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First Loss In 2 Months - Important LessonWe just took our first trading loss in two months on the GBPJPY short that we initiated a couple of days ago. I always welcome losses when they are controlled and within the confines or our trading system , which this GBPJPY short was. Why is that? Because I know that every loss is one trade closer to the next big win. And having a 81% success rate since the last loss at the end of May 2019 tends to make any loss much more bearable ;) How do we remain unwaiveringly confident even in the face of losses? Easy. Trade with a system that has a proven edge. Not over one month. Not two month. Not even just one year, but a system that has a consistent track record over at least two years of backtesting. It should be rooted in sound technical analysis so that you know the odds are always in your favor when you place that next trade. Because we have so much data for this system we know all the stats related to it. Therefore we will start experimenting with even bigger position sizing in a separate "High Risk" account. It will ask to stomach much bigger drawdowns but for much bigger returns as well. More to follow, be safe and good luck!
Education
by FollowMyForex
EOS - The biggest loser of the last daysEOS - The biggest loser of the last days Hello traders! We have been experiencing huge downturns in the last 2 weeks. Today we look at the coin, which probably got the most out of the TOP 20. We will speak about the EOS coin. At the beginning of June, this coin traded at $ 8.67 and is currently at $ 3.70 . This is more than a 60% decrease per month and half. Especially during last days EOS is really falling. Its decline is spread over 3 waves in the form of ABC correction. However, the last wave, the C wave, is unusually long, so it is possible that the correction will continue . From the whole fall we got almost to 0.786 retracement . What to notice on the chart right now? Never catch a falling knife . What does it mean? If the market is still falling, never go into such a brutal decline. If the price for a coin seems attractive to you, never jump into such dumps and wait for the reflection . What to watch on this coin? 1. Generating a higher maximum and a higher minimum of at least 1H, or 4H 2. The Friedrichs indicator will show the BUY signal at 12H and 1D 3. 3. Divergences of RSI at 1H and 4H Some of these conditions have been met yesterday, but we must also consider the market as a whole. If we analyze the coin against the dollar, it is strongly bound to bitcoin. EOS looked very good yesterday and still fell by another 17% . Bitcoin may not have completed its correction yet, and therefore EOS may continue to decline . In this case, further downturns would have very bad consequences. In addition to the striking loss of value, the downward angle, which is very steep, is also terrible. There are several supports marked on the chart . At the moment, it is very difficult to say on which support the gamechanger will come and the EOS will turn. It will not only depend on it but also on bitcoin.
BITFINEX:EOSUSD
by DolleroTechnology
6
The Top 3 Reasons Traders Lose and Give up1). Over-trading and Random trading. Most people and traders think in order to make money as a trader you have to be trading all the time. If you are simply watching the market, you are missing out, or not doing your job by not trading it. This leads to over trading, and trading randomly or outside of your edge. Any trades taken that are not apart of your trading plan and do not align with your clearly defined edge, should be considered random trading. This is common after losing, because the natural tendency to want to make back what you lost. This only compounds mistakes and adds to the losses, making it even harder to recover both emotionally and financially. Being excited or eager to trade is normal, especially for beginners who are drawn to the profit potential. We are all in the market to make money, and if you are not in the market you are not making money. But more often than not, being out of the market is the right thing to do. It is often better to not make any money, than to lose it! By understanding, developing, and only trading your edge you increase your likelihood of earning a consistent income. Remember, all edges have a failure rate between 40-60%. So it is important to not jump back into the market after losing, until the next time your edge sets up. If you do not know what your edge is, you should only trade SIM or not at all until you develop one. 2). Scalping or Not Allowing for Windfall Profits. There is an old saying on Wall Street "you cant go broke taking profits." But you absolutely can go broke by taking profits, primarily when your losses are bigger than your wins. It has become common these days for people to advocate scalping. But they do not understand that the math is against them. They think since the high frequency trading firms are scalping for ticks or a point, that they should too. But a retail trader cannot compete with these institutions. They have algorithms that can make 10 trades faster than you blink, pay minimal commissions, have direct access to the exchanges, hedge their trades, and often use wide stops and scale in to positions. A beginner should never scalp, and even those with experience are better off swing trading as it offers a less stressful and less difficult way to trade profitably. When swing trading it only takes 1 out of 10 trades to offset all the losers and provide a profit. This is the complete opposite of scalping, where it takes 10 winners to offset one large loss. Or if you are using a smaller stop like twice your target (1 point target and 2 point stop), it still takes 2 trades to make up a single loss and a third to make a minuscule profit after commissions. What happens when you lose again? This cycle repeats over and over, and the trader dies slowly but surely from 100 bee stings. 3). Wrong Mentality. There are many examples of the wrong traders mentality which prevents success for so many. One of which is losing. Most traders do not like to lose, they see losing as a problem. They do not understand that losers lead to winners, and that losing is the natural cycle of trading and is imperative to a consistent return. You cant win if you dont lose! Another example is emotions. Most traders see emotions as the enemy, that which stands between themselves and the market, and prevents them from succeeding. So they work to try and remove emotions. But this is not possible. As long as you are a human you will have emotions. You can never remove them. The key is to understand them, and use them to your advantage in the market. And when you are not in the right mental state, remove yourself from the market altogether. A third example is fighting the market. This relates back to the first topic, over trading and random trading. Many traders do not realize the market does not always offer what they are seeking. A trading range is a good example of this. In a trading range, the market goes sideways there are many failures, and the market does not get very far. What happens to a trader who does not realize this? He continues fighting the market, looking for a large gain when the market is not offering one. So it is important to understand your self and the market. Not just the market. You need to be able to realize when you should not be trading because your mind is not in the right state productive to trading. As well as knowing and understanding your edge, which also means the market context it works well in, and when it does not. For more understanding on these topics and more, including how to develop an edge and how to better your traders mentality, see website below. If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
by tradersmentality
1
Top 3 Reasons Traders Lose or Give Up1). Over-trading and Random trading. Most people and traders think in order to make money as a trader you have to be trading all the time. If you are simply watching the market, you are missing out, or not doing your job by not trading it. This leads to over trading, and trading randomly or outside of your edge. Any trades taken that are not apart of your trading plan and do not align with your clearly defined edge, should be considered random trading. This is common after losing, because the natural tendency to want to make back what you lost. This only compounds mistakes and adds to the losses, making it even harder to recover both emotionally and financially. Being excited or eager to trade is normal, especially for beginners who are drawn to the profit potential. We are all in the market to make money, and if you are not in the market you are not making money. But more often than not, being out of the market is the right thing to do. It is often better to not make any money, than to lose it! By understanding, developing, and only trading your edge you increase your likelihood of earning a consistent income. Remember, all edges have a failure rate between 40-60%. So it is important to not jump back into the market after losing, until the next time your edge sets up. If you do not know what your edge is, you should only trade SIM or not at all until you develop one. 2). Scalping or Not Allowing for Windfall Profits. There is an old saying on Wall Street "you cant go broke taking profits." But you absolutely can go broke by taking profits, primarily when your losses are bigger than your wins. It has become common these days for people to advocate scalping. But they do not understand that the math is against them. They think since the high frequency trading firms are scalping for ticks or a point, that they should too. But a retail trader cannot compete with these institutions. They have algorithms that can make 10 trades faster than you blink, pay minimal commissions, have direct access to the exchanges, hedge their trades, and often use wide stops and scale in to positions. A beginner should never scalp, and even those with experience are better off swing trading as it offers a less stressful and less difficult way to trade profitably. When swing trading it only takes 1 out of 10 trades to offset all the losers and provide a profit. This is the complete opposite of scalping, where it takes 10 winners to offset one large loss. Or if you are using a smaller stop like twice your target (1 point target and 2 point stop), it still takes 2 trades to make up a single loss and a third to make a minuscule profit after commissions. What happens when you lose again? This cycle repeats over and over, and the trader dies slowly but surely from 100 bee stings. 3). Wrong Mentality. There are many examples of the wrong traders mentality which prevents success for so many. One of which is losing. Most traders do not like to lose, they see losing as a problem. They do not understand that losers lead to winners, and that losing is the natural cycle of trading and is imperative to a consistent return. You cant win if you dont lose! Another example is emotions. Most traders see emotions as the enemy, that which stands between themselves and the market, and prevents them from succeeding. So they work to try and remove emotions. But this is not possible. As long as you are a human you will have emotions. You can never remove them. The key is to understand them, and use them to your advantage in the market. And when you are not in the right mental state, remove yourself from the market altogether. A third example is fighting the market. This relates back to the first topic, over trading and random trading. Many traders do not realize the market does not always offer what they are seeking. A trading range is a good example of this. In a trading range, the market goes sideways there are many failures, and the market does not get very far. What happens to a trader who does not realize this? He continues fighting the market, looking for a large gain when the market is not offering one. So it is important to understand your self and the market. Not just the market. You need to be able to realize when you should not be trading because your mind is not in the right state productive to trading. As well as knowing and understanding your edge, which also means the market context it works well in, and when it does not. For more understanding on these topics and more, including how to develop an edge and how to better your traders mentality, see website below. If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by tradersmentality
Psych Hack #0007 - decision-making - it's what we do. Everybody - I mean everybody - who is actively trading has to make decisions. Entry points, exit points, trailing stops, stop-losses and so on - they all involve decisions. But what affects the integrity of our decision-making ? Some say we don't need to make decisions, once we follow a mechanical trading plan. I disagree 100%. If everybody could follow a mechanical trading plan and be millionaires it would have happened already - it ain't happening! End of. I say that our decisions are made in our heads - our brains, our minds. I say that I (we) need to know about the pitfalls in decision-making - pitfalls that may affect our minds. I'm sharing some things I've learned with others. These may not be of relevance to everybody. However, as the hard evidence shows that between 75 and 90% of all traders lose money consistently, I think it should be of relevance to a majority. Declaration : None of this is advice - even if so construed. Opinions on the two charts shown are not be relied upon. Your losses are entirely your own.
Education
by Captain_Walker
Welp.......I lost on this one.One thing I haven't done yet is post a loss. I noticed this one during pre-market. I saw that it was up, and I thought the momentum would continue. One thing I learned today is if a stock is up over $2.00 in the pre-market, there could be a massive dip coming in (in terms of penny stocks are concerned). I also learned that normally these type of stocks will reveal it's ultimate direction 10-20 minutes after the open. I did not have an indicator that the momentum would continue, but I was too confident (I was riding a 85 percent win rate lol). I held, and held, and held, then I realized this is going down, so I got out at $3.30. I took a loss, but I learned. I also need to cut my losses quicker. I am still picking apart what I am thinking when I jump into these plays. I notice, that when I am wrong on a play, I tend to be in denial. I tend to think "no......it will turn around." 10 times out of 10 it won't. Cut losses quickly, especially in this market. Good luck out there guys. I am out for the day, because I don't want to chase and end up losing more money. See you guys tomorrow.
FShort
by RogueTrader11
2
I thought for sure it would bounce!Well, first official day of full time trading and I lost. I have traded for about 2 years pretty actively. Made hundreds of trades with a very high win rate. I've even done a few full days trading and they always were small wins but I went hard today and the chart didn't do what I thought it should so maybe someone can coach me a bit... Can anyone tell me what I missed here? Blue box is my trade. In at 5.55 out at 5.35. 10 cents was slippage on market sell but market was closing and it was too close to the low support for me to feel comfortable riding through a closed day. Why in the world was there no bounce here. Slippage DOUBLED my loss... Something to consider. Just a fluke maybe. I'm not too worried.... YET
O
by Noxtreme
Money Management 101SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY Money Management 101 Are you receiving a win-rate of more then 60% and still loosing money?? Money Management may be an area that you need to focus on. It is an essential element in becoming a professional trader. Listed below are 4 Simple Steps To Evaluate Your Financial Health; 1. Position Sizing A portfolio of $... and I decide to only risk 2% on a trading strategy 2. Capital - How much? A portfolio of $.... 3. Loss - How much? I must be right more then 50% of the time, but win more money on winning trades versus losing trades. I will use stops and limits to enforce a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or higher 4. Profits - What? A profit/loss ratio refers to the size of the average profit compares to the size of the average loss per trade. For example, if your expected profit is $1500 and your expected loss is $500, the P/L ratio is 3:1 Please let me know if you have any questions :) Happy Trading "The simpler it is, the better i like it" Peter Lynch
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SMPTrader
99% of day traders consistently lose money (educational)In this screencast I present results of a scientific study carried out on day trading, in the Taiwan Stock exchange. I explore some volatile instruments that some day traders may get stung by. The results of the Taiwan study are shocking. Disbelief leads people to argue that 'that's in Taiwan - so what?'. However the results are informative of cognitive and behavioural characteristics of day traders, more widely. Even if the results are 50% applicable outside of Taiwan, they are seriously worrying. For those interested in reading the study, Google: "Do Day Traders Rationally Learn about Their Ability". So, what does it all mean? For me it means: 1. That the knowledge, skill and experience required to be consistently profitable are extreme. 2. Day traders are most at risk of burning their accounts and departing never to return. 3. Even seasoned traders are at huge risks of losing money. 4. It isn't about methodology - it is about 'individual trader psychology' New traders need to be very cautious in following experts. A fair few of seasoned traders have set up training programmes, from which I suspect they make more money training, than in trading. Hard evidence on that is of course not easy to come by. But it's not me just saying so - a handful of true experts out there have said similar. [ For the avoidance of doubt, I have committed never to sell anything to new or seasoned traders. What you see is what you get. I do not need anybody's money. ]
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
FIB-Extensions and why you might use them wrong!#Cypher-Pattern!Hey guys, here is my last video about FIBONACCI and its extensions. :-) No offens to those you use it in a wrong way -I did the same mistake! I just wanna show you how you should do it and wanna help you to improve your trading. :-) If you don`t really understand why, just check the first Video of my Fibinacco-series. Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? Need more education or signals? PM mw. :-)
Education
by Trading2ez