Lucidgroup
$LCID UP TREND TO $48/S$LCID Lucid Motors Up Trend Analysis
BREAK DOWN:
- As we see here LCID has bounced off the support line and is in up trend momentum.
- Despite seeing few RSI Divergence as shown on the graph followed by price correction, the stock is heading towards $48
- IF $LCID breaks the resistance line IT WILL CONTINUE upwards. The resistance line will now become new SUPPORT line.
KEEP AN EYE:
- On any RSI Divergence followed by price corrections to buy the stock at lower price
- The stock will break the Resistance line and continue up trend.
Lucid is Pulling UpHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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Shares of American electric vehicle manufacturer Lucid Group Inc (NASDAQ:LCID) opened higher Monday after the company delivered its first dream edition vehicles over the weekend.
Lucid shares opened up the session at $41 and are currently priced around the $45.90 mark, up 12% from Friday's close.
The long and short-term trends are both positive. This is looking good!
A new 52 week high is currently being made by LCID, which is a very good signal! However, this is in line with the S&P500, which is also trading near new highs.
Possible Scenario for the market :
The market is looking Bullish with a good momentum the first step will be reaching the resistance line at $53.70 by the end of the week, if the stock was able to breakout that resistance then we could be seeing a further push that could drive the value of the stock up to the $64.55.
The stock has a small possibility to go into a correction move that could reach the 35.90 but no further without any updates yet.
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign)
2) The RSI is at 84.75 and trading in the overbought zone. with no major divergences found between the indicator and the market.
3) The STOCH is at the overbought zone with a positive crossover between %K and %D.
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 35.90 1) 44.80
2) 30.01 2) 47.81
3) 27.00 3) 53.70
Fundamental point of view :
LCID has an Altman-Z score of 10.68. This indicates that LCID is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment and The Altman-Z score of LCID is much better than the industry average of 5.85.
The company hosted an owners club meeting over the weekend where members took delivery of the vehicles.
"This is a big day. We always said until we've handed cars to customers, we haven't achieved a damn thing," said Lucid's CEO Peter Rawlinson.
New owners took the vehicles through the Lucid Owners Club inaugural rally to showcase the cars' performance capabilities.
Last week, Lucid said it intends to follow the deliveries of the Air Dream edition with deliveries of its Lucid Air Grand Touring versions.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Lucid Group LCID Elliot Wave Analysis Weekly ChartWelcome to a continuation of my Lucid Group analysis :)
With the help of this analysis I would like to determine the price targets of a wave 3 with the help of the Elliot wave theory.
As we can see in the weekly chart of Lucid Group, wave 1 is already formed:
0 = 02.11.2020 / 9.60 USD
1= 18.02.2021 / 64.86 USD.
This was followed by wave 2 with an ABC correction:
A = 02/18/2021 - 05/13/2021 / 17.29 USD
B = 13.05.2021 - 01.07.2021 / 29.81 USD
C = 01.07.2021 - 01.09.2021 / 16.11 USD
Wave 2 Corrected 87.27% of wave 1
I determine the possible price targets of wave 3 with the following Fibonacci extensions:
100% / 71.37 USD (pink arrow)
161.8% / 105.52 USD (purple arrow)
261.8% / 160.78 USD (White arrow)
423.6% / 250.19 USD (Blue arrow)
The height of wave 3 is ultimately dependent on the strength of the bull market.
To put it briefly, the more buying power comes up the more impulsive the wave 3 will form, because Elliot waves are based on the behavior of market participants, at least in theory.
If you take a look at the current Google Trends, you will see that the world is increasingly searched for Lucid Goup or Lucid Motors, and the search calls rise in parallel to the chart, this confirms my assumption that we are in an Elliot wave 3.
After the wave 3 is over, the price goes into a correction phase, the Elliot wave 4.
The corresponding correction wave 4 and its various price targets can be seen in the chart idea.
The correction levels are drawn in the same color as those of the wave 3
(Click on the split symbol and select "Make mine" to scroll around in the idea)
We will discuss wave 5 as soon as wave 3 and 4 are finished ;)
Because the size of wave 5, depends on wave 3 and 4.
Without these waves ( mainly wave 3 ) a projection would not make sense.
Besides the Elliot waves, I am also inspired by another pattern for further rising prices, an ABC-D.
Since ABC have formed so far, we have as a starting point the correction C of AB with 88.2%.
This results in
A-C = 0.882
As a target determination for D we draw a Fibonacci retracement from B to C, and determine the following Fibonacci levels
100% (Double Top) 64.86 USD
127.8% 78.12 USD
144% 86.31 USD
161.8% 94.98 USD
At these points, counter-movements can occur, each measured from A or C to D, correcting to the following Fibonacci Levels:
23.6%
38.2%
61.8%
127.8%
Taking into account the Elliot waves, I would consider the following Fibonacci levels as maximum correction from D:
61.8%
78.6%
88.6%
For a complete analysis description please have a look at the superior Lucid Group analysis ;) You can find it here (click on the image )
If you liked this idea, I would appreciate a click on the Like button ;)
If you have any questions, suggestions or a different opinion, don't be afraid to use the comment function.
Thanks a lot
Disclaimer:
Please keep in mind that this is a pure analysis and only reflects what my eye shows me ;)
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is scientific in nature.
This analysis is not based on any fundamental data!
This analysis is not an investment advice and should not be considered as a buy, sell or hold signal.
Always do your own research before investing and seek the advice of a qualified person.
I am not an investment advisor or similar and do not make any investment recommendation here.