LUKOY if i had to pick one russian stockIf i had to pick one russian stock after this huge sell-off, that would be LUKOIL (LUKOY).
PJSC LUKOIL engages in exploration, production, refining, marketing, and distribution of oil and gas.
Last year they had earnings of $773Bil and paid a dividend of $7.35, which is now higher than the price of one share.
It will be adjusted for sure.
The Market Cap is also low, $31.608Bil.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Lukoil
Idea about MagnitMagnit is a chain of retail stores, the third largest private company in Russia by revenue (after Lukoil and X5 Group). It consists of more than 15 thousand grocery stores, 500 supermarkets, 5 thousand perfume and cosmetics stores, 1 thousand pharmacies, manages a greenhouse complex and its own fleet of 5.7 thousand cars. Founded in 1995. Revenue ₽1553.8 billion (2020). Capitalization ₽600.5 billion
The deal is on the rebound from the support level.
The tool is not fast, it forms an impulse through a long sideways movement.
Support levels ₽5525/₽5650/₽5750
1) A deal on the trend.
2) 200 EMA - day support.
3) The instrument needs a correction to collect liquidity.
Long: ₽5675
Until then: $5530
Target : ₽5950 (speculative)
Stop below ₽5400
NOT IRR.
🛢Investments in the Russian oil sector...●● Mine scenario
🕐 1W
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.1»
We successfully predicted the growth of the fifth wave after the triangle ((iv)) and the subsequent decline within the wave 4 , which, based on the norm of alternation, is still expected in the form of a triangle.
🕐 1D
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.2»
Combination "Double Three" SZ-X-CT
🕐 1D
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.3»
The main purchases are planned under the condition of a fully completed triangle, at the end of the final wave ((e)) in its structure.
🕐 2h
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.5»
This count has a number of disadvantages. They are: two sideways corrections in waves ii-iv , and a truncation within the assumed diagonal v . In connection with the above, I recommend any speculation in the short only after the breakout of the top iv , the level marked as «confirm.lvl» .
🕐 2h
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.6»
Along the way, I am considering a variant count with a triangle in (b) of ((b)) , which suggests continued growth within wave (c) . Waiting for the implementation of my count for continued growth, I hold the buy position.
●● Alternative scenario
🕐 1W
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.8»
As for the alternative count shown in "Pic. 8" , taking into account the probability of its implementation, I do not increase the volume of a long-term long position until we form a triangle as it is schematically depicted in "Pic. 1".
The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.
Oil Bears in for a Crude AwakeningDon't get excited just yet. The only certainty in the oil game is it's not for the faint of heart and right now, the bears are getting crushed.
Now that prices are gearing up it looks like it's time to make a new plan. Before I do let's recap the last one.
Previously I had noticed a particular trendline that prices broke out of in early August. As that breakout failed, it seemed a retest of that trendline was inevitable.
Prices bounced right back up to a macro fib retracement level (@ $40) as they often do, like a magnet.
Then after it failed at that fib level and retested that trendline again, I noticed a potential tricky oil move playing out: the head and shoulders fake out.
Now here we are breaking $40.50 and the 50 Week EMA. Although I have been buying oil stocks on these dips I am not trading futures just yet until prices can stabilize above $40. Eventually, I'd like to see a weekly close above that 50 week EMA and then start buying dips on the 1 hour chart all the way up to the 200 week EMA at $51.50
The MACD on the monthly chart is showing a nice divergence and as always, I'm keeping an eye on that macro Fib retracement level at $40 as the pivot point.
Trading is risky. Don't listen to my advice.
Long LUKOY, KMI and buying dips
Lukoil LONGWelcome to our Daily Analysis, where we breakout the best course of action for a given price stituation of a stock.
This week we will be interested by Russian Stocks, while the main topic of today being the LUKOI L price.
The prices were falling throughout the last few days, but rest assured it will not go for too long as the prices are bound to go up (Confirmed by the volumes & the breakout of the average volumes).
Nature of The movement : Bullish in a short term horizon, ( 1/2 days)
Best course of action :
If you're a seller : we don't recommend holding the stocks (expect if you're willing to wait for the bullish movement to stop)
If you're a buyer : hold or buy more.
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