Loonie
USDCAD resistance confluenceFollowing the dovish BoC & pump in the USDCAD, it came into a key area.
The 50% retrace of the November->January decline.
The median line in this long-term pitchfork, which has been incredibly clean
Pivot zone around ~1.3125 & 1.3135
Reversal candlestick pattern adds another potential bearish indicator
4hr pitchfork
USD/CAD closing down on the key short-term resistance areaThe USD/CAD has burst higher today on the dovish Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policy statement. Compared to this morning’s price, USD/CAD trades more than 100 pips higher. The pair is now approaching the key short-term area at $1.3160, where the 2-year ascending trend line and the 200-DMA intersect. Watch the reaction closely for future clues.
Loonie On Weekly Correction But Need Price Rejection For ReversaUSDCAD has been on weekly corrections since Dec 2018. Now that price is on the lower channel, will there be a reversal? Now waiting for a weekly reversal candle
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
USD/CAD waiting for BreakoutAccording to the hot news, the oil price jumped high which is should be support Loonie, so USD/CAD should be bearish.
Another news, US will cut the interest rate on 19 Sept, 2019. So USD/CAD should be bearish.
So, the conclusion is, sell usd/cad right now, but set a stop loss because nobody know where's the market go.
If Fibo 0.618 crossed => bullish breakout
If Fibo 0.382 crossed => bearish breakout
*Use MA 50,100,200 to confirm the signal
Dont forget to use MONEY MANAGEMENT. Goodluck! :D
ORBEX: Investors Brush-Off USMCA Headlines! Softening Dollar?JGB yields brushed off USMCA headlines yesterday and took a positive turn above the zero mark! JGB's haven't been positive since March 2019!
Is this hinting that investors turn optimistic on global economies? Or just a shot-lived surge own to auction?
Supported by impeachment uncertainty and poor US data yen rose against the greenback yesterday, however, the pound continued sliding on the back of no-deal risks.
Will the US and UK GDP figures change the short-term outlook?
Canadian retails are also due and they could be causing some short-term moves. Will they help loonie strengthen further?
Timestamps
USDJPY 1H 01:30
GBPUSD 1H 04:00
USDCAD 1H 05:40
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
Loonie Still Trading in the RangeThe Canadian dollar has been under pressure after the recent disappointing Canadian jobs report.
On the 4-hour chart USD/CAD is staying in a range of 1.3158 - 1.3327, so our intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, a clear break of 1.3158 will extend the decline from 1.3327 for retesting 1.3042 low. On other side, a sustainable break above 1.3327 should resume the rise form 1.3042 and target 1.3382 (Sept. high) key resistance after that.
The currency pair is trading below its H4 100 and 50 SMAs. Stochastic indicator is in oversold area on both H4 and daily charts. We prefer range trading strategy with Buy at the lower boundary of the range and Sell on the upper line with tight SLs.
GBP/CAD Market Situation And Future Swing ProbabilitiesPositive expectations for the upcoming U.K. general elections could keep sterling supported throughout the session, especially if polls continue to confirm the Tories’ lead. A couple of medium-tier reports from the U.K weren't actually impressive. Monthly GDP was above the previous but QoQ and YoY were lower than previous no good changes. The construction site wasn't doing good. Industrial Production and manufacturing were only better than previous but trade balance ended up the deficit for the Oct. Economic release were mix but the prospect of more opinion polls confirming a lead by the Tories may have some weight reason to push the pound higher on this cross pair.
ORBEX: Pound Supported As MRP Vote Share Predicts Tory Win!In today’s market insights I talk about YouGov’s MRP (multi-level regression and post-stratification) poll and how predicting UK’s vote share with 93% accuracy in the past supports the British Pound!
Aside from politics potentially moving the UK markets today, we have important GDP data coming out from Canada too. And this is likely to affect loonie.
The recording explains what I am expecting in the short and also medium-term for both GBPUSD and USDCAD. Don't miss out on information that can help!
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
EURO Vs Loonie (EUR/CAD) Trade Idea and Plan: Bullish biasEUR / CAD has developed higher lows connected by a longer-term upward trend line and also displays lower stochastic lows. This bullish divergence indicates a rebound may occur.
With little eye-catching improvements for leading indicators for the eurozone, in this session, I'm hoping to catch a quick bounce for the shared currency. On the flip side, there might be enough expectations for another dip in Canadian retail sales figures to keep the Loonie on a weak footing.
On top it all off, the resurfacing uncertainty surrounding trade talks between the U.S. and China could hold a veil on gains for commodity currencies and the dollar, reversing the euro may have chances in that case.
ORBEX:Loonie Bid on Poloz As Impeachment Hearing Goes Unnoticed!In today’s market insights video recording I talk about markets’ muted reaction to the impeachment hearings and focus on the assets that moved!
USDCAD was bid on a hawkish Poloz as he lowered down markets' expectations of a Dec rate cut. Loonie was also supported by OPEC+ likely production cut extension.
While at it, I also analyse EURUSD despite it ended the session somewhat muted as volatility increased. We are also minutes before German GDP and Lagarde’s speech!
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
GBPCAD Tea PartyEver seen such a big tea party? Life is all above imagination . Canada’s economic data point to the need for monetary stimulus. Analysts believe that BOC Governor Poloz may finally hint about easing today when he gives a speech in Toronto. The pound has been on a roll as the possibility of a no-deal Brexit becomes more unlikely. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is set to unveil his party’s election manifesto, which could shake the pound up some. 1.7450 that marks areas of interest on the higher time frames.