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Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)

Bearish Reversal Alert on EUR/USDTechnical Outlook: LSMA Indicators: The 45 period LSMA in red and the 53 period LSMA in blue are both trending downwards towards the pivotal 50 level, reflecting a bearish sentiment taking hold. TSI Behavior: The True Strength Indicator has just crossed and is angling downwards, with the lines beginning to diverge, enhancing the bearish signal's credibility. MACD Crossover: The MACD line crossing at 46, following last Friday's rally, now exhibits a downward trajectory, aligning with the growing bearish momentum. Price Action Context: There is notable price congestion around the 1.07490 area, suggesting a distribution phase that could precede a downward move if support fails. Trade Rationale: The synergy of these indicators, paired with a comprehensive analysis of price action, suggests a potent opportunity for a short position. The alignment of LSMA lines descending, TSI's bearish crossover, and the MACD's downward turn post-rally indicates a shift in market dynamics. The distribution around 1.07490 serves as a potential inflection point for price, where a sustained move below could confirm the bearish outlook and offer a strategic entry point for traders. Action Plan: Consider a sell position on EUR/USD, while closely monitoring the 1.07490 level for confirmation of the bearish momentum. As with any trade, ensure proper risk management strategies are in place to protect against unexpected market movements.
Short
by GibsonTrades
BTC/USDHere is a closer look at the BTC/USD 1 day chart: At the moment of typing this BTC/USD is ranging sideways within the range of around $31,479 and around $29,627 as highlighted by the Horizontal Dotted White Lines with Yellow Shading. BTC/USD is in a Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern otherwise known as a Broadening Wedge Pattern or a Megaphone Pattern on this 1 day timeframe. We have contraction of the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands. Note that at the moment of typing this BTC has found support from its Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. I have added 2 Fixed Range Volume Profiles (FRVP). The 1st VFVP starts at the impulse from Thursday 15th June until Thursday 22nd June. Note that BTC is well above this FRVP POC (Point of Control). The 2nd is at the start of the Ranging Sideways Movement from Friday 23rd June until Friday 7th June. Note that BTC is below this FRVP POC (Point of Control). I have added a Fib Retracement Tool from the low at the start of the Impulse to the recent high. As you can see BTC/USD has found some support from its 0.236 / 23.60% Fib level. I have also added a Trend-Based Fib Extension Tool so you can see the various Support and Resistance lines for this tool with the high/low range i have selected. BTC/USD is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicator. Note that the Price has not closed above the LSMA since Thursday 29th June. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line had crossed below its Signal Line on Thursday 6th July but both lines are still in the Positive Zone above the 0.00 Base Line. All in all it’s interesting times, at the moment of typing this BTC/USD momentum is moving within a Range: For the positive side: An impulse move upwards with strong bullish volume with a successful daily candle CLOSE above $31,479 and successful re-test as strong SUPPORT is key for a bullish outlook. For the negative side: An impulse move downwards with strong bearish volume with a successful daily candle CLOSE below $29,627 and successful re-test as strong RESISTANCE is key for a bearish outlook. I hope this quick BTC/USD post is helpful.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
2
BTC/USD and its crucial support and resistance areaLooking at this Daily BTC/USD Bitstamp chart from around Oct 2020 to 29th July 2023 (today) we can see a few obvious chart patterns that BTC is still in on this daily chart. 1) Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern AKA a Broadening Wedge Pattern/Megaphone Pattern 2) Ascending Channel Pattern 3) Descending Channel Pattern 4) Rising Wedge Pattern We can clearly see the crucial range that BTC must break ABOVE and turn into strong support, which is around $28,709 to $32,360 as highlighted by the channel with horizontal dotted lines with yellow shading. This area has been both strong support and resistance quite a few times over the years. As a Strong Support range: Sat 2nd Jan 2021 to Mon 1st Feb 2021 Wed 19th May 2021 to Fri 23rd Jul 2021 As a Strong Resistance range: Mon 9th May 2022 to Sun 12th Jun 2022 Monday 20th Mar 2023 to Monday 8th May 2023 Mon 29th May 2023 (1day) Wednesday 21st Jun 2023 to 29th Just 2023 (as of typing this) Using @LuxAlgo Buyside & Sellside Liquidity indicator, we can see that BTC is slowly filling up its Liquidity Void from around $29,611 to its bottom at $27,051. As we can see from the history of the chart, quite a few of Liquidity Voids do end up getting filled back up even after a long period of year and a half. We can also see that a Buyside Liquidity line is located almost exactly on the top of our important support/resistance area. Using the Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) in its Delta mode, we can see what the Traded Volume difference was on each of the Volume Profile Bars for this entire charts visible range. Note that the Volume Area Up is Blue and Volume Area Down is Yellow. Here is a closer look at this 1 day chart. Note that BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis, the Lower Band is still pointing downwards and the Upper Band looks like it may curve downwards. I have added a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) indicator from Thur 15th Jun 2023 to Sat 29th July 2023 (as of typing this). The FRVP is also in its Delta mode and you can clearly see the Traded Volume differences for each Bar. Note that again the Volume Area Up is Blue and Volume Area Down is Yellow. Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow Indicator (CMF) we can see that the CMF Line is still in the Distribution Zone under its 0.00 Base Line and note that it is still Below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicator. Note that the LSMA has curved upwards at the moment. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum has dropped and the RSI Line is still below its 9 Period EMA line. Using the Bollinger Bands on the RSI we can see that the RSI now has little bit of room to move downwards and a lot of room to move upwards before becoming over extended/overbought/oversold. It really is good practice to be on the lookout for any Convergence and Divergence with the RSI and the Price. The key takeaway from this post, the Resistance Area from around $28,709 to $32,360 is very, very important! Note we also have a Buyside Liquidity Line located almost directly on $32,360. For the Upside: A successful Daily Candle CLOSE above the $32,360 level and any successful re-test as strong support will be a good sign of continued positive momentum to come. For the Downside: Failure to CLOSE a Daily Candle above the $32,360 level will be a good sign of continued sideways to eventual negative momentum. Anyway, i hope this post is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
VET/USD - My Longterm PlanVeChain update with my opinions and what i plan to do if my opinions are correct: Here is a closer look at the 1 day VET/USD chart: While VET did have a nice move up from $0.0152 to $0.032, that impetus is gone and VET is now making Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Notes: VET is still in its Descending Channel Pattern. VET is back in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. VET is under both its 50MA and 200MA levels. The 50MA has crossed back under the 200MA on this 1 day timeframe. If we look at the volume for VET/USD, it’s been very low since around July 2021 and has not really recovered. On this chart, i have added various Support and Resistance Lines as well as Areas of Interest as highlighted with the Black Dotted Lines with Yellow Shading. If we look at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF Indicator), we can see that the MF Line is still very near its 0.00 Base Line, a cross below the 0.00 Base Line will take VET into Distribution on this 1 day Timeframe. Note the the MF Line is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) Line. My longterm Hodl plan for VET/USD: I still believe we will see $0.0096 to $0.0084 especially when the USA finally admits publicly that it is in a Recession, which when it does, will mean it’ll actually be in a Depression. So if this recession plan follows through then i will be looking to buy in around $0.0096 to $0.0084 and longterm hold until it reaches back to the ATH of around $0.28 and then re-asses the situation. A successful Daily Candle close below $0.0152 will be my first confirmation that we may see below $0.01. With the potential oncoming of this world depression, if the only way out for the US is to start WW3 to counter BRICS, the loss of the Petro Dollar, the loss of sanction power and the growing +$32T of debt then i believe we could see $0.0057 to $0.0043. When the oncoming recession/depression pivots and the new Bull-Run starts, after a while, keep an eye out for when the Mainstream Media starts broadcasting to the public about huge Crypto Gains! When this happens you’ll suddenly have random family and friends who now want to jump into crypto because it has gone up 1000s of %! This will be the time to consider taking profit on any long term hold as all the newbies jumping on the band wagon will be providing EXIT LIQUIDITY to those who got in at a really low price. Once this happens, then the market makers will change direction and become Bearish as Bulls and Bears are the same people I.E they are the Market Makers. I have seen this happen twice now with the Crypto market, once in 2017 and another in 2021. As always, we must keep an eye on what BTC/USD is doing. Anyway, this is all just my opinion and i have other strategies in place for if we don’t see sub $0.01 again. I hope this post is helpful.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
7
BTCUSDT A Head & Shoulders to builtBTCUSDT have a Head & Shoulders pattern to built in a Zig Zag downward, in which a wave 1 can be expected for an 2-D swing trade as a breakdown from the micro symmetrical triangle is expected. Thereby, a new supply target will expecting for a reaction. This will be an increase of confidence for the sell-side. Displayed on this H4 chart: daily LSMA (least squares moving average) resistance plus AVWAP (anchored volume weighted average) from peak of wave (ii) of this ending diagonal (as showed on my actual cyclical wave analysis). Technicals: serious divergences on Commodity Channel Index and Chaikin Money Flow suggesting a condition to a dip soon. Overbought condition.
Short
by firmestudio
3
BTC/USD - is BTC still in a downtrend?Let’s have a look at the BTC/USD 1 week chart and see what this chart and indicators are telling us. BTC is still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. BTC is also still in a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern. Note that the 50MA is still traveling DOWNWARDS towards the 200MA so we still might see a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC has crossed back under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe. A successful close below the LSMA and successful re-test as resistance will indicate that the direction of travel will most likely continue downwards. BTC is still way under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the Descending Pitchfork Pattern, we can see the Support and Resistance levels that BTC has been hitting on this indicator. Here is a closer look at this 1 week chart: BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of all 3 of its major Ichimoku Clouds. Looking at BTC’s most important Ichimoku Cloud: The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that mid-point the short-term momentum is downwards at the moment. The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum, at the moment is starting to slope downwards. Using the Negative V Calculation from the 1 Month Chart, and using the Ichimoku Timespan Numbers of 65-Bars and 76-Bars starting from the ATH at $68,789.63 back in Nov 2021, we have 2 potential timeframes for the price target $9,916. V Calculation Negative (from 1 month chart) V = B - (C-B) = D C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622 B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,1622 = $9,916 D1 = $9,916 The week of 6th Feb 2023 D2 = $9,916 The week 24th April 2023 Note that this is NOT a bottom for BTC but is a PRICE TARGET using the Ichimoku V Calculation (Negative). Looking at the Up/Down Volume, we can see that the Volume Traded since around June 2021 has been nothing when compared to what has been previously traded in the past. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI is pointing downwards and still has plenty of room to move downwards before becoming Oversold on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is getting very close to crossing under is 9 Period EMA. From my opinion, before anyone can start talking or preaching about bottoms, reversals and bull-runs, we need to talk about fundamentals and what is happening to the world economy. We also now know that the Crypto world isn’t yet a hedge against inflation and we also need to accept the fact that the world is already in a recession and possibly heading into a depression in 2023. From my opinion BTC is still in a mid to longterm downtrend. That is NOT going to change unless BTC crosses back ABOVE and more importantly CLOSES ABOVE its 200MA on the 1 Day Chart for Mid-Term and 1 Week Chart for Long-Term. If/when this happens, be on the lookout for any successful re-test as support on these timeframes. Once this world wide recession fully bottoms out be it in 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and when the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then true opportunities WILL ARISE for those who are ready. Again this is all my opinion so I hope this post is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
10
BTC/USD - Will we see a Death Cross on the Bitcoin 1 week chart?Looking at the BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA (Yellow Line) is now getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). A crossover would signal a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the entire history and available data on this BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA has never crossed under the 200MA on this 1w timeframe. Note that the 50MA did come very close to crossing under the 200MA around the week of the 30th Nov 2015 but in the end, it didn’t happen. Other notes: BTC is still in a Massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern. BTC is also still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. BTC is still under all 3 of its major unique Ichimoku Kumo (Cloud) patterns. BTC is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow, we can see that we are still in the Distribution Zone traveling slightly upwards but would say more like 'sideways within a range' on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is a sign of continued weakness on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but has starting to slope downwards. Note that both the MACD Line and Signal Line are still deep in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the last green histogram had also decreased in size and this weekly one looks like it will also close smaller than the last indicating upwards momentum is weakening on this 1w timeframe. Interesting times and potential opportunities ahead once this World Recession bottoms. I hope this quick chart is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
1
VET/USD - 1w chart Update and my opinionLet’s have another quick look at the VET/USD 1w chart. Here is a closer look at this 1w chart. VeChain is still in its Descending Wedge Pattern on this 1w chart. Note that VET failed to close a weekly candle above its upper descending trend line of its Descending Wedge Pattern at around $0.0286. $0.0286 was also the previous high from Mon 23rd Jul 2018. VeChain is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1w chart. VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1w chart. Note that the Lower Band has started to curve downwards indicating volatility for the downside on this 1w chart. Note that the 50MA (Orange Line) is getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). If the 50MA crosses under the 200MA on this 1w chart that will create a death cross on this 1 week timeframe. VET is now fighting to stay above its support area located at $0.01978 and $0.0181. If VET closes a weekly candle below $0.0181 then we should drop to around $0.0120. VET is below its 1 ($0.01845) Trend Based Fib Extension Level. Failure to close a weekly candle above this level will lead to further drops. Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) we can see the area i which the most Volume was traded on VET/USD. Note that VET is close to dropping under its 78.60% Fib Retracement Level at $0.01811. I have added a Modified Schiff Pitchfork pattern and you can clearly see that VET has a long way togo before crossing back above its Median Line. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 16.34 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.39. Negative Momentum has Increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 24.32. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that there is still plenty of room for VET to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1w chart. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of downwards strength on this 1w timeframe. So what does all this tell me: This is all just my opinion but this tells me that there is plenty of room for VET to drop further on this 1w timeframe especially if it closes a weekly candle below its 78.60% Fib Retracement level. Once this world wide recession fully bottoms be it in a 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then opportunities will arise for those who are ready. My crypto of choice is obviously VET and a few others that have use cases but this goes for all Crypto’s so soon your crypto of choice will be available at an even lower bargain price. Especially if/when BTC drops to the $12k-$9k range. Please see the chart below. I hope this is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
BTC OutlookAccording to LSMA, we can assume that Bitcoin has ended the bear market. LSMA is a technical analysis tool that studies past market data, such as the price and trading volume, and uses it to predict the future direction of an asset’s price. I have put this indicator in 2 different bear markets' ends of 2015, 2019 and the current year 2022. 2015: The indicator was in a pass between below and above the price. It finally stayed at the same level at the bottom, while price stayed above it and bear market ended. 2019: The indicator went below the price again after short cycles and bear market ended. 2022: The indicator looks thoroughly like 2015's situation, except the bottom which is similar to 2019's where was a rapid recovery. Price is currently staying above the indicator.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by miladchikol
BTC/USD 4hr chart analysisBTC/USD 4hr chart analysis: On the 17th, BTC had broken downwards out of its Ascending Wedge Pattern on this 4hr chart. BTC had found some support from its support level at around $21,264 but has now dropped below it. A successful 4hr close below this level will possibly take BTC to its support area at around $20,834 to $20,494. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chimkou Span) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the short-term momentum is downwards at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is also downwards at the moment. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has crossed under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a new bearish red cloud (Kumo) for this 4hr timeframe. Note that BTC is way below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 4hr timeframe. BTC is still well below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and still outside of its Bollinger Bands Lower Band. Note that the Upper band is also extending upwards. BTC has also found some resistance from its 1.618 ($21,577) Trend-Based Fib Extension level. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) at 28.22 above the 20 Threshold (White Dashed Line) and above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) at 20.40. Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) at 7.84 and Negative momentum is upwards after the rise and drop with the -DI (Red Line) at 38.39. Interesting times and opportunities ahead. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
1
BTC/USD - Is it a Rising Wedge or a Falling Wedge?Quick BTC/USD 1 week chart update: BTC is in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern. BTC is also in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still back above its 200MA on this 1 week timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still way below its 50MA on this 1 week timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. Note that the Upper Band is curving downwards and the Lower Band is starting to curve around slightly. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe. BTC is still in its Descending Pitchfork Pattern above the Median Line and back above its Upper Green Resistance/Support line. It will probably be some time before we see BTC back above the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone and back in the Bullish Zone on this 1 week timeframe but that doesn't mean profit cannot be made while the Price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Equilibrium Zone, that is why it's always best to check multiple timeframes for any potential breakouts on those. Looking at the Average Directional Index Indicator (ADX DI), we can see that Negative Momentum has continued to drop with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 31.45. Positive Momentum has dropped slightly with the +DI (Green Line) at 15.01. The Trend Strength has increased with the ADX (Orange Line) at 32.18 note it is still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 28.89. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line but it has risen sharply with Red Histograms decreasing in size and it looks like we could soon see the MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Buy Signal on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 10th Jan 2022. For the mid to longterm upside, be on the lookout for a successful weekly close above the 28.60% ($24,314) Fib Re-tracement level and any successful re-test as strong support. For the mid to longterm downside, be on the lookout for a weekly close back under the LSMA and 200MA with any successful re-test as strong resistance. So a Rising Wedge or a Falling Wedge? Which will it be?……. only time will tell. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: 200MA = Red Line on chart 50MA = Yellow Line on chart LSMA = Cyan Line on chart
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
6
UPDATE: MATIC UP 82% after bullish daily signal MATIC pumped 82% after the bullish Supertrend Ninja - Clean signal (green vertical line on the background). MATIC broke out of the bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud , which is bullish. The RSI is in the bullish zone at 68. If we take a look at the Average Directional Index ( ADX DI) its bullish. The +DI (Green Line) is above the -DI (Red Line). While the Trend Strength is becoming stronger. Since the ADX (Orange Line) is above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Currently MATIC is also above its Bollinger Bands Middle, Band Basis 20 Period SMA and the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). Which are a bullish signs as well. Waiting patiently on a bullish Supertrend Ninja signal, before entering a long paid off. Thank you for reading. Namasté 🙏 Disclaimer: Ideas are for entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. What Indicators Do I Use: In the chart I am using the "Supertrend Ninja - Clean", which is a trend-following indicator (Green and red vertical lines on the background). When the background of the candlestick closes green (vertical line). It indicates a possible bullish (up)trend. And red for downtrends.
M
by Kch28
ADA/USD - 1 day chart analysisHere is a closer look at this ADA/USD 1 day chart: ADA is in a Ichimoku P Wave (the 2 converging Blue Trend-lines on Chart) on this daily timeframe. This P Wave is potentially Bearish because it is an inverted P. Note that the bottom trend-line of the P Wave is near the 38.20% ($0.430) Fib Retracement level. The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-Term Momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen) The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indication that the Mid-Point of the Mid-Term Momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indication that Momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the past price. Note that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for the 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are Pinching inwards at the moment. At the moment of typing this, ADA has dropped below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). A daily candle close below the LSMA would be considered a Sell Signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is still well below its Longterm Upwards Pitchfork Pattern Median Line and is also below its Lower Yellow Pitchfork Resistance Line. Looking at the entire ADA Chart we can see that the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is at $0.041 and we can see the previous huge Volume Cluster from $0.096 to $0.033. This represents the area where the most volume was traded. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is dropping with the ADX (Orange Line) at 13.988 still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 15.181. Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) at 19.976 and Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) at 17.218. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of negative momentum strength. Note that the RSI still has plenty of room to drop before entering the Oversold Zone on this 1 day timeframe. If ADA breaks below its P Wave and its 38.20% ($0.431) Fib Retracement level then we may see an eventual drop to its 50% ($0.233) Fib Retracement Level. For the upside, we need ADA to stay above its LSMA and to eventually get back ABOVE and CLOSE a daily candle ABOVE its BB Middle Band with a successful re-test as support on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at this ADA 1 day chart really puts things in perspective, as you can see, ADA spent from March 2018 to March 2019 in the BEARISH ZONE of the Ichimoku Cloud which was then followed by about a year or so of a few rises and falls until March 2020 when ADA rose from $0.017 to an eventual new ATH of $3.143 in Sept 2021. Once this world wide recession and financial/crypto bear market is over be it in a year, 2, 5 or 10 years, eventually the Market Makers will decided that the Path of Least Resistance to Profit is…… upwards! So you have to position yourself ready so you can take advantage of the next parabolic rise up, not just in crypto but also stocks, commodities and indices. This is all my opinion so please do your own research because its you money. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
VET/USD - weekly chart updateLooking at the VET/USD 1 week chart we can see that VET is in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. A Falling Wedge Pattern is potentially a Bullish Reversal Pattern. Note that the APEX of the Falling Wedge Pattern is located around the end of October 2023. A weekly candle CLOSE BELOW the Lower Converging Trend-line can easily invalidate this pattern as we saw with the previous weekly Rising Wedge Pattern that got invalidated. Here is a closer look at this VET/USD weekly chart: At the moment of typing this, VET is still way below its 50MA, 100MA and 200MA. For the downside, be on the lookout for if/when the 50MA crosses UNDER the 100MA on this 1 week timeframe. For the upside, be on the lookout for if/when VET crosses back above its 200MA and successfully re-test it as support. VET is also still way below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 week timeframe. For the upside, be on the lookout for if/when VET crosses back ABOVE and COLSES a weekly candle ABOVE its LSMA creating a BUY Signal for this indicator on this 1 week timeframe, also look out for any successfully re-test as support. VET is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 week timeframe. Note that both the Middle and Lower Bands are pointing downwards and the Upper Band is sideways at the moment. For the mid to longterm, VET needs to cross back ABOVE and CLOSE ABOVE its BB Middle Band Basis. Looking at VETs longterm Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern, we can see that VET is still way below its Pitchfork Median Line and has also found resistance from its Lower Green Resistance Line. Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, we can see what levels VET has above and below it as potential Support and Resistance. Note that the 1 ($0.01845) Trend-Based Fib Extension Level is located roughly where the 78.60% ($0.1811) Fib Retracement Level is located. Looking at the Fib Retracement we can see that VET has the 78.60% ($0.01811) and 100% ($0.0857) Fib retracement Levels as potential support. I have added to areas of Support which i believe are of great interest as highlighted by the Horizontal Black Lines with Blue Shading. We can clearly see that VET has found strong Support from its first Support Area. The longer VET stays and keeps re-testing this area with lower highs, the more the support volume will be chipped away and VET will potentially drop further to its next support cluster. The Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is located at $0.004946 and you can see the increased volume cluster located from around $0.00857 to $0.00287. If VET drops to that level, we can expect a huge buying opportunity to cause a spike up. As you can see on this weekly chart, Traded Volume has been low since around Jun 2021 compared to what VET was getting from July 2018 to May 2021. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 17.129 and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 15.182. Note that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line)at 28.041. Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) to 16.636. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and has been in the Negative Zone since the week of the 13th Dec 2021. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is slight curving upwards so be on the lookout if the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Buy Signal on this 1 week timeframe for this indicator. Looking At the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is still under its %D (Orange Line) and both lines are deep in the Oversold Zone and has been for the last 10 weeks. What is interesting is that VET has been in the Oversold zone a few times on this weekly timeframe and on 3 previous occasions VET has spent about 15-16 Weeks in this Oversold Zone before rising above 20. Could be one to watch. I still believe that there is a huge possibility that BTC will hit $12K especially with inflation and the recession we are in, if that happens then we can expect VET to at least WICK DOWN to its 2nd Support Area which is located by its 100% ($0.0857) Fib Retracement Level and its 1.414 ($0.096) Trend-Based Fib Extension Level. I would not get excited on tis weekly chart unless VET closes and successfully re-test as support its LSMA. For the Longterm, wee need VET to break back above and CLOSE a weekly candle ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and 200MA. Once this world recession is over and the Governments, The FED, The Bank of England ect ect have completely cleaned up from inflation and whatever else, then the Market Makers will eventually decide that the Path of Least Resistance to Profit is upwards. So once this recession and financial/crypto bear market is over, be it in a year, 2, or even 5 to 10 years. You need to position yourself to be able to buy back in on your crypto of choice and take full advantage of the next parabolic wave up. This is all just my opinion so please do your own research as its your money. I have tried to cram quite a lot in this post as this will probably be my last longterm VET/USD weekly chart post for a while unless something major happens so I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
2
BTC/USD - Weekly Chart Falling Wedge Pattern and a P WaveBTC is in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. A Falling Wedge Pattern is potentially a Bullish Reversal Pattern. Note that the APEX of the Falling Wedge Pattern is around March/April 2024. BTC is in a Negative Ichimoku P Wave Pattern. BTC has been in 2 Previous P Waves from the all time high and both P Waves ended with further drops to the downside. BTC is also in a massive Ichimoku Y Wave Pattern. This gives us a new All Time High potential target for BTC if it does eventually rise and especially if its stays above the Lower Descending Trend-line of the Falling Wedge Pattern. BTC is still deep in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud on this 1 Week timeframe. Note that we have already had a Kumo (Cloud) Twist into a RED Bearish Cloud on this 1 Week timeframe. BTC is still below its 200MA. A successful WEEKLY CLOSE ABOVE the 200MA and successful re-test as support is crucial for any longterm uptrend to become viable. Note that BTC has closed 3 weekly candles below its 200MA. BTC is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 Week timeframe. BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that both the Lower Band and Middle Band are pointing downwards and the Upper Band is pointing upwards but we may see the Upper Band curve and start moving downwards. At the moment of typing this, BTC has found some resistance from its 78.60% Trend-Based Fib Extension Level. At the moment BTC has found some support from its Descending Pitchfork Median Line. The Black Horizontal Trend-line at around $17,588 is a crucial level to watch. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that The Trend Strength is Strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 30.19 still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 24.70. Negative Momentum is slightly downwards with the -DI (Red Line) at 38.57 and Positive Momentum is also sideways within a range with the +DI (Green Line) at 12.18. From my opinion, if you are waiting to go long with BTC/USD for the Mid to Longterm, i would air on the side of caution at the moment because i still believe that £12K is a huge possibility especially with inflation increasing to help pay back the trillions of $ and billions £ printed during the covid pandemic to prop up the stock market. Mid to Longterm, we need to see a successful weekly close ABOVE the 78.60% Trend-Based Fib Extension level, the P Wave as well as the 200MA with a successful strong re-test as support on this 1 week timeframe. A successful close ABOVE the LSMA and successful re-test as support will also be a good sign of potential renewed Mid to Long-term upwards momentum. As usual, BTC needs to get back ABOVE and CLOSE a weekly candle ABOVE its BB Middle Band Basis. Until we see all of the above, then Mid to Longterm wise, it’s sideways within a range at best or downwards at worst. Again this is all just my opinion so please do your own research as its your money. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
2
VET/USDThis is a longterm analysis of a possible 3 year outlook for VET/USD using the 1 week chart. Here is a closer look at this VET/USD 1 week Chart. On this 1 week timeframe, VET has been back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) since the week of 7th March 2022. Note that a weekly close ABOVE the LSMA is considered a BUY SIGNAL for this indicator. VET is also back ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 week timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are still contracting indicating VET still has plenty of room to move up or down before expansion kicks in and it becomes over extended on this 1 week timeframe. VET is Back ABOVE its 100MA (Red Line) but still BELOW its 50MA (Blue Line) on this 1 week timeframe. VET is in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern, the APEX of which is around the week of 5th - 12th May 2025 and is at around $8.8 as indicated by the Rising Converging Blue Lines. VET is also in a Triangle Pattern as indicated by the Converging Black Dotted Lines. Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension we can see that at the moment, VET has found some resistance from its 0.236 level at $0.0876. Note that the Fib Levels are based on Log Scale. VET closed the last weekly Volume Bar ABOVE its Volume 20 Period MA, in the Green and this weekly Volume Bar will also close ABOVE its Volume MA. VET is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 3 Weekly Candle that i have selected. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that we have a BUY SIGNAL on this indicator for this 1 week timeframe because the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crosses back ABOVE the SIGNAL Line (Orange Line) creating a new Green Histogram. This is the first new BUY SIGNAL since the week of 25th Oct 2021 and it’s the first new Green Histogram since 22nd Nov 2022. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line, so the next key thing will be when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back over and ABOVE the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for this 1 week timeframe, we can see that Momentum is upwards at the moment and the RSI (Purple Line) is back above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) and indicating upwards momentum strength. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has plenty of room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone which is above 70 on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 14.51 under the 20 Threshold and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has increased with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 25.101 and ABOVE its -DI (Red Line) which is at 19.21. A very good sign on this 1 week timeframe will be if we continue to see the +DI (Green Line) expand further away from the -DI (Red Line) as well as the ADX (Orange Line) crossing back ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) and AOVE 20 Threshold. With such a large rise on the Daily, we shouldn't be surprised if VET re-traces back to its LSMA or even its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on the 1 day timeframe. Here is a look at the 1 day chart so you can see the Expansion of the Bollinger Bands. Note that VET found support today from its LSMA Level on the 1 day chart. Obviously a lot can happen and change in 3 years with the Crypto Market, VET can easily break ABOVE or BELOW and CLOSE a Weekly Candle ABOVE or BELOW the Rising Wedge Pattern's Trend Lines to invalidate it way before it ever gets to the APEX. The first crucial step for VET will be CLOSE a weekly Candle ABOVE its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Level at 0.0876 and if needs be, to successfully re-test that level as strong support. Key things to look out for the potential start off on this VET/USD longterm 1 week timeframe in no particular order: For the Positive Side: 1: A successful close ABOVE the 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension level. 2: Expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands while the Price is above the Upper Band. 3: A successful Weekly Close ABOVE the 50MA, 4: The BB Middle Band 20 Period SMA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA 5: The 100MA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA 6: The MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone 7: The ADX Line (Orange Line) crossing back ABOVE the 20 Threshold and its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). 8: A Weekly close ABOVE the Ascending Upper Blue Trend-line of the Rising Wedge Pattern. 9: A Weekly Close ABOVE the Upper Triangle Pattern Trend-line. 10: A successful close ABOVE the 50MA. For the Negative Side: 1: A successful close BELOW the 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension level. 2: A drop back UNDER the BB Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. 3: A Weekly Close back UNDER the 100MA, 4: A weekly Close back UNDER the LMA. 5: The 100MA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA 6: The MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back UNDER the SIGNAL LINE (Orange Line) 7: The +DI (Green Line) crossing back UNDER the -DI (Red Line). 8: A Weekly close BELOW the Ascending Bottom Blue Trend-line of the Rising Wedge Pattern. 9: A Weekly Close BELOW the Lower Triangle Pattern Trend-line. 10: The RSI (Purple Line) crossing back UNDER its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) I’m sure I’ve missed a few things but that’s probably enough of me rambling on. I hope this post is helpful with your Trading, Hodl-ing or DCA-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
10
BTC/USD - 1 day chart analysisLooking at the BTC/USD daily chart we can see that BTC is still under its Least Squares Moving Average as well as still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that we have expansion of the Lower Bollinger Band. BTC is still in a Descending Pitchfork Pattern and has found some support from its Upper Green Pitchfork Support Line. Note that BTC is still above the Descending pitchfork Median Line. A drop to the Pitchfork Median Line would take BTC to around $20,000 which is new its 0.786 Trend-Based Fib level at around $20,122. I have added various Support Lines on this chart and you can see the major Descending trend-line that BTC must CLOSE ABOVE and if needs be to successfully re-test as support on this 1 day timeframe. There are more support lines i could add but the chart would become too messy. Looking at the Trend-Based-Fib Extension we can see that BTC is still under its 0.5 Trend-Based Fib level around $30,352. Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) we can see areas of interest that that might arise that has previously had massive volume. These levels coincide with the Support and Resistance Lines that I’ve added. The Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range is at around $19,112. I have added a Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) indicator which is from 27th Mar 22 to 11th June 22 and as you can see BTC is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for that fixed range. Here is a closer look at this 1 day chart. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day chart. Note that it looks like the MACD Line (Blue Line) may cross back under its Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Sell Signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 25.39 and Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 15.50. Note that the Trend Strength is now turning sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 24.18 and the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) is heading downwards at 34.37. If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) then that will be further strength for the downside if the -DI (Red Line) is still above the +DI (Green Line) on this 1 day timeframe. All in all looking at this 1 day chart mid-term wise BTC shows no sign of breaking to the upside just yet. Look like there will be continued opportunities to acquire your crypto of choice at bargain prices. I hope this chart is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
4
VET/USD - UpdateAs I mentioned in my previous VET post in March, there was always a possibility that VET would drop out of the Bottom Trend-line of its Ascending Wedge and Invalidate that Ascending Wedge Pattern, which has happened. VET also failed to get back above its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib extension Level on that previous chart so we know that $0.087 is the price that VET needs to close a daily candle above solidified with a successful re-test as support. So let’s move on. Using a longterm Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), you can see that VET is still below its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern Median Line. At the moment VET has found some support from its Lower Green Pitchfork Support Line. Let’s take a closer look at this 1 day VET USD chart with the Bollinger Bands, LSMA and VPFR POC. At the moment VET is fighting to stay back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Not that the Upper and Lower Bands are moving sideways at the moment. Using the VPVR, you can see that the Upper and Lower Bands are located roughly above and below an area of large volume. At the moment VET has found some support from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level. A daily close ABOVE the LSMA is crucial for continued upwards momentum. At the moment VET is trying to stay back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 22x daily candles i have selected. For your viewing pleasure i have added various support and resistance lines (Black Solid Lines and Black Dotted Line) as well as various support areas as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading. As you can see, VET is now in a Descending Triangle Pattern (Bearish) as well as a Descending Wedge Pattern (Bullish). Note that the APEX of the Descending Triangle is located around Nov 2022 and the APEX of the Descending Wedge is located around March 2023. Note that a pattern can easily become invalidated with the price drop below and successful re-test as resistance of the bottom trendlines. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum is still downwards with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 14.17. Note that Negative Momentum is also down with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 20.00. Note that the Trend Strength is still strong but has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 30.52 and the ADX is also back under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 33.84 which is further confirmation of a weakening of Trend Strength at the moment. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that Momentum is upwards at the moment with the MACD Line (Blue Line) pointing upwards and is still back above its Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still BELOW the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. Looking at the bottom Volume indicator we can see that overall traded volume is still low especially compared to what VeChain was getting from around October 2019 to May 2021. This is similar to Bitcoin’s daily chart which possibly means that while big money might actually be accumulating crypto assets like BTC, but there hasn’t been a constant inflow of big money actually trading crypto like BTC on a regular basis since around May 2021. Using the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) indicator, you can see where the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is for this VeChain Chart is. Using the entire charts range we can indicate at what price range was the most volume was traded at. At the moment the Crypto market is following BTC so if BTC drops to $20k or $12,400 then we may see a wick down to around $0.009 which would offer a real great buying opportunity for most crypto. If BTC doesn’t drop to $20K then we will see VeChain eventually break back above its Descending Triangle, its Descending Wedge and eventually back above its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Median Line. I hope this post is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
3
ADA/USDA quick look at the ADA/USD 1 day chart: ADA is still below its Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is also below its smaller descending Pitchfork (Black A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe. ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Lower Band is till pointing downwards and the Upper Band is now moving downwards. At the moment of typing this, ADA is trying to get back and stay above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts entire Visible Range. Looking at this range gives us a sense of potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest that may offer good buying opportunities if ADA drops lower. ADA is also still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x Daily Candles that i have Selected. Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings: The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Short-term Momentum is sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Mid-term momentum is also sideways at the moment. The Ichimoku cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment for this 1 day candle. Note that The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the Price from 30 Periods ago. Note that both the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) are moving sideways at the moment indicating a decrease in volatility at the moment. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 40.249 and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 37.203. Negative momentum is still dominant with the -DI (Red Line) at 29.750 but note it has dropped from 37.0. Positive Momentum has increased slightly with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 10.83. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that momentum is sideways with a slight upwards trajectory. Note that the MACD Lien (Blue Line) is still under its Signal Line (Orange Line) and still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe. Potential areas of previous Volume interest to look out for if you want to go long on ADA if ADA drops further are potentially: $0.411 to $0.298, $0.179 - $0.128, $0.111 - $0.082, $0.049 - $0.033. Using the indicators on this chart, for confirmation of a renewed mid to longterm uptrend on this 1 day timeframe, we need to see: 1: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and stay above it. 2: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) and stay above it. 3: ADA to cross back into the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and for the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) to cross back ABOVE the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a Kumo (Cloud) Twist creating a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1 day timeframe. 4: The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) to cross back ABOVE the Price from 30 Periods ago and stay above the price below it. 5: The +DI (Green Line) to cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) 6: the MACD Line (Blue Line to cross back ABOVE its Signal Line (Orange Line) and back ABOVE the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1 day timeframe. 7: ADA to cross back ABOVE both Pitchfork Median Lines especially the Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C). Apologies for the lack of posting, i have been busy filming a new feature film. I'm sure there's more things i could post and I've probably missed a few things but this hopefully gives people enough for to ponder. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
BTC/USD 1WLooking at the Trend-Base Fib Extension we can see that BTC found some support from its 0.5 Fib Level at $30,329. If this support level fails then the next Fib Levels are 0.618 at $26,100 and 0.786 at $20,077. Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe. Note that at the moment BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Lower Band. Looking at the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) we can see that BTC closed a weekly candle below its LSMA. A close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal. A key area of support is the area from around £31,075 to $28,666 as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading. Note that BTC has found support from this Support Zone 9 times previous since the 4th Jan 2021. Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), you can see potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest if the support at around $28,666 and the 0.618 Fib Level at $26,100 both fail. Note that for the timeframe starting Sept 2020 to the present day, BTC is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. Note that BTC is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 7 weekly candles i have selected. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a sharp rise in Negative Momentum on this 1 week timeframe with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 30.54 and the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.27. Note that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 17.39 and crossing above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.37. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment for this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) still has room to drop further before entering the Oversold Zone on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is still below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating negative momentum strength. Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF line (Green Line) is still under the 0.0 Basel Line in the Distribution Zone and has been since the week of the 21st Feb 2022 on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is also below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicating strength for distribution. If we use the area from around $31,075 to $28,666 as our base and the Descending Trend-line then we can clearly see that BTC is also in a Descending Triangle Pattern on this 1 week timeframe. In any case, if the support area fails then there will be some good opportunities to acquire BTC or your crypto of choice at a bargain price before the next bull cycle upwards. Never say never. I hope this quick and dirty post is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
ADA/USDAt the moment of typing this, ADA is still below its longterm Pitchfork Median Line and has been below it since the 3rd March 2022. ADA is also in a Descending Pitchfork Pattern (Black A,B,C). At the moment, ADA is still above its Descending pitchfork Median Line. At the moment, ADA has found some support from its Descending Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line. At the moment ADA is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe. At the moment, ADA is also back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Not that we have yet to get expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands Using the Ichimoku settings of 20,60,120,30, we can see that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and ADA has not made an attempt to break back into the Equilibrium Zone since the 18th Jan 2022 when ADA failed to close a daily candle within the Cloud. At the moment, ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 20x daily candles that i have selected. At the moment, ADA is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range. At the moment, Volume on this Binance Chart for ADA is still relatively low compared to what ADA was getting around May 2021. Looking at the Average Directional index (ADX DI), Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (green Line) dropping to 22.56 and note that Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 18.89. The Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 18.57 and still below the 20 Threshold and also below its 9 Period EMS (Black Line) at 20.82. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and it is above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 20th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe. Here is a wider look at this ADA 1 day chart with its Longterm Pitchfork Pattern: Looking at this ADA 1 day chart, i personally wouldn’t get excited until ADA gets back above its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line and also starts making a Hight Highs and Higher Lows above $1.63. So depending on what BTC does and what your Trading plan, Hodl-ing Plan or DCA plan is, it looks like there will still be good opportunities to acquire more ADA or your crypto of choice at a discount price. On another note, if ADA drops below its Descending pitchfork Median Line then we can expect to hit $0.622 but that is if support of the Descending Pitchfork Median Line fails as support. I would keep an eye on whether or not both the LSMA and Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA continues to be Support or become Resistance on this 1 day timeframe. I hope this post is helpful for your Trading or Hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by entertheroach
2
BTC\USDA quick BTC/USD update: At the moment, BTC is testing its crucial Descending Resistance Line of its Triangle Pattern as well as testing its crucial Resistance Area. Note that BTC has found resistance from this Descending Resistance Line 3 times previous and you can clearly see the interactions of the previous Daily Candles with this Resistance/Support area. Note that the APEX of the Triangle Pattern is located around the 23rd April 2022. At the moment of typing this, BTC is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) as well as back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. Note that BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart's visible range. At the Moment of typing this, BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. Note that Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) Resistance Line is located in the same spot as the Resistance Area that BTC is testing. Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension, we can see that the 0.236 level is also located at BTC’s crucial Resistance Area. Note that this is the first time since the 10th March that the daily Volume Bar has been above its Volume 20 Period MA. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a spike in Positive Momentum with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 22.04. Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 19.89. Note that the +DI (Green line) is now back above the -DI (Red Line) indicating Positive Momentum is stronger than Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. Note that we have to be careful because the overall Trend Strength is still very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 15.39 way below the 20 Threshold (Black Dashed Line) and is still also below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.64. Tonight’s daily candle close will be a very interesting one to watch. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
1
BTC/USD - 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension levelThe Trend-Based Fib Extension level 0.236 at $42,492.75 is the level BTC needs to close above and successfully re-test as support for continued upwards momentum on this 1 day timeframe. This level is also where its descending trend-line is located exactly on the 0.236 level. At the moment, BTC is also back above its Least Squares Moving Average, its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as well as its VPFR POC for the fixed range of 14x daily candles that i have selected. Note that BTC is also back inside the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone at the moment. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI), it looks like we are very close to potentially seeing the +DI (Green Line) cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) which would indicate that Positive Momentum has become dominant over Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. If this crossover happens and the +DI (Green Line) is on top, we then need the +DI (Green Line) and the -DI (Red Line) to keep expanding further away from each other for continued Positive Momentum dominance on this 1 day timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC has found resistance from its Trend-Based Fib Extension 0.236 level as well as from its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range. It will be very interesting to see where and how BTC closes this daily candle. I hope this brief post is helpful with trading and hold-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
1