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Earnings Watch: August 6th Airbnb (ABNB 🏠) The travel accommodation giant is expected to report an EPS of 0.91 and revenue of 2.73B. With a solid beat rate of 85%, can Airbnb surpass expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.98 and revenue of 2.48B. Fortinet (FTNT 🔒) Fortinet is projected to deliver an EPS of 0.41 and revenue of 1.40B. Holding a beat rate of 71%, investors are keen to see if they can maintain their streak. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.38 and revenue of 1.29B. Super Micro Computer (SMCI 💻) The company is set to announce an EPS of 8.10 and revenue of 5.31B. With a beat rate of 72%, will SMCI impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 3.51 and revenue of 2.18B. Coupang (CPNG 📦) Expected to post an EPS of -0.01 and revenue of 7.37B, Coupang has a mixed outlook. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.08 and revenue of 5.53B. Sunrun (RUN ☀️) The solar company is anticipated to report an EPS of -0.33 and revenue of 515.16M. With a beat rate of 50%, will Sunrun manage to impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 0.25 and revenue of 590.19M. Redfin (RDFN 🏠) Redfin is expected to deliver an EPS of -0.26 and revenue of 291.58M. Last year, they reported an EPS of -0.25 and revenue of 275.55M. Shopify (SHOP 🛒) The e-commerce platform is expected to report an EPS of 0.20 and revenue of 2.01B. With a beat rate of 58%, can Shopify exceed expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.14 and revenue of 1.69B. Disney (DIS 🎥) The entertainment giant is set to announce an EPS of 1.20 and revenue of 23.11B. Holding a beat rate of 77%, will Disney continue to enchant the market? Last year, they reported an EPS of 1.03 and revenue of 22.33B. Lyft (LYFT 🚗) Expected to post an EPS of 0.19 and revenue of 1.38B, Lyft has a beat rate of 80%. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.16 and revenue of 1.02B. CVS Health (CVS 💊) CVS is projected to deliver an EPS of 1.73 and revenue of 91.51B. With a beat rate of 88%, investors are keen to see if they can maintain their streak. Last year, they reported an EPS of 2.20 and revenue of 85.27B. Monster Beverage (MNST 🥤) The beverage company is expected to report an EPS of 0.45 and revenue of 2.01B. With a beat rate of 42%, will Monster impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 0.39 and revenue of 1.87B. Lumen Technologies (LUMN 📡) The telecom company is anticipated to report an EPS of -0.06 and revenue of 3.24B. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.10 and revenue of 3.66B. 🔍 As these giants reveal their financial health, it's not just about the numbers but also the story they tell about the consumer market and economic trends. Keep your portfolios ready for any surprises! #EarningsSeason #StockMarket #InvestmentInsights
NASDAQ:SMCI
by WallSt007
Meme Basket Found - AMC CHPT COIN DT F FIVN GME GRAB HOOD LUMNTo add a good approximation of what the current meme basket looks like just copy this and add it as a new symbol. AMC+CHPT+COIN+DT+F+FIVN+GME+GRAB+HOOD+LUMN This is the current basket and someone's sold $166 mil worth of spreads ranging between $0.4 up to $6.3 in spread on this basket on the 7'th of Dec and 15'th of Nov. There's around 78 transactions worth $2m each done in quick succession on those dates. Here's the stocks that are part of this basket: AMC CHPT COIN DT F FIVN GME GRAB HOOD LUMN This isn't that good because HOOD is part of the basket and so is AMC (which we all kinda knew). But because HOOD is part of this basket and FTX's was hoarding HOOD shares that may be sold off in the market (hopefully will be sold in a block trade auction instead), if those HOOD shares are sold at market value, they'll tank the whole basket. Regardless, even if sold algorithmically, those HOOD shares are going to have a decently big effect on the basket (Price go down). This is a weird basket with lots of mixed sectors... All i can say is that there's a falling wedge which indicates that something may start occuring in Feb just in time on Feb 21 for the quarterly meme run. Hopefully the whole market doesn't decide to correct again on that date like it has the past few cycles specifically on that EXACT day out of coincidence... Found this swap in the DTCC- SEC swap depository online as this is something i've been tracking for a bit over a year now. Since a month ago SWAPS are reported with a lot more and useful information and the full meme basket name is now visible basically.
NYSE:AMCLong
by leenixusu
6
Lumen technologies to Continue Its Growth. LUMNUpgoing zigzag by the looks of it. Final leg to take two months give or take with some comparatively sizeable gains potentially. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
NYSE:LUMNLong
by Rykin_Capital
Lumen Tech Joins The Pending Selloff?Based on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on September 3, 2021 with a closing price of 12.12. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 12.01 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 2.302% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.85% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 7.819% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.75% decline must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 21 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:LUMNShort
by StockSignaler
1
TITAN - 5G - Lumen Tech. $LUMN - The 4th Industrial RevolutionI am ultra bullish on Smart cities, AI, edge computing, 5G/6G telecommunications, cybersecurity and AR/VR. Lumen Technologies (CenturyLink) seems to be a sleeping giant that checks all those boxes. Lumen is facing a similar situation as Nokia and Blackberry as value company which is about to enter a second growth cycle, and like Palantir Technologies, it is facing a situation of massive short selling pressure during institutional accumulation. The ruthless manipulation after earnings beat signals to me how bullish institutions are on the company, and the overwhelming (unreasonable) bear sentiment signals that the shakeout is upon us. FA: Highlights: "Lumen Technologies is the only company to win Frost & Sullivan's prestigious 2021 Global New Product Innovation Award". Who are they? - "Lumen brings together the talent, experience, infrastructure and capabilities of CenturyLink, Level 3 and 25+ other technology companies to create a new kind of company—one designed specifically to address the dynamic data and application needs of the 4th Industrial Revolution." - Company website. - Already is the global leader for fiber network. Lumen has the largest ultra-low-loss fiber network in North America with 3.5 million miles of high-capacity. - Owns the world’s most-connected CDN (Content Delivery Network). What do they do? - "Lumen is an enterprise technology platform that enables companies to capitalize on emerging applications and power the 4th Industrial Revolution". They are focused on the 5G/6G sector, which I speculate will see explosive growth soon. - "We integrate network assets, cloud connectivity, security solutions and voice and collaboration tools into one platform that enables businesses to leverage their data and adopt next-generation technologies." - Focused rebranding for edge computing solutions and 5G sector. - Lumen has partnered with VMware to develop cybersecurity software: Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Mitigation, Web Application Firewall (WAF), Bot Risk Management (BRM). - Black Lotus Labs is their threat research arm, the world’s most deeply peered networks and industry-leading endpoint protection and datacenter virtualization. Key Products: - Premises Edge: Tactile Internet, Virtual reality, Augmented reality. - Metro Edge: Smart manufacturing, Video analytics, POS transactions, Retail robotics, IoT. - Cloud Core: AI/ML platforms, Big data analytics, Disaster recovery, SaaS, Cloud storage, Hyperscale environments. Clients: - Salesforce, Zoom are big customers already. Financial Performance: - Growth & Trend shows they are almost profitable: Reported a Net Loss of $1.232 billion for the full year 2020, compared to a Net Loss of $5.269 billion for the full year 2019. Excluding Integration and Transformation Costs and Special Items, reported Net Income was $1.801 billion for the full year 2020 compared to $1.409 billion for the full year 2019. The trend is positive. - Cash Flow Positive. - Invested Capital and Total Assets are decreasing, yet total liabilities and debt decreasing, while CapEx is increasing. - Reduced Net Debt by approximately $1.6 billion and reduced leverage to 3.6x Net-Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA. - For 2021, Lumen has debt obligations of $2.4 Bn still. - However, Lumen had $34.1 Bn of debt in 2020. - LUMN finished the year with $2.9 billion in free cash flow and a requirement of $1.1 billion to meet its dividend obligation. - Insiders & Insider Trading: -0.92% - Institutional Ownership: 79% - About 659 funds hold LUMN, and interestingly enough, while the stock price dumped, Average 13F Ranking has been steadily increasing. This aligns with the Accumulation Distribution model that I presented. - Float: 976.12M. - Short % of Float: 7.51%. - Valuation: 0.97 P/B ratio and 0.64 P/S ratio. Undervalued, by traditional valuations. - Financial Reporting: Solid. - Potential: 5G Market: Market size value in 2020: USD 41.48 Billion Revenue forecast in 2027: USD 664 Billion "The global 5G Applications and Services Market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.8% from 2019 to 2027" (According to 180+ page research report by Fidelity National Financial) - Lumen Technologies should benefit from the growth of the 5G market, so we can expect 25.8% CAGR in revenue from their market share of 5G, and factor in growing market dominance. TA: - Accumulation/Distribution Phases are rather difficult to predict with Elliot Wave Theory, so Dow Theory will be used instead. - Expecting 600%+ move up on breakout. - MACD long term analysis: - Short term outlook: Fib support level, with a big whale buy. Looks ready to move up. - MACD short term bullish divergence: - Stoch RSI indicating possibly one more shakeout: - Historical analysis showing this is likely, if the same whale is in charge: - However, Fib levels indicate that it cannot possibly go much lower! QA: - Interestingly, it would take 5.7 days for shorts to fully cover. It is likely the shorting was used to take the price down from the previous distribution level. Great short squeeze potential. - Naked short selling report collected from FINRA shows that naked short volume was massive in the end of Jan. Most likely to suppress the price at the resistance point. Institutions were not positioned for the breakout yet. - Options flow does not present high gamma squeeze potential, however, the low OI presents a very good long entry. VERDICT: - The company is reducing debt and leverage. This is smart, as there is sentiment that a market correction and stagflation is nearing. - The critical point that investors will need to decide on is if the company can survive such conditions with their remaining debt. At this point, it looks like their debt will soon be eliminated, and they will be profitable. - It is my speculation that in the case of a tech correction, and a rotation into value, tech will still thrive, but it is companies like these - non-speculative, but necessary, will be real winners. A lot of retail excess will be trimmed from unreasonably valued companies. At least some Institutional investors seem to share this sentiment, judging from their accumulation. - This company checks many boxes for me, and looks ready for an explosive move up, so I assign it an S-tier rating. STRATEGY: - Accumulate. - Entry levels: 7.50, 4.00. - Trigger for Long: breakout of falling wedge resistance. - Wave 3 PT: 80.00. - Wave 5 PT: 130.00. I think the Impulse wave 3 target of 80 aligns with the MACD signaling a 600% move-up to come. This is a high probability level. This would put the company's valuation at 86B~, which is not unreasonable, and even still would be undervalued, in my opinion. GL, and if you like the content, give a like, leave a comment, and follow! P.S. Trying to take a more succinct presentation model for DD, based on constructive criticism I have been receiving.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
9
LUMN Technical Analysis 🧙With 450,000 route miles of fiber, including over 35,000 route miles of subsea fiber connecting Europe, Asia, and Latin America, Lumen Technologies is one of the United States’ largest telecommunications carriers serving global enterprises. The merger further shifted the company’s operations toward businesses (now 75% of revenue) and away from its legacy consumer business. Lumen offers businesses a full menu of communications services, providing colocation and data center services, data transportation, and end-user phone and Internet service. On the consumer side, Lumen provides broadband and phone service across 37 states, where it has nearly 5 million broadband customers. If you understand the idea,🎯 press a thumb up! 👍 Have a question? Don't be shy to ask! 🤓 Interested to study how to analyze charts, follow me!
NYSE:LUMNLong
by unfair_advantage
5
Is it time for Value Stocks? Lumen Technologies case studyIn a market where most stock valuations have skyrocketed to Mars, Lumen Technologies is one of the bright exceptions, being perhaps one of the safest investments available, for the investor to sleep soundly at night. LUMN has great fundamentals and is a much underestimated VALUE STOCK, ready to change the declining trend of many years to rising. In an article he wrote a year ago, Jeff Storey, CEO of Lumen Technologies (rebranded CenturyLink), stated: ‘During the last century, telephone companies pioneered early networks by standing up poles and stringing phone wires across the nation. Today, the new pioneers are tech companies like CenturyLink who are standing up networks and stretching fiber across the globe—and in the process, making exciting technologies like 5G possible’. Lumen Technologies is an international facilities-based communications company engaged primarily in providing a broad array of integrated services to business and residential customers in over 60 countries. Lumen’s enterprise technology platform enables companies to capitalize on emerging applications and power the 4th Industrial Revolution (4IR). Lumen Technologies states that ‘Lumen is the fastest, most secure platform for next-gen business applications and data, integrating global network infrastructure, cloud connectivity, edge computing, connected security, voice, collaboration and enterprise-class services into a seamless experience’. Lumen is ranked No. 29 on Washington Technology's 2020 Top 100 list of federal government IT contractors. From a fundamental analysis point of view, LUMN with capitalization 12.54B (11.43 $/share), P/E 9.57, P/S 0.58, P/B 0.91, EV/EBITDA 5.27, Div. Yield 8.85%, Intrinsic Value 16 $, Buffetts Limit 18$, can be considered as a cheap stock. The only negative element is Debt to equity ratio which is 2.41. From a technical analysis point of view, LUMN’s monthly diagram shows that the stock is possibly in the process of trend changing. The three preceding years, while the stock reaching its bottom the volume rose to historical levels, which means that shares changed hands from retail to smart money. Also notice the break-up of the RSI declining trend line and the divergences that appeared. Next follows LUMN’s daily diagram. Notice that stock’s price is over 200d, 30d and 9d SMAs. Additionally, notice the consolidation and resistance zones and that the RSI is in high overbought zone, so the correction of prices or a short period of consolidation is possible. Next follows LUMN’s 30 minutes diagram. Notice that stock’s price is over 200(30m), 30(30m) and 9(30m) SMAs. Also notice the up trending channel and that prices are in the middle of the channel and the Bollinger Bands, while MACD and RSI are declining, indicating a possible pullback or more likely a consolidation in these levels, until reaching the channel’s lower trend line. Conclusively, I think no investor should ignore LUMN, because it is very likely to be A SUCCESS TURN TREND STORY that may give big gains in 2021 (and next years) with MINIMUM INVESTMENT RISK. Of course the stock is suitable not only for long term investors, but also for short and mid term traders as well. Finally, I encourage you not to lean on my analysis but to make your own research for the company before investing in LUMN.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by Gnothisafton
5