY as USD and JPY can be considered safety assets, this helps USDJPY trade higher = supports long So we have 3/3 for long USDJPY. - Now to hedge this trade AND benefit from possible downside, we SHORT GBPJPY as GJ has proportionately MORE downside possibility. 1. FOMC neutral-hawkish, drives risk-off momentum (higher rates reduces market liquidity and undermines economic growth thus increasing uncertainty) which drives demand for Yen/JPY, increased demand for JPY supports short GBPJPY 2. BOJ being dovish/ easing potentially helps JPY sell off - however, GBPJPY will be the least sensitive of JPY seller of the JPY crosses, as GBPJPY is the perfect play for Brexit and risk-off, hence in the long run JPY selling wont last long in GBPJPY as once JPY is cheap, buyers will enter to continue hedging/ speculating on brexit with the favourite pair, poor potential/ long run JPY sell side = supports gbpjpy short 3. GBPJPY is directly impacted by Brexit uncertainty in two ways. 1) as investors wish to sell GBP as the uncertainty is only negative for GBP (especially when polls are at 55%). 2) as Investors wish to buy JPY for their "safe haven" asset play. UJ only has the JPY buying to push it lower, which is limited/ offset further as USD buying can also be considered a "safe haven asset) = Supports short GBPJPY We have 3/3 for short GBPJPY Evaluation. - We have 3 points supporting both LONG UJ and SHORT GJ - AND by playing this trade we are able to gain from ALL eventualities, we dont have to guess the BOJ or FOMC outcomes since we have a LONG and a SHORT we have covered ALL eventualities. - Also from a vol perspective, GBPJPY risk reversals continue to become negative by a significant amount 1wks lost 0.6 to -2.1 (from -1.5), so investors continue to demand GBPJPY downside puts for speculation/ hedging - supporting the short. - USDJPY ATM volatility, sold off significantly with 1wks losing 3.55 to 12.45 - lower vol in UJ supports buying. *Any questions on why i think FOMC will be neutral-Hawkish or why BOJ will be dovish-easing please ask in the comments*
by QuantumLogicTrading