AUDCHF short. my august bearish pairhi,
there is audchf. as you know aud bearish and chf bullish trends are on.
this is my roadmap for this asset, i wrote to chart some important levels for target.
wait for price to come discount levels which is there some supply zones.
take 1 and go
take a stoploss
cy
LOW
🔥 AVAX Bear Market Lows Are In: Double BottomAVAX has recently made a new bear-market low, but only by a couple of percent during a sell-off wick. This trade assumes that the 10.00 low will be the bear-market low, which means that the only way forward is to go up.
Target for the long-term (think 1-2 years) is the current all-time high, which also gives a great risk reward of ~46.
You can take partial profits around 30.00 and 52.00 if you're more risk averse.
LOW WCA - Ascending TriangleCompany: Lowe's Companies, Inc.
Ticker: LOW
Exchange: New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Introduction:
In today's technical analysis, we're focusing on Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW), a prominent player in the Consumer Discretionary sector listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Lowe's weekly chart is currently showcasing an Ascending Triangle pattern, indicative of a potential bullish reversal.
Ascending Triangle Pattern:
An Ascending Triangle pattern typically emerges during periods of consolidation and is often considered a bullish indicator. The pattern is characterized by a flat upper trendline (resistance) and an ascending lower trendline (support), both of which converge as the pattern matures.
Analysis:
Previously, Lowe's was in a noticeable downtrend, as indicated by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, over the last 420 days, Lowe's stock price has consolidated, forming an Ascending Triangle pattern. This pattern is considered to act as a bullish reversal indicator.
The Ascending Triangle's upper horizontal boundary lies at $221, boasting three touchpoints, while the upward sloping lower boundary also shows three touchpoints. The symmetry of these touchpoints lends credibility to the Ascending Triangle pattern.
Should we observe a breakout above the Ascending Triangle, we can anticipate a potential price target of $270. This implies a potential opportunity for a 22% price increase from the breakout level.
Conclusion:
This analysis suggests that Lowe's Companies, Inc. may be primed for a bullish reversal, representing potential investment opportunities.
As always, it's essential to validate this technical analysis with other indicators, market trends, and relevant news for comprehensive investment decisions. Not financial advice.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you profitable trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh
How to use HA-Low and HA-High indicatorsHello?
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(BTCUSD chart)
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are paired indicators.
When supported by the HA-Low indicator, it corresponds to the time to buy, and when it rises to the vicinity of the HA-High indicator, it corresponds to the time to sell.
This is a basic principle of indicator design.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading, so you can trade based on whether you are supported or resisted by these indicators.
In addition to the basic design mentioned above, support in each indicator, HA-Low and HA-High, corresponds to the time to buy, and resistance corresponds to the time to sell.
The basic design method is less psychologically burdensome, so it is easier than conducting transactions.
When you try to buy because it shows support in the HA-High indicator, it is likely to be a point near the recent high, so you actually have a psychological burden.
Therefore, for mechanical trading, it is best to choose a method of buying when supported near the HA-Low indicator and selling when it rises near the HA-High indicator as the basic design method.
Both HA-Low and HA-High indicators exist on each time frame chart.
Therefore, you can proceed with trading by looking at the time frame chart corresponding to the investment period according to your investment style.
The length of the horizontal line on the HA-Low and HA-High indicators will tell you if the current trend is up or down.
If the horizontal line of the HA-Low indicator is longer than the horizontal line of the HA-High indicator (HA-Low > HA-High), then the trend is likely to be up.
In the opposite case (HA-Low < HA-High ), it is likely to be in a downtrend.
Therefore, if you look at the 1M chart, you can interpret it as an overall downtrend.
On the other hand, if you look at the 1W chart, you can interpret it as an all-out upward trend.
Since it is judged to be in an upward trend on the 1W chart, what matters now is whether the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart falls and the length of the horizontal line becomes shorter than the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, from a long-term perspective, the time to buy in earnest is when the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart declines and shows support at the point where it was created.
Looking at the relationship between the HA-Low and HA-High indicators on the 1D chart, it can be interpreted that there is a downward trend because the horizontal line of the falling HA-High indicator is longer than the horizontal line of the HA-Low indicator (HA-Low < HA-High). there is.
Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart must be moved and created.
If not, even if it rises above 30215.26, the current HA-High indicator point on the 1D chart, the phenomenon of moving the HA-High indicator by shaking it up and down will eventually appear.
This is a necessary move to sustain the uptrend, as it is inevitable.
This concludes the method of trading using the HA-Low and HA-High indicators that I have been talking about for several months.
Regardless of which indicator is used, the most important thing is how long the movement has been confirmed, so the reliability of the indicator can be obtained.
Therefore, no matter which indicator is used to create a trading strategy, a long period of confirmation work must be done to suit the key interpretation method of that indicator.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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Lowes Mixed Earnings Reports 🛠Lowe’s reports earnings before the open on Tuesday, with lacklustre guidance overshadowing a Q1 report that beat analyst expectations.
For the first quarter, the North Carolina-based specialty retailer reported $3.67 in earnings per share on $22.3B in sales. Analysts had anticipated $3.45 in earnings per share on $21.68B in revenue. However, comparable sales decreased 4.3%, steeper than the 3.28% drop expected on the Street. Management blamed “lumber deflation, unfavourable weather and lower DIY discretionary sales” for the decline.
“We are pleased with the performance of our business despite record lumber deflation and unfavourable spring weather,” CEO Marvin R. Ellison said. “Although we delivered positive comparable sales in Pro and online for the first quarter, we are updating our full-year outlook to reflect softer-than-expected consumer demand for discretionary purchases.”
Lowes about to take some major hits. LOWMajor confluence of harmonic patterns. Elliott wave triangle, and confirmed entry to next wave. Confirming entry on crossing of two price levels and a high chance of three black crows. I noted divergence in momentum in what appears to be the Elliott triangle.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Is the DXY in trouble!?? Before we start all views are my own and are based from my overall personal research.
As we have covered in previous markups and breakdowns we are taking our major lows on the larger timeframes on the DXY.
Here we have a pretty simply markup here for DXY iam only looking at this for a short term idea overall i strongly believe we are set for some serious downside on the USD and with this iam waiting for a true shift to show itself...
As many countries begin to decouple from the USD and the fed continues pushing the price to unsustainable levels with consistent printing of new currency we are watching history unfold in front of our eyes...
Taking a deeper look into the history & future of the USD.
The control and power that the US has had in the past is drastically dwindling... if you follow the power trial to its source it will and always has lead us back to the federal reserve.
Now the above is an issue for many different reasons... the main reason being no country or persons should be governed or controlled by a bank or reserve, which for a long time has been the case... this leading to countries having economic collapses along with huge depts placed on them in times of crisis, when this happens to a country it 90% of the time means one side is gaining while the other is losing. due to this we are and will continue to see more countries disconnect and distance themselves from the USD.
Once we get to our tipping point where the USD has truly lost its grip on the global economy it will be to late to revert from its course, which i believe will take us to lows we've not seen in decades, ultimately leading to the collapse of the USD...
Now iam no economist nor a financial expert, but I urge everyone that reads this to do your own research to the state of the USD and how the fed is "dealing" with the matter.
To sum up, iam looking for prices to drop below 100 on the DXY in the coming months and possibly even weeks...
Whatever the outcome trader stay safe and stick to your plan!
How to interpret charts from indicators (trading strategy)Hello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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Please understand that the 'Vol & Trend' and 'Strength' sub-indicators are a synthesis of existing indicators, and cannot be disclosed because they have been judged to be unsuitable for publishing as public scripts.
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It is not easy to see and interpret all the indicators displayed on the chart.
Therefore, it should be viewed and interpreted as the most critical interpretation method.
The first thing to look at is the position of the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart), HA-Low, HA-High, M-Signal indicators on the 1W and 1M charts.
The most important of these is the location of the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and price.
The price is currently located below the MS-Signal indicator, indicating a downtrend.
To add one more thing to this, you can also check the relationship with the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts.
Since the price is located below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and 1M chart, it can be interpreted as a downtrend from a mid- to long-term perspective.
Therefore, you can see that the chart as a whole is starting to enter a downtrend.
In order to trade in this situation, you need to check the location of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is rising and is about to be created.
Therefore, if today's candlestick closes around now, we would expect the HA-Low indicator to form at 21552.44.
Therefore, it becomes important whether it can rise above 21552.44.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 21552.44, whether it can rise above 21552.44 has become an important question.
If the HA-Low indicator is created at 21552.44 and fails to rise above 21552.44, there is a possibility of renewing the previous low, so you need to think about countermeasures.
If support is received at the 21552.44 point, it is likely to touch the vicinity of the MS-signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
At this time, if you succeed in breaking through the MS-signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, the possibility of rising to the vicinity of the HA-High indicator increases.
When the candle is formed today, the body of Heikin Ashi is showing a bullish sign.
Therefore, even if the price fails to rise, if the price remains above the Heikin Ashi body, it can be interpreted that there is a high probability of a rise around 21552.44.
At this time, you need to check whether it is supported or resisted at the point 21552.44.
As such, indicators on price charts represent trends and support and resistance roles, making it the most intuitive way to anticipate future movements.
To support this, 'Vol & Trend' and 'Strength' auxiliary indicators are utilized.
This auxiliary indicator strengthens the interpretation of the price chart indicators by providing additional evidence when the movements of the price chart indicators are judged ambiguous.
The 'Vol & Trend' sub-indicator is an indicator related to trading volume.
Therefore, you can check the buy strength and sell strength according to the movement of trading volume.
You can also check whether the volume is trending up or down.
The 'Strength' sub-indicator consists of the Stoch, StochRSI, RSI and CCI indicators.
The most important of these are the StochRSI indicator and the RSI indicator.
The RSI indicator is an indicator that is related to the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Therefore, it is not directly interpretable.
However, it is paired with the Stoch indicator and used as a basis for determining an upward trend or a downward trend.
It is currently looking to switch from a downtrend to an uptrend.
The StochRSI indicator is used to predict periods of volatility.
In addition, it is used as a basis for determining whether the trend will change to an uptrend or a downtrend in the future due to the change in the wave.
The current downtrend has turned to an uptrend, and it appears to be coming out of the oversold zone.
The CCI indicator is used as a basis for judging whether there is an upward trend or a downward trend.
However, it shows a trend that is more than short-term.
All of these indicators are scored as uptrend, stationary, and downtrend to make an overall judgment.
'Vol & Trend' indicator
Stationary : 1
Downtrend: 1
'Strength' indicator
Uptrend: 1
Matching: 2
Downtrend: 1
It is a situation where the basis for judgment of the sub-indicators is not needed, as all indicators that are near the current price chart are located below the price.
If it starts to show stationary or sideways movements near the price chart, then with the help of the indicators, you will be able to use it as a basis for judgment.
Someone said it's a chart with all the indicators, yes, that's right.
However, it is not always possible to see all indicators.
You only need to report it when necessary and use it as a basis for judgment.
We do not think of additional interpretation methods for each indicator other than the interpretation methods described above.
You should pay attention to this.
By combining support and resistance points here, you can create a trading strategy.
No matter how you analyze the chart, analysis ends its role with analysis.
To trade, you need to create a trading strategy based on chart analysis and correlation with support and resistance points so you can start trading.
However, when it comes to most chart analysis, there is a tendency to ignore trading strategies.
If you ignore your trading strategy, you will most likely not be able to find the right way to respond if the movement comes out in the opposite direction you thought.
Therefore, both chart analysis and trading strategy are important, but you need to do chart analysis to create a trading strategy.
If you forget about this and invest all your time and effort into chart analysis, you will end up with a higher chance of failing trades when you run out of time to craft your trading strategy right.
Therefore, chart analysis should be completed in the quickest way to give you plenty of time to create your trading strategy.
To do so, it is urgently necessary to make efforts to predict movements beyond the current one, rather than looking at the charts based on past movements and past patterns.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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LOWE'S - Look For Longs. $245 Is the Target for ShortsQuick read, for once.
Lowe's is down 7% following ER. Another ER dump. This is really notable for a few reasons:
1. Big moves on the first of the month always make me think reversals
2. Lowe's isn't really bearish on monthly or weekly bars
3. The real short setup for economic disaster is in the $240 range
4. Dump swept out weekly/monthly/daily sellside pivots
5. Gap fill
6. Overall market is not as bearish as it was during last Lowe's ER dump
7. Equities market makers love to "gamma squeeze" rip the other way after a little bit.
However, the weekly bars do show a three drives-style pattern
But it's only the wicks over range equilibrium and it's never traded to a deep premium, which is what you really want to see before new lows are going to be set.
Monthly shows that this isn't a bear market, either.
March 31 $200 calls lost $8.5 on the news.
You still have to be super careful because of geopolitical risks:
1. The Chinese Communist Party has not reported a single COVID case since Jan. 10, and this is almost impossible to be real. The reality is that the CCP is likely very, very weak right now and could fall at any time.
2. Elon Musk has warned, which confirms with multiple other sources, that Russia is about to launch a very large scale offensive in Ukraine. He would know because Starlink is the only thing keeping Ukraine with even a shred of hope in the battle. Equities down, commodities up is what that will result in, just like when the war was launched last year.
3. When it's time for the CCP to go, and it's going to happen very soon, you can expect there to be a clash between the India-Russia-Saudi/BRICS type entities and the United States/NATO globalists because everyone wants China. All the "hawkish" chatter on "China" (note it's rarely ever against the CCP itself) (("China" is not "the CCP")) from America is gearing up to take over the Mainland by way of the globalist groomed Chinese nationals it has parented so as to install all the woke globalist things and completely ruin what little is left of the country's 5,000 year culture as they go for a real New World Order/One World Government
With the way everything is acting I kind of suspect Lowe's may not be finished dumping, but imo this is one of those situations where one should "be greedy only when others are fearful."
$186 would be a really sweet entry and you have to sit on your hands for 2 or 3 months or at least roll out your winners.
See my Nasdaq/SPX/Dow calls for thoughts on the markets at large and potential timing.
July is the target for when things really get scary.
Buy TSLA in DecemberI think Tesla will be a good buy for December!
NASDAQ:TSLA has reached the lows of March 2021 ($179). The Hazel Heritage Indicator gave me my favorite signal, which is the "untested low", pointing out when price has crossed through a pivot low that has never been tested before.
This signal has a 92% success rate of creating a new pivot low. Price also has came back down to test the all-time high of $167.
Therefore I'm bullish on Tesla going into the month of December!
EURUSDEURUSD AM GOING TO BUY 1.08652 SL 1.08251 TP 1.11180
ITS retesting on daily timeframe LOW LOW which was been created on 7 MAR 2022 after retesting resistance and respect it which it was created on 11 APRIL 2022,
ON 4H the LL becomes our support zone which as been retested a couple of time when i place a trend line it has 3 touch point the last touch was at support zone.
Comparison of BTC and Historical Volatility (BVOL)TF: D
Comparing symbol: BVOL
Pretty interesting set-up on Bitcoin and the crypto market in general. Bitcoin volatility is a historic low right now and historically when volatility reaches a low in this general area price action really ticks up (both downwards and upwards). This is marked by the pink horizontal lines on the chart.
I am expecting some big volatility and price movement over the next several months. Keep in mind that if volatility is low it doesn't mean an uptrend will occur and has no meaning in which way price will trend, it just signifies a potential increase in volatility. What is even more interesting is usually volatility spikes when lows are reached, but it looks like volatility is slowly trending down. With smart trading and a good understanding of price action, this might give great opportunities to capitalize on the market.
BTC SHORTterm-BTC
Bulls are printing and bears getting rekt.
here is my ST view, BTC expandend flat:
we are now in a small wave 3, going for 4->5 ( dark yellow)
after that the bigger wave 3 is finished and we can retrace to 4 then 5 (bright yellow)
When this is finished we make new lows for btc.
*info not in the charts
/we have not hit the real bottem yet/
retail is buying like crazy while the whales keep dumping.
When retail gives up and starts selling + the 10k btc whales start selling then
at this moment the 1k btc whales will start to buy all the btc and then the real bottem is in.
Goodluck hope this helps you!
TESLA will go sub $50Intelligent investors are fleeing from the failed ideas of Tesla. As the works realises that environmentally damaging Lithium batteries are not a workable solution to our transport needs.
A string of out of control AI nightmare scenarios including Tesla cars that accelerated out of control hasn’t helped.
Rumours of Elon Musk developing a water splitting ‘Stanley Meyer’ type car appear to be false as Elon has often stated he thinks Edison was a better scientists than Tesla, he flaunts his scientific ignorance for all to see.
Recent speculation that Elon is, in fact, a low iq ‘fop’ spear to have been confirmed, even as he continues to promote a joke ‘dog’ coin crypto over the world’s most popular and successful cryptocurrency, Bitcoin - only cementing the publics opinion of him as a low iq ‘fop’.
Can Mr Musk climb out of the hole he has created?
Probably not.
EURCHF - Trend-Following Sell Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
EURCHF is overall bearish from a long-term perspective trading inside the red falling broadening wedge, and it is currently retesting the upper red trendline.
Moreover, the zone 1.0 is a strong round number and previous major low.
So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance zone and upper red trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance)
As per my trading style:
As EURCHF approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
TWO TYPES OF LOWS CREATED There are TWO W FORMATIONS
1. Price makes Low. Retraces- Then makes Lower Low to take out last of Liquidity then goes Long.
This gives the Sniper 3 Entries: #DBPPlay
#Switch or wait for the #BreakAndRetest 🥶💰
2. Price establishes LOW comes off the low make a higher low than goes LONG. Look for W SET UP.
Another confluence is: If GBPUSD isn’t buying at the same time that’s the que that EURUSD is gonna GO 🚀🚀🚀
These stocks confirm the bottom has not happened yetMonday will determine where we are. I have three theories for now. Most importantly I am not yet convinced the near-term bottom is in because other stocks that have followed the market pretty well have not finished their wave 5 bottoms which would have them notch lows lower than their wave 3 bottoms from June.
The S&P 500 index ended its last long bull run with a top on January 4, 2022. It ended Primary wave 1 with a firm bottom on February 24, 2022 (this is the sell-off on the first day of Russia-Ukraine conflict). Primary wave 2 topped on March 29, 2022. Primary wave 3 bottomed on June 17, 2022. Primary wave 4 topped on August 16, 2022, while nearly touching the top trendline which began on January 4 and ran to March 29.Multiple stocks, especially those in the NASDAQ began the bear market earlier in the fourth quarter of 2021.
Amazon ( AMZN ) is one of these stocks. The stock had an all-time high July 13, 2021; however, this was likely a wave 3 top from the prior waves instead of the beginning of its own bear market. This was confirmed when Amazon’s lows in May and June 2022 flashed wave 3 signals instead of cementing a wave 5 base and market bottom. Therefore, Amazon began its decline with a top on November 19, 2021. It finished wave 1on March 8, 2022, wave 2 on March 29, 2022, wave 3 on May 24, 2022, wave 4 on August 16, 2022. Amazon began its waves early but achieved market reversals for waves 2 and 4 while bottoming with the market around June 17. If unsure about the index, this stock can also hold clues as it is yet to drop below its wave 3 bottom.
Next stock is Target ( TGT ). The stock presented the wave 3 peak from its last bull run on August 11, 2021; however, it achieved an all-time high on November 15, 2021. This is where I believe its bear market began. Wave 1 ended February 24, 2022, wave 2 on April 21, 2022, wave 3 on June 30, 2022, and wave 4 on August 16, 2022. This stock matched the wave 1 and 4 reversals while forming a bottom, just not its final on June 17 as well. This stock is trending well with the market. Like AMZN, it is yet to go below its wave 3 bottom and therefore I believe more declines are to come.
Next is Lowes ( LOW ) which is in a slightly different ending position but yet to drop below it’s wave 3 bottom. The Lowes bear market began on December 13, 2021. Wave 1 ended with the market on February 24. Wave 2 ended on March 21. Wave 3 ended on June 22, while achieving a near bottom with the market on June 17. Wave 4 ended on August 17 which is one day behind the market. For now it appears it may be further along in its final wave 5 down, but it is still 12 points above the wave 3 low. The trendlines have not been as helpful from a technical standpoint for this bear market.
Rockwell Automation ( NYSE:ROK ) is another stock moving with the market, however, the trend lines are not producing points of resistance. Wave 1 began December 16, 2021 and ended with the market on February 24, 2022. Wave 2 ended with the market on March 29, 2022. Wave 3 ended days after the market on June 22, 2022. Wave 4 ended with the market on August 16. This stock has tracked very tightly with the index, and if this remains true I currently have ROK around Minor wave 2 in Intermediate wave 5. This is more apparent than the current movement in the index, however, it can be used to indicate what lies ahead for the market.
Old Dominion ( ODFL ) is next with the bear market beginning December 7, 2021. Wave 1 ended with the market on February 24, 2022, wave 2 on March 18, wave 3 ended on May 19, but did find another market low on June 17 with the market. Wave 4 ended on August 11 and the stock is currently around Intermediate wave 5 preparing for its final bottom.
Another high volume darling with earnings this week is Apple ( AAPL ). It began the bear market with the index on January 4, 2022. Wave 1 ended slightly later on March 14, but it also shared a major bottom on February 24 with the market. Wave 2 ended on March 30, wave 3 ended June 16, 2022, and wave 4 ended on August 17. The last three reversals for Apple occurred one day after the market, so this is something to consider moving forward. A drop to the wave 3 bottom requires a minimum 20 point loss from Friday’s close. This stock has quite a bit of ground to lose and the stock trends up prior to earnings. An earnings call bomb is the quickest way for Apple to retake the June lows.
The S&P 500 has gone below the Primary wave 3 bottom so technically it does not have to go lower than it did on October 13. I am using the stocks mentioned here to determine when the index has bottomed as I do not believe it has occurred yet. Tomorrow will be big for the index. The current chart has us possibly still in Intermediate wave 4, and it would likely be near the Minor C wave. The trendlines for SPX have held well and there is not much before that line is met. This only leaves room for the near-term top to happen no later than tomorrow. For this entire analysis to hold true, we should have an overall down week. Big earnings start coming out by mid-week to include some of the stocks mentioned here. I will map out the sub waves once I know where we are in Intermediate wave 5. Earliest models would have Intermediate 5 lasting 11 days IF we ended Minor wave 2 on Friday. If we are not in Intermediate wave 5 yet, the length could be around 15 days long.
Upcoming catalysts besides earnings are the Fed the first week in November and the U.S. elections the second week of November.