lower low coming up on NasdaqHi Traders,
The Nasdaq Looks like it may give us an easy setup for a short. Price has started the day pushing all the way to 11720 and then proceeding to flip bearish. Price has also pushed below yesterday's daily low which leaves a clue for where we may see price go next.
We have support at 11480 and I would like to see price close below. This would then give me more confidence in a potential sell setup, My Target is the previous low of 11040 even though price may continue pushing for new lows. With the GDP numbers for the USA coming out this quarter and everyone suspecting that we may hit a Recession, The Nasdaq surely will take a hit and could aid in the price decreasing further.
Have a great week ahead.
Renaldo Philander.
Lowerlow
EURUSD 1/18 RR ShortsNice entry caught on the 1/5 Minute time frames. We have a break of structure on the lower time frame. 1H chart indicates that the desired take profit level should be at around 1.048. This is a nice 1 to 18 risk reward ratio with the acquiring smart money concepts. Should land a big win here.
Bearish Trade EURCAD 4HBearish trade idea on the EURCAD 4H...
Price has been in a downtrend for months.
Price is now in a descending wedge and has recently broken most recent outside return to the downside.
Price has touched the upper support trend line 3 times and respected on the third touch.
Price was rejected at the 618 Fibonacci retracement from the most recent swing high.
Price is also at previous level of structure resistance.
Price also put in lower low, lower close candle.
Entry price was at 1.38953
Stop loss set at 1.40070
Take profit 1 set at next obvious level of structure (conservative profit taking) 1.37741
Take profit 2 set at lowest close of most recent outside return 1.36878
I will remove half my position size at TP 1 and move SL to breakeven.
A sign of trend reversal in AMC? The Elephant in the room...NYSE:AMC
I'll keep the write up short and let the chart speak to you, but a few observations here that a lot of people just won't talk about:
1. Since the runup to $72 AMC has continuously set lower highs.
2. From the peak of $72 in June to the end of November, AMC was successful in countering the lower highs with higher lows.
3. End of Nov AMC broke its major structure created during the run up in June. This pushed AMC to a ascending parallel channel created by the Feb runup, retracement, and the initial kick of the June run.
4. Price discovery During June-Nov respected the entire range of the first June weekly candle.
5. Again, Nov we see a break down out of the Alpha structure to its predominate structure. This was a a warning sign - IN RESEPCT TO TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ONLY.
6. This is when Lower Lows start taking place, working with the lower highs to push the price discovery back down to the range of the last May weekly candle.
7. Dec-Jan we see a case of larger price range as compared to the candle bodies, showing indecision and buyer exhaustion. The first candle body to close outside this range pushed the price down to a new (most current) range. Lower lows and Lower highs have continued through this period.
8. It is also important to recognize the level of support that was broken (created during the Jan - May run. This support and the broken support during June-Nov resistance creates a channel - keep this in mind going forward.
9. Overall, since the run up, AMC has found that is it trading at lower and lower consolidation levels.
and lastly....
10. Not one weekly candle body has closed over its active consolidation levels since June 21'. UNTILL NOW. This in mind, outside of EVERYTHING ELSE besides this chart, its a very positive indication for AMC. This has NOT happened since BEFORE the June run up.
Continued...
I thought I could stop. I can't.
What I am looking for as CONFIRMATION of my bullish feeling (not letting my emotion get to me this time) is a weekly candle that does 1 of 2 things:
A. Closes above the swing high created in Dec - this would be >$30 - This is honestly a very hard feat in 5 trading days. This though would not only break the LLLH trend but also push through the descending resistance created at the top of the Jun run AND push through the ascending level of resistance (once support but broken in Jan 22') that creates the lower part of the ascending parallel channel. This is BEST case. This is also NOT as probable as scenario B...
B. A weekly close slightly above the 2 mentioned levels of resistance. This is more achievable in my mind from a PURE TA perspective. It won't be easy. Keep in mind the REALITY of the chart. LL, LH - multiple structure breaks to the downside. These are facts.
We must talk about the elephant in the room...
I will keep this short. Look at the chart, find the next (lower) structure). Until the trend is officially broken, it is telling us that the next structure sellers are targeting is $8.93-14.05. Yes I said it. I will also say this: it is more probable than scenario A. The fact that we got a weekly close out of the current range is a GREAT SIGN that buyers are stepping in again. I suspect major resistance at $22-24 (in regards to this week only). Lets recognize the dilution factor. 5x since the Jan 21' runup. Even at current prices (when compared to the $72 high) the company is MUCH more valuable. It is simple math. The amount of buying pressure needed to get back to this price discovery would need to be MUCH greater than the prior buying pressure. THINK ABOUT MARKET CAP - especially when creating a personal PT. This is a cold hard question that NEEDS to be asked: can a company that runs from dollars to the low 70's sustain that price discovery under the conditions of dilution. This was AMC's biggest "hiccup". Yes this is a fundamental argument, but it DOES factor into TA. In TA you need a PT and SL to create a trading plan - market cap MUST be considered. Keep this in mind going forward with AMC.
Disclosure - I am LONG on AMC and have been since Jan 21 <$5 and I have been selling covered calls since NOV when I first noticed the major trend changes - this has served me VERY well and has put me in a position that I was able to accumulate more AMC at $20. Although I will not participate in calls this time, I will slow my selling of them. I LIKE what I see STARTING to develop but I will be PATIENT as to NOT get too excited...yet..until I see what the EOW brings. Please consider the fact I am not taking into consideration ANYTHING outside the chart..
I did not keep this short. No pun intended.
Weakness in NIFTYBANKNSE:BANKNIFTY
Weakness Observed in this current uptrend wave.
Reasons
1. Series of HH - HL has been broken and a new LL has been created.
2. Continuous decrease in RSI indicates weakness in trend.
This Analysis is not a trade recommendation. It is completely for study purpose only. Do your own study and research before getting into the trades.
EURCHF Change of Trend (BOS)EURCHF has managed to create a BOS (Break of Structure) two times over, indicating it may be time to start thinking bullish.
I am looking for entry points around the area of demand that managed to group enough orders to break the new found recent high.
Keep an eye on the lower timeframes for indication of a move.
EUR/CAD Might Fly Soon 🚀📈 EUR/CAD | Potential Upward Movement
💡 Buy Limit Order @ 1.44668
🎯 Target Profit 1 @1.45138
🎯 Target Profit 2 @ 1.45610
🛑 Stop Loss 1.44198
❌ Do not risk more than 1% of your account on each trade
Analysis:
The price succeeded to break the bearish trend line to the upside after the Wyckoff accumulation phase. A lower correction could be seen to the support level to bring back liquidity before a new bullish impulsive wave toward the target profits.
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LTC/BTCHi,
We will look at LTO / BTC. As you can see, after exiting the downtrend line, the price slightly moved up. Looking at the 1D interval, you can see that the price has been retested near the support zone (0.00000423-0.00000400) btc. The first resistance line is at 0.00000581btc where the price slowed.
Looking at the current low and high we can see that a breakthrough of the last high at 0.00000612btc may turn the trend into an uptrend.
More details on the chart :)
EXIDE shorting possibility for positional trade.NSE:EXIDEIND
The video is self-explanatory.
Looking good for a 12% shorting position with a risk of 4-5%.
Manage your risk properly.
If you have any questions or suggestions, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
It can do 2 things The market has a high chance of touching the demand zone and the trendline and bouncing up
- it can shoot up and make a breakthrough in the supply zone and retest and then shoop up again.
- the market can shoot up and hit the supply zone then fall and dip down into the demand zone
Analysis GBPUSD (Overall down Side)Hello Traders, GU looks like a very much a down trend for the past week. Therefor, trading it to the down side would be your best bet in your favor. As you can see the the candles are retracing to mitigate anything to bring back in profit to continue to a sell/short. Possibly would hit to the 38% to the 50% retracement to reach to the target area. According to the RSI, there is a divergence which it let me know that it is retracing. It also shows the engulfing candle to the retracement area around the Quarter point and making LH and LL's.
Beware: news is coming out for all the USD pairs. It is a red flag. starts 1/26/2022 2:00pm EST time.
Thank you for reading!
EURAUD Trend Change?EURAUD has been moving sideways all 2022 with a very slight uptrend. After creating nothing but higher highs and higher lows, it has finally had a strong push and created a lower low.
After creating this lower low and bouncing off of the trend line, we have shot straight back up into the supply zone where we created the previous trend changing movement. Indicating a very strong supply zone.
Keep an eye on the 1H frame for a potential entry point to short EURAUD.
Let me know your analysis and your plan for the pair!