Loonie
LOONIE SHORT IN PLAYAFTER DISMAL JUNE NFP RESULT THE DOLLAR IS ON THE BACKFOOT AGAIN AND WE CAN NOW SEE RESUMPTION OF LOONIE BEARISH TREND WITH PRICE ACTION CERTAINLY SHOWING A BEARISH VIEW,. 5 PRIOR DAILY CANDLES WAS INDICATING TO ME THE BULLS ARE BECOMING EXHAUSTED WITH LONGER UPPER WICKS. EXPECTING NEW LOWS ON THIS PAIR TO KEY STRUCTURE. SELL ANY PULLBACKS IN MY OPINION.
USDCAD - Trend continuation idea for daily correction.Right now price is correcting (on 4h basis) within an upward correction (daily basis) in direction of the downtrend line (on weekly basis). The idea is to trade what could be a final wave up before reaching the trend line.
Watching for a proper price action on bounce area .
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Happy trading!
USD/CAD Breakout of channel short term setupThe recent breakout of the loonie from an exasperatingly stretched descending channel at ~ 1.27, gives hope for some upside. This is a projection of a possible rally following a basic elliot wave path calibrated with fibonacci levels. Shortly after the open this coming week I'll wait for a pullback and then enter long as shown with target at ~ 1.32. This position will obviously need confirmation of the dollar sustaining its current rebound and the fed remaining slightly hawkish with regard to a possible June hike. Moreover, oil prices will have to remain rangebound and not see violent upswings for this setup to work.
USDCAD : tea time waitingMy first forex is GBPJPY, but, it is going up and i miss it..
So during waiting GJ. I am scout new forex and found this USDCAD.
Maybe it will make the 1-2nd wave and going up to 3rd wave.
My plan:
IF it not Lower low than 1.26253, I am waiting to break Trend line and BUY.
After break 1.275, I will put another BUY.
Plan B:
If it going down , Let it be....
Correlation Trade Setting Up Between EURCAD & USDCADCurrent spread is 550 Pips, the widest since mid June 2015.
We will be going Long USDCAD & Short EURCAD
These pairs have been 70% to 96% correlated during the past year. Since they have been recently become uncorrelated we expect the correlation to return shortly.
EURCAD is approximately 25% more volatile than USDCAD therefore your position size for EURCAD should be approximately 70% - 80% your USDCAD position size.
Our algorithm is showing an 89% chance of USDCAD rising over the next 1 - 2 weeks.
Won't Be Surprised To See EURCAD Breakdown SoonEURCAD is forming a wedge/triangle on this daily chart. Of course price can breakout in either direction but I won't be surprised to see it break to the downside. Relative Strength Divergence is indicating this pair wants to run lower. Keep an eye over the next few days and into next week. We will wait for a daily close below or above one of the trendlines before taking action.
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USDCAD - in descent for 11 weeks, time to go long?With oil prices rebounding flow towards commodity currencies was evident. While guessing Crude oil tops is pointless, after 11 weeks and more than 11 % appreciation loonie might be at a resting point.
The Canadian government is to anounce its fiscal stimulus, I believe most positive factors are already priced in, hence I am trying to go long at the weekly 61.8% fib retracement level, trying to get around 3% nominal move.