Demand Zone/Support Break Could Propel Loonie Towards 1.30200!With the long term ascending triangle confirmed being breached on weekly charts, USDCAD will likely try to target 1.30200 level in the near term! However there are two obstacles that are still present which would likely restrict the price from falling further to our target:
1) The important Demand zone/support located at 1.32000 level
2) Long term ascending trendline
For the trade criteria to be met properly, we need both weekly and monthly candle to close below 1.32000 demand zone. This should confirm with high probability that indeed the level has been broken. For the last criteria, the long term ascending trendline also needs to break which should be confirmed by weekly candle breaching it properly.
After all this has taken place, a short trade can be executed with Target being 1.30200 and Stop loss above swing high with risk to reward ratio of 1:1.
Note: This is just an analysis/view and not a trade signal. Once if the criteria is met, trade details would be posted in a separate post. Lets see what happens. Cheers
Loonie
CAD/CHF strong upside to come to 0.7303 - But we need to waitInv Head and Shoulders seems to be forming on the CAD/CHF Minor Currency Pair.
There is a fight between Canada and Swiss Franc and it looks like Canada is preparing the troops for upside in the chart.
We need to wait for the higher low to form (right shoulder).
Then for the price to break above the neckline and it will be breaking above the medium term downtrend.
7>21
Price<200
RSI>50
Target 0.7303
INTERESTING FACT!
Did you know how the CAD Canadian Dollar got it's nickname - Loonie from/
No not that! lol But I know you're thinking it.
The name "loonie" originates from the bird depicted on the one-dollar coin.
The common loon, a bird that is widespread in Canada, was selected as the emblem for the coin, leading to the currency's popular nickname.
The loonie was introduced in 1987 (my brith year) as a cost-saving measure to replace the one-dollar banknote.
Challenges Ahead for USD/CAD Bulls Last night, the Bank of Canada decided to raise its interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to 4.75%. This move came after a pause in the tightening campaign during the two previous meetings. As a result, borrowing costs reached a level not seen in 22 years. Because most of the market, approximately 60%, expected interest rates to remain unchanged, the Canadian dollar (CAD) strengthened against the US dollar (USD) following the news.
The USD experienced a decrease of 0.23% against the CAD. The initial reaction in the USD/CAD exchange rate showed an 80-pip drop, bottoming out at 1.3320. However, the possibility of an additional rate increase by the Federal Reserve in July likely limited the losses. The upcoming release of US inflation data next week, coinciding with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, may provide limited insights into the validity of this possibility.
If there are any further upward movements, reaching the area around 1.3400 could present a challenge for those expecting gains. This is because the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages (MAs) on the 30-minute chart are all moving in their own lanes, indicating that the short-term price won't be fighting the long-term downtrend just yet. The April 14 low of 1.3300 and the aforementioned 1.3320 could be key if the pairs move lower.
Bank of Canada Interest Rate DecisionThe USDCAD traded lower, since the start of June, reversing from the 1.3650 price level, now hovering along the 1.34 price level.
Over the last couple of days, the USDCAD had been in a narrow downward range.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) is due to announce its interest rate decision. With the current rates at 4.50%, there has been speculation that a surprise rate hike could be decided (similar to what happened with the RBA and the AUDUSD).
However, I think that the data might not support such a surprise, with the BoC likely to maintain its current interest rate level.
This is likely to cause the USDCAD to trade higher, from this current area of 1.34 toward the immediate resistance level of 1.35.
USDCAD H4|Exhibiting bullish momentum?USDCAD formed a recent swing-low and has reversed from here. We could see momentum carry price up to our take profit target.
Entry: 1.33898
Why we like it:
There is a recent swing-low support
Stop Loss: 1.33230
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that sits below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Take Profit: 1.34615
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
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AUDUSD - Don't need NY sessionOANDA:AUDUSD
After NY didn't disappoint with its usual tight range, got my 10pips on the AUDUSD on the heels of Asia open.
Yes, I am bitter with the NY session being not friendly to the charts.
They say yeah, "the London/NY overlap is the best," yeah "NY has the highest volume.."
Sure, let the sheep follow.
Im no sheep, I dont buy into that garbage, LOL
VIDEO ✨ NEW: USDCAD ✨ PRE CAD NEWS ✨-SL @ 1.36681 🚫
SLO2 @ 1.3620 ⏳
SLO1 @ 1.3525 ⏳ (half position)
TP1 @ 1.3350
TP2 @ 1.3215
TP3 @ 1.2980
TP4 @ 1.2833
BLO @ 1.2795 ⏳
-SL @ 1.27278 🚫
00:00 PRE CAD NEWS
00:58 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join
01:40 Technical Analysis
02:54 Fundamental Analysis
05:42 Curve Analysis
07:42 News Anticipatory Trend
08:08 Risk-to-Reward
09:44 LIVE STREAM @ 05:15 PT / 08:15 ET 🔥
Joe G2H - NZDCAD at trend resistanceTrade Idea: Selling NZDCAD
Reasoning: Selling into downtrend resistance on the daily chart
Entry Level: 0.8500
Take Profit Level: 0.8405
Stop Loss: 0.8541
Risk/Reward: 2.3/1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
USD/CAD bulls eye 1.3700A strong bullish trend has developed on the 1-hour chart of USD/CAD, which is underscored by its timely yet shallow retracements. It's found support along the 10-bar EMA to show bullish momentum is increasing and the OBV (on balance volume) is trending higher with prices.
A retracement has also found support around the weekly R1 pivot and the high of a prior bullish engulfing candle, whilst holding above the daily pivot point.
The bias is bullish above the daily pivot and for a rally towards 1.3700, with the daily R1` and weekly R2 pivot providing potential targets for bulls just below 1.3700.
USDCAD 4/4/2023We can observe that the price is currently trading near a resistance area. There are two possible scenarios that could play out - the price could rebound from the resistance level and continue to trade within its current range, or it could break below the resistance level and potentially begin a downtrend. To help identify potential levels of support and resistance, we can use Fibonacci speed resistance fan tools. These tools use Fibonacci ratios to identify important levels where the price may rebound or pullback.
However, it's important to keep in mind that there are many factors that can influence currency prices, such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and changes in global market conditions. In the case of the USDCAD pair, both currencies have the potential to be equally strong. The Canadian dollar (CAD) may be supported by soaring oil prices, as Canada is a major exporter of oil. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) may be supported by improving consumer and labor data, as well as hawkish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve.
Let's wait for some data to be released from the US this week. if it's not good enough, the bearish possibility will be even stronger.
USDCAD - LT/MT Idea!CAD - LT/MT Idea!
We have a lot of dollar buying end of flows, end of month. We saw that in most of the majors shifting. What's really key to me is we are seeing US data take a hit US indices, it is time to take into consideration what could happen next with the FX majors. Here's a glimpse of what I think of CAD:
This chart is based purely on Technical aspect.
Currently we within the ranges - Highs: 1.37355 & Lows: 1.32485
A break of highs, we could be forming the pattern W / Break out of wedge/triangle formation
Target areas: 1.38885 & 1.41290
A break of the lows, we break below 50EMA + break out of pattern takes us to 200 EMA + TL
Target areas: 1.30270 & 1.27955
Take into consideration of other FX minor pairs such as CADCHF - Stuck within range, ready to break! There are great opportunities out there for us traders to take advantage, of.
Trade Journal
CAD - Trade idea! CAD - Trade idea!
Another week, another trade opportunity!
USDCAD - Very clear levels.
Currently we are within the ranges. Highs: 1.36600 Lows: 1.35375
A break of key resistance highs, we could go towards 1.37730 areas. However, we if break below the lows and further down below 200 EMA I expect it to reach towards 1.34380.
Keep in mind false breaks out, take a look at crude and most importantly NFP this week!
Trade Journal
USD/CAD turns resistance into supportUSD/CAD trades within a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart, with yesterday’s low forming above a prior resistance level. Prices are also back above the 20-dar EMA and the weekly pivot point, so perhaps we have seen the swing low. Strong economic data from the US could send the pair higher on bets of a more aggressive Fed, with a soft GDP report for Canada also likely to be beneficial to the bullish bias of USD/CAD.
$CAD - Patience $CAD - Interesting...
At this current moment of time we are in a range but - Pattern forming of Flag a break to downside of these ranges to confirm taking CAD towards 1.32/1.31 areas. Good R/R -However, if we break above the TL above 200 EMA would be your target.
Follow your own trade plan.
Trade Journal
USDCAD Bullish Setup - Trade SignalUSDCAD has been sliding within a Complex Corrective Pattern.
This is telling me that an Elliott Wave Impulse could be around the corner.
DXY can bounce for a come-back due to its pending Bullish Divergence.
All other FX-Majors (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, NZDUSD) are onto Reversals.
“Difficult to see; always in motion is the future.” — Yoda
My Loonie Technicals:
* Elliott Wave Complex Correction: Triple Three
* Harmonic Pattern: AB=CD
* 78.6-88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* 127.2-161.8% Fibonacci Extension
* Demand Zone
* Bullish Divergence
USDCAD LONG Signal:
* Aggressive Entry @ 1.3380 with SL @ 1.3150
* Moderate Entry @ with SL @ 1.3050
* TP1 @ 1.3685
* TP2 @ 1.380
* TP3 @ 1.390
* Safety Measure: when in the green, moving SL to BE.
* BUY Stops on the way up, after pull-backs.
Many pips ahead!
Richard, the Wave Jedi.
CADCHF looking upCADCHF was in a big downtrend but major support zone around 0.67800 made price redirect up
The young Uptrend channel is evolving
Price has bounced today from the lower channel line at 0.68604 and is coinciding with the 50 EMA
So we are most likely waiting for the price to bounce higher up to the 0.692x area. Maybe further to 0.71
To add to this analysis, last week's Thursday and Friday Day candles rejected closes below the 0.69 or 0.688 high levels contributing to the Weekly TF close as a bullish engulfing candle with a positive growth twice the size of the previous week.
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* If you like this idea please leave a comment so we can talk about it
* Remember that it´s never a straight line to the target.
* BIG profits to you ALL!!!
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I am happy and grateful to the Universe
and myself for both teaching me how
to trade and multiply my money by thousands
My money grows every day. Thank you
I Like The BuyI like the buy setup for USDCHF. Just enjoyed the 3day swap long payment and boy is it paying well!
Positive swap long, classic break & retest setup, and NFP on the horizons, expecting a boost from consumer spending & christmas jobs created.
Lets go you good thing yeeeeehaw
CADCHF Short? Well Let's see if the market decides to rangeCADCHF has been in a multi month bearish market. It's now at a resistance level on the daily chart, will we see downside out of this price?
Remember certainty is never present in the markets and boy am I uncertain about this one! Lets see what happens...