$LYFT Swing Trade – Low-Cost Call Debit Spread Setup🚗 NASDAQ:LYFT Swing Trade – Low-Cost Call Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp)
📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025, 2:53 PM
🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Call Debit Spread
📈 Strikes: $16.5 / $17.5 (Jul 18 Expiration)
💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.25
🎯 Trade Thesis
This swing trade targets a short-term bullish move in NASDAQ:LYFT based on improving fundamentals and favorable technical setup. The structure uses a low-cost OTM call spread to define risk and limit exposure while capturing directional potential.
Catalysts supporting the move:
🚙 Autonomous vehicle rollout beginning this summer (Atlanta) and expanding to Dallas (2026) via Mobileye partnership.
🗳 Activist investor Engine Capital pushing for governance changes and strategic alternatives.
💵 Gross bookings at record levels, with net income and free cash flow turning positive.
📈 Analyst upgrade from TD Cowen with a $21 target (+30% upside from entry).
📊 Technical Setup (Daily Chart)
📉 EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish alignment beginning to flatten – potential compression signal.
⚖ VWAP (30‑day): Price consolidating near long-term VWAP – watching for reclaim.
🔄 MACD: Bullish crossover emerging.
📉 RSI: ~36 – approaching oversold territory, setting up possible reversal.
⏳ Strategy Notes
Position type: OTM vertical call debit spread.
Risk defined: Max loss = $0.25 per contract.
Max gain: $0.75 if LYFT closes at or above $17.5 by expiration.
Timeframe: 2-week swing through July 18, ahead of Q2 earnings (~Aug 6).
🧠 Journal Note
This position aligns with a broader strategy focused on OTM spreads priced under $0.25, using technical compressions and fundamental tailwinds. Trade was opened not on an entry signal day - this avoids front-running momentum shifts.
LOW
$AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup🔻 NASDAQ:AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp)
📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025
🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Put Debit Spread
📉 Strikes: $31 / $30 (Jul 18 Expiration)
💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.21
🎯 Trade Thesis
This setup aims to capture short-term downside in NASDAQ:AMD via a low-cost, defined-risk spread. The trade fits within my broader portfolio of OTM spreads under $0.25.
Key Drivers:
🔻 Semi sector under pressure – NASDAQ:AMD showing relative weakness.
📉 Breakdown below key support near $31 and rejection at VWAP.
🧾 Weak momentum – MACD trending down, RSI near 44.
🔄 Trade enters into earnings season volatility.
📊 Technical Setup (Daily)
EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish structure fully intact.
VWAP: Price rejected from 30-day VWAP zone.
MACD/RSI: Momentum still fading, no signs of bullish divergence.
⏳ Strategy Notes
Max loss: $0.21
Max gain: $0.79
Risk/reward structured for a drop into or below $30
Expiration: July 18
🧠 Journal Note
Most of my trades are swing-based using OTM debit spreads with tight risk control. No same-day entries — setups must have defined technical compression and short-term catalysts.
Breaking: Intuitive Machines ($LUNR) Up 2% In Mondays Premarket The shares of Intuitive Machines, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LUNR ) are up 2.35% in Monday's premarket session. A company that designs, manufactures, and operates space products and services in the United States.
Its space systems and space infrastructure enable scientific and human exploration and utilization of lunar resources to support sustainable human presence on the moon. The company offers lunar access services, such µNova, lunar surface rover services, fixed lunar surface services, lunar orbit delivery services, rideshare delivery services to lunar orbit, as well as content sales and marketing sponsorships.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, shares of Intuitive Machines, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LUNR ) are up 3% in premarket session. Trading in tandem with the 1-month low pivot albeit close to the support point, NASDAQ:LUNR is gaining momentum with a break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point set to be the catalyst to spark a bullish renaissance for NASDAQ:LUNR shares.
Though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is oversold at 30, NASDAQ:LUNR is looking poised to break the psychological 38.2% Fib level. Intuitive Machines, Inc. earnings is coming up Tuesday, May 13, 2025, before market open.
Analyst Forecast
According to 6 analysts, the average rating for LUNR stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $15.5, which is an increase of 118.62% from the latest price.
Chart looks identical to May 2021...may be in for some hurtJust a simple low IQ comparison. Looking at the weekly circa May 2021 looks identical to what we're seeing today. Drew the same pattern in red and a bull case in case we still see a new high with the 4 year cycle, but it's looking bleak. We're getting close to completing another weekly cycle and should expect the new low within the next 2 candles. Question is, are we about to retrace 55% like May 2021, or continue the bull run into a new high later this year?
LOW Lowe's Companies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on LOW:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LOW Lowe's Companies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 270usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $8.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ETH Journey to 2025: Key Levels and Market ScenariosHello friends,
In late 2021, Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) reached an all-time high of approximately $4,900 before experiencing a significant correction, dropping around 80% to a low of $880. Since that dip, ETH has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, suggesting a potential long-term bullish trend.
I'm focusing on these key levels as important points for any macro cycle movement:
Pivot Points High Low Levels:
HH: $4,100 (Near ATH)
HH: $2,700 (Previous resistance)
HH/LL: $2,100 (Critical pivot)
LL: $1,500
LL: $880 (2022 low)
Bollinger Bands Analysis :
Currently, ETH is within the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. Historically, this has been a favorable zone for accumulation, as the price may revert to the mean once the selling pressure eases.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
The most critical level to watch is $2,700. A decisive break above this level could pave the way for ETH to challenge the psychologically important $3,000 mark. If ETH can establish $3,000 as support, it would confirm a higher high and potentially signal the start of a new macro bull cycle.
Consolidation Case:
ETH may continue to trade between the $2,100 support and $2,700 resistance, forming a tightening range. This consolidation could set the stage for a significant move once resolved.
Bearish Case:
A failure to hold above $2,100 could lead to a retest of lower support levels. However, as long as ETH maintains its pattern of higher lows, the long-term bullish structure remains intact.
Conclusion:
The $3,000 level appears to be the key for initiating a potential macro bull cycle. Accumulation near the lower Bollinger Band could be a strategic move for those bullish on ETH's long-term prospects.
Risk Management:
Consider using the $2,100 level as a potential stop-loss for long positions, as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish thesis.
Happy Trading!
Lowe (NYSE: $LOW) Report's Q2 2024 Earnings ResultsLowe’s (NYSE: NYSE:LOW ), the second-largest home improvement retailer in the U.S., reported its fiscal second-quarter earnings, highlighting a challenging environment marked by weaker-than-expected DIY sales and broader economic pressures. While the company managed to beat earnings expectations, it missed on revenue and subsequently cut its full-year outlook, reflecting the hurdles it faces in a cooling home improvement market.
Earnings Overview
For the quarter ending August 2, Lowe’s reported earnings per share (EPS) of $4.10, surpassing Wall Street's expectations of $3.97. However, net sales came in at $23.59 billion, falling short of the $23.91 billion anticipated by analysts. This marks the sixth consecutive quarter of declining sales, underscoring the difficult landscape for home improvement retailers as consumers pull back on discretionary spending.
Net income for the quarter dropped to $2.38 billion, or $4.17 per share, down from $2.67 billion, or $4.56 per share, in the same period last year. This decline was somewhat offset by a $43 million pre-tax gain from the sale of Lowe’s Canadian retail business, which added 7 cents to the EPS for the quarter.
Declining Sales and Revised Outlook
Comparable sales, a key industry metric that excludes the effects of new store openings and closures, declined by 5.1% in the quarter. This was worse than the 4.11% drop analysts had expected, as Lowe’s customers took on fewer DIY projects amid a "pressured macroeconomic environment." The company also cited unfavorable weather conditions as a factor hurting sales, particularly in outdoor and seasonal categories.
In response to these challenges, Lowe’s revised its full-year forecast, now expecting total sales between $82.7 billion and $83.2 billion, down from its previous guidance of $84 billion to $85 billion. The company also lowered its expected decline in comparable sales to a range of 3.5% to 4%, compared to the earlier forecast of a 2% to 3% drop. Adjusted earnings per share are now projected to be between $11.70 and $11.90, down from the prior range of $12.00 to $12.30.
Economic Headwinds
Lowe’s struggles are reflective of broader economic trends affecting the home improvement sector. Higher mortgage rates and increased borrowing costs have dampened demand for new homes, which in turn has weighed on sales at both Lowe’s and its larger rival, Home Depot. In addition, a sense of economic uncertainty has led consumers to adopt a more cautious approach, deferring large home improvement projects and focusing on smaller, essential repairs.
Home Depot, which reported its earnings a week earlier, also issued a bleak outlook for the second half of the year, citing similar economic concerns. Both companies are facing the dual challenges of rising costs and weakening consumer demand, making it difficult to sustain the robust growth seen during the pandemic when home improvement projects surged.
Technical Aspects
From a technical standpoint, Lowe’s is grappling with multiple pressures. The declining sales reflect not just a pullback in consumer spending, but also the impact of higher input costs and a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company’s gross margins are being squeezed as it tries to balance competitive pricing with inflationary pressures on materials and labor.
Moreover, Lowe’s online business and sales to home professionals, such as contractors and electricians, have shown some resilience, partially offsetting the declines in DIY sales. However, these segments alone may not be sufficient to counterbalance the broader slowdown in consumer spending on home improvement.
Lowe’s has also been investing in its digital and supply chain capabilities to improve efficiency and customer experience. While these investments are critical for long-term growth, they come at a time when the company is facing near-term revenue pressures, creating a delicate balancing act between managing costs and driving future growth.
Market Reaction and Outlook
Despite the challenges, Lowe’s stock has been relatively resilient, closing at $243.21 on Monday, representing a year-to-date gain of approximately 9%. However, this lags behind the S&P 500’s nearly 18% increase over the same period, indicating that investors are cautious about the company’s near-term prospects. As of the time of writing, Lowe's stock ( NYSE:LOW ) is up 0.58% in Tuesday's premarket trading.
As Lowe’s navigates the remainder of 2024, the focus will likely be on managing costs, optimizing its product mix, and leveraging its professional services to stabilize revenue. The revised outlook suggests that Lowe’s is preparing for a tougher second half of the year, with expectations of continued economic uncertainty and subdued consumer demand.
In conclusion, while Lowe’s managed to exceed earnings expectations in Q2, the challenges it faces are significant. The cut in full-year guidance reflects the reality of a cooling home improvement market and the broader economic headwinds that are likely to persist in the coming quarters. As the company continues to navigate these challenges, its ability to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and macroeconomic conditions will be critical to sustaining its long-term growth trajectory.
Monthly chart and Stochastic RSI shows directionIn BTC USD, practically every time the monthly Stochastic RSI has reached 100 and the fast RSI crosses the slow RSI there is about a 45% to 75% drop in value as a correction.
The BTC low target would be $29,000 to $41,000 for the next 6 months prior to the post-halving bullrun going into 2025.
Lowe's Beats on Earnings and RevenueLowe's shares ( NYSE:LOW ) rose in pre-market trading after the retailer reported first-quarter earnings that beat analysts' estimates, despite declining from the year-ago period amid a pullback in home-improvement spending. The company said growth in digital sales and market share among professional contractors helped partially offset a continued slowdown in sales of big-ticket items. Lowe's ( NYSE:LOW ) affirmed its full-year guidance, projecting revenue and diluted earnings per share (EPS) roughly in line with analyst estimates.
Sales have fallen in recent quarters for Lowe's and rival Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ) amid a slowdown in spending on do-it-yourself (DIY) projects and big-ticket items as inflation weighs on many consumers. The company said growth in its digital sales and market share among professional contractors, an area in which Home Depot is also looking to expand, helped partially offset the continued decline in DIY big-ticket spending.
In Tuesday's earnings report, Lowe's affirmed its outlook for the full fiscal year, projecting comparable store sales to decline by 2% to 3% for the year. The company said it anticipates revenue to come in from $84 billion to $85 billion, in line with the $84.25 billion analysts projected, and a decrease from the $86.38 billion in revenue that Lowe's generated in fiscal 2032.
Lowe's said it expects diluted earnings per share (EPS) within a range of $12 to $12.30, with analysts expecting around $12.18, down from last year's $13.20. Shares were up 3% at $236 as of 8:20 a.m. ET Tuesday following the release.
In the three-month period that ended May 3, Lowe's net income fell to $1.76 billion, or $3.06 per share, compared with $2.26 billion, or $3.77 per share, a year earlier. Sales dropped from $22.35 billion in the year-ago period, marking the fifth quarter in a row that Lowe's posted a year-over-year sales decline. Compared with Home Depot, Lowe's draws less of its business from painters, contractors, and other home professionals who tend to provide steadier business even when do-it-yourself customers pull back.
Lowe's is lapping a year-ago quarter when the company slashed its full-year outlook and posted a year-over-year sales decline. As of Monday's close, the company's stock is up nearly 3% this year, trailing the 11% gains of the S&P 500.
LOW Lowe's Companies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on LOW:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LOW Lowe's Companies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $9.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NAIL a homebuilding leveraged ETF rising from support LONGNAIL on a 14 minute chart tested the support at the rising trendline confluent with the mean
anchored VWAP and has bounced and crossed over the latter. Relative strength lines are
crossing over the 50 level and the relative volume is showing a gradual rise. This is the
beginning of homebuilding season after all. Mortgage rates might be getting a cut. I will take
a long trade here expecting a swing trade for a few months. Targets are on the chart. They
are based on the resistance rising trendline as well as the upper VWAP bands.
High LowSome corrections go for a third or even a fourth leg, so I prefer a different labeling system to account for this and discuss it later in the books. In its simplest form, it counts the legs of a pullback. For example, if there is a down leg in a bull trend or in a trading range and a bar then goes above the high of the prior bar, this breakout is a high 1. If the market then has a second leg down and then a bar goes above the high of a prior bar, the breakout bar is a high 2. A third occurrence is a high 3, and a fourth is a high 4. In a bear leg or in a trading range, if the market reverses back down after one leg, the entry is a low 1. If it reverses back down after two legs up, the entry is a low 2 entry and the bar before it is a low 2 setup or signal.
Since measured moves are an important part of trading and the AB = CD terminology is inconsistent with the more commonly used ABC labeling, the AB = CD terminology should not be used. Also, I prefer to count legs and therefore prefer numbers, so I will refer to each move as a leg, such as leg 1 or the first push, and then leg 2, and so forth. After the chapter on bar counting in the second book, I will also use the high/low 1, 2, 3, 4 labeling because it is useful for traders.
LOW Lowe's Companies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LOW Lowe's Companies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $11.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Introduction to one of the basic trading methodsHello traders!
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Have a good day.
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Basic trading method
(How to purchase)
1. Aggressive buying when falling by more than -10%
2-1. Buy when there is an upward trend on the 1D chart (when the price is maintained above the MS-Signal indicator) and when the candle is a downward candle.
2-2. Buy when there is a downward trend on the 1D chart (when the price is maintained below the MS-Signal indicator) and when the candle breaks upward through important support and resistance points.
Therefore, buy when there is a rising candle.
(Selling method)
1. Split sale when it rises by more than +10%
2. Split selling when the high point cannot be renewed
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The basic trading methods introduced above are methods that can be traded even if you are not familiar with chart analysis.
Among these, I will take the time to explain the trading method corresponding to 2-2 of the purchasing method.
You can know the trend based on the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Currently, it has fallen below the MS-Signal indicator, and the MS-Signal indicator has been converted to a downward indication.
Therefore, it should be interpreted that there is a high possibility that the current downward trend will continue.
Therefore, in the basic trading method, you should buy when the candle is below the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, when it is in a downtrend.
Therefore, you should buy after confirming that the price breaks above the support and resistance points.
Basically, you can trade using HA-High, HA-Low indicators and box sections.
If you purchased when it fell more than -10% on January 12, you can proceed with a second purchase if it rises above the HA-High indicator.
You can proceed with aggressive buying when the HA-High indicator breaks above the 43450.03 point.
In that case, you will have to sell it in installments when it appears to be rising and then falling.
If you don't like it, you should check for support at 43450.03.
In order to confirm support, it is necessary to check for at least 1-3 days after rising above 43450.03.
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Bitcoin's next cycle top REVEALEDAs you can see from the chart, if you measure how many days before a halving, did the cycle low occur.
For ex, in November 2012's halving, ~373 days before btc found a cycle low, projected into the future, ~373 days after the halving, a cycle top is in.
Same thing with 2016's halving.
Cycle low ~540 days before the halving, projected into the future ~540 days after the halving, we have a cycle top ($20k).
Yet again, with 2020's halving, btc found a low around 513 days before the halving, projected into the future, it took 513 days for a cycle top to be in.
Now in 2024's halving. Btc found a cycle low ~525 days before the 2024 halving ($15k)..Projected into the future ~525 days after the halving we should get a cycle top in Sept 2025.
Will history repeat itself yet again?Check back with this chart in 2025 :)
Good luck
NAS100 19/11/23Nas100 we are within a bullish range looking for longs overall expecting price to go to the h We have highlighted as SWH Looking for a pullback because we have no poi within this range I wouldn't be surprised if we liquidate our low giving us an entry model for long from the swing low.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
LOW Lowe's Companies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LOW ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
HA-High : If supported, the previous latest high can be updatedHello traders!
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Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
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(BTCUSDT chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 34110.32-34786.17.
If it rises, we need to check whether it can rise above 37253.81-38531.90.
This is because the 37253.81-38531.90 area is expected to be the first resistance area in the current upward trend.
(1W chart)
It is important to see whether a new candle is created and the HA-High indicator appears to be about to be newly created.
To do this, there must be an up and down shaking motion.
If there is no up and down movement, there may be an up and down movement around 38531.90, so you need to think about a countermeasure.
Therefore, when it falls after resistance near 38531.90, if the price is maintained above 29241.72-30767.38, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and rise again.
Therefore, in the 1W chart, which direction it will deviate from the 30767.38-38531.90 section is an important issue.
If it rises above 38531.90, this bull market is expected to end by rising to around 46431.5.
(1D chart)
The rise began with a rise above 29241.72-30767.38 and rose to the 37486.17-37779.56 range, which is the first important support and resistance range.
Additionally, since the HA-High indicator was created at the 34389.02 point, if it is supported and rises around this area, it is expected to renew the previous latest high.
In order to show a greater upward trend, the following conditions must be met.
In this chart, we believe that maintaining the price above the HA-High indicator meets the following conditions.
Therefore, an important question is what movement will cause the price to rise above the HA-High indicator on each time frame chart.
The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is showing support as it is created at the current price position.
Accordingly, the short-term upward trend is expected to continue.
Next is whether the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is generated from the current price position.
Because the RSI indicator has entered the overbought zone due to this rise, the possibility of a new HA-High indicator being created when it falls from the overbought zone has increased.
If a new HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is created, then we will continue the discussion.
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
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** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
CHMF - One more Russian metalurgic play for Q4-Q1'24 From a both, technical and fundamental perspectives, It looks like Russian metalurgic and extraction complex sets-up for the next wave higher in this Q4, or maybe early next year.
Maybe it is because of rubble current and future potential weakness, or because of the dividend that these companies (CHMF, MAGN, NLMK etc) pay or are planning to, we may observe rather neat base structures being in formation within supportive further advance ElliotWave structure.
My general thesis for Severstal is that the price has bottomed in running flat type corrective structure (running flat are rare in EW and are signs of a bullishness) and now is basing for break-out to new this year highs closer to 1530-1580 zone where I may see next resistance zone.
Please have look how price weekly advance is made on burst up in volume profile and how scares volume is, when price stops and digests its move. Holding above 10w line is crucial for me entertaining longs in any position and we may see how buyers actively support this moving average, not letting the price close bellow this line.
My personal plan, is to start building position above 1400 zone, if price breaks out with volume, having tight risk-management parameters within 3-5% breathing room.
I am perfectly fine staying out on the side line if the price will not cooperate or stops me out and waiting for the next low and time-right risk entry spot.