WAIT before a shortHello traders, usdcad is developing wave 5 and I think that it will at least reach the red resistance that I drew on the chart, if oil should go down usdcad could break the resistance; In the larger picture (DAILY CHART) there is a downtrend but the price broke a speedline demonstrating a new bullish strength.
In addition the shor term trend is bullish and there is a sort of "cup" formation which could push up the price.
Retail traders are 88% short so there are chances for new gains for the pair: remeber you must never trade in the same retail traders' s direction.
I ll keep you updated and do NOT open short trades until wave 5.
Loonie
Loonie, Look for another Buy So far exactly as forecasted 👍
Wait for a correction to find a buy setup again.
Happy Trading & stay green! ✌️
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CADJPY Reversal Chart Pattern For Sure?!Risk appetite appears to have improved somewhat during the Asian session, and the Loonie has been the strongest among the comdoll bunch.
This is likely because the commodity currency is having some strength after Canadian data and a pickup in crude oil as well. After all, there are speculations that the OPEC could consider an increase in output cuts or at least an extension of their agreement in order to prop prices up.
On the flip side, the LYSH yen is losing ground to risk-on flows while also facing the possibility of a Q4 GDP contraction.
With that, I’m looking at this inverted head and shoulders breakout on CAD/JPY, especially since the pair appears to be making a retest of the broken neckline.
If you think that this reversal is about to gain friction from here, shorting in at market with a stop that’s enough to weather the pair’s average daily volatility 50.3 pips could be a good play.
UsdCad to Complete complex corrective Wavethe pair completed an X swing near 1.3320 level, i believe this pair might extend lower in the coming sessions to target 1.29/1.28 in the near term to complete the complex corrective cycle.
this scenario might push oil higher to perform a 3 waves pullback.
good luck
USDCAD - Multiple Short ConfirmationsUSDCAD has been up trending for a number of weeks, bullish momentum being boosted by a weak CAD on Januarys BOC interest rate data.
The daily timeframe is still downtrending however, and we have several indications of a bearish reversal (see annotations)
Long term target is the previous daily low at around 1.296.
USDCAD resistance confluenceFollowing the dovish BoC & pump in the USDCAD, it came into a key area.
The 50% retrace of the November->January decline.
The median line in this long-term pitchfork, which has been incredibly clean
Pivot zone around ~1.3125 & 1.3135
Reversal candlestick pattern adds another potential bearish indicator
4hr pitchfork
USD/CAD closing down on the key short-term resistance areaThe USD/CAD has burst higher today on the dovish Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policy statement. Compared to this morning’s price, USD/CAD trades more than 100 pips higher. The pair is now approaching the key short-term area at $1.3160, where the 2-year ascending trend line and the 200-DMA intersect. Watch the reaction closely for future clues.
Loonie On Weekly Correction But Need Price Rejection For ReversaUSDCAD has been on weekly corrections since Dec 2018. Now that price is on the lower channel, will there be a reversal? Now waiting for a weekly reversal candle
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
USD/CAD waiting for BreakoutAccording to the hot news, the oil price jumped high which is should be support Loonie, so USD/CAD should be bearish.
Another news, US will cut the interest rate on 19 Sept, 2019. So USD/CAD should be bearish.
So, the conclusion is, sell usd/cad right now, but set a stop loss because nobody know where's the market go.
If Fibo 0.618 crossed => bullish breakout
If Fibo 0.382 crossed => bearish breakout
*Use MA 50,100,200 to confirm the signal
Dont forget to use MONEY MANAGEMENT. Goodluck! :D
ORBEX: Investors Brush-Off USMCA Headlines! Softening Dollar?JGB yields brushed off USMCA headlines yesterday and took a positive turn above the zero mark! JGB's haven't been positive since March 2019!
Is this hinting that investors turn optimistic on global economies? Or just a shot-lived surge own to auction?
Supported by impeachment uncertainty and poor US data yen rose against the greenback yesterday, however, the pound continued sliding on the back of no-deal risks.
Will the US and UK GDP figures change the short-term outlook?
Canadian retails are also due and they could be causing some short-term moves. Will they help loonie strengthen further?
Timestamps
USDJPY 1H 01:30
GBPUSD 1H 04:00
USDCAD 1H 05:40
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
Loonie Still Trading in the RangeThe Canadian dollar has been under pressure after the recent disappointing Canadian jobs report.
On the 4-hour chart USD/CAD is staying in a range of 1.3158 - 1.3327, so our intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, a clear break of 1.3158 will extend the decline from 1.3327 for retesting 1.3042 low. On other side, a sustainable break above 1.3327 should resume the rise form 1.3042 and target 1.3382 (Sept. high) key resistance after that.
The currency pair is trading below its H4 100 and 50 SMAs. Stochastic indicator is in oversold area on both H4 and daily charts. We prefer range trading strategy with Buy at the lower boundary of the range and Sell on the upper line with tight SLs.
GBP/CAD Market Situation And Future Swing ProbabilitiesPositive expectations for the upcoming U.K. general elections could keep sterling supported throughout the session, especially if polls continue to confirm the Tories’ lead. A couple of medium-tier reports from the U.K weren't actually impressive. Monthly GDP was above the previous but QoQ and YoY were lower than previous no good changes. The construction site wasn't doing good. Industrial Production and manufacturing were only better than previous but trade balance ended up the deficit for the Oct. Economic release were mix but the prospect of more opinion polls confirming a lead by the Tories may have some weight reason to push the pound higher on this cross pair.