USD/CAD Weekly Update (21 July 2017) * Bear still hold powerDid you follow our USD/CAD bearishness view of last week?
It is still holding true. Now bearishness is somewhat slow down but they are still in control.
We shall not look for aggressive Long at this moment, but it is getting near to ultimate support level of 1.25 region.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
Loonie
USDCAD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHi everyone:
USDCAD has been on my watch for quiet some time now. WE can tell the daily chart is way over extended without a proper pullback/correction. In order for it to continue to drop, it must pullback and form another lower high to continue downward. In the next few weeks, expect a bullish pullback to around 1.2900 level, then we are all going to enter a short position for a long term.
I will be interesting in a bullish pullback, but main focus is the short once price action form a lower high on daily. Keep an eye on any potential long trade this week or next.
Thank you for your support and feedback.
USD/CAD Daily Update (16 July 2017) *Bearishness to overflow
I am Very Bearish for this week. We had another ultra-heavy candle in the weekly.
The momentum is too strong.
Please do not long yet.
The bearishness shall spill over until in 1.26 region at least.
We need at least strong bullish candle to start with, to consider long.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
All eyes on the "loonie" (USDCAD)Earlier Fractology published its bullish view on USDCAD. We were wrong to expect an upside move that soon. As of now, Fractology does not change its bullish analysis and we keep on looking for buying opportunities.
On the chart above there is a chance of forming an expanding ending diagonal which has no other choice but to resolve up.
Secondly, any chart rejects the possibility of a price moving in a straight line without a decent correction. Therefore the lower the pair comes the higher we expect a retracement.
Fractology recommends having a look at NZDCAD which has a similar setup and might surge up this week.
LONG AUDCAD - Aussie Dollar pumping ironLong AUDCAD: Aussie Dollar is looking strong everywhere even against its highly correlated cousins the Kiwi and the Loonie. With AUDNZD already being risk free and half profit booked we can consider this opportunity, the measured target comes in just below the trend line, no doubt a trap for many technical traders. An incomplete bullish sequence means I am only interested in trading this higher, the trend here is clearly higher and that move higher appears to be incomplete so I am looking to buy at the bottom of the current pullback.
USDCAD SELL SETUPHi traders:
Here we have a potential sell setup developing on USDCAD. As we look at the 4 hr chart forming another potential bearish flag pattern, could see a break out down to the lows of 1.3000.
On the higher time frames we can see similar price action forming. Daily chart is also dropping and forming some consolidations before the next bearish move to the down side.
Thank you for your support and feedback.
ALT AB:CD PATTERNTHE PAIR HAS BEEN ON A STEADY UPTREND FOR MONTHS. OIL INVENTORIES ON WED AND IF THE PERSONAL SPENDING AND FINAL Q1 GDP BEATS EXPECTATIONS I CAN SEE THE PAIR ESTABLISHING THE NEW LOW AND AIMING FOR A NEW HIGH PAST 1.37... BUT THERE ARE PLENTY OF CENTRAL BANKERS ON TAB THIS WEEK TO FUCK THINGS UP SO BE CAREFUL.
USDCAD- Market structure. Last week USDCAD was in a counter trend pullback on a decline in oil prices. Price was in an ascending channel making higher highs and higher lows. A weak NFP report for USD caused the end of the rally closing the week at support and the bottom of the channel around 1.35. Start of this week price has already moved below the support making a new low at 1.34500 and bounced. A few scenarios to take place over the week are as follows and are related to the fundamentals of USD & CAD dollars and correlated mainly to the price of US Oil:
Technical Analysis:
There are 3 possible scenarios: 1) Oil up > USDCAD down. 2) Oil falls to support @ $46 then rises > UCAD rises to resistance at 1.35500 and falls (double top reversal pattern). 3) Oil continues to slide below $46 to $45 > UCAD tests the major supply zone (not yet tested), if Oil breaks these zones UCAD will start another uptrend making HH and HL.
Fundamental Analysis:
1) Weaker dollar (Weak NFP, Weak Data, Lower chance of FED rate hike, geopolitical issues (terrorism), etc). 2) CAD news (news this week for CAD, should be better than previous news releases, waiting on pending data to be released.) 3) Oil prices (OPEC continuing to slash production for another 9 months, if oil inventories are continuing to fall Oil should rise). Trying to get oil back to $50/barrel.
USDCAD - Dont Blink or you'll miss itLast one for the night.
USDCAD has had me fooled with this incredible climb it did for about a month straight. Spotted the channel it was in and realized that it to has reached the top. It is currently now consolidating but it won't be long now until it drops back to the lower trend line.