BAHi, today we are going to talk about BAE Systems and its current landscape.
The British multinational defense security and aerospace company use great amounts of rare earth materials to build its weaponry products, so rare earth costs hold a key significance on its margins, which might get a lift due to the most recent news coming from the key producer of rare-earths.
China that controls about 90% of the market, and 70% of the global production of rare-earths, said this month that it's raising its annual mining quota to 132,000 tons, representing a 10% rise in comparison with last year. This decision's poised to have a significant impact on the markets due to the relevance of rare-earth is one of the most relevant elements to the modern industry, essential to the production of a wide variety of products. To have an idea, let's have a quick look at their uses on the industry:
Neodymium - Used to make powerful magnets that can be use on the many products from computer hard drives to motors for electric cars
Lanthanum - Used to make audiovisual components like camera lenses and other elements that work with light on the industry like cinema projection and illumination.
Gadolinium - Used on the fabrication of Television screens in the medical industry by been utilized in MRI and X-ray scanning systems.
Cerium - Used in the manufacture for cigarette lighters, as the Lanthanum it's used on the cinema industry, this element its also used by the crude refinery in its refining process.
Praseodymium - Essential to producing aircraft engines and along with magnesium, can create high-strength metals named Mischmetal.
Yttrium - Used in white LED lights, lasers that can cut through metals, also it's used in making of microwave filters for radars, and it's used to a catalyst in ethene polymerization.
Terbium - Used in mercury lamps and to improve the safety of medical x-rays and used in laser devices.
Europium - Used in printing euro banknotes, low-energy light bulbs to give natural light, also it's excellent at absorbing a neutron, valuable to control rods for nuclear reactors.
With this scenario in mind, we can weight that companies and other types of assets, that have a high level of dependence on this material could have relief on their profit margins during this year that China keeps this level of production. This relief might mitigate eventual headwinds that these assets may face and boost possible bullish sentiments.
Thank you for reading and leave your comments if you like.
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LSE
CINE 1D DESCENDING TRIANGLE SHORT TRADEDescending Triangles, Triangles, Ascending Triangle and Ranges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles and ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Ascending and descending chart patterns will have a directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
TESCO SHARES TO ROCKET TOMORROW?Hi fellow traders! Tesco really has to potential to move either side tomorrow! Hopefully to the upside however, considering its sale growth, over past consecutive quarters.
Tomorrow, Tesco PLC are going to be releasing their full year results tomorrow (10th April 2019). This could give the potential for this stock to spike upwards. Investors will be keen to see if Tesco has held onto its constant quarterly sales growth amongst fierce, competitive market conditions.
Although Tesco (the UK's largest supermarket) has been losing its market share in the UK to German discount supermarkets, such as Lidl and Aldi where it has had its market share drop 0.2% to 27.4%, and Asda (2nd largest supermarket in the UK) plans on merging with Sainsbury's (3rd largest supermarket in the UK), Tesco has had its sales rise by 0.5% in the 3 months to March 24 2019. This paves the way for investors to potentially have confidence in the brand, as it has seen a rise in sales and the Asda and Sainsbury's merger has not been confirmed by the UK's Competition and Markets Authority. This means the potential future loss of market share by Tesco should not impact its share price tomorrow hopefully.
One of the other main issues Tesco faces however is the question of why management chose to cut up to 9000 jobs, closing fresh food counters, but this should not be as interesting as hearing nice rises in sales and profits!
Moreover, Tesco acquisition of Booker Group, a wholesaler in the UK has been going well and should have increased their purchasing power in the market, giving them the opportunity to raise their profit margins or reduce prices and have higher sales from this, as they are able to benefit from bulk-buying. It has also entered a buying agreement with Carrefour, a French supermarket group. This should look to help the group financially and increase its dominance of its brand worldwide if the transaction goes through, another potential positive outlook for investors.
From the results in October 2018 for quarterly results, Tesco's CEO claimed they were on track to deliver their medium-term ambitions set in October 2016 which were to:
- reduce costs by £1.5 billion
- generate £9 billion from operations from retail
- improve Tesco group's operating margins to 3.5%-4% by 2019-2020
Also, if tomorrow's talks with regards to Brexit is positive and there is a reduced chance for a No Deal Brexit as Theresa May obtains an extension, this should look to benefit the LSE, placing hope in investors for any potential financial turmoil for the UK. This should also let investors realise that Tesco and other supermarkets are not at risk of any major political/financial issues.
If these targets are closer to being fulfilled, this should easily let the share price rise.
Note: The red regions signify resistance regions, and the green, support regions.
I would look for this stock to rise in value. My targets are as follows:
TP1: AROUND 238.00
TP2: AROUND 240.00
TP3: AROUND 244.00
Additionally, looking at this stock from a technical perspective, an ascending triangle has been forming (as drawn on the chart), paving the way for a breakout and some positive price action!
Unfortunately, if the report tomorrow is not well for Tesco, it could look to drop to the following regions:
TP1: AROUND 228.00-229.00
TP2: AROUND 223.00
TP3: AROUND 216.00-218.00
Finger's crossed I am right tomorrow!
If you read it to all the way down here, thanks for showing some support to this article! Tell me where you think Tesco will be heading next! Comment below all your ideas about the future of Tesco! Buy or Sell and why? Additionally, drop me your charts/ideas for it, that'd be great so I can see where you are coming from. I'm a new guy to the FX, Stocks & Crypto market, and I'd appreciate any help people may offer!
Please drop a follow/like! I need reputation points!
TSCO Stock is it the SKY or the CRUSH?Hello Guys,
At times bad with crypto, I try to look into other markets and see if there is any opportunity for use because all we need for profit, is volatility. Now we have the TSCO stock on the chart and what we see is long bear market going on. Now, NASDAQ, APPL and most of the other big companies had a fall in their price recently and as for the past times everyone has been talking about the next big crash coming some of us started to think this was the first hit of the big bear market which will cause the crash. But the problem with TSCO is that it started falling and its bear market way before the hit took NASDAQ, APPL and other companies. So, IMO if there will be another hit on the stocks globally than we can see TSCO price crashing its support area of 170-200 and testing lower areas. So all we have to do now is sit and wait to see which scenarios plays out? Is it the SKY, meaning there will be no next big hit and this was retracement continued by the bulls and we will see TSCO reversing, or is it the CRASH? T
Thank, you. Share, Like, Follow, and Comment on what your thoughts are?
LSE LONGLSE LONG exchanges always perform well better than most after that downturn. RSI oversoldd price have made double bot then retraced looking for 2:1 RRR. Good Luck
London Stock Exchange post resultsLondon Stock Exchange plc reports FY17 Adj Op £812M vs exp £828M, Rev £1.77B vs exp £1.93B
- Organic Rev 10% y/y
- Capital makrets Rev £391M, +6% y/y
- Dividend 19% increase to 51.6p/shr
Could be a test of the recent value are look out for support levels as there has been a miss on expectations
Dekel Oil ready for the seasonI love these guys and the work they are doing in West Africa.
This is a new year and we can see that in past the first months (Q1 & Q2 as first and second part of the high season) are very good so we can expect the same thing to happen this year.
Beyond all the factors that surround the production of oil palm (obvious fall at the end of the last year), from the technical point of view and directly in the chart, the fact of having respected the strong support projected from the previous top tells me that Dekel Oil is ready for a new uptrend .
Unfortunately I do not have enough information to believe that this trend can last all year, but enough to set a target for the first half of it.
I will see how it behaves and how the operation of the company develops and plan the second half of the year.
I hope you find this useful.
Best wishes to all!
*Long* Bullish Breakout is in the card. *The falling wedge is done. (Bullish Trend Continuation) *
* Validated with 38.2 Fibo Retracement.*
*Unusual heavy volume starts to kicked in.*
*Breakout is unfolding and 12.00 level would be a good take profit level.*
ASCL - Possible longLooking at a possible long on ASCL. We saw strong rejection from just above the 300 area which coincides with the 200ma. Financials look good. The only concern I have is the move up was on weak volume, could be a bull trap so ideally I want to see a further move up on high volume.
The perfect scenario would be another drop to 310 area where we could see a bounce. Volume is key for me in these sorts of trades as I want to see that demand from buyers.
No position yet, I will update this post if/when I take a position.
Stay tuned!
SAVP BUY with news expected before month end and massive potential drill/catalyst coming up i expect it to test levels of 40p 43p and then 50p
Royal Dutch Shell Sell opportunity after trendline breakPrice has pulled back to this daily resistance after breaking this trendline. I see a sell opportunity to 2020.00