Get started

LUNA

LUNA CLASSIC LUNC > CZ BINANCE PRICE MANIPULATION > BURNS MATH!Hello everyone. So this morning CZ from Binance came out in a tweet and said that he would burn all the transaction fees from LUNA spot and margin trading. Now lets look at this for a minute. So first CZ tweeted he would support the burns making everyone think that he was going to implement the 1.2% burn on all the transactional volume on Binance, the price rocketed up. Then he came out and said he would not support the off chain burns and only the on chain burns, then LUNA dumped. Then he came out in an AMA and said he wouldnt be doing the 1.2% burn on the trading volume one more time, because for some reason there was alot of confusion about it, then the price dumped a little more. Then he came out and said the same day he would implement a feature to opt in to the burn tax for any trader who wanted to and then the price pumped a little. Then as LUNA came all the way down to the .618 around .00018 and Binance tweeted again this morning at 5:30 AM EST saying he was going to implement a burn mechanism to burn all the trading fees from LUNA trading and the price went up more than 50 percent in an hour. Shorts got liquidated and now on the drop Longs will be liquidated too. So I did the math for you all so you can see how big of a deal or not a big deal this extra burn of the trading fees is Average volume of Binance for LUNA currently is about 1 Billion daily. The total trading volume across all exchanges is an average of 2 Billion daily for now. This wont always be like this. The hype will eventually die down and the trading volume will diminish dramatically, maybe to at most 1 Billion daily across all exchanges. Now for the math, Im going to even look ahead and assume that all exchanges trading LUNA will follow Binance and Im going to round up the trading fee percentage to .2% although Binance is only .12%, because some exchanges may charge more. 2,000,000,000 x .2% = $4,000,000 $4,000,000 / PRICE OF LUNA = TOKENS BURNED PRICE TOKENS BURNED DAILY BY ALL EXCHANGES .0003 = 13,400,000,000 .0004 = 10,000,000,000 .0005 = 8,000,000,000 .0006 = 6,700,000,000 .0007 = 5,700,000,000 .0008 = 5,000,000,000 .0009 = 4,450,000,000 Lets do this with one less zero .001 = 4,000,000,000 .002 = 2,000,000,000 .003 = 1,340,000,000 Lets do this with 2 less zeros .01 = 400,000,000 Now he said that the first set of burns is from 9/21 to 10/1 thats 10 days BINANCE SPECIFIC BURNING FOR THIS TIME PERIOD .12% FEE ON TRADES AVERAGE 1 BILLION DAILY VOLUME AVERAGE THAT'S 40 BILLION LUNA TOKENS BURNED IN 10 DAYS BY BINANCE SOUNDS LIKE ALOT HUH? ITS NOT! AS THE PRICE OF THE TOKEN GOES UP THE AMOUNT OF BURNS WILL BE MUCH LESS. ALSO THE VOLUME WILL NOT ALWAYS BE 2 BILLION DAILY ACROSS ALL EXCHANGES. THIS VOLUME WILL EVENTUALLY DROP TO MAYBE A BILLION TRADING VOLUME DAILY. AT THE CURRENT PRICE AND WITH JUST BINANCE BURNING THEIR TRADING FEES AND THE ON CHAIN BURN WE WILL BURN ABOUT 6 BILLION TOKENS DAILY. SO TO BURN 90% OF THE SUPPLY WHICH IS 5.4 TRILLION TOKENS AT THE CURRENT RATE OF 6 BILLION TOKENS BURNED DAILY (WHICH WILL DROP DRAMATICALLY ONCE PRICES INCREASE) IT WOULD TAKE 900 DAYS. NOW THAT IS ASSUMING THAT THE BURNS WOULD BURN 6 BILLION A DAY WHICH IS NOT THE CASE, AND THAT WOULD STILL LEAVE 600 BILLION TOKENS WHICH WOULD BE THE ABSOLUTE BEST CASE FOR $1, BUT VERY VERY DOUBTFUL. EVERY TIME THE PRICE DOUBLES THE BURN NUMBERS GET CUT IN HALF. SO AT .0006 LIKE I SHOW ABOVE LUNA WOULD ONLY BE BURNING 3 BILLION A DAY, AT .0012 LUNA WOULD BE BURNING 1.5 BILLION A DAY AND SO ON AND SO FORTH. SO HERE IS THE CONCLUSION. IF EVERY EXCHANGE IMPLEMENTS THE TRANSACTION FEE BURN, AND LUNA CONTINUES TO HAVE 2 BILLION DOLLAR TRADING VOLUME THEN IT WOULD STILL TAKE APPROXIMATELY 3000 DAYS TO BURN 5.4 TRILLION COINS. THAT'S ALMOST 10 YEARS AND REALISTICALLY IT WOULD TAKE MUCH LONGER, AS VOLUME DECREASED AND PRICE INCREASED. ALSO THATS ASSUMING THAT BINANCE WILL KEEP THIS GOING INDEFINITELY WHICH I DOUBT AS WELL. NO ONE WANTS TO THROW AWAY 4 MILLION A DAY IN FEES. HES DOING THIS FOR HIS OWN AGENDA. HES MADE MULTIPLE BILLIONS MORE OFF PUMPING AND GOING LONG AND DUMPING AND SHORTING WITH THIS COIN THAN HE EVER WOULD HAVE MADE SELLING HIS STASH AT THE TOP WHICH WAS WORTH 1.6 BILLION I BELIEVE. HES MAKING 10S OF BILLIONS OF DOLLARS MANIPULATING LUNA WITH HIS TWEETS, TAKING EVEN MORE FROM INVESTORS THAT ALREADY LOST A LOT ON THIS THING. LUCKILY I WAS NOT ONE OF THEM, BUT I FEEL FOR EVERYONE WHO HAS, AND I AM SORRY YOU HAD TO GO THROUGH THAT. DON'T GO THROUGH IT AGAIN THOUGH WITH THIS HYPE TRAIN, PUMP AND DUMP. THIS BURN IS STILL NOT ENOUGH IN THE GRAND SCHEME OF THINGS. ALSO UST IS STILL DE-PEGGED AND NO ONE IS BUILDING ON TOP OF LUNA AT THE MOMENT. THERE IS NO REAL USE CASE FOR THIS OTHER THAN A HYPED UP PUMP AND DUMP. I USED TO THINK LUNA WAS GOING PLACES BUT I REALLY THINK THAT IT WAS JUST A PUMP AND DUMP BY DO KWON IN THE BEGINNING AND NOW CZ OF BINANCE IS PUMPING AND DUMPING IT AS WELL. THOSE TWO SHOULD HAVE A JAIL CELL TOGETHER WITH ONE BED! MY STRATEGY IS TO TRADE THIS UP AND DOWN BECAUSE THERE IS A TON OF LIQUIDITY AND VOLATILITY. I DO NOT USE LEVERAGE WITH VOLATILE TOKENS LIKE THIS EVER! ITS A VERY RISKY STRATEGY SO DO SO WITH CAUTION BECAUSE WILD PRICE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED FOR A WHILE. So for the price action short term. I think the hype will die down again once people realize this burn is just a drop in the bucket. My targets are .00026, and then .000235 before another run up If LUNA can rally up to .00035 with strength then we may see a run to previous highs, perhaps for a double top, I do not think LUNA has started a new bull rally to new all time highs. I don't think this will happen though I'm leaning more towards the bearish case because essentially nothing has changed as far as how long it would take to burn the tokens. This is just a suckers rally and boy are there a lot of suckers out there. Jokers coming out of the woodwork again screaming $1 LUNA with no idea of how to do math. THIS IS NOT TRADING OR FINANCIAL ADVICE THIS IS JUST MY OPINIONS AND SPECULATIONS
KRAKEN:LUNAUSDShort
by Bitgolder
3
Luna 2.0 Analyze (9/26/2022)!!!Luna 2 was able to break the Support zone (2) & Trend line & Support line. I expect that Luna 2 will go down to support (1); at least Luna 2 will lose 25% of its value. 🟢Support zone 1🟢: 2.90$ until 2.49$ 🟢Support zone 2🟢: 1.69$ until 1.47$ Terra Analyze ( LUNAUSDT ) Timeframe 4H⏰ (Log Scale). Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
26
Coiled UpLUNC is all coiled up and ready to break out of it's symmetric triangle. The asset is near the end of the pattern and could break in either direction. I would say that it will correlate with Bitcoin and the rest of the market but that has not been the case lately. I am leaning towards the bullish side, seeing the 60% retrace the asset just had and the retest at $0.000240 painting a double bottom. Also, the fundamentals of the upgrade with a 1.2% transactional burn implemented into its protocol. From a technical point of view it's really interesting to have all of the data before the whole situation. With a large cut in supply I could see LUNC retesting resistance between $0.20 & $0.30. Crazier things have happened in this space, like LUNA falling from $100 to nothing in the first place.
L
by RighteousTA
5
LUNC ON SUPPORT. WILL WE SEE A REVERSAL?Check out the trade plan for LUNC today based on the technical analysis. Hope this analysis is useful, make sure to hit the thumbs and also follow my tradingview profile for future updates. Thank you! LUNC on important support where we should keep an eye on this level to identify if the price is looking for a bullish reversal or a bearish breakout. I am expecting a decent pullback to happen in this area as we have seen some buying interest formed in previous price action. I have pinned some important levels where we can keep our take-profit limits on a bullish reversal in the short-term base. We have seen a nice correction so far with my previous analysis as mentioned with the 5 wave theory.
LLong
by traderchamp_
1
Terra LUNA Bearish SentimentFriday the S&P reached its 52 week low, $3636. There is a strong correlation between the S&P and the crypto world. Many stock investors diversified their portfolio into cryptos, especially in BTC Bitcoin and ETH Ethereum . With a bearish stock market in the worst month for stocks and cryptos, i expect most of the cryptocurrencies to trade lower this week. LUNA/USDT short Entry Range: $2.10 - 2.60 Take Profit 1: $1.95 Take Profit 2: $1.65 Take Profit 3: $1.00 Stop Loss: $2.95
Short
by BuySellMarketMaker
3
ETHW ETHEREUM POW Primed For Takeoff! $18 Next Big ResistanceETHW has been moving up steadily. I see lots of buy orders on exchanges with many less sell orders. This is being accumulated in my opinion and is about to rocket back up to previous highs. Next major resistance is around $18 maybe a few stops and bounces on the way to $18 around $10 and $13 but this could run quick since there really is not many to buy at the moment. Even if this coin doesn't succeed in its mission there will still be a FOMO pump just like with all the other major forks. $18 is my shorter term target with potential longer term targets up to previous highs when it was just IOU's trading around $60. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion. Thank you, like and follow for more updates on your favorite coins. INVALIDATION: ETHW may bounce off $7.50 but if that fails then we may head back down to next support around $6.50 and then $5.50 which is heavy support! I think a pump is more likely though.
BITFINEX:ETHWUSDLong
by Bitgolder
7
TERRA LUNA CLASSIC About to Go Parabolic! $.50 Cents IncomingLuna has been on a tear lately. I made a chart back in June showing a cup and handle pattern with a measured move target of about .00055 (ill link the chart below). Luna hit the target and is now in a small consolidation, but I don't think its going to go much lower in this small correction before continuing to the upside. There is a nice rounded bottom pattern that has formed as well and .0006 ish will validate this pattern and a measured move to about $.01 a penny looks very possible and I think possibly in the next couple weeks. There is also a possibility that with the fomo and hype that would hit when Luna actually hits a penny, it will bring in all the skeptics and the blow off could shoot Luna to 25 or even 50 cents. Do not think that can happen? Ask the Doge and Shib doubters how their comments aged when people who literally invested a couple hundred dollars became millionaire over night, literally! Some big things are happening for Luna, and some big players are getting in. Do not forget that CZ of Binance is salty over the Luna collapse. He lost $1.6 BILLION DOLLARS in the collapse. SO what if he has multiple billions, do you know how much a billion dollars actually is? I'm sure he wants his money back and then some and he is going to get it. Do not forget about those wallets accumulating Luna in the trillions a couple months back. What if CZ or some other major holder comes out and says they want to burn 5 trillion coins, its very possible. Vitalik Buterin burned about 40% of the total shib supply suddenly one day and the price of Shib went bananas. Anyways good luck out there and be safe. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion. Thank you
Long
by Bitgolder
39
LUNA CLASSIC LUNAC Still In Triangle, W Pattern > Target .00030So the FED spoke, and they said what everyone expected, nothing special. Luna had a nice big wick down, great short entry right before the release, and then it pumped right back to where it was, great quick long entry. Now Luna has formed a W bottom on the 15 minute within the triangle with the measured move bringing it to the same target I said this morning at around .00030. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion. Thank you
Long
by Bitgolder
🎯 LUNA - hanging on a cliff🎯 LUNA has been selling off in the last days after the big pump it had a couple of weeks ago. Most of the profits were taken from the table in the initial pump: Recently it formed a descending triangle - a bearish continuation pattern. Low volume suggests that there is no interest for buyers in this area. This is why I expect it to fall further down. The next level to watch is around the Point of Control at 2$. Wait for it to close confidently below current support. Confirmation of the move will come with increased volume.🎯 This idea is a complementary one to 🔥FieryTrading's idea - I believe it helps traders to keep both scenarios in mind and act according to how the market moves. It's a probabilities game. 💎Looking forward for your questions below. If this post provided you value, follow for more. 🚨Disclaimer: this post is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
LShort
by opripom
DGB DIGIBYTE About To Run 500% BULLISH DIVERGENCE RSI+MACD $.042Digibyte has corrected more than 90% since its high at 18 cents. I think DGB has hit its bottom and is about to explode. There is 3 drives of Bullish divergence on the RSI and MACD going all the way back to January on the daily. I think $.042 cents will be the shorter term target with potential longer term targets much higher if we break past resistance there. A wick to about 5 cents is easily possible as well. Don't forget DGB is one of the only actually decentralized, longest running, advanced POW coins out there with privacy features, and is 40x faster than bitcoin . Its mining is super efficient and can be mined with 5 different methods, making it possible for more people to mine with their rigs. Digibyte came out in early 2014 and DGB break in has just finished, its time for it to shine. The world will realize how important POW is once they see what happens with ETH POS . Digibyte has done amazing work over the years and even all through this massive multi year bear market it has been in. I would say that DGB is in an accumulation zone now and wont go much lower if at all lower. In a perfect world it would be BTC , LTC, DGB as the main 3, for everything! This is not financial or trading advice this is just my opinions and speculations. IF YOU APPRECIATE MY WORK THEN PLEASE LIKE AND FOLLOW. COMMENT BELOW AND LET ME KNOW WHERE YOU THINK DIGIBYTE IS HEADED IN THE FUTURE. LETS SPECULATE TOGETHER. GOOD LUCK MY FRIENDS BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON THE MACD: BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON RSI: VOLATILITY INCREASING ON BBWP: SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ON THE 4 HOUR:
Long
by Bitgolder
15
DGB DIGIBYTE About To Run 500% BULLISH DIVERGENCE RSI+MACD $.042Digibyte has corrected more than 90% since its high at 18 cents. I think DGB has hit its bottom and is about to explode. There is 3 drives of Bullish divergence on the RSI and MACD going all the way back to January on the daily. I think $.042 cents will be the shorter term target with potential longer term targets much higher if we break past resistance there. A wick to about 5 cents is easily possible as well. Don't forget DGB is one of the only actually decentralized, longest running, advanced POW coins out there with privacy features, and is 40x faster than bitcoin. Its mining is super efficient and can be mined with 5 different methods, making it possible for more people to mine with their rigs. Digibyte came out in early 2014 and DGB break in has just finished, its time for it to shine. The world will realize how important POW is once they see what happens with ETH POS. Digibyte has done amazing work over the years and even all through this massive multi year bear market it has been in. I would say that DGB is in an accumulation zone now and wont go much lower if at all lower. In a perfect world it would be BTC, LTC, DGB as the main 3, for everything! This is not financial or trading advice this is just my opinions and speculations. IF YOU APPRECIATE MY WORK THEN PLEASE LIKE AND FOLLOW. COMMENT BELOW AND LET ME KNOW WHERE YOU THINK DIGIBYTE IS HEADED IN THE FUTURE. LETS SPECULATE TOGETHER. GOOD LUCK MY FRIENDS BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON THE MACD: BULLISH DIVERGENCE ON RSI: VOLATILITY INCREASING ON BBWP: SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ON THE 4 HOUR:
DLong
by Bitgolder
4
LUNA CLASSIC > DIGIBYTE POSSIBLE FRACTAL, TOTAL SLAUGHTER!LUNA CLASSIC AND DGB DIGIBYTE HAVE A SIMILAR FRACTAL Back in early 2021 the hype for Digibyte was huge. There were so many videos, you-tubers, articles, Trading View popularity for DGB and what happened? it correct more than 90% from its hype high. Yes I understand that DGB doesn't have a burning deflationary mechanism but the emotion is still there. Im not saying that this will happen with Luna I am just pointing out the possibility. No one thought DGB would drop back down to under a penny when it was at $.18 cents or even 10 cents or even 5 cents, the true believers, the hardcore DGB fans, diehards, kept on with the positive news and sentiment as long as they could. Then they couldn't anymore, and the hardcore fans and true believers sold, then the diehard investors sold. What if the burns for Luna dont go as planned and they have to postpone them, or they are nowhere near what everyone has hyped them up to be? Need to be mindful that this type of hype and fomo usually leads to serious disappointment and depression once its over, and everyone comes back down to earth. Luna went up a lot and in quite a short period of time from its low, and from my experience in this market is, if it goes straight up then it usually comes straight down unless there is some real world adoption, or white swan (my opposite version of black swan). For now there is no real world adoption, the chain is working but is still in the break in period and need lots of work to regain investors trust. Most investors wouldn't touch Luna with a ten foot pole, especially big money, after that collapse and the USDC still un-pegged. I also don't think the burns on trading transactions on exchanges will ever happen, at least not on high volume exchanges, maybe some no name exchange will do it to get in the news. Its too much of a loss for the exchange and no trader with half a brain would bother to trade it with that type of tax. You cant strong arm exchanges and boycott them for not complying with the requests from Luna, its just a bad look. People need to be realistic and patient. Why not focus on real world implementation instead of yelling at everyone to burn the coins, that would really bring the price up as well. Either way Ill be trading this all the way down or if we're lucky all the way up. LIKE, AND FOLLOW ME FOR MORE FREQUENT UPDATES. THIS IS NOT TRADING OR FINANCIAL ADVICE THIS IS JUST MY OPINIONS, SPECULATIONS, AND WHAT I AM DOING. THANK YOU FOR YOUR SUPPORT, I HOPE YOU ALL HAVE A WONDERFUL DAY.
Short
by Bitgolder
12
LUNA CLASSIC LUNAC Trading Within Triangle, FOMC=Direction!LUNA Classic has been trading within this Triangle for a while now. The triangle will resolve I believe today or tomorrow. We will see whether LUNA can break the triangle to the upside or not. There is a couple things going on today like the FOMC meeting and LUNA starting its burns. So here is how that is going to work. The Fed raising rates by 75 basis points is priced in. The burns for Luna are also priced in. If the Fed raises by 100 BP then Luna and the entire market is going to tank for a bit, Luna will probably fall to previous support around .00024 and then we will re-visit. If the Fed raises by 50 BP which is lower than expected LUNA will rally along with the rest of the market, and LUNA might make a run to previous resistance around .00039 and then we will re-visit. If the Fed stays the same and people are happy with the burns then Luna will trade kinda sideways for a bit I think ranging within .00024 and .00029. If the burns start and the math is done to show that it may take many years to reach the 90% reduction that everyone wants then Luna will dump pretty hard regardless of the FED meeting. If the burns show that the supply could fall quite quickly and not take that long then LUNA will probably make a decent rally at least to previous resistance at .00039 and then we will re-visit. On the lower time frame I think we will see a run up from current price around .000285 to the top of the triangle around .00031. Volatility is expanding and the MACD is coiling up to break to the upside on the hourly so this move will happen within an hour once the resistance is broken around .0002905. Please note that Symmetrical Triangle patterns once formed break in the direction of the current trend as a continuation pattern. The current trend is down and corrective, so the chances of Luna breaking down is more probable than an upside break. As you can see back on September 1st when we had that nice pump, a symmetrical triangle formed and it broke to the upside because we were in an uptrend. Also the current Symmetrical triangle has a slight upwards angle which could make it a rising wedge , which is also very bearish and most likely a break to the downside. Thank you all for your support, please like and follow if you appreciate my charts and content. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinions, and speculations. I hope you all have a wonderful day. We Broke above resistance at .00029 at time of writing this so a move to at least .000305 - .00031 is imminent.
by Bitgolder
3