Is Lowes Signaling An Overall Market Decline?Lowe's triggered my early-warning price reversal algorithm. The full accuracy when this occurs is detailed in the article at my website below. The RSI algorithm determines overbought and oversold levels. The algorithm signaled a SELL on April 6, 2021. Equities nearly always obey the signal and move down, but sometimes it may continue to move up first. This is interesting if the signal is accurate. We are heading into the summer months which would ultimately be profitable for the company. The stock could be in for another short-lived cool off which is most likely the case here. Most of my algorithms may point to a reversal but that reversal ends up reversing usually within 50 trading bars. While the current signal ultimately has the stock dropping, it could gain slightly first. Once the drop has occurred, there is no doubt Lowe's will be primed to retrace this drop.
I have placed two red boxes and two green boxes on the chart. The larger red box depicts all of the historical movement, from a percentage standpoint, that this stock has moved on the Daily chart after a SELL signal occurred. Therefore, this box represents 100% of previous movement upward before the stock finally moved downward. The smaller red box represents 50% of all historical movement upward, before the stock moved downward. The smaller box is more of a precise target for the potential top in this instance.
The green boxes represent the same thing. In this instance, the smaller green box would be my projected target for the final bottom.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
