Litecoin ETF Approval Odds Soar to 85%—What’s Driving the Surge?The race for altcoin ETFs in the U.S. just took a significant leap forward. Litecoin ETF approval odds on Polymarket skyrocketed to 85%, following the listing of Canary Capital’s proposed Litecoin ETF on the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) system.
This move mirrors the Ethereum ETF approval process, which saw its green light from the SEC in May 2024. While DTCC listing doesn’t guarantee SEC approval, it’s a crucial preparatory step that shows the application is progressing.
Why Does This Matter?
📌 Polymarket Odds Up 35% – Investor confidence in a Litecoin ETF is surging.
📌 DTCC Listing Signals Progress – Canary Capital’s application is moving through key procedural steps.
📌 Institutional Interest Growing – Asset managers like Grayscale and CoinShares are positioning Litecoin-based financial products.
The SEC’s Next Move
Canary Capital first filed for a spot Litecoin ETF in October 2024. While its status as a Bitcoin fork and commodity classification may work in its favor, the SEC’s cautious approach could still delay approval.
📌 Optimistic Case: SEC approval could boost institutional adoption and significantly impact LTC’s price.
📌 Bearish Case: If the SEC delays or denies the application, Polymarket odds could tumble, and LTC may stagnate.
Despite this news, Litecoin’s price reaction has been muted, up only 3.37% to $134.25 since Friday. The next major price move will likely depend on further SEC developments.
The question remains—will the SEC push Litecoin into the ETF era, or is this another case of premature optimism?
