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Losing

How to go through a LOSING STREAK better? 🍏1. Everything starts with preparation and true expectations. Losing streaks will happen from time to time, accept it if you want to be a good trader. Even the best traders on the planet have them. But it’s the reaction to them that separates good and bad traders. Know your probability of losing streak, based on your own backtesting and accept them before they even happen. Keep longterm focus! 🍋2. Make sure you’re practicing process based trading, not outcome based. Before every trade, ask yourself if anyone in the whole worlds can say the outcome of any individual trade? The answer is obvious - no one can do it. So is it rational to build expectation of a specific market moves in this individual trade, or nearest several trades - that they are completely uncertain and you are working with random distribution of your edge. 🥥3. Once in a streak, remind yourself about your testing. See that over the past 200 or more trades, you were profitable, at least RR wise. These 5-6 losing trades you’re having now are just a very small part of a huge data collection you did before, and they are part of random distribution. 🍈4. In a losing streak, there’s usually an urge to trade more to earn the lost $ amount back. It’s a mistake, as overtrading will lead to only one outcome - even more loss in short or longterm perspective. 🍎5. In the past, I wanted to reach some state of unbreakable consistency, "once and for all", and when I thought I did it, I started to expect things to be easy from now on and not to struggle or put effort, cause now I'm fully consistent. And that was exact moment when everything fell apart. The truth is, at least for me and for now, is that I need to make good decisions - mentally and technically - EVERY DAY and EVERY MOMENT, to actually prove I'm consistent. And consistency is dynamic, I'll continue to work on it, it's like gardening, when you need to put some effort everyday and it's never fixed or done, at least for me.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
3
BTC bitcoinbar chart array; I was looking at this the other day, two days ago, and noticed how solid the background is plus counting the fades there's only 5 out of 10. I also noticed unlike most cryptocurrency that follows through with the entire cycle before madness gains, Bitcoin does not necessarily follow that trend. Bar Chart Arrays are not finite technical indicators. They are more like broad perspectives at times when the main indicators become unusable, unreadable.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Trades Idea for Friday 22 April 2024DISCLAIMER This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose. Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Ideas For 22 April 2024 Trade Idea 1 SELL LIMIT Order: $2400.73 Stop Loss: $2418.17 Take Profit 1: $2383.53 Take Profit 2: $2360.67 Risk per trade: 0.5%. MT4/5 trade expiration: Today 100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out. Reason The first-hour candlestick closes below 21 EMA, hence our bias is to SELL. We will place 1x SELL LIMIT orders at 50% and 38.20%, both stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20% Urgent Message I deeply apologise for the losing streak, I wrote a short article about what happened and a future action plan for the Signal Newsletter moving forward. I have decided to revert to the original mechanical trading strategy. The current strategy's lower win rate has led to multiple losing streaks. To minimize further losses, I will provide only one trade signal daily. The core strategy remains unchanged, but I will eliminate trade No. 1 entirely. I apologize for any inconvenience. Let's stay focused and work diligently towards our common goal. April 2024 Trade Results P&L for the month: -10.25R 02 April no.1: +1.25R 04 April no.1: +0.5R 05 April no.1: -1R 05 April no.2: -1R 10 April no.1: -1R 10 April no.2: -1R 11 April no.1: -1R 11 April no.2: -1R 12 April no.1: -1R 12 April no.2: -1R 15 April no.2: Running 17 April no.1: -1R 17 April no.2: -1R 18 April no.1: -1R 18 April no.2: -1R The year 2024 Trade Results January: +2.6R February: +3.35R March: -2.90R
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Barry_Games_Trading
Top 3 Reasons Traders Lose or Give Up1). Over-trading and Random trading. Most people and traders think in order to make money as a trader you have to be trading all the time. If you are simply watching the market, you are missing out, or not doing your job by not trading it. This leads to over trading, and trading randomly or outside of your edge. Any trades taken that are not apart of your trading plan and do not align with your clearly defined edge, should be considered random trading. This is common after losing, because the natural tendency to want to make back what you lost. This only compounds mistakes and adds to the losses, making it even harder to recover both emotionally and financially. Being excited or eager to trade is normal, especially for beginners who are drawn to the profit potential. We are all in the market to make money, and if you are not in the market you are not making money. But more often than not, being out of the market is the right thing to do. It is often better to not make any money, than to lose it! By understanding, developing, and only trading your edge you increase your likelihood of earning a consistent income. Remember, all edges have a failure rate between 40-60%. So it is important to not jump back into the market after losing, until the next time your edge sets up. If you do not know what your edge is, you should only trade SIM or not at all until you develop one. 2). Scalping or Not Allowing for Windfall Profits. There is an old saying on Wall Street "you cant go broke taking profits." But you absolutely can go broke by taking profits, primarily when your losses are bigger than your wins. It has become common these days for people to advocate scalping. But they do not understand that the math is against them. They think since the high frequency trading firms are scalping for ticks or a point, that they should too. But a retail trader cannot compete with these institutions. They have algorithms that can make 10 trades faster than you blink, pay minimal commissions, have direct access to the exchanges, hedge their trades, and often use wide stops and scale in to positions. A beginner should never scalp, and even those with experience are better off swing trading as it offers a less stressful and less difficult way to trade profitably. When swing trading it only takes 1 out of 10 trades to offset all the losers and provide a profit. This is the complete opposite of scalping, where it takes 10 winners to offset one large loss. Or if you are using a smaller stop like twice your target (1 point target and 2 point stop), it still takes 2 trades to make up a single loss and a third to make a minuscule profit after commissions. What happens when you lose again? This cycle repeats over and over, and the trader dies slowly but surely from 100 bee stings. 3). Wrong Mentality. There are many examples of the wrong traders mentality which prevents success for so many. One of which is losing. Most traders do not like to lose, they see losing as a problem. They do not understand that losers lead to winners, and that losing is the natural cycle of trading and is imperative to a consistent return. You cant win if you dont lose! Another example is emotions. Most traders see emotions as the enemy, that which stands between themselves and the market, and prevents them from succeeding. So they work to try and remove emotions. But this is not possible. As long as you are a human you will have emotions. You can never remove them. The key is to understand them, and use them to your advantage in the market. And when you are not in the right mental state, remove yourself from the market altogether. A third example is fighting the market. This relates back to the first topic, over trading and random trading. Many traders do not realize the market does not always offer what they are seeking. A trading range is a good example of this. In a trading range, the market goes sideways there are many failures, and the market does not get very far. What happens to a trader who does not realize this? He continues fighting the market, looking for a large gain when the market is not offering one. So it is important to understand your self and the market. Not just the market. You need to be able to realize when you should not be trading because your mind is not in the right state productive to trading. As well as knowing and understanding your edge, which also means the market context it works well in, and when it does not. For more understanding on these topics and more, including how to develop an edge and how to better your traders mentality, see website below. If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by tradersmentality
Journey of 1000 psychological trading hacks.Join me - to boldly go where 'no man' has gone before. This is the Final Frontier. I take on the big issue - head on. This is the one that is more likely to make the biggest difference to achieving consistent profitability. I assert that it technical and fundamental analysis are not most important issues in trading - at all! If 'everybody' could simply do proper technical and fundamental analysis and make load of money, then everybody would be rich. It's never happened. It ain't gonna happen! I say that our enemies lie within. I say that dealing with the enemies within - by self-analysis, is the path to unlimited gains. AND - it's not just me saying so. Could this be your 'Mission Improbable' or your 'Mission Possible'? The choice is yours. This post is in keeping with Tradingview's text-based analysis guidance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
99% of day traders consistently lose money (educational)In this screencast I present results of a scientific study carried out on day trading, in the Taiwan Stock exchange. I explore some volatile instruments that some day traders may get stung by. The results of the Taiwan study are shocking. Disbelief leads people to argue that 'that's in Taiwan - so what?'. However the results are informative of cognitive and behavioural characteristics of day traders, more widely. Even if the results are 50% applicable outside of Taiwan, they are seriously worrying. For those interested in reading the study, Google: "Do Day Traders Rationally Learn about Their Ability". So, what does it all mean? For me it means: 1. That the knowledge, skill and experience required to be consistently profitable are extreme. 2. Day traders are most at risk of burning their accounts and departing never to return. 3. Even seasoned traders are at huge risks of losing money. 4. It isn't about methodology - it is about 'individual trader psychology' New traders need to be very cautious in following experts. A fair few of seasoned traders have set up training programmes, from which I suspect they make more money training, than in trading. Hard evidence on that is of course not easy to come by. But it's not me just saying so - a handful of true experts out there have said similar. [ For the avoidance of doubt, I have committed never to sell anything to new or seasoned traders. What you see is what you get. I do not need anybody's money. ]
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
To boldly go beyond technical analysis towards self-analysisHaving been on Tradingview for the last few years, I've observed that perhaps 'the most important' aspect of trading is hardly ever discussed. I'm not sure why that its. Look, this is a loser's game. How? Read on. Some key estimates: 1. 90% of traders will lose money consistently. . 2. 80% of trading success depends on managing individual psychology. 3. It is possible to be consistently profitable even with a 30% win rate. I say that there is an invisible wall that affects many new and seasoned traders. How would I know? I've been there - and head-butted the wall! The difficult aspects of trading: 1. Managing risk 2. Self-deception 3. Finding reasonable entry and exit points. 4. Being disciplined - staying disciplined. 5. Changing patterns of cognition 6. Changing patterns of behaviour. 7. Managing external influences. 8. Managing emotions. Core trading skills to develop: 1. Finding trends early enough. 2. Calculating acceptable losses. 3. Exploiting trends. 4. Understanding when not to enter a trade. How do new traders get conned? 1. They have ideas or beliefs that there is some magic formula or system of trading that will work to beat the markets. 2. They are influenced to join training programs, most of which deliver little or no strategies for coping with the difficulties. 3. They move from program to program spending on 'hope'; losing as they go. 4. They spend on signalling services. The difficulty is that many traders have a difficult time seeing their own psychology. Note - I'm not talking about psychology in general or the stuff you find in textbooks. So a trader could focus on all manner of trading methodology and still have a very big problem. Dig deep fellow traders. The markets are their to punish you but also the markets are sound teachers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
Bitcoin - how to lose your money - demonstration of FOMOThis is on BTCUSD on the Daily time frame. I get right into my own psychology and explain what I'm feeling terms of FOMO. I point out how the FOMO mentality causes people to lose big money. I've put on a paper trade, to explain this. Note that ESMA and the NCA's have pointed out that: ... trading across different EU jurisdictions shows that 74-89% of retail accounts typically lose money on their investments , with average losses per client ranging from €1,600 to €29,000. Did you get that? if you're a new trader your chance of losing a substantial part of your account is up to 90%!! We're talking about serious risks in all trading. But where is the risk coming from? It's about a majority of traders having a psychological framework that cannot cope with chaos and uncertainty. Loads of traders are preoccupied with winning a single trade or not missing what they think is a good opportunity. They're largely influenced, as well by big media and 'forum talk'. Profitability depends on a consistent approach, avoiding the lure of bandwagons heading in one direction, missing on what turns out to be 'good trades', but controlling loss (the only real control we have). Just to be clear - I have pointed out the dangers. I have not said that people should not enter on Bitcoin. I actually said if they want to do so, it's better with a carefully managed risk on a much lower time frame. Nothing in here is advice, even if you think of it as such. I predict nothing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Captain_Walker
NEO NEXT TITANIC? Yes, here's why..............NEO Is crashing and nothing to catch it! Someone create some news for NEO or some sort of story feed, a line anything as it needs a life jacket. Next support down might be the 200 day EMA where we can see some sideways action but the real levels we may see a reversal to is the green line .00766127 or the .618 fib. If holding NEO sell rebuy back lower unless you can tell me some fundamentals that are coming that I don't know about RSI to low to show any momentum clear change in trend from previous rally. Volumes dropping faster then 50 cents bank account! So many things here are looking bearish just pack up and move on they put a sell button on your screen for a reason hit it!! Earn and learn follow for more!
by RealCashCannon
2
$KEY...well shit...-ER today. ER was good if you ask me...but has faced a large sell off.... -My trade plan was to sell once it broke the price action trend line and or the RSI trend line.... Well both happened today... very aggressive thou when it happened however. Was hard to just say "sell" because they were breaking down so hard. -I did not specify whether to sell intraday on the break or at close. This was a pit fall in my trading plan. ----> on that subject: had I chose to sell intraday I would have been out of this one a few days earlier, because they crossed that RSI line intraday; however they rallied before day close and thus they did not record a break in that RSI line that day. Just food for thought. BAC had a similiar case on the same day they bounced off their RSI Line.
NYSE:KEY
by gumbtg
3